Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2012, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.26     7.17    55.49    66.80    88.97    97.08    99.28    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      76.84     7.78    37.13    13.14    44.72    75.80    90.18    98.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      78.11     7.68    38.15    18.02    52.56    80.25    92.09    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.06     7.99    14.29     0.23     2.16     8.08    21.46    57.49     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom     10   17   +4      52.64     7.90    -1.71     0.01     0.15     0.85     3.45    17.72     1.09R    0.06  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      61.03     8.15    11.56     0.28     2.09     7.74    21.22    56.41     0.08R    0.00  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.22     7.99    29.17     1.43     8.50    25.50    54.12    82.99     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.43     7.98     6.03     0.02     0.28     1.60     6.00    25.44     0.64R    0.04  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.19     8.03   -11.32     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.75     5.25     7.17R    0.84  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.48     8.07    -1.24     0.02     0.25     1.27     4.63    20.62     1.06R    0.08  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.10     7.76    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     3.01    10.23R    1.46  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.52     7.98     5.39     0.04     0.27     1.45     5.53    25.40     0.72R    0.05  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.59     7.59   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.93    21.96R    4.10  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.64     7.65   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47    31.39R    7.38  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.55     7.73    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     2.47    11.55R    1.65  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.11     8.03    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.48     4.04     8.82R    1.25  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.44     7.55   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.74    21.57R    4.03  
Reading        9    5   -6      34.85     8.16   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.27    49.26R   16.92  
QPR           10    4  -11      30.99     7.38   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    69.32R   31.67  
Southampton   10    4  -14      31.79     7.97   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    65.09R   30.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Birmingham vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   15   30   +9      72.47     8.64     8.84     6.71    14.60    45.80    20.59P    0.18R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    15   29   +6      75.62     8.76    12.15    12.68    24.62    60.45    32.82P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          15   28   +9      79.68     8.80    23.41    26.83    43.36    76.99    52.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             15   28   +4      72.10     8.54     6.57     6.01    13.28    43.80    20.08P    0.18R    0.01  
Leicester        15   26   +7      75.80     8.78    17.97    13.91    26.16    62.31    35.59P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   24   +3      74.18     9.20    14.85    11.43    21.97    54.68    31.91P    0.22R    0.02  
Huddersfield     15   24   +0      63.91     8.86    -4.21     1.02     2.75    14.96     5.25P    3.02R    0.24  
Brighton         15   23   +8      66.79     8.52    10.17     1.77     4.83    23.82     9.47P    1.07R    0.04  
Derby            15   23   +5      63.40     8.61     1.65     0.82     2.23    13.67     4.61P    2.75R    0.29  
Burnley          15   23   +0      67.27     8.97     2.10     2.39     5.88    25.21    10.18P    1.33R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    15   22   +3      64.63     8.49     3.31     0.95     2.75    16.34     5.89P    2.01R    0.16  
Blackpool        15   21   +3      70.85     8.95    14.52     5.62    12.41    41.46    20.97P    0.45R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    15   21   +1      67.63     9.07     7.22     2.80     6.68    27.56    12.39P    1.19R    0.11  
Millwall         15   20   +2      64.29     8.72     4.47     1.10     3.04    16.35     6.04P    2.48R    0.21  
Leeds_United     15   20   +0      63.76     8.92     1.62     1.00     2.78    15.38     5.68P    3.09R    0.33  
Watford          15   20   -3      59.72     8.75    -7.86     0.31     0.89     6.79     2.05P    7.61R    1.02  
Bolton           15   19   -2      68.13     9.19     8.22     3.22     7.69    29.80    14.25P    1.36R    0.13  
Birmingham       15   19   -5      65.31     8.72     0.57     1.23     3.47    18.88     7.82P    1.83R    0.16  
Charlton         15   17   -3      56.97     8.90    -7.20     0.17     0.50     4.06     1.30P   13.11R    2.18  
Sheff_Wed        15   15   -6      50.51     8.80   -18.07     0.03     0.07     0.84     0.22P   35.06R    8.97  
Barnsley         15   15   -8      47.43     8.23   -24.22     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   49.62R   14.13  
Peterborough     15   12   -6      48.08     8.66   -17.86     0.01     0.03     0.37     0.10P   45.31R   13.60  
Bristol_City     15   11   -7      46.50     8.51   -19.23     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   52.55R   17.72  
Ipswich          15   10  -20      41.77     8.35   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   75.39R   40.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Hartlepool vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        16   34  +20      80.75     8.43    28.39    19.39    37.93    81.75    48.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   32   +9      85.73     8.32    27.76    40.39    61.17    92.49    71.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       16   32   +6      77.83     8.48    13.02    10.37    23.58    69.25    34.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    16   29   +2      64.97     8.64    -6.32     0.57     1.91    15.90     3.90P    2.93R    0.11  
Notts_County    16   28  +11      75.98     8.61    21.36     8.11    19.06    63.08    29.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Doncaster       15   27   +6      74.22     9.09    13.15     5.86    14.51    53.38    24.24P    0.24R    0.00  
Swindon         16   26   +9      71.92     8.71    16.22     3.47     9.56    44.51    18.56P    0.32R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   26   +8      76.44     8.34    21.67     8.44    20.07    65.68    34.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford       16   25   +5      68.07     8.43     8.11     1.24     3.79    26.60     9.05P    0.90R    0.02  
Preston         16   23   +6      65.95     8.52     8.65     0.67     2.35    20.43     6.22P    1.90R    0.05  
Yeovil          16   22   +2      61.10     8.53    -1.53     0.13     0.65     8.06     1.94P    6.63R    0.39  
Bournemouth     16   21   -2      63.12     8.57    -0.50     0.24     1.07    12.05     3.33P    4.23R    0.26  
Colchester      16   20   -3      60.36     8.39    -4.02     0.07     0.38     6.50     1.62P    7.75R    0.55  
Crewe           16   20   -5      52.00     8.34   -19.15     0.01     0.03     0.84     0.13P   34.20R    5.06  
Carlisle        16   20   -8      57.75     8.43   -13.56     0.05     0.18     3.55     0.79P   13.88R    1.23  
Walsall         16   19   -6      55.76     8.34   -12.33     0.01     0.08     2.25     0.45P   18.68R    1.84  
Portsmouth      16   18   -2      66.68     8.82     9.30     0.84     3.07    23.54     9.33P    1.84R    0.10  
Oldham          15   17   -1      55.57     8.39    -6.17     0.02     0.11     2.19     0.51P   18.45R    1.93  
Coventry        16   17   -5      59.91     8.67    -2.12     0.12     0.48     6.64     1.95P    8.78R    0.70  
Leyton_Orient   16   16   -8      50.05     8.11   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   42.43R    7.55  
Shrewsbury      16   14   -5      50.40     8.50   -11.50     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.13P   39.84R    7.17  
Scunthorpe      16   13  -13      48.92     8.29   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   48.02R    9.87  
Bury            16   12  -11      45.33     8.24   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   64.81R   19.52  
Hartlepool      16    8  -15      40.22     7.98   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.97R   43.65  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Plymouth vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           16   36  +20      89.97     8.37    39.65    62.79    91.09    98.94    93.55P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   31  +17      82.25     8.50    32.46    21.26    68.03    92.51    75.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +5      72.96     8.43     9.31     3.03    23.15    62.11    32.21P    0.03R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       16   27   +8      68.29     8.65     8.26     1.22    11.31    41.64    17.90P    0.22R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +4      64.38     8.55    -0.57     0.37     4.67    24.66     8.13P    0.97R    0.24  
Bradford             16   25   +6      66.21     8.40     6.26     0.56     6.84    32.33    12.24P    0.46R    0.09  
Rotherham            15   25   +6      72.45     8.78    13.39     3.41    22.99    60.84    32.62P    0.11R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +4      70.49     8.47    12.04     1.69    16.22    52.29    26.06P    0.11R    0.02  
Rochdale             16   24   +2      71.24     8.84    11.14     2.43    19.22    55.36    29.57P    0.16R    0.03  
York                 16   23   +2      58.92     8.47    -5.64     0.07     1.30     9.75     2.85P    4.03R    1.27  
Exeter               16   23   -1      66.21     8.85     1.88     0.77     7.96    32.60    14.32P    0.65R    0.17  
Southend             16   22   +3      69.89     8.51    13.07     1.69    15.11    50.05    25.97P    0.15R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   15   21   -4      60.57     8.66    -8.62     0.15     1.98    13.28     4.20P    3.11R    0.99  
Northampton          16   20   -1      57.72     8.37    -6.66     0.03     0.83     7.57     2.21P    5.22R    1.71  
Dag_&_Red            16   19   -1      57.67     8.47    -4.99     0.05     0.99     7.90     2.45P    5.42R    2.00  
Chesterfield         16   19   -1      63.46     8.73     3.95     0.28     4.27    23.03     9.61P    1.39R    0.40  
Morecambe            16   19   -3      59.71     8.44    -3.67     0.08     1.43    11.24     3.62P    3.46R    1.07  
Oxford_Utd           16   19   -6      59.36     8.42    -7.29     0.06     1.27    10.40     3.30P    3.70R    1.19  
Plymouth             16   17   -2      55.78     8.35    -5.44     0.01     0.48     5.06     1.48P    7.42R    2.57  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14  -10      50.35     8.53   -19.98     0.00     0.09     1.43     0.36P   23.91R   10.80  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   14  -13      45.10     8.09   -30.16     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   48.03R   27.96  
Wycombe              15   13  -10      55.57     9.15   -10.25     0.04     0.71     6.00     2.07P   10.37R    4.12  
Barnet               16   13  -12      44.18     8.04   -27.69     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   52.07R   31.74  
Aldershot            16   13  -13      48.78     8.15   -20.46     0.00     0.04     0.66     0.18P   29.03R   13.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, AFC_Telford vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     17   36  +17      81.10     8.39    25.19    10.60    70.52    21.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   32  +14      89.98     8.12    39.99    46.46    94.53    63.95P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      86.19     8.11    29.75    24.91    87.42    45.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            18   30  +11      78.54     7.98    26.76     5.35    61.52    19.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       17   30  +10      77.27     8.33    21.32     4.54    53.70    15.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           17   29   +8      69.48     8.76     8.98     0.82    20.37     4.30P    0.38R    0.05  
Macclesfield       16   27   +3      78.28     8.86    19.03     6.18    57.43    18.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   26   +3      64.69     8.06     3.47     0.10     7.40     1.37P    1.06R    0.11  
Stockport          17   24   +3      63.63     8.36     2.31     0.10     6.68     1.22P    1.63R    0.23  
AFC_Telford        17   23   +5      57.77     8.03    -2.97     0.01     1.43     0.19P    6.35R    0.97  
Woking             18   23   -2      55.52     8.55   -13.04     0.01     1.06     0.17P   13.36R    2.72  
Hereford           17   23   -3      67.77     8.59     4.70     0.48    14.98     3.78P    0.62R    0.06  
Tamworth           18   22   -3      55.33     7.77   -11.03     0.00     0.48     0.09P   11.23R    1.95  
Mansfield          16   22   -5      66.91     8.66     0.73     0.36    12.59     2.82P    0.87R    0.10  
Lincoln_City       17   20   -1      59.54     8.32    -1.66     0.02     2.42     0.40P    4.86R    0.73  
Southport          17   20   -8      54.49     8.20   -17.65     0.00     0.61     0.09P   14.97R    3.05  
Alfreton_Town      16   18   -8      49.95     8.16   -23.93     0.00     0.15     0.02P   32.27R    9.38  
Barrow             17   18  -11      48.91     7.88   -26.25     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.32R   10.82  
Kidderminster      17   17   +1      61.35     8.22     8.05     0.05     3.94     0.92P    2.80R    0.38  
Cambridge_Utd      17   17   -6      58.59     8.35    -3.38     0.01     1.93     0.36P    6.35R    1.04  
Braintree_Town     16   17   -7      53.30     8.42   -15.47     0.00     0.51     0.06P   18.78R    4.67  
Hyde_United        16   16   -7      49.05     8.84   -20.85     0.00     0.21     0.04P   37.07R   12.98  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   15  -10      47.03     8.15   -24.29     0.00     0.04     0.01P   45.50R   16.36  
Nuneaton           17   14  -11      42.89     8.26   -29.76     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.54R   34.39