Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 October 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2012, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        9   22  +12      78.06     7.98    38.88    16.15    45.69    74.92    89.28    98.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        9   21  +11      85.45     7.36    56.48    57.67    83.36    94.59    98.34    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       9   21   +9      79.68     7.85    40.99    23.06    55.25    80.86    92.35    98.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      9   17   +4      64.25     8.33    15.71     0.63     3.81    12.29    29.66    66.66     0.02R    0.00  
Everton        9   16   +6      61.51     8.17    14.51     0.28     1.92     6.96    19.18    54.72     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal        9   15   +8      68.20     8.15    29.68     2.10     8.94    24.91    51.62    82.84     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham         9   14   +5      55.01     8.33     6.38     0.04     0.35     1.74     5.88    24.89     0.55R    0.03  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.58     8.21    -3.03     0.01     0.11     0.60     2.27    12.72     1.62R    0.13  
West_Ham       9   14   +2      45.38     8.25   -14.05     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.54     3.88     7.83R    1.16  
Newcastle      9   13   -2      53.21     8.35    -2.42     0.02     0.19     1.01     3.52    17.50     1.17R    0.12  
Swansea        9   11   +1      43.80     7.98   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.23     2.40     9.98R    1.55  
Liverpool      9   10   -2      55.74     8.23     6.76     0.04     0.32     1.75     5.91    27.19     0.44R    0.04  
Stoke          9    9   -1      45.35     7.98    -6.05     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.37     3.39     7.01R    1.01  
Sunderland     8    9   -2      47.51     8.28    -6.50     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.76     5.93     5.03R    0.69  
Wigan          9    8   -6      37.19     7.78   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30    34.27R    9.14  
Norwich        9    7  -11      36.60     7.90   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    38.52R   11.27  
Aston_Villa    9    6   -7      37.63     7.76   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    31.25R    7.69  
Reading        8    4   -6      35.18     8.43   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    44.49R   16.04  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.00     8.30   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    55.92R   23.98  
QPR            9    3  -11      31.68     7.67   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.84R   27.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   28  +11      83.57     9.26    26.97    36.85    55.33    86.53    64.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        13   25   +8      77.69     9.29    19.24    15.03    30.10    69.08    39.90P    0.05R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    13   25   +3      72.40     9.23     6.17     5.49    13.06    45.41    19.87P    0.38R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   13   24   +2      66.72     9.05    -1.98     1.45     4.12    23.24     7.56P    1.76R    0.17  
Blackburn        13   23   +5      77.59     9.64    19.52    15.89    30.79    67.83    41.80P    0.12R    0.01  
Hull             13   22   +2      69.20     9.05     5.11     2.71     6.98    32.49    12.84P    0.85R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    13   21   +6      68.32     9.14     9.23     2.39     6.43    30.47    11.87P    1.12R    0.10  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +4      71.91     9.64    12.63     5.75    13.63    45.41    22.17P    0.59R    0.05  
Huddersfield     13   20   -1      62.71     9.42    -5.20     0.69     2.08    13.56     4.49P    5.18R    0.67  
Brighton         13   19   +7      66.16     9.01    10.08     1.35     3.90    23.04     8.47P    1.76R    0.18  
Leeds_United     13   19   +1      65.54     9.40     2.60     1.29     3.81    21.14     7.56P    2.70R    0.35  
Blackpool        13   18   +4      71.94     9.55    17.80     5.73    13.94    46.52    23.45P    0.62R    0.05  
Derby            13   17   +0      58.42     8.99    -5.99     0.14     0.57     5.89     1.68P   10.66R    1.55  
Burnley          13   17   -3      62.53     9.51    -3.51     0.72     2.19    13.59     4.78P    5.54R    0.84  
Millwall         13   16   -1      60.85     9.25    -2.06     0.31     1.15     9.98     3.19P    7.14R    1.05  
Watford          13   16   -4      57.97     9.21    -9.90     0.14     0.58     5.58     1.56P   12.37R    2.06  
Birmingham       13   16   -6      66.96     9.31     2.58     1.79     4.98    25.44    10.68P    1.84R    0.21  
Bolton           13   15   -3      66.43     9.71     6.46     2.05     5.49    25.31    11.33P    2.71R    0.40  
Barnsley         13   15   -5      50.19     8.78   -21.29     0.01     0.05     0.78     0.18P   38.47R   10.26  
Charlton         13   14   -1      57.68     9.42    -3.25     0.17     0.60     5.83     1.83P   13.22R    2.42  
Peterborough     13   12   -4      50.39     9.16   -16.59     0.02     0.08     1.01     0.24P   37.12R   11.08  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -5      50.61     9.44   -16.64     0.02     0.10     1.23     0.31P   36.90R   10.82  
Bristol_City     13   11   -4      48.78     9.01   -17.14     0.01     0.03     0.57     0.13P   43.74R   13.99  
Ipswich          13    7  -16      41.61     8.91   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   75.13R   43.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.54     8.63    25.59    13.64    29.50    73.33    39.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.42     8.55    28.44    44.43    64.41    92.75    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.98     8.92    -3.28     1.17     3.52    22.46     6.28P    1.70R    0.05  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.60     8.71    10.15     7.19    17.41    58.68    27.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      77.94     9.16    18.56    12.41    26.81    69.09    37.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.51     8.80    18.09     5.00    13.20    51.41    22.41P    0.18R    0.00  
Swindon         15   25   +9      72.14     8.99    15.99     4.12    10.96    45.26    19.68P    0.32R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.40     8.54    21.60     7.32    18.12    60.71    31.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.19     8.81     9.86     1.18     3.79    24.75     8.56P    1.41R    0.03  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      62.97     8.74     1.17     0.37     1.29    12.49     3.37P    4.04R    0.14  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.61     8.58     5.84     0.74     2.46    18.87     6.29P    1.71R    0.06  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.67     8.57    -0.69     0.22     0.95    10.69     2.89P    4.30R    0.24  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.81     8.56    -6.78     0.05     0.29     4.89     1.20P    9.94R    0.72  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.81     8.63   -14.24     0.07     0.28     3.88     0.89P   13.20R    1.08  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.88     9.02    11.61     1.76     5.71    31.68    13.55P    1.16R    0.06  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.44     8.73    -1.59     0.17     0.77     8.96     2.55P    6.05R    0.42  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.58     8.65    -4.24     0.08     0.25     3.95     1.00P   12.59R    1.10  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.18     8.54   -24.89     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.07P   50.90R   11.22  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      51.11     8.27   -17.74     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.10P   35.60R    5.36  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.56     8.74   -10.80     0.00     0.03     0.91     0.23P   33.33R    5.27  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.46     8.92    -5.36     0.06     0.23     4.16     1.27P   13.58R    1.32  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.78     8.37   -26.21     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   61.38R   16.63  
Bury            15    9  -12      43.06     8.42   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   71.61R   26.40  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.91     8.23   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.78R   29.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.27     8.61    41.39    64.23    91.89    98.97    94.17P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      83.24     8.72    33.49    20.82    69.59    92.95    76.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.58     8.72     8.04     2.70    21.15    59.38    29.96P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.92     8.99     8.61     1.42    12.24    43.54    19.36P    0.24R    0.05  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.49     8.63     6.04     0.49     7.08    33.20    12.58P    0.42R    0.09  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.82     9.00    13.45     3.15    23.09    60.89    32.49P    0.07R    0.02  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.00     8.71    14.77     2.83    22.98    62.39    33.82P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.08     8.72    -2.71     0.18     2.71    17.11     5.19P    2.08R    0.54  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      71.23     9.03    10.53     2.08    18.25    54.09    28.49P    0.17R    0.04  
York                 15   22   +2      59.32     8.68    -5.65     0.09     1.41    10.66     3.16P    3.92R    1.18  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.69     9.10     0.06     0.43     5.66    26.76    11.15P    1.24R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.74     8.81    -9.20     0.11     1.93    13.65     4.22P    3.13R    0.93  
Southend             15   19   +2      68.10     8.60    11.80     0.84     9.94    41.40    19.71P    0.31R    0.07  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.82     8.63    -7.31     0.02     0.86     8.02     2.26P    5.42R    1.80  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.48     8.63    -5.17     0.10     2.17    15.12     5.00P    2.44R    0.70  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.83     9.04     3.92     0.31     4.70    24.45    10.21P    1.43R    0.41  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.73     8.73    -2.86     0.12     1.88    13.78     4.55P    2.99R    0.87  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.92     8.61    -3.40     0.04     0.94     8.40     2.60P    4.93R    1.55  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      54.95     8.60    -7.65     0.01     0.38     4.56     1.24P    9.74R    3.44  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      51.95     8.78   -18.46     0.01     0.18     2.31     0.63P   18.62R    7.48  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.34     8.26   -28.69     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.09P   41.76R   21.57  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.03     9.39   -10.23     0.03     0.88     7.00     2.49P   10.03R    3.76  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.34     8.38   -20.40     0.00     0.04     0.90     0.22P   26.94R   11.46  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.69     8.18   -30.36     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   64.01R   43.72  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.36     8.55    19.33     6.79    60.04    16.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.33     8.31    32.12    36.73    92.15    54.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      88.09     8.27    36.17    36.54    92.28    56.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.39     9.10    10.81     1.78    29.49     6.47P    0.29R    0.02  
Grimsby            16   27  +11      79.46     8.50    28.42     8.10    67.19    23.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.12     8.54    19.58     3.21    45.67    12.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.78     9.12    17.16     5.45    52.80    17.11P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      59.03     8.36    -1.41     0.05     2.60     0.36P    5.57R    0.81  
Tamworth           16   22   +0      57.82     8.24    -8.45     0.01     1.67     0.22P    7.57R    1.15  
Woking             16   22   -1      56.81     9.10   -12.82     0.04     2.27     0.31P   12.15R    2.36  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.93     8.59     0.22     0.08     5.52     0.97P    3.24R    0.48  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      67.79     8.94     1.50     0.69    16.81     3.93P    0.92R    0.09  
Gateshead          16   20   +0      61.80     8.58     1.01     0.08     5.26     1.01P    3.36R    0.40  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.58     8.76     2.77     0.29    11.36     2.92P    1.46R    0.15  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.15     8.50   -13.93     0.01     1.33     0.20P   11.74R    2.08  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.64     8.49   -21.34     0.00     0.39     0.04P   26.41R    6.56  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.49     8.19   -23.73     0.00     0.21     0.04P   30.28R    7.64  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      61.06     8.58     2.47     0.07     4.55     1.01P    3.87R    0.48  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      56.81     8.54    -6.39     0.01     1.57     0.32P    9.85R    1.68  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.07     8.66   -11.70     0.00     1.06     0.15P   14.80R    3.12  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.07     8.46     8.55     0.07     5.55     1.35P    2.82R    0.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.63     8.29   -25.43     0.00     0.07     0.00P   47.94R   17.27  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.92     8.97   -23.92     0.00     0.13     0.03P   51.15R   21.24  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.69     8.54   -30.99     0.00     0.03     0.01P   66.46R   34.14