Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2012, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.31     7.15    55.41    67.34    89.07    97.16    99.28    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      77.01     7.72    37.42    13.65    45.89    76.64    90.57    98.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      77.91     7.65    37.83    16.97    51.65    79.75    92.08    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.18     7.96    14.44     0.27     2.20     8.27    22.11    58.25     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom     10   17   +4      52.84     7.93    -1.40     0.03     0.18     0.99     3.60    17.97     1.08R    0.08  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      60.91     8.13    11.36     0.28     2.02     7.68    21.26    55.58     0.04R    0.01  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.06     8.02    28.89     1.41     8.23    24.99    53.16    82.70     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.62     7.96     6.39     0.03     0.32     1.62     6.20    26.35     0.58R    0.02  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.51     8.05   -10.73     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.87     5.70     6.65R    0.78  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.31     8.04    -1.50     0.01     0.16     1.08     4.33    20.00     1.02R    0.07  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.09     7.75    -9.72     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.35     2.90    10.13R    1.45  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.36     7.95     5.26     0.02     0.24     1.41     5.33    24.78     0.73R    0.06  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.78     7.60   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.04    21.08R    3.75  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.57     7.66   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.49    31.65R    7.24  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.36     7.70    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     2.42    11.65R    1.69  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.09     7.98    -8.83     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.44     3.91     9.00R    1.27  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.50     7.64   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.88    21.56R    4.01  
Reading        9    5   -6      34.60     8.16   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.24    50.19R   17.94  
QPR           10    4  -11      31.07     7.36   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    68.81R   30.47  
Southampton   10    4  -14      31.63     7.99   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    65.78R   31.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Birmingham vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   15   30   +9      72.51     8.66     8.85     6.72    14.78    46.18    20.83P    0.17R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    15   29   +6      75.79     8.74    12.42    12.82    24.93    60.97    33.28P    0.09R    0.01  
Cardiff          15   28   +9      80.00     8.81    23.97    28.23    44.46    78.26    53.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             15   28   +4      72.12     8.53     6.56     5.81    12.91    43.82    19.98P    0.20R    0.01  
Leicester        15   26   +7      75.64     8.72    17.79    12.96    25.27    61.64    34.95P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   24   +3      74.35     9.10    15.12    11.25    22.06    55.12    31.99P    0.16R    0.01  
Huddersfield     15   24   +0      64.02     8.94    -4.03     1.07     2.85    15.26     5.44P    2.90R    0.28  
Brighton         15   23   +8      66.92     8.59    10.32     2.00     5.19    24.40     9.78P    0.93R    0.05  
Derby            15   23   +5      63.41     8.61     1.62     0.79     2.27    13.66     4.65P    2.69R    0.24  
Burnley          15   23   +0      67.08     8.92     1.81     2.27     5.58    24.45     9.72P    1.37R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    15   22   +3      64.61     8.60     3.33     1.06     2.89    16.43     5.92P    2.11R    0.17  
Blackpool        15   21   +3      70.88     8.98    14.58     5.64    12.50    41.39    20.88P    0.51R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    15   21   +1      67.46     9.06     7.02     2.60     6.48    26.98    11.99P    1.26R    0.11  
Millwall         15   20   +2      64.42     8.72     4.61     1.12     2.97    16.63     6.17P    2.44R    0.20  
Leeds_United     15   20   +0      63.63     8.86     1.38     0.89     2.64    14.75     5.45P    3.13R    0.30  
Watford          15   20   -3      59.54     8.71    -8.11     0.28     0.81     6.39     1.88P    7.66R    0.98  
Bolton           15   19   -2      68.05     9.18     8.05     2.97     7.29    29.52    13.98P    1.36R    0.13  
Birmingham       15   19   -5      65.20     8.71     0.45     1.32     3.52    18.31     7.55P    1.79R    0.15  
Charlton         15   17   -3      57.04     9.01    -7.14     0.16     0.50     4.36     1.33P   13.11R    2.16  
Sheff_Wed        15   15   -6      50.37     8.78   -18.30     0.02     0.07     0.77     0.21P   35.82R    9.10  
Barnsley         15   15   -8      47.39     8.26   -24.29     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.05P   49.74R   14.66  
Peterborough     15   12   -6      47.86     8.61   -18.27     0.01     0.01     0.31     0.08P   46.02R   14.41  
Bristol_City     15   11   -7      46.48     8.43   -19.23     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   52.44R   17.75  
Ipswich          15   10  -20      42.06     8.38   -38.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.00R   39.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Hartlepool vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        16   34  +20      80.68     8.40    28.28    19.16    37.60    81.55    47.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   32   +9      85.84     8.26    27.91    40.56    61.50    92.86    71.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       16   32   +6      77.75     8.45    12.88    10.36    23.28    68.59    33.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    16   29   +2      65.00     8.73    -6.35     0.62     1.99    16.26     3.96P    3.02R    0.13  
Notts_County    16   28  +11      76.05     8.63    21.46     7.93    19.37    63.40    30.20P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster       15   27   +6      74.41     9.01    13.38     6.02    14.82    54.47    24.46P    0.22R    0.00  
Swindon         16   26   +9      71.77     8.69    16.03     3.28     9.13    43.68    17.99P    0.38R    0.01  
MK_Dons         16   26   +8      76.57     8.29    21.86     8.57    20.22    66.23    34.59P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       16   25   +5      67.96     8.46     8.00     1.20     3.84    26.13     9.03P    0.94R    0.03  
Preston         16   23   +6      66.12     8.49     8.89     0.67     2.47    20.71     6.54P    1.74R    0.07  
Yeovil          16   22   +2      61.04     8.57    -1.65     0.17     0.55     7.96     1.84P    6.91R    0.47  
Bournemouth     16   21   -2      63.09     8.52    -0.57     0.24     0.94    11.48     3.15P    4.27R    0.25  
Colchester      16   20   -3      60.21     8.36    -4.18     0.07     0.35     6.25     1.56P    7.77R    0.48  
Crewe           16   20   -5      52.18     8.39   -18.86     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.19P   33.56R    4.87  
Carlisle        16   20   -8      57.86     8.52   -13.44     0.06     0.23     3.81     0.85P   13.65R    1.25  
Walsall         16   19   -6      55.90     8.31   -12.14     0.02     0.08     2.16     0.44P   18.31R    2.03  
Portsmouth      16   18   -2      66.66     8.90     9.29     0.96     3.08    23.63     9.52P    2.04R    0.10  
Oldham          15   17   -1      55.48     8.44    -6.24     0.02     0.10     2.29     0.50P   18.83R    2.12  
Coventry        16   17   -5      59.77     8.70    -2.36     0.08     0.38     6.35     1.85P    9.08R    0.76  
Leyton_Orient   16   16   -8      50.07     8.09   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P   42.15R    7.19  
Shrewsbury      16   14   -5      50.23     8.47   -11.70     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.11P   40.16R    7.33  
Scunthorpe      16   13  -13      49.01     8.36   -20.83     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   47.61R    9.89  
Bury            16   12  -11      45.26     8.23   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   64.97R   19.85  
Hartlepool      16    8  -15      40.15     7.95   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.24R   43.17  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Plymouth vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           16   36  +20      89.87     8.32    39.50    62.37    90.95    98.88    93.39P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   31  +17      82.29     8.42    32.53    21.08    68.05    92.69    75.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +5      72.96     8.49     9.28     3.09    23.13    62.10    31.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   27   +8      68.41     8.69     8.41     1.27    11.33    42.29    17.98P    0.29R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +4      64.40     8.55    -0.54     0.37     4.69    24.93     8.28P    1.00R    0.26  
Bradford             16   25   +6      66.00     8.42     5.95     0.54     6.79    31.09    11.91P    0.43R    0.08  
Rotherham            15   25   +6      72.48     8.81    13.54     3.64    23.23    60.66    32.80P    0.08R    0.03  
Torquay              16   24   +4      70.54     8.51    12.04     1.86    16.45    52.31    26.21P    0.11R    0.03  
Rochdale             16   24   +2      71.12     8.87    10.99     2.58    18.90    54.57    29.02P    0.13R    0.02  
York                 16   23   +2      58.82     8.44    -5.77     0.06     1.26     9.69     2.87P    4.05R    1.19  
Exeter               16   23   -1      66.28     8.84     2.03     0.86     7.95    33.07    14.56P    0.60R    0.15  
Southend             16   22   +3      69.68     8.50    12.81     1.46    14.65    49.06    25.49P    0.16R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   15   21   -4      60.58     8.70    -8.63     0.14     2.07    13.46     4.24P    3.11R    0.97  
Northampton          16   20   -1      57.45     8.38    -7.13     0.06     0.83     7.12     2.04P    5.56R    1.86  
Dag_&_Red            16   19   -1      57.74     8.42    -4.85     0.05     0.92     7.88     2.39P    5.22R    1.76  
Chesterfield         16   19   -1      63.81     8.78     4.50     0.36     4.80    24.46    10.48P    1.35R    0.38  
Morecambe            16   19   -3      59.91     8.44    -3.42     0.09     1.42    11.61     3.67P    3.32R    1.08  
Oxford_Utd           16   19   -6      59.43     8.46    -7.15     0.05     1.32    10.57     3.38P    3.72R    1.20  
Plymouth             16   17   -2      55.66     8.32    -5.64     0.02     0.41     4.94     1.46P    7.58R    2.69  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14  -10      50.37     8.49   -19.98     0.01     0.08     1.34     0.32P   23.49R   10.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   14  -13      45.05     8.06   -30.29     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.04P   48.84R   28.57  
Wycombe              15   13  -10      55.63     9.10   -10.12     0.02     0.72     6.25     2.12P   10.05R    3.99  
Barnet               16   13  -12      44.06     7.96   -27.80     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   52.74R   31.99  
Aldershot            16   13  -13      48.93     8.18   -20.28     0.00     0.03     0.71     0.17P   28.16R   13.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, AFC_Telford vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     17   36  +17      81.17     8.45    25.27    10.72    70.83    21.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   32  +14      90.10     8.12    40.24    46.39    94.73    63.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      86.22     8.07    29.85    24.52    87.72    45.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            18   30  +11      78.50     8.01    26.70     5.30    61.07    19.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       17   30  +10      77.25     8.33    21.27     4.45    53.49    14.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           17   29   +8      69.26     8.87     8.66     0.84    19.92     3.96P    0.40R    0.04  
Macclesfield       16   27   +3      78.53     8.89    19.39     6.68    58.79    19.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   26   +3      64.58     8.04     3.25     0.12     7.12     1.33P    1.00R    0.10  
Stockport          17   24   +3      63.52     8.31     2.16     0.10     6.23     1.11P    1.68R    0.25  
AFC_Telford        17   23   +5      57.83     8.04    -2.88     0.00     1.43     0.20P    6.38R    0.93  
Woking             18   23   -2      55.62     8.51   -12.86     0.01     0.96     0.16P   12.86R    2.67  
Hereford           17   23   -3      67.81     8.54     4.76     0.39    14.72     3.73P    0.57R    0.05  
Tamworth           18   22   -3      55.37     7.79   -10.92     0.00     0.53     0.08P   11.04R    2.08  
Mansfield          16   22   -5      66.94     8.66     0.72     0.41    12.72     2.93P    0.84R    0.10  
Lincoln_City       17   20   -1      59.60     8.39    -1.57     0.01     2.58     0.50P    4.94R    0.78  
Southport          17   20   -8      54.39     8.26   -17.77     0.00     0.58     0.09P   15.33R    3.27  
Alfreton_Town      16   18   -8      49.86     8.07   -24.12     0.00     0.10     0.01P   32.59R    9.38  
Barrow             17   18  -11      48.94     7.90   -26.20     0.00     0.07     0.01P   36.15R   10.96  
Kidderminster      17   17   +1      61.45     8.19     8.23     0.04     3.82     1.00P    2.78R    0.36  
Cambridge_Utd      17   17   -6      58.63     8.26    -3.26     0.01     1.89     0.38P    6.27R    1.04  
Braintree_Town     16   17   -7      53.12     8.41   -15.78     0.00     0.46     0.07P   19.34R    4.75  
Hyde_United        16   16   -7      48.84     8.85   -21.22     0.00     0.20     0.03P   37.86R   13.47  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   15  -10      46.88     8.09   -24.64     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.28R   16.86  
Nuneaton           17   14  -11      43.25     8.29   -29.29     0.00     0.02     0.00    63.64R   32.91