Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2012, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.40     7.09    55.69    67.19    89.39    97.44    99.39    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      76.81     7.79    37.09    13.13    44.59    75.87    89.85    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      78.13     7.64    38.16    17.81    52.98    80.56    92.49    98.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.11     7.91    14.41     0.24     2.05     7.95    21.99    58.03     0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom     10   17   +4      52.54     7.96    -1.93     0.02     0.14     0.90     3.51    17.38     1.18R    0.08  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      61.00     8.09    11.48     0.22     1.91     7.83    21.51    56.30     0.06R    0.01  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.01     8.05    28.83     1.34     8.14    24.69    52.92    82.49     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.51     8.02     6.21     0.03     0.34     1.76     6.25    25.81     0.61R    0.03  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.40     8.03   -10.94     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.84     5.62     6.70R    0.87  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.45     8.00    -1.34     0.01     0.17     1.17     4.38    20.58     1.01R    0.10  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.13     7.72    -9.67     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.34     2.96    10.09R    1.36  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.47     7.96     5.33     0.02     0.26     1.51     5.53    25.45     0.66R    0.05  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.62     7.58   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.96    21.71R    3.92  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.44     7.63   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.44    32.55R    7.63  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.46     7.68    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     2.32    11.35R    1.64  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.15     8.02    -8.77     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.55     3.96     8.95R    1.33  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.44     7.57   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.81    21.67R    4.07  
Reading        9    5   -6      34.83     8.05   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24    49.46R   16.75  
QPR           10    4  -11      31.09     7.36   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    68.78R   31.19  
Southampton   10    4  -14      31.78     8.02   -35.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    65.16R   30.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2012, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   28  +10      81.72     9.17    25.24    34.21    51.24    82.81    60.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    14   28   +6      75.82     8.96    11.88    12.20    24.76    61.48    32.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   14   27   +4      69.32     8.87     1.56     3.13     8.07    32.79    12.78P    0.77R    0.06  
Leicester        14   25   +7      75.77     9.03    17.34    12.81    25.83    62.81    35.69P    0.13R    0.00  
Hull             14   25   +3      70.45     8.87     5.55     4.30    10.13    38.23    16.58P    0.51R    0.04  
Blackburn        14   23   +3      74.83     9.45    15.22    11.83    23.42    58.36    33.87P    0.28R    0.02  
Huddersfield     14   23   +0      64.03     9.18    -4.58     1.10     3.13    16.42     5.83P    3.78R    0.51  
Nott'm_Forest    14   21   +3      65.18     8.86     3.45     1.28     3.63    19.67     7.17P    2.39R    0.29  
Wolverhampton    14   21   +2      69.32     9.36     8.75     3.88     9.60    35.42    16.66P    1.04R    0.12  
Brighton         14   20   +7      65.68     8.78     9.87     1.37     3.96    21.59     8.19P    1.97R    0.20  
Derby            14   20   +3      61.73     8.89    -0.45     0.56     1.63    11.03     3.60P    5.57R    0.75  
Leeds_United     14   20   +1      65.20     9.18     2.61     1.42     4.01    20.34     7.70P    2.99R    0.37  
Burnley          14   20   -1      65.44     9.29     0.65     1.53     4.24    20.98     7.95P    3.09R    0.43  
Millwall         14   19   +2      64.79     9.09     4.54     1.30     3.68    19.31     7.45P    3.05R    0.37  
Watford          14   19   -3      60.11     9.00    -8.01     0.36     1.06     8.17     2.50P    8.40R    1.32  
Blackpool        14   18   +1      68.85     9.29    11.89     3.70     8.89    34.21    16.07P    1.30R    0.16  
Bolton           14   18   -2      68.84     9.61     8.69     3.91     9.49    34.08    16.73P    1.67R    0.19  
Birmingham       14   16   -7      63.88     9.03    -1.13     0.95     2.70    16.24     6.51P    3.79R    0.47  
Sheff_Wed        14   15   -4      52.45     9.18   -15.30     0.06     0.18     1.72     0.51P   30.72R    8.73  
Barnsley         14   15   -6      48.90     8.57   -22.14     0.01     0.03     0.50     0.13P   45.89R   14.57  
Charlton         14   14   -4      54.41     9.14    -9.30     0.08     0.24     2.74     0.80P   22.69R    5.34  
Peterborough     14   12   -5      49.09     8.89   -17.58     0.01     0.04     0.62     0.15P   43.79R   15.05  
Bristol_City     14   11   -5      47.69     8.70   -17.51     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.09P   50.05R   18.49  
Ipswich          14   10  -15      44.57     8.74   -31.25     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   65.99R   32.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.52     8.64    25.55    13.47    29.30    73.09    39.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.69     8.54    28.77    45.21    65.38    93.21    74.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.92     8.96    -3.38     1.17     3.45    22.49     6.31P    1.75R    0.05  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.53     8.63    10.07     6.75    16.46    58.56    25.91P    0.08R    0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.25     9.12    18.99    12.75    27.85    70.31    38.81P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.55     8.85    18.13     4.96    13.38    51.38    22.69P    0.19R    0.00  
Swindon         15   25   +9      72.01     8.92    15.82     3.96    10.57    44.28    19.09P    0.32R    0.02  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.43     8.54    21.63     7.13    18.03    60.91    31.83P    0.10R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.13     8.85     9.87     1.12     3.67    24.99     8.51P    1.48R    0.05  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      62.85     8.79     1.01     0.33     1.27    12.26     3.26P    4.31R    0.22  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.42     8.63     5.56     0.63     2.26    18.50     6.14P    2.01R    0.07  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.45     8.64    -1.01     0.27     0.97    10.74     2.93P    4.63R    0.24  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.81     8.58    -6.80     0.06     0.31     4.95     1.14P   10.15R    0.81  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.80     8.67   -14.21     0.08     0.26     3.92     0.88P   13.27R    1.11  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.72     9.02    11.37     1.79     5.48    31.02    13.22P    1.17R    0.05  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.50     8.73    -1.46     0.19     0.79     9.11     2.59P    6.03R    0.39  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.53     8.70    -4.27     0.07     0.25     4.02     0.96P   12.85R    1.14  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.32     8.45   -24.72     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   49.84R   10.65  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      51.07     8.29   -17.79     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.09P   35.82R    5.37  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.91     8.77   -10.28     0.01     0.03     1.11     0.26P   31.52R    4.68  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.46     8.96    -5.35     0.06     0.27     4.11     1.35P   13.85R    1.46  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.60     8.36   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   62.06R   17.40  
Bury            15    9  -12      43.12     8.35   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   71.59R   25.87  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.87     8.20   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.90R   30.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.53     8.62    41.73    64.58    92.08    99.13    94.15P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      83.22     8.71    33.38    20.84    69.54    92.94    76.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.61     8.71     8.12     2.73    21.15    59.70    29.84P    0.07R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.79     8.91     8.35     1.18    11.83    43.51    18.75P    0.30R    0.08  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.50     8.65     6.11     0.52     7.28    33.22    12.97P    0.49R    0.10  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.64     9.02    13.12     3.08    22.86    60.29    32.57P    0.09R    0.01  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.04     8.74    14.83     2.76    23.58    62.77    34.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.04     8.68    -2.75     0.14     2.57    17.24     5.11P    2.01R    0.53  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      70.79     9.06     9.96     1.99    16.96    52.27    26.89P    0.20R    0.04  
York                 15   22   +2      59.35     8.75    -5.68     0.09     1.55    10.92     3.32P    4.04R    1.20  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.73     9.08     0.08     0.44     5.81    26.98    11.34P    1.23R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.57     8.84    -9.43     0.12     1.92    13.28     4.20P    3.29R    0.97  
Southend             15   19   +2      68.08     8.69    11.78     0.84    10.45    41.41    20.15P    0.34R    0.08  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.70     8.52    -7.46     0.02     0.84     7.67     2.14P    5.53R    1.61  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.49     8.67    -5.13     0.15     2.33    15.46     5.30P    2.39R    0.63  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      64.00     9.07     4.23     0.35     4.83    25.24    10.55P    1.38R    0.32  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.60     8.70    -3.04     0.06     1.82    13.68     4.46P    2.97R    0.89  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.96     8.58    -3.36     0.03     0.95     8.34     2.62P    4.92R    1.44  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.03     8.52    -7.48     0.01     0.36     4.57     1.18P    9.63R    3.48  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.20     8.76   -18.11     0.00     0.23     2.42     0.65P   17.69R    7.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.58     8.29   -28.24     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P   40.76R   20.83  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.37     9.45    -9.72     0.05     1.01     7.54     2.76P    9.65R    3.63  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.23     8.44   -20.61     0.00     0.03     0.91     0.18P   27.87R   11.97  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.50     8.19   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   65.11R   44.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2012, Gateshead vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.22     8.55    19.17     6.62    59.25    15.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.37     8.30    32.14    36.56    91.98    54.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            17   30  +12      80.86     8.23    29.05    10.24    72.56    26.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.87     8.43    35.82    35.09    91.32    54.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.26     9.13    10.63     1.70    28.74     6.27P    0.30R    0.02  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.19     8.56    19.69     3.27    45.71    12.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.66     9.11    16.93     5.02    51.89    16.24P    0.07R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   23   +1      63.34     8.22     1.83     0.13     6.13     1.19P    1.72R    0.17  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.95     8.28    -1.55     0.02     2.42     0.39P    5.64R    0.73  
Tamworth           17   22   -1      56.52     8.01    -9.26     0.00     1.05     0.15P    9.37R    1.50  
Woking             17   22   -2      55.55     8.78   -13.59     0.02     1.37     0.21P   14.02R    2.86  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.77     8.53    -0.01     0.09     5.04     0.85P    3.19R    0.43  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      67.98     8.89     1.85     0.71    16.91     4.13P    0.84R    0.09  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.41     8.82     2.54     0.36    10.88     2.80P    1.47R    0.17  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.28     8.48   -13.71     0.01     1.26     0.18P   11.48R    2.10  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.76     8.45   -21.06     0.00     0.33     0.03P   25.63R    6.16  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.55     8.22   -23.62     0.00     0.21     0.02P   30.03R    7.59  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      60.97     8.55     2.31     0.03     4.35     0.90P    3.81R    0.50  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      57.12     8.47    -5.94     0.01     1.54     0.29P    9.18R    1.53  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.11     8.72   -11.54     0.01     1.10     0.15P   14.57R    3.00  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.13     8.54     8.69     0.09     5.73     1.45P    2.78R    0.35  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.78     8.23   -25.15     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.19R   16.40  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.92     8.94   -23.91     0.00     0.15     0.02P   51.52R   21.13  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.51     8.56   -31.32     0.00     0.02     0.00P   67.16R   35.27