Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2012, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        9   22  +12      78.26     8.06    39.22    16.95    46.44    75.30    89.61    98.11     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        9   21  +11      85.52     7.35    56.64    57.30    83.23    94.75    98.49    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       9   21   +9      79.72     7.85    41.12    22.63    54.74    80.88    92.43    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      9   17   +4      64.36     8.38    15.87     0.74     3.93    12.24    30.17    67.50     0.01R    0.00  
Everton        9   16   +6      61.43     8.17    14.34     0.30     1.85     7.01    18.85    54.53     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal        9   15   +8      68.20     8.16    29.70     1.99     8.90    24.82    51.57    82.92     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         9   14   +5      54.63     8.22     5.79     0.03     0.30     1.48     5.21    23.61     0.47R    0.03  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.43     8.24    -3.33     0.02     0.10     0.58     2.24    12.60     1.74R    0.17  
West_Ham       9   14   +2      45.47     8.30   -13.91     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.53     4.08     7.69R    1.08  
Newcastle      9   13   -2      53.26     8.34    -2.31     0.02     0.16     0.91     3.48    17.92     1.06R    0.09  
Swansea        9   11   +1      43.80     7.95   -11.09     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.29     2.30    10.01R    1.45  
Liverpool      9   10   -2      55.65     8.18     6.64     0.02     0.29     1.59     5.75    26.59     0.52R    0.04  
Stoke          9    9   -1      45.44     8.03    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.39     3.54     7.08R    1.00  
Sunderland     8    9   -2      47.77     8.29    -5.98     0.00     0.03     0.21     0.92     6.46     4.66R    0.64  
Wigan          9    8   -6      37.21     7.70   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    33.96R    8.97  
Norwich        9    7  -11      36.38     7.91   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    39.23R   11.89  
Aston_Villa    9    6   -7      37.81     7.75   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.28    30.17R    7.34  
Reading        8    4   -6      34.98     8.47   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    45.51R   16.91  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.07     8.27   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    55.40R   23.54  
QPR            9    3  -11      31.60     7.66   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.43R   26.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   28  +11      83.51     9.13    26.89    35.72    54.85    86.82    63.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        13   25   +8      78.03     9.26    19.80    15.73    30.82    70.15    41.06P    0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   25   +3      72.25     9.21     5.91     5.02    12.52    44.96    19.52P    0.42R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   13   24   +2      66.68     9.07    -1.99     1.45     4.20    22.84     7.58P    1.78R    0.17  
Blackburn        13   23   +5      78.16     9.68    20.39    17.62    32.58    69.90    43.68P    0.09R    0.01  
Hull             13   22   +2      69.30     8.92     5.21     2.62     6.94    32.56    12.86P    0.72R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    13   21   +6      68.47     9.01     9.46     2.32     6.31    30.65    11.80P    0.91R    0.08  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +4      71.92     9.58    12.60     5.44    13.12    45.34    21.96P    0.56R    0.05  
Huddersfield     13   20   -1      62.63     9.50    -5.32     0.63     2.07    13.38     4.25P    5.41R    0.67  
Brighton         13   19   +7      66.04     9.06     9.94     1.35     3.88    22.39     8.27P    1.80R    0.17  
Leeds_United     13   19   +1      65.63     9.39     2.75     1.32     3.86    21.52     7.59P    2.48R    0.28  
Blackpool        13   18   +4      71.74     9.46    17.41     5.42    13.19    45.50    22.52P    0.59R    0.05  
Derby            13   17   +0      58.34     9.05    -6.15     0.18     0.59     5.78     1.61P   10.91R    1.66  
Burnley          13   17   -3      62.41     9.35    -3.69     0.62     1.94    13.03     4.36P    5.55R    0.76  
Millwall         13   16   -1      60.70     9.27    -2.32     0.36     1.28     9.49     3.16P    7.28R    1.10  
Watford          13   16   -4      57.79     9.26   -10.17     0.14     0.56     5.40     1.48P   12.89R    2.28  
Birmingham       13   16   -6      67.19     9.32     2.95     1.75     5.11    26.18    11.03P    1.71R    0.17  
Bolton           13   15   -3      66.25     9.83     6.13     2.06     5.33    24.82    10.94P    2.81R    0.40  
Barnsley         13   15   -5      50.17     8.77   -21.30     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.13P   38.44R   10.05  
Charlton         13   14   -1      57.72     9.38    -3.16     0.19     0.62     5.68     1.83P   12.65R    2.32  
Peterborough     13   12   -4      50.66     9.17   -16.21     0.01     0.06     1.12     0.29P   36.15R   10.27  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -5      50.37     9.48   -17.01     0.02     0.10     1.13     0.28P   37.89R   11.43  
Bristol_City     13   11   -4      48.83     9.02   -17.04     0.01     0.03     0.60     0.12P   43.42R   13.94  
Ipswich          13    7  -16      41.47     8.89   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   75.45R   44.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.62     8.65    25.72    13.81    29.66    73.41    40.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.61     8.55    28.67    44.85    65.06    93.22    74.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.75     8.88    -3.62     1.09     3.41    21.60     6.15P    1.70R    0.06  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.26     8.64     9.68     6.33    16.11    57.16    25.49P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.21     9.22    18.95    12.78    27.49    69.80    38.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.45     8.85    17.99     4.90    12.93    50.93    22.16P    0.20R    0.00  
Swindon         15   25   +9      72.09     8.93    15.91     4.07    10.83    44.84    19.58P    0.32R    0.01  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.56     8.58    21.80     7.53    18.27    61.31    31.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.31     8.78    10.10     1.10     3.74    25.26     8.47P    1.27R    0.05  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      63.00     8.78     1.30     0.32     1.32    12.52     3.35P    3.98R    0.19  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.47     8.65     5.62     0.75     2.42    18.74     6.23P    1.96R    0.09  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.49     8.70    -0.95     0.26     1.04    10.76     2.94P    4.79R    0.29  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.87     8.53    -6.72     0.07     0.36     5.01     1.24P    9.86R    0.66  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.61     8.73   -14.53     0.07     0.25     3.92     0.94P   13.99R    1.24  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.89     9.07    11.66     1.75     5.69    31.89    13.89P    1.15R    0.06  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.69     8.79    -1.24     0.21     0.85     9.48     2.66P    5.97R    0.39  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.61     8.66    -4.21     0.04     0.26     3.86     0.93P   12.63R    1.01  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.28     8.47   -24.73     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P   49.95R   10.56  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      51.24     8.26   -17.55     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.11P   34.70R    5.11  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.73     8.74   -10.53     0.00     0.03     0.98     0.22P   32.23R    4.98  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.49     8.94    -5.37     0.06     0.26     4.25     1.30P   13.67R    1.40  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.69     8.38   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   61.80R   16.80  
Bury            15    9  -12      42.82     8.43   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   72.57R   27.15  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.86     8.23   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    77.00R   29.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.34     8.60    41.47    64.87    91.86    98.89    94.05P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      82.86     8.72    32.89    19.92    67.95    92.42    75.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.91     8.70     8.55     3.06    22.21    60.66    31.04P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.80     8.94     8.38     1.33    11.96    43.06    18.79P    0.30R    0.06  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.51     8.67     6.09     0.53     7.29    33.05    12.79P    0.49R    0.09  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.91     9.04    13.58     3.36    23.68    61.42    33.04P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.11     8.62    14.89     2.64    23.40    63.23    34.52P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.06     8.72    -2.74     0.15     2.62    17.25     5.30P    2.13R    0.57  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      70.99     9.02    10.18     1.96    17.51    52.91    27.57P    0.14R    0.02  
York                 15   22   +2      59.60     8.69    -5.36     0.11     1.50    11.23     3.32P    3.75R    1.07  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.49     9.12    -0.23     0.43     5.52    26.11    10.84P    1.32R    0.35  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.65     8.83    -9.27     0.10     1.92    13.39     4.15P    3.15R    0.99  
Southend             15   19   +2      68.00     8.72    11.70     0.88    10.26    40.78    19.68P    0.34R    0.07  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.57     8.61    -7.67     0.03     0.86     7.54     2.14P    5.88R    1.78  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.61     8.69    -4.95     0.10     2.30    15.90     5.26P    2.35R    0.69  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.89     9.08     4.04     0.33     4.84    24.65    10.51P    1.36R    0.38  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.68     8.71    -2.89     0.10     1.84    13.69     4.51P    3.06R    0.91  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.97     8.58    -3.28     0.03     0.90     8.38     2.66P    4.83R    1.51  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.00     8.66    -7.51     0.01     0.45     4.67     1.29P    9.71R    3.54  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.21     8.80   -18.10     0.00     0.20     2.43     0.72P   17.89R    7.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.47     8.36   -28.49     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   41.26R   21.46  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.04     9.41   -10.21     0.04     0.86     7.04     2.46P    9.99R    3.85  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.38     8.42   -20.34     0.00     0.06     0.88     0.26P   26.78R   11.46  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.44     8.11   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   65.10R   44.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.22     8.58    19.12     6.60    59.42    15.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.27     8.36    31.94    36.98    91.80    54.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      88.00     8.36    36.08    36.21    92.05    56.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.33     9.14    10.71     1.72    29.58     6.55P    0.28R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   27  +11      79.49     8.42    28.48     8.27    67.39    23.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.06     8.59    19.48     3.41    45.61    12.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.92     9.15    17.39     5.40    53.26    17.57P    0.04R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.79     8.30    -1.77     0.02     2.36     0.37P    5.82R    0.88  
Tamworth           16   22   +0      57.80     8.24    -8.46     0.01     1.64     0.20P    7.52R    1.15  
Woking             16   22   -1      56.61     9.06   -13.21     0.03     2.23     0.36P   12.44R    2.29  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.84     8.56     0.10     0.09     5.37     0.91P    3.31R    0.51  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      68.07     8.96     1.93     0.73    17.53     4.15P    0.88R    0.08  
Gateshead          16   20   +0      61.90     8.55     1.13     0.06     5.26     1.00P    3.16R    0.39  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.61     8.87     2.90     0.31    11.81     3.03P    1.48R    0.19  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.21     8.41   -13.77     0.00     1.23     0.15P   11.27R    1.97  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.61     8.47   -21.40     0.00     0.36     0.03P   26.50R    6.62  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.45     8.27   -23.74     0.00     0.19     0.01P   30.57R    7.85  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      61.09     8.53     2.47     0.08     4.49     1.00P    3.86R    0.52  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      56.97     8.56    -6.10     0.01     1.56     0.29P    9.59R    1.59  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.25     8.68   -11.38     0.01     1.11     0.17P   14.24R    2.88  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.07     8.44     8.55     0.06     5.53     1.29P    2.72R    0.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.81     8.32   -25.12     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.50R   16.64  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      46.00     9.04   -23.92     0.00     0.12     0.02P   51.03R   20.94  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.42     8.48   -31.41     0.00     0.02     0.00P   67.72R   35.06