Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 31 October 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2012, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        9   22  +12      78.21     7.99    39.17    16.80    46.48    75.76    89.62    98.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        9   21  +11      85.56     7.40    56.72    57.41    83.04    94.67    98.45    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       9   21   +9      79.72     7.84    41.06    22.70    55.01    81.05    92.42    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      9   17   +4      64.34     8.35    15.74     0.70     3.91    12.35    30.36    67.69     0.01R    0.00  
Everton        9   16   +6      61.29     8.17    14.10     0.26     1.84     6.93    18.56    53.85     0.05R    0.01  
Arsenal        9   15   +8      68.05     8.22    29.42     2.03     8.78    24.31    51.30    82.75     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         9   14   +5      55.04     8.22     6.44     0.03     0.29     1.61     5.79    25.00     0.44R    0.04  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.57     8.21    -3.09     0.01     0.09     0.59     2.31    12.92     1.74R    0.17  
West_Ham       9   14   +2      45.23     8.16   -14.37     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.43     3.71     8.20R    1.15  
Newcastle      9   13   -2      53.28     8.31    -2.28     0.02     0.21     0.90     3.59    17.78     1.06R    0.10  
Swansea        9   11   +1      43.68     7.97   -11.28     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.26     2.29    10.52R    1.64  
Liverpool      9   10   -2      55.47     8.18     6.33     0.03     0.29     1.43     5.57    26.27     0.55R    0.05  
Stoke          9    9   -1      45.20     8.05    -6.23     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.38     3.47     7.57R    1.18  
Sunderland     8    9   -2      47.69     8.28    -6.17     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.85     6.21     4.68R    0.69  
Wigan          9    8   -6      37.42     7.75   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.31    33.23R    8.82  
Norwich        9    7  -11      36.51     7.87   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    38.83R   11.42  
Aston_Villa    9    6   -7      37.88     7.78   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    30.44R    7.51  
Reading        8    4   -6      34.90     8.42   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    45.96R   17.16  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.14     8.25   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    55.53R   23.64  
QPR            9    3  -11      31.84     7.69   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    61.20R   26.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   28  +11      83.42     9.29    26.73    36.45    54.84    86.10    63.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        13   25   +8      77.91     9.18    19.54    15.54    30.89    69.91    41.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   25   +3      72.32     9.18     5.98     5.56    12.82    44.75    19.62P    0.37R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   13   24   +2      66.64     9.01    -2.06     1.40     4.16    22.69     7.47P    1.71R    0.15  
Blackburn        13   23   +5      77.37     9.69    19.13    15.59    30.02    66.84    41.09P    0.10R    0.01  
Hull             13   22   +2      69.09     9.04     4.86     2.56     6.79    32.06    12.47P    0.85R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    13   21   +6      68.45     9.09     9.33     2.32     6.53    30.33    11.83P    1.04R    0.09  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +4      71.90     9.58    12.62     5.61    13.34    45.35    21.96P    0.50R    0.04  
Huddersfield     13   20   -1      62.71     9.50    -5.16     0.72     2.12    13.75     4.45P    5.32R    0.72  
Brighton         13   19   +7      66.12     9.01    10.01     1.28     4.02    22.72     8.70P    1.80R    0.15  
Leeds_United     13   19   +1      65.86     9.39     3.19     1.37     4.01    22.08     7.85P    2.61R    0.29  
Blackpool        13   18   +4      71.99     9.50    17.78     5.82    13.97    46.57    23.42P    0.56R    0.04  
Derby            13   17   +0      58.38     9.02    -6.03     0.19     0.62     5.70     1.62P   10.71R    1.62  
Burnley          13   17   -3      62.55     9.44    -3.52     0.63     2.07    13.63     4.49P    5.58R    0.81  
Millwall         13   16   -1      60.71     9.23    -2.30     0.36     1.20     9.57     3.07P    7.33R    1.10  
Watford          13   16   -4      57.63     9.28   -10.39     0.16     0.55     5.26     1.47P   13.49R    2.37  
Birmingham       13   16   -6      67.39     9.28     3.29     1.89     5.36    26.91    11.72P    1.70R    0.17  
Bolton           13   15   -3      66.63     9.88     6.74     2.31     5.86    26.18    11.82P    2.64R    0.36  
Barnsley         13   15   -5      50.22     8.75   -21.23     0.01     0.03     0.73     0.13P   38.04R   10.19  
Charlton         13   14   -1      57.57     9.47    -3.36     0.18     0.59     5.89     1.75P   13.35R    2.47  
Peterborough     13   12   -4      50.55     9.18   -16.38     0.03     0.08     1.15     0.33P   36.22R   10.42  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -5      50.55     9.37   -16.70     0.03     0.08     1.20     0.28P   36.86R   10.69  
Bristol_City     13   11   -4      48.84     9.03   -17.00     0.01     0.04     0.61     0.15P   43.30R   13.87  
Ipswich          13    7  -16      41.43     8.87   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   75.85R   44.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.61     8.59    25.67    13.65    29.49    73.51    39.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.34     8.53    28.29    44.09    63.92    92.68    73.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.98     8.99    -3.31     1.14     3.68    22.70     6.59P    1.79R    0.05  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.37     8.68     9.80     6.75    16.54    57.78    25.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.10     9.27    18.78    12.63    27.83    69.25    38.28P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.59     8.75    18.20     4.94    13.16    51.72    22.69P    0.17R    0.00  
Swindon         15   25   +9      71.96     8.87    15.78     4.04    10.36    43.92    18.98P    0.29R    0.01  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.53     8.56    21.79     7.75    18.52    61.14    32.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.20     8.89     9.93     1.21     3.81    25.21     8.60P    1.55R    0.06  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      62.92     8.79     1.16     0.36     1.29    12.32     3.35P    4.25R    0.21  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.61     8.69     5.87     0.72     2.46    19.21     6.40P    1.91R    0.06  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.35     8.62    -1.20     0.21     0.96    10.38     2.81P    4.78R    0.25  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.65     8.56    -6.99     0.09     0.33     4.68     1.15P   10.36R    0.76  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.81     8.65   -14.26     0.07     0.26     3.82     0.94P   13.26R    1.04  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.93     9.09    11.65     1.97     5.93    32.25    14.19P    1.15R    0.04  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.71     8.70    -1.18     0.23     0.84     9.36     2.57P    5.77R    0.35  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.63     8.62    -4.14     0.08     0.27     3.94     0.93P   12.33R    1.08  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.27     8.48   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P   50.18R   10.52  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      51.12     8.30   -17.74     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.11P   35.80R    5.31  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.78     8.72   -10.45     0.00     0.04     0.97     0.23P   32.38R    5.09  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.51     8.89    -5.34     0.07     0.27     4.03     1.21P   13.52R    1.39  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.85     8.42   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   60.97R   16.46  
Bury            15    9  -12      42.95     8.44   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   71.90R   26.84  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.72     8.17   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.39R   30.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.23     8.63    41.31    63.68    91.68    98.90    93.74P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      83.14     8.75    33.30    21.05    68.98    92.79    75.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.72     8.75     8.28     2.87    21.51    59.83    30.46P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.99     9.02     8.65     1.41    12.47    44.05    19.52P    0.29R    0.06  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.58     8.66     6.15     0.53     7.03    33.54    12.84P    0.49R    0.11  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.71     9.00    13.28     3.16    22.96    60.73    32.44P    0.09R    0.02  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.17     8.70    15.04     2.81    23.55    63.10    34.51P    0.05R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.10     8.74    -2.73     0.15     2.68    17.46     5.21P    2.05R    0.58  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      71.04     9.15    10.28     2.17    17.91    52.90    27.84P    0.16R    0.03  
York                 15   22   +2      59.37     8.72    -5.62     0.08     1.47    10.80     3.26P    3.89R    1.23  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.59     9.12    -0.09     0.45     5.57    26.55    11.04P    1.33R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.76     8.88    -9.16     0.15     2.15    13.60     4.33P    3.26R    1.03  
Southend             15   19   +2      67.93     8.69    11.58     0.81    10.03    40.40    19.55P    0.36R    0.09  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.55     8.64    -7.67     0.02     0.86     7.80     2.20P    5.71R    1.86  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.65     8.71    -4.89     0.12     2.31    15.78     5.31P    2.37R    0.80  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.62     9.07     3.63     0.33     4.53    23.79     9.95P    1.56R    0.43  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.73     8.77    -2.87     0.14     1.88    13.78     4.57P    3.08R    1.04  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.95     8.59    -3.36     0.03     0.91     8.52     2.58P    4.93R    1.42  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.05     8.63    -7.45     0.01     0.40     4.65     1.30P    9.78R    3.55  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.07     8.78   -18.29     0.00     0.19     2.40     0.65P   18.20R    7.19  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.37     8.34   -28.63     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   41.64R   21.22  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.21     9.43    -9.94     0.04     0.85     7.20     2.40P    9.75R    3.66  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.45     8.46   -20.24     0.00     0.05     0.95     0.24P   26.60R   11.70  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.58     8.23   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   64.33R   43.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.30     8.55    19.25     6.78    59.92    16.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.39     8.32    32.22    37.75    92.05    55.45P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.84     8.38    35.82    35.40    91.70    55.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.32     9.13    10.72     1.82    29.36     6.59P    0.26R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   27  +11      79.37     8.42    28.28     8.04    67.02    23.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.13     8.57    19.58     3.31    46.03    12.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.74     9.15    17.10     5.42    52.72    17.08P    0.09R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.99     8.34    -1.53     0.03     2.61     0.39P    5.67R    0.78  
Tamworth           16   22   +0      57.52     8.27    -8.88     0.02     1.69     0.22P    8.25R    1.36  
Woking             16   22   -1      57.06     9.03   -12.40     0.02     2.20     0.35P   11.43R    2.30  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.93     8.58     0.17     0.09     5.41     0.95P    3.13R    0.41  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      67.94     8.96     1.77     0.67    17.31     4.02P    0.87R    0.09  
Gateshead          16   20   +0      61.84     8.56     1.05     0.08     5.15     1.01P    3.29R    0.40  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.72     8.83     3.05     0.37    11.77     3.00P    1.38R    0.15  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.25     8.48   -13.75     0.02     1.34     0.21P   11.55R    1.99  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.52     8.38   -21.46     0.00     0.31     0.03P   26.67R    6.67  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.47     8.24   -23.80     0.00     0.18     0.03P   30.47R    7.59  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      60.91     8.56     2.21     0.05     4.58     1.04P    3.91R    0.53  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      57.04     8.56    -6.03     0.02     1.60     0.31P    9.61R    1.75  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.18     8.72   -11.53     0.01     1.18     0.18P   14.37R    2.96  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.06     8.48     8.59     0.08     5.66     1.46P    2.86R    0.38  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.83     8.32   -25.13     0.00     0.07     0.00P   47.37R   16.65  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.64     8.96   -24.38     0.00     0.11     0.00P   52.73R   22.10  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.77     8.58   -30.91     0.00     0.03     0.00P   66.02R   33.90