Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2012, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        9   22  +12      78.23     7.96    39.18    16.80    46.47    75.71    89.80    98.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        9   21  +11      85.50     7.32    56.53    57.77    83.56    95.00    98.57    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       9   21   +9      79.61     7.89    40.90    22.45    54.63    80.45    92.23    98.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      9   17   +4      64.46     8.27    16.05     0.68     3.84    12.75    30.31    67.81     0.02R    0.00  
Everton        9   16   +6      61.32     8.17    14.16     0.28     1.84     6.83    18.76    53.66     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal        9   15   +8      68.03     8.16    29.40     1.91     8.69    24.23    50.81    82.55     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         9   14   +5      54.99     8.28     6.36     0.04     0.33     1.57     5.77    24.99     0.50R    0.02  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.44     8.24    -3.30     0.02     0.12     0.57     2.19    12.33     1.77R    0.16  
West_Ham       9   14   +2      45.22     8.25   -14.30     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.44     3.72     8.27R    1.14  
Newcastle      9   13   -2      53.19     8.35    -2.40     0.01     0.14     0.84     3.47    17.61     1.21R    0.11  
Swansea        9   11   +1      43.71     7.94   -11.15     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.27     2.39    10.05R    1.50  
Liverpool      9   10   -2      55.82     8.19     6.89     0.04     0.34     1.67     6.08    27.24     0.44R    0.03  
Stoke          9    9   -1      45.39     8.01    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.39     3.43     7.13R    1.05  
Sunderland     8    9   -2      47.72     8.30    -6.12     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.82     6.23     4.61R    0.64  
Wigan          9    8   -6      37.26     7.73   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    33.93R    8.99  
Norwich        9    7  -11      36.58     7.92   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    38.55R   11.43  
Aston_Villa    9    6   -7      37.75     7.82   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.33    30.84R    7.70  
Reading        8    4   -6      35.10     8.39   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33    44.77R   16.42  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.08     8.29   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    55.72R   23.75  
QPR            9    3  -11      31.66     7.64   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    62.14R   27.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   28  +11      83.32     9.27    26.60    35.28    54.31    86.02    63.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        13   25   +8      78.02     9.27    19.75    15.77    30.99    70.01    41.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   25   +3      72.35     9.25     6.10     5.44    12.79    44.80    19.79P    0.39R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   13   24   +2      66.51     9.03    -2.25     1.35     3.98    22.34     7.31P    1.76R    0.14  
Blackburn        13   23   +5      77.64     9.66    19.55    16.02    30.79    67.81    41.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Hull             13   22   +2      69.15     9.06     5.01     2.68     7.02    32.30    12.72P    0.82R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    13   21   +6      68.55     9.08     9.54     2.31     6.30    31.17    11.95P    0.92R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +4      72.03     9.62    12.82     5.81    13.69    45.76    22.28P    0.52R    0.04  
Huddersfield     13   20   -1      62.81     9.54    -5.02     0.74     2.17    14.13     4.61P    5.24R    0.67  
Brighton         13   19   +7      66.25     9.05    10.23     1.38     4.12    23.10     8.53P    1.80R    0.17  
Leeds_United     13   19   +1      65.73     9.51     2.91     1.48     4.07    21.88     7.81P    2.67R    0.33  
Blackpool        13   18   +4      71.97     9.59    17.84     6.06    13.90    46.57    23.36P    0.59R    0.05  
Derby            13   17   +0      58.48     9.06    -5.91     0.20     0.65     5.84     1.70P   10.68R    1.65  
Burnley          13   17   -3      62.42     9.46    -3.67     0.63     2.07    13.29     4.59P    5.70R    0.73  
Millwall         13   16   -1      60.87     9.25    -1.99     0.40     1.29     9.90     3.21P    7.07R    0.95  
Watford          13   16   -4      57.51     9.26   -10.60     0.14     0.53     5.15     1.45P   13.57R    2.32  
Birmingham       13   16   -6      67.09     9.28     2.78     1.82     4.97    25.62    10.77P    1.89R    0.21  
Bolton           13   15   -3      66.30     9.86     6.25     2.23     5.50    24.77    11.00P    2.93R    0.47  
Barnsley         13   15   -5      50.11     8.83   -21.43     0.01     0.05     0.75     0.15P   38.81R   10.57  
Charlton         13   14   -1      57.63     9.47    -3.35     0.20     0.60     5.72     1.69P   13.11R    2.40  
Peterborough     13   12   -4      50.66     9.16   -16.20     0.02     0.07     1.08     0.25P   35.54R   10.36  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -5      50.54     9.51   -16.77     0.02     0.08     1.25     0.36P   36.98R   11.03  
Bristol_City     13   11   -4      48.92     9.07   -16.99     0.02     0.05     0.68     0.17P   42.98R   13.69  
Ipswich          13    7  -16      41.41     8.81   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   75.88R   44.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.68     8.57    25.79    14.07    29.98    74.15    40.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.45     8.51    28.45    44.41    64.50    93.05    73.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.85     8.88    -3.47     1.12     3.45    21.83     6.12P    1.64R    0.06  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.47     8.69     9.98     6.78    17.04    57.81    26.42P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.01     9.19    18.66    12.49    27.24    68.92    37.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.48     8.81    18.11     4.97    13.13    51.38    22.49P    0.23R    0.00  
Swindon         15   25   +9      72.02     8.87    15.83     3.96    10.56    44.63    19.20P    0.29R    0.01  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.53     8.53    21.74     7.48    18.25    61.39    32.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.21     8.76     9.91     1.09     3.55    24.82     8.22P    1.41R    0.05  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      63.04     8.71     1.29     0.37     1.38    12.10     3.24P    3.89R    0.21  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.54     8.66     5.81     0.70     2.30    19.23     6.47P    1.89R    0.07  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.70     8.61    -0.61     0.22     0.98    11.08     3.01P    4.37R    0.21  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.77     8.51    -6.81     0.08     0.32     4.83     1.19P   10.03R    0.72  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.54     8.71   -14.67     0.07     0.26     3.73     0.84P   13.94R    1.22  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.95     8.99    11.69     1.84     5.59    31.87    13.83P    1.03R    0.04  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.45     8.72    -1.54     0.22     0.81     8.89     2.53P    6.05R    0.39  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.59     8.67    -4.20     0.07     0.29     4.00     0.99P   12.53R    1.15  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.36     8.51   -24.63     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.06P   50.01R   10.39  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      51.11     8.31   -17.76     0.00     0.02     0.61     0.12P   35.80R    5.38  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.69     8.72   -10.63     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.20P   32.49R    5.02  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.60     8.91    -5.22     0.05     0.29     4.25     1.27P   13.35R    1.31  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.75     8.38   -26.21     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   61.46R   16.64  
Bury            15    9  -12      42.99     8.42   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   71.92R   26.91  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.75     8.16   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   77.46R   30.21  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.25     8.62    41.30    63.97    91.52    99.00    93.88P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      83.15     8.71    33.30    20.90    69.09    93.11    76.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.79     8.71     8.36     2.95    21.73    60.16    30.49P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.77     8.88     8.37     1.28    11.69    43.08    18.43P    0.25R    0.07  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.58     8.67     6.18     0.60     7.28    33.37    12.93P    0.47R    0.09  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.68     9.06    13.24     3.07    22.98    60.53    32.44P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.07     8.76    14.80     2.70    23.58    62.77    34.40P    0.05R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.15     8.69    -2.60     0.17     2.77    17.56     5.46P    1.85R    0.48  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      70.95     9.10    10.17     2.03    17.72    52.84    27.91P    0.19R    0.05  
York                 15   22   +2      59.42     8.69    -5.54     0.08     1.50    10.98     3.20P    3.89R    1.07  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.86     9.16     0.31     0.59     5.93    27.44    11.57P    1.24R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.52     8.79    -9.50     0.12     1.85    13.20     3.97P    3.29R    0.97  
Southend             15   19   +2      68.04     8.70    11.74     0.88    10.55    40.88    20.10P    0.33R    0.06  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.52     8.53    -7.75     0.03     0.74     7.30     2.00P    5.87R    1.83  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.65     8.62    -4.85     0.11     2.17    15.48     5.13P    2.29R    0.61  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.82     9.03     3.96     0.32     4.74    24.56    10.46P    1.46R    0.40  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.63     8.76    -2.98     0.10     1.88    13.71     4.41P    3.03R    0.96  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.96     8.59    -3.31     0.04     0.92     8.45     2.65P    5.00R    1.45  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.05     8.62    -7.44     0.01     0.39     4.64     1.29P    9.73R    3.50  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.05     8.74   -18.38     0.01     0.16     2.35     0.65P   18.22R    7.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.42     8.35   -28.60     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.08P   41.74R   21.47  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.30     9.32    -9.81     0.03     0.76     7.20     2.35P    9.47R    3.53  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.34     8.41   -20.39     0.00     0.02     0.91     0.18P   27.08R   11.90  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.56     8.18   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.40R   44.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.02     8.59    18.85     6.51    58.52    15.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.33     8.38    32.12    37.23    91.83    55.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.95     8.37    36.01    35.96    91.89    55.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.05     9.09    10.26     1.71    28.20     6.09P    0.31R    0.02  
Grimsby            16   27  +11      79.60     8.39    28.62     8.30    68.00    24.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.20     8.62    19.67     3.50    46.46    12.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.73     9.25    17.16     5.44    53.16    17.20P    0.08R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.91     8.24    -1.62     0.02     2.42     0.43P    5.56R    0.74  
Tamworth           16   22   +0      57.83     8.27    -8.45     0.01     1.77     0.25P    7.69R    1.20  
Woking             16   22   -1      56.65     8.95   -13.13     0.03     1.97     0.29P   12.05R    2.30  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.84     8.56     0.11     0.07     5.36     0.95P    3.37R    0.46  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      68.08     8.89     1.99     0.67    17.81     4.10P    0.78R    0.08  
Gateshead          16   20   +0      61.94     8.52     1.23     0.07     5.37     1.06P    3.13R    0.40  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.62     8.86     2.85     0.33    11.71     3.12P    1.44R    0.19  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.34     8.56   -13.62     0.01     1.57     0.19P   11.30R    2.01  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.50     8.49   -21.61     0.00     0.34     0.03P   27.02R    6.80  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.50     8.23   -23.71     0.00     0.22     0.04P   30.65R    7.54  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      60.86     8.53     2.15     0.04     4.41     0.91P    3.96R    0.57  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      56.97     8.57    -6.09     0.02     1.61     0.28P    9.72R    1.74  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.26     8.75   -11.36     0.01     1.21     0.19P   14.35R    2.99  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.15     8.55     8.74     0.07     5.97     1.45P    2.77R    0.39  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.76     8.31   -25.24     0.00     0.06     0.00P   47.51R   16.93  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.97     9.03   -23.91     0.00     0.13     0.01P   51.42R   21.16  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.64     8.52   -31.04     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.85R   34.48