Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2012, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.25     7.13    55.44    67.12    88.99    97.25    99.26    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      76.84     7.77    37.17    13.50    45.39    75.66    89.97    98.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      78.00     7.62    37.94    17.43    51.90    79.91    92.19    98.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.33     8.01    14.72     0.26     2.31     8.62    22.81    58.71     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom     10   17   +4      52.69     7.89    -1.65     0.01     0.15     0.97     3.60    17.45     1.19R    0.06  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      60.93     8.10    11.37     0.21     2.02     7.67    20.78    55.60     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.07     7.99    28.91     1.40     8.37    25.07    53.13    82.87     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.46     8.01     6.14     0.02     0.35     1.81     6.11    25.44     0.62R    0.04  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.09     8.06   -11.48     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.72     5.24     7.47R    0.92  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.38     8.11    -1.39     0.02     0.23     1.16     4.56    20.34     1.16R    0.11  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.00     7.70    -9.88     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.29     2.68    10.35R    1.42  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.61     7.93     5.59     0.03     0.26     1.48     5.53    25.56     0.61R    0.04  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.90     7.60   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.03    20.65R    3.77  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.44     7.65   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.49    32.45R    7.52  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.66     7.71    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     2.48    10.84R    1.61  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.27     8.08    -8.56     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.59     4.13     8.90R    1.38  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.29     7.55   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.82    21.80R    4.11  
Reading        9    5   -6      34.88     8.14   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.28    48.94R   16.83  
QPR           10    4  -11      31.00     7.44   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    69.13R   31.22  
Southampton   10    4  -14      31.69     7.98   -35.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    65.79R   30.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Birmingham vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   15   30   +9      72.63     8.72     9.03     6.93    15.05    46.75    21.36P    0.17R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    15   29   +6      75.64     8.76    12.16    12.69    24.48    60.49    32.57P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          15   28   +9      79.69     8.76    23.40    27.00    43.17    77.53    52.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             15   28   +4      72.35     8.60     6.91     6.33    13.77    45.05    20.91P    0.16R    0.01  
Leicester        15   26   +7      75.81     8.73    18.02    13.63    26.00    62.13    35.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn        15   24   +3      74.23     9.16    14.98    11.36    21.84    55.03    31.71P    0.22R    0.02  
Huddersfield     15   24   +0      63.91     8.94    -4.18     1.08     2.89    14.89     5.25P    3.06R    0.29  
Brighton         15   23   +8      66.80     8.53    10.19     1.86     4.83    23.95     9.55P    0.97R    0.07  
Derby            15   23   +5      63.33     8.61     1.54     0.84     2.35    13.51     4.65P    2.86R    0.25  
Burnley          15   23   +0      66.98     8.88     1.63     2.19     5.48    24.17     9.55P    1.45R    0.12  
Nott'm_Forest    15   22   +3      64.63     8.58     3.33     0.97     2.92    16.61     6.00P    2.10R    0.19  
Blackpool        15   21   +3      70.70     8.89    14.36     5.31    12.08    40.20    20.11P    0.52R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    15   21   +1      67.56     9.03     7.13     2.75     6.71    27.26    12.43P    1.16R    0.09  
Millwall         15   20   +2      64.46     8.78     4.67     1.14     3.18    16.91     6.41P    2.37R    0.22  
Leeds_United     15   20   +0      63.65     8.84     1.44     0.92     2.65    14.81     5.36P    3.03R    0.30  
Watford          15   20   -3      59.74     8.77    -7.83     0.31     0.92     6.76     2.13P    7.45R    0.99  
Bolton           15   19   -2      68.06     9.23     8.06     3.24     7.57    29.70    14.09P    1.30R    0.14  
Birmingham       15   19   -5      65.26     8.73     0.53     1.28     3.47    18.50     7.83P    1.88R    0.16  
Charlton         15   17   -3      56.97     9.02    -7.23     0.15     0.54     4.17     1.40P   13.36R    2.19  
Sheff_Wed        15   15   -6      50.54     8.83   -17.94     0.02     0.06     0.78     0.24P   35.11R    9.00  
Barnsley         15   15   -8      47.40     8.22   -24.29     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   49.73R   14.45  
Peterborough     15   12   -6      48.16     8.62   -17.72     0.01     0.02     0.36     0.09P   44.98R   13.39  
Bristol_City     15   11   -7      46.44     8.53   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   52.81R   18.08  
Ipswich          15   10  -20      41.88     8.43   -38.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   75.11R   39.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       16   32   +9      85.60     8.28    27.56    41.58    62.13    92.72    71.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       16   32   +6      77.93     8.45    13.22    11.51    25.28    70.35    35.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.71     8.63    25.82    15.10    31.17    74.94    41.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    16   29   +2      64.74     8.75    -6.68     0.66     2.04    16.11     3.91P    3.37R    0.16  
Notts_County    16   28  +11      76.10     8.62    21.54     8.75    20.91    64.45    31.46P    0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster       15   27   +6      74.13     9.12    12.93     6.47    15.40    53.94    24.75P    0.26R    0.01  
Swindon         16   26   +9      71.93     8.62    16.18     3.77    10.04    45.18    19.16P    0.32R    0.01  
Brentford       16   25   +5      68.06     8.39     8.09     1.20     3.98    27.84     9.53P    0.95R    0.02  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.62     8.59    21.89     8.35    19.59    62.97    33.34P    0.10R    0.01  
Preston         16   23   +6      66.11     8.57     8.86     0.84     2.86    21.53     7.17P    1.85R    0.08  
Yeovil          16   22   +2      60.98     8.58    -1.78     0.17     0.67     8.40     2.09P    7.28R    0.59  
Bournemouth     16   21   -2      62.98     8.58    -0.67     0.30     1.06    12.15     3.34P    4.79R    0.34  
Colchester      16   20   -3      60.32     8.39    -4.08     0.10     0.44     6.74     1.72P    8.12R    0.62  
Crewe           16   20   -5      52.16     8.43   -18.94     0.01     0.03     0.97     0.15P   34.67R    6.00  
Carlisle        16   20   -8      58.05     8.52   -13.10     0.07     0.30     4.15     0.98P   14.11R    1.37  
Walsall         16   19   -6      56.01     8.35   -11.97     0.02     0.11     2.42     0.56P   18.74R    2.11  
Portsmouth      16   18   -2      66.70     8.79     9.33     0.95     3.34    23.99     9.47P    2.11R    0.11  
Oldham          15   17   -1      55.46     8.39    -6.25     0.02     0.09     2.40     0.50P   19.63R    2.24  
Coventry        16   17   -5      59.84     8.73    -2.28     0.13     0.51     7.13     2.24P    9.52R    0.87  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      50.93     8.31   -17.87     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.12P   39.45R    7.24  
Shrewsbury      16   14   -5      50.21     8.47   -11.78     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.11P   41.46R    8.34  
Scunthorpe      16   13  -13      49.07     8.32   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P   48.24R   10.98  
Bury            16   12  -11      45.25     8.28   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   65.89R   22.04  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.82     8.21   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.99R   36.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           16   36  +20      90.01     8.38    39.73    63.34    91.04    98.89    93.48P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   31  +17      82.22     8.45    32.39    20.84    68.39    92.51    75.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +5      73.13     8.45     9.53     3.28    24.03    63.24    33.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       16   27   +8      68.16     8.71     8.04     1.24    11.16    41.51    17.51P    0.26R    0.06  
Bradford             16   25   +6      65.93     8.38     5.91     0.52     6.58    31.45    11.88P    0.48R    0.09  
Rotherham            15   25   +6      72.48     8.71    13.43     3.43    23.24    61.38    32.97P    0.09R    0.02  
Torquay              16   24   +4      70.46     8.45    11.97     1.78    16.31    52.51    26.19P    0.11R    0.03  
Rochdale             16   24   +2      70.99     8.80    10.75     2.19    18.73    54.60    29.01P    0.17R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.23     8.74    -2.41     0.21     3.12    18.70     5.77P    2.14R    0.59  
York                 16   23   +2      58.85     8.41    -5.73     0.07     1.29     9.69     2.91P    3.86R    1.26  
Exeter               16   23   -1      66.20     8.85     1.92     0.77     7.96    32.81    14.67P    0.64R    0.18  
Southend             16   22   +3      69.88     8.52    13.08     1.48    15.20    50.47    26.21P    0.17R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   15   21   -4      60.69     8.62    -8.43     0.17     2.02    13.78     4.28P    2.97R    0.92  
Northampton          16   20   -1      57.57     8.36    -6.94     0.04     0.75     7.55     2.02P    5.48R    1.85  
Dag_&_Red            16   19   -1      57.69     8.43    -4.91     0.06     0.93     7.95     2.30P    5.25R    1.87  
Chesterfield         16   19   -1      63.47     8.84     3.99     0.34     4.56    23.43     9.95P    1.51R    0.46  
Morecambe            16   19   -3      59.60     8.44    -3.82     0.07     1.43    11.14     3.64P    3.49R    1.12  
Oxford_Utd           16   19   -6      59.33     8.45    -7.30     0.07     1.32    10.40     3.39P    3.72R    1.23  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      58.01     8.62    -3.22     0.06     1.05     9.00     2.79P    5.25R    1.73  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14  -10      50.45     8.48   -19.78     0.00     0.09     1.45     0.35P   23.60R   10.52  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   14  -13      45.21     8.06   -30.07     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   48.19R   28.06  
Wycombe              15   13  -10      55.73     9.18   -10.02     0.04     0.74     6.47     2.26P   10.18R    4.11  
Barnet               16   13  -12      44.04     7.97   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   53.57R   32.49  
Aldershot            16   13  -13      48.93     8.16   -20.21     0.00     0.04     0.69     0.16P   28.84R   13.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, AFC_Telford vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     17   36  +17      81.16     8.42    25.29    10.84    70.76    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            16   32  +14      89.96     8.06    39.96    46.16    94.70    63.47P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      86.14     8.08    29.65    24.54    87.35    44.74P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            18   30  +11      78.47     8.00    26.67     5.34    60.90    19.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       17   30  +10      77.28     8.35    21.35     4.49    53.81    14.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           17   29   +8      69.36     8.78     8.86     0.81    19.87     4.02P    0.33R    0.02  
Macclesfield       16   27   +3      78.62     8.81    19.51     6.68    58.79    19.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   26   +3      64.66     8.09     3.36     0.12     7.42     1.37P    0.96R    0.11  
Stockport          17   24   +3      63.64     8.28     2.41     0.08     6.15     1.07P    1.66R    0.20  
AFC_Telford        17   23   +5      57.92     7.99    -2.67     0.01     1.45     0.20P    5.98R    0.94  
Woking             18   23   -2      55.49     8.51   -13.14     0.01     0.99     0.15P   13.20R    2.71  
Hereford           17   23   -3      67.88     8.52     4.88     0.44    14.93     3.85P    0.60R    0.06  
Tamworth           18   22   -3      55.32     7.78   -10.99     0.00     0.53     0.08P   11.25R    1.94  
Mansfield          16   22   -5      66.94     8.68     0.71     0.38    12.63     2.90P    0.89R    0.12  
Lincoln_City       17   20   -1      59.45     8.32    -1.78     0.01     2.47     0.44P    4.94R    0.74  
Southport          17   20   -8      54.37     8.22   -17.79     0.00     0.57     0.08P   15.64R    3.33  
Alfreton_Town      16   18   -8      50.05     8.20   -23.84     0.00     0.14     0.02P   31.76R    9.34  
Barrow             17   18  -11      48.88     7.92   -26.26     0.00     0.07     0.01P   36.59R   11.04  
Kidderminster      17   17   +1      61.43     8.26     8.18     0.05     4.04     1.01P    2.81R    0.36  
Cambridge_Utd      17   17   -6      58.61     8.32    -3.38     0.02     1.82     0.39P    6.43R    1.15  
Braintree_Town     16   17   -7      52.98     8.40   -15.94     0.00     0.40     0.07P   19.95R    5.13  
Hyde_United        16   16   -7      48.84     8.66   -21.27     0.00     0.15     0.02P   37.52R   12.99  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   15  -10      46.97     8.12   -24.46     0.00     0.04     0.01P   45.47R   16.31  
Nuneaton           17   14  -11      43.18     8.29   -29.33     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.00R   33.51