Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2012, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.26     7.08    55.27    67.16    89.13    97.32    99.31    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      76.97     7.79    37.35    13.65    45.52    76.23    90.38    98.13     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      78.02     7.64    37.99    17.24    51.89    80.35    92.30    98.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.22     7.91    14.52     0.25     2.17     8.08    22.33    58.22     0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom     10   17   +4      52.86     7.93    -1.37     0.01     0.19     1.00     3.79    18.16     1.01R    0.08  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      60.93     8.09    11.39     0.22     1.91     7.57    20.99    55.91     0.07R    0.00  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.04     7.99    28.85     1.40     8.35    24.82    52.79    82.48     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.57     8.03     6.30     0.02     0.34     1.72     6.24    26.07     0.60R    0.05  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.05     7.94   -11.50     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.63     4.82     7.38R    0.84  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.44     8.08    -1.28     0.02     0.22     1.14     4.53    20.48     1.05R    0.07  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.06     7.70    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.33     2.87     9.99R    1.44  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.54     7.89     5.46     0.03     0.25     1.43     5.46    25.23     0.68R    0.07  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.63     7.57   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.96    21.58R    4.08  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.43     7.58   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.44    32.05R    7.70  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.46     7.72    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     2.41    11.42R    1.75  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.20     7.97    -8.66     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.50     3.95     8.59R    1.31  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.31     7.54   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.79    21.81R    4.03  
Reading        9    5   -6      35.03     8.18   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    48.65R   16.50  
QPR           10    4  -11      31.10     7.39   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    68.86R   30.66  
Southampton   10    4  -14      31.65     7.98   -35.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    66.19R   31.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Birmingham vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   15   30   +9      72.59     8.66     9.02     6.92    14.86    46.40    21.14P    0.16R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    15   29   +6      75.66     8.80    12.22    12.74    24.67    60.33    32.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          15   28   +9      79.80     8.83    23.63    27.39    43.65    77.42    52.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             15   28   +4      72.17     8.58     6.64     6.28    13.54    44.34    20.53P    0.16R    0.00  
Leicester        15   26   +7      75.65     8.73    17.73    13.23    25.37    61.71    34.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   24   +3      74.13     9.22    14.79    11.07    21.66    54.73    31.30P    0.21R    0.02  
Huddersfield     15   24   +0      64.06     8.86    -3.93     0.96     2.69    15.25     5.20P    2.88R    0.24  
Brighton         15   23   +8      66.85     8.60    10.26     2.03     5.15    24.01     9.69P    0.95R    0.07  
Derby            15   23   +5      63.54     8.56     1.90     0.86     2.45    13.72     4.75P    2.57R    0.22  
Burnley          15   23   +0      66.89     8.94     1.49     2.13     5.28    24.03     9.52P    1.48R    0.14  
Nott'm_Forest    15   22   +3      64.73     8.54     3.38     1.06     2.97    16.64     5.87P    1.87R    0.20  
Blackpool        15   21   +3      70.89     9.03    14.67     5.66    12.72    41.36    21.01P    0.49R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    15   21   +1      67.65     8.97     7.32     2.69     6.78    27.50    12.56P    1.11R    0.06  
Millwall         15   20   +2      64.27     8.82     4.39     1.13     3.10    16.39     6.24P    2.62R    0.28  
Leeds_United     15   20   +0      63.72     8.82     1.53     1.01     2.69    15.05     5.49P    2.94R    0.27  
Watford          15   20   -3      59.68     8.73    -7.88     0.27     0.85     6.67     2.04P    7.42R    0.89  
Bolton           15   19   -2      67.89     9.24     7.81     3.12     7.44    29.46    13.96P    1.39R    0.13  
Birmingham       15   19   -5      65.32     8.77     0.58     1.28     3.51    18.95     8.12P    1.95R    0.17  
Charlton         15   17   -3      57.23     8.90    -6.80     0.11     0.48     4.32     1.34P   12.58R    1.89  
Sheff_Wed        15   15   -6      50.59     8.85   -17.90     0.04     0.09     0.91     0.25P   34.76R    9.00  
Barnsley         15   15   -8      47.48     8.23   -24.15     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.05P   49.50R   13.95  
Peterborough     15   12   -6      47.87     8.69   -18.24     0.01     0.02     0.35     0.08P   45.89R   14.18  
Bristol_City     15   11   -7      46.15     8.50   -19.81     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   54.39R   18.94  
Ipswich          15   10  -20      41.98     8.38   -38.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.51R   39.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Hartlepool vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        16   34  +20      80.52     8.34    28.16    18.50    36.78    81.05    47.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   32   +9      85.69     8.34    27.60    40.53    60.83    92.42    71.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       16   32   +6      77.86     8.48    13.08    10.78    23.96    69.21    34.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    16   29   +2      64.95     8.67    -6.38     0.60     2.03    15.96     3.97P    2.95R    0.10  
Notts_County    16   28  +11      76.10     8.65    21.48     8.08    19.49    63.59    30.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Doncaster       15   27   +6      73.95     9.03    12.73     5.52    13.77    52.56    23.08P    0.26R    0.01  
Swindon         16   26   +9      71.97     8.65    16.26     3.56     9.51    44.91    18.53P    0.31R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   26   +8      76.78     8.32    22.16     8.95    21.30    67.35    35.84P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       16   25   +5      67.84     8.42     7.82     1.15     3.67    26.13     8.68P    0.93R    0.04  
Preston         16   23   +6      66.13     8.58     8.94     0.73     2.63    21.00     6.76P    1.79R    0.07  
Yeovil          16   22   +2      60.92     8.56    -1.89     0.16     0.64     7.84     1.84P    6.95R    0.48  
Bournemouth     16   21   -2      63.19     8.51    -0.35     0.27     1.11    11.97     3.35P    4.04R    0.24  
Colchester      16   20   -3      60.29     8.42    -4.09     0.09     0.41     6.25     1.65P    8.00R    0.53  
Crewe           16   20   -5      52.15     8.40   -18.93     0.01     0.05     0.87     0.16P   33.77R    5.06  
Carlisle        16   20   -8      58.21     8.47   -12.80     0.05     0.24     3.98     0.94P   12.89R    1.05  
Walsall         16   19   -6      55.87     8.32   -12.22     0.03     0.10     2.29     0.50P   18.31R    1.94  
Portsmouth      16   18   -2      66.51     8.79     9.07     0.88     3.03    22.85     9.06P    1.96R    0.09  
Oldham          15   17   -1      55.64     8.42    -6.04     0.01     0.06     2.19     0.42P   18.38R    2.00  
Coventry        16   17   -5      59.77     8.66    -2.35     0.09     0.37     6.25     1.86P    9.17R    0.76  
Leyton_Orient   16   16   -8      50.17     8.12   -17.90     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P   41.90R    7.12  
Shrewsbury      16   14   -5      50.08     8.45   -11.95     0.01     0.02     0.50     0.08P   40.98R    7.63  
Scunthorpe      16   13  -13      48.88     8.36   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P   48.50R   10.24  
Bury            16   12  -11      45.27     8.26   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   64.86R   20.07  
Hartlepool      16    8  -15      40.31     7.93   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.91R   42.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Plymouth vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           16   36  +20      89.81     8.36    39.40    62.48    90.91    98.87    93.33P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   31  +17      82.23     8.45    32.44    21.24    68.08    92.36    74.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +5      73.00     8.44     9.28     3.26    23.64    62.36    32.65P    0.04R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       16   27   +8      68.42     8.71     8.42     1.29    11.56    42.56    18.20P    0.28R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +4      64.41     8.53    -0.55     0.38     4.70    24.83     8.23P    0.90R    0.29  
Bradford             16   25   +6      65.80     8.34     5.70     0.48     6.26    30.56    11.71P    0.52R    0.13  
Rotherham            15   25   +6      72.35     8.84    13.26     3.42    22.98    60.20    32.45P    0.09R    0.02  
Torquay              16   24   +4      70.56     8.44    12.10     1.81    16.33    52.69    26.53P    0.11R    0.02  
Rochdale             16   24   +2      71.27     8.84    11.22     2.51    19.19    55.34    29.47P    0.14R    0.03  
York                 16   23   +2      58.88     8.39    -5.70     0.07     1.29     9.43     2.87P    4.00R    1.21  
Exeter               16   23   -1      66.32     8.80     2.08     0.74     7.94    33.22    14.44P    0.65R    0.14  
Southend             16   22   +3      69.88     8.45    13.06     1.59    14.96    50.18    25.75P    0.13R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   15   21   -4      60.64     8.65    -8.54     0.12     2.04    13.52     4.15P    2.99R    0.94  
Northampton          16   20   -1      57.47     8.34    -7.11     0.04     0.76     7.21     2.02P    5.55R    1.80  
Dag_&_Red            16   19   -1      57.76     8.48    -4.82     0.04     0.94     8.16     2.40P    5.34R    1.76  
Chesterfield         16   19   -1      63.63     8.67     4.24     0.32     4.41    23.50     9.81P    1.25R    0.38  
Morecambe            16   19   -3      59.72     8.44    -3.64     0.09     1.39    11.13     3.54P    3.43R    1.10  
Oxford_Utd           16   19   -6      59.27     8.41    -7.38     0.05     1.21    10.17     3.17P    3.80R    1.19  
Plymouth             16   17   -2      55.64     8.28    -5.62     0.01     0.49     4.84     1.50P    7.64R    2.64  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14  -10      50.58     8.49   -19.66     0.00     0.10     1.41     0.36P   22.61R    9.88  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   14  -13      45.08     8.11   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   48.89R   28.51  
Wycombe              15   13  -10      55.79     9.11    -9.81     0.05     0.76     6.36     2.21P    9.97R    4.02  
Barnet               16   13  -12      44.01     8.05   -27.95     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   53.34R   32.60  
Aldershot            16   13  -13      48.92     8.16   -20.23     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.20P   28.34R   13.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, AFC_Telford vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     17   36  +17      81.26     8.36    25.49    10.76    71.36    22.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   32  +14      89.94     8.01    39.78    45.97    94.56    63.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      86.21     8.08    29.83    24.89    87.59    44.99P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            18   30  +11      78.38     8.00    26.52     5.15    60.48    19.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       17   30  +10      77.31     8.35    21.37     4.54    53.38    15.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           17   29   +8      69.34     8.81     8.77     0.85    19.72     3.99P    0.38R    0.03  
Macclesfield       16   27   +3      78.58     8.89    19.50     6.67    58.85    19.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   26   +3      64.82     8.15     3.63     0.12     7.58     1.48P    1.05R    0.10  
Stockport          17   24   +3      63.52     8.35     2.13     0.11     6.26     1.15P    1.68R    0.22  
AFC_Telford        17   23   +5      57.87     8.05    -2.84     0.02     1.46     0.23P    6.35R    0.98  
Woking             18   23   -2      55.64     8.49   -12.86     0.01     1.10     0.15P   12.78R    2.53  
Hereford           17   23   -3      67.95     8.58     4.98     0.45    15.09     3.87P    0.59R    0.08  
Tamworth           18   22   -3      55.50     7.83   -10.73     0.00     0.50     0.08P   10.93R    1.98  
Mansfield          16   22   -5      66.84     8.65     0.57     0.36    12.34     2.71P    0.89R    0.13  
Lincoln_City       17   20   -1      59.52     8.35    -1.62     0.03     2.46     0.46P    4.93R    0.72  
Southport          17   20   -8      54.30     8.24   -17.94     0.00     0.58     0.06P   15.41R    3.38  
Alfreton_Town      16   18   -8      49.87     8.19   -24.10     0.00     0.16     0.03P   32.67R    9.68  
Barrow             17   18  -11      48.72     7.84   -26.52     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.42R   11.35  
Kidderminster      17   17   +1      61.32     8.23     7.99     0.04     3.93     0.93P    2.90R    0.42  
Cambridge_Utd      17   17   -6      58.51     8.35    -3.48     0.02     1.84     0.36P    6.36R    1.06  
Braintree_Town     16   17   -7      53.18     8.42   -15.63     0.00     0.45     0.06P   19.16R    4.89  
Hyde_United        16   16   -7      49.03     8.81   -20.91     0.00     0.21     0.04P   36.74R   12.86  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   15  -10      46.87     8.08   -24.61     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.85R   16.74  
Nuneaton           17   14  -11      43.19     8.22   -29.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.86R   32.85