Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2012, Liverpool vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.39     7.14    55.68    67.42    89.14    97.17    99.30    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      76.92     7.77    37.28    13.48    45.44    76.17    90.25    98.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      77.99     7.66    37.96    17.04    51.69    79.79    92.04    98.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.21     7.97    14.56     0.27     2.22     8.27    21.80    58.36     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      60.94     8.16    11.38     0.27     2.05     7.88    21.30    55.88     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.28     7.93    29.13     1.45     8.45    25.11    54.22    83.71     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.44     8.00     6.08     0.03     0.35     1.64     5.85    25.76     0.61R    0.04  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.26     8.01   -11.15     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.74     5.33     7.20R    0.92  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.40     8.21    -3.25     0.01     0.12     0.73     2.86    14.92     2.30R    0.21  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.58     8.10    -1.11     0.01     0.24     1.35     4.69    21.15     1.10R    0.08  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.06     7.80    -9.81     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.36     3.11    10.59R    1.56  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.54     7.99     5.49     0.01     0.27     1.47     5.57    25.93     0.75R    0.05  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.47     7.61   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.93    22.47R    4.51  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.47     7.70   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.55    32.95R    7.84  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.34     7.70    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     2.27    11.88R    1.92  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.18     8.03    -8.66     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.56     4.06     9.15R    1.44  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.33     7.60   -17.87     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.07     0.85    22.39R    4.46  
Reading        9    5   -6      34.88     8.19   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    49.43R   17.92  
QPR           10    4  -11      31.00     7.35   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    69.78R   32.43  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.02     8.29   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    59.30R   26.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2012, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   28  +10      81.74     8.95    25.23    33.30    51.12    83.58    60.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    14   28   +6      75.74     9.10    11.73    12.31    24.70    61.00    32.68P    0.14R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   27   +4      69.42     8.87     1.69     3.26     8.20    33.03    12.82P    0.77R    0.05  
Leicester        14   25   +7      75.82     9.05    17.43    13.14    25.64    62.82    35.57P    0.13R    0.01  
Hull             14   25   +3      70.41     8.81     5.50     4.04     9.87    37.50    16.42P    0.46R    0.04  
Blackburn        14   23   +3      75.05     9.42    15.59    12.18    24.10    59.11    34.60P    0.23R    0.02  
Huddersfield     14   23   +0      64.26     9.14    -4.19     1.15     3.22    17.05     5.87P    3.45R    0.39  
Nott'm_Forest    14   21   +3      65.38     8.94     3.78     1.36     3.81    20.26     7.59P    2.30R    0.28  
Wolverhampton    14   21   +2      69.17     9.44     8.54     3.91     9.39    34.63    16.33P    1.13R    0.08  
Brighton         14   20   +7      65.69     8.77     9.90     1.46     4.10    21.41     8.43P    1.85R    0.18  
Derby            14   20   +3      61.69     8.90    -0.59     0.56     1.66    10.99     3.56P    5.47R    0.75  
Leeds_United     14   20   +1      65.28     9.17     2.66     1.52     4.14    20.61     7.78P    2.78R    0.31  
Burnley          14   20   -1      65.41     9.17     0.64     1.58     4.11    20.61     7.71P    2.70R    0.36  
Millwall         14   19   +2      64.46     9.02     3.96     1.23     3.30    17.90     6.65P    3.25R    0.38  
Watford          14   19   -3      60.28     9.05    -7.78     0.36     1.12     8.43     2.61P    8.41R    1.28  
Blackpool        14   18   +1      68.84     9.29    11.86     3.50     8.79    33.85    15.95P    1.30R    0.14  
Bolton           14   18   -2      68.87     9.60     8.75     3.98     9.26    34.34    16.45P    1.62R    0.20  
Birmingham       14   16   -7      64.16     9.09    -0.70     0.99     2.96    16.98     7.09P    3.53R    0.44  
Sheff_Wed        14   15   -4      52.61     9.22   -14.97     0.05     0.18     1.85     0.50P   29.86R    8.05  
Barnsley         14   15   -6      48.78     8.54   -22.27     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.10P   46.07R   14.63  
Charlton         14   14   -4      54.13     9.15    -9.71     0.08     0.25     2.49     0.75P   23.53R    5.69  
Peterborough     14   12   -5      49.06     8.93   -17.57     0.01     0.05     0.63     0.16P   43.67R   15.03  
Bristol_City     14   11   -5      47.51     8.73   -17.80     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   50.74R   18.59  
Ipswich          14   10  -15      44.32     8.73   -31.68     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   66.59R   33.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.51     8.70    25.53    13.38    29.18    73.10    39.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.62     8.52    28.70    44.66    64.91    93.13    74.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.77     8.93    -3.61     1.12     3.36    21.91     6.19P    1.80R    0.05  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.44     8.68     9.93     6.77    16.60    57.75    26.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.39     9.30    19.20    13.17    28.44    70.13    38.99P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.55     8.84    18.16     4.92    13.11    51.90    22.39P    0.21R    0.01  
Swindon         15   25   +9      72.14     8.84    15.99     4.05    10.51    44.94    19.26P    0.26R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.43     8.53    21.64     7.15    17.87    60.72    31.41P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.22     8.80     9.90     1.07     3.63    24.73     8.26P    1.43R    0.04  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      63.11     8.77     1.40     0.35     1.29    12.61     3.33P    3.92R    0.20  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.36     8.59     5.48     0.66     2.26    18.20     5.94P    1.95R    0.06  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.54     8.61    -0.85     0.20     0.99    10.76     3.11P    4.52R    0.24  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.72     8.56    -6.84     0.07     0.30     4.79     1.10P   10.09R    0.72  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.74     8.77   -14.40     0.08     0.33     4.05     1.01P   13.71R    1.18  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.90     9.10    11.60     1.97     5.78    32.00    13.89P    1.10R    0.06  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.62     8.76    -1.28     0.25     0.85     9.29     2.59P    5.84R    0.40  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.38     8.61    -4.45     0.05     0.24     3.70     0.92P   12.99R    1.13  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.16     8.46   -24.92     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   50.54R   10.81  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      50.93     8.31   -18.03     0.01     0.02     0.62     0.14P   36.54R    5.57  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.89     8.81   -10.32     0.00     0.04     1.06     0.23P   31.71R    4.95  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.51     8.85    -5.28     0.08     0.29     4.16     1.32P   13.36R    1.22  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.85     8.42   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   60.63R   16.67  
Bury            15    9  -12      42.96     8.38   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   71.94R   26.48  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.81     8.23   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   77.20R   30.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.36     8.61    41.46    64.69    91.85    99.04    94.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      82.98     8.68    33.07    20.16    68.46    92.67    75.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.64     8.77     8.16     2.75    21.62    59.58    30.26P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.87     9.05     8.44     1.37    12.17    43.75    19.19P    0.32R    0.05  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.61     8.67     6.21     0.56     7.43    33.72    13.05P    0.50R    0.08  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.69     8.97    13.19     3.10    22.74    60.80    32.25P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              15   24   +5      72.90     8.72    14.61     2.72    22.77    62.22    33.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.24     8.72    -2.43     0.16     2.92    17.66     5.51P    1.95R    0.53  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      71.17     9.16    10.46     2.22    18.45    53.63    28.62P    0.18R    0.06  
York                 15   22   +2      59.36     8.73    -5.66     0.11     1.52    10.94     3.27P    3.90R    1.16  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.87     9.07     0.35     0.50     5.92    27.43    11.63P    1.17R    0.31  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.70     8.87    -9.18     0.15     2.09    13.85     4.35P    3.28R    0.99  
Southend             15   19   +2      67.86     8.65    11.48     0.80    10.04    39.96    19.32P    0.31R    0.06  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.60     8.60    -7.61     0.03     0.81     7.62     2.07P    5.75R    1.85  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.57     8.70    -5.00     0.15     2.27    15.72     5.20P    2.41R    0.73  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.71     9.06     3.76     0.34     4.73    23.94    10.10P    1.46R    0.41  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.61     8.71    -2.98     0.10     1.72    13.58     4.33P    3.08R    0.93  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.98     8.58    -3.28     0.03     0.93     8.49     2.60P    4.83R    1.55  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.02     8.58    -7.53     0.02     0.42     4.52     1.22P    9.71R    3.52  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.23     8.73   -18.06     0.01     0.17     2.35     0.59P   17.67R    7.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.46     8.36   -28.46     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.11P   41.65R   21.44  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.22     9.36    -9.95     0.04     0.90     7.25     2.50P    9.73R    3.58  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.24     8.32   -20.54     0.00     0.04     0.80     0.19P   27.13R   11.97  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.60     8.14   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   64.75R   43.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2012, Gateshead vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.17     8.57    19.05     6.16    58.30    15.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.37     8.27    32.10    36.57    91.90    54.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            17   30  +12      80.84     8.17    29.05    10.03    72.74    26.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.88     8.34    35.90    35.11    91.58    54.89P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.49     9.18    10.98     1.76    29.61     6.63P    0.32R    0.02  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.31     8.62    19.85     3.46    45.96    12.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.94     9.14    17.38     5.55    52.75    17.16P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          17   23   +1      63.19     8.27     1.62     0.10     6.04     1.18P    2.01R    0.22  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.79     8.31    -1.82     0.03     2.29     0.32P    5.97R    0.84  
Tamworth           17   22   -1      56.41     8.01    -9.40     0.01     0.98     0.16P    9.72R    1.54  
Woking             17   22   -2      55.31     8.69   -14.04     0.02     1.19     0.18P   14.47R    2.91  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.82     8.52     0.05     0.07     4.98     0.89P    3.18R    0.46  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      67.81     8.86     1.51     0.64    16.49     3.91P    0.82R    0.08  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.61     8.74     2.85     0.33    10.99     2.84P    1.22R    0.14  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.18     8.49   -13.85     0.01     1.26     0.14P   11.55R    2.00  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.63     8.44   -21.26     0.00     0.31     0.05P   26.22R    6.58  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.48     8.16   -23.73     0.00     0.20     0.02P   30.09R    7.65  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      60.90     8.54     2.22     0.04     4.08     0.84P    4.03R    0.58  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      56.93     8.55    -6.18     0.01     1.44     0.26P    9.66R    1.73  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.25     8.70   -11.36     0.01     1.07     0.16P   14.10R    3.06  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.15     8.52     8.74     0.10     5.63     1.43P    2.72R    0.31  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.96     8.29   -24.88     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.43R   16.09  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.94     9.02   -23.90     0.00     0.11     0.02P   51.17R   21.72  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.75     8.58   -30.89     0.00     0.04     0.01P   66.23R   34.06