Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 October 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2012, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        9   22  +12      78.33     8.00    39.32    16.50    46.42    75.93    89.56    98.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        9   21  +11      85.62     7.38    56.69    57.57    83.34    94.74    98.48    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       9   21   +9      79.88     7.87    41.33    22.83    55.31    81.34    92.55    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      9   17   +4      64.30     8.31    15.77     0.67     3.66    12.05    29.87    67.25     0.02R    0.00  
Everton        9   16   +6      61.56     8.13    14.60     0.31     1.89     7.10    19.26    54.90     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal        9   15   +8      68.09     8.15    29.44     2.01     8.48    23.88    51.54    82.71     0.00     0.00  
Fulham         9   14   +5      54.89     8.25     6.16     0.03     0.26     1.49     5.48    24.42     0.50R    0.04  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.56     8.26    -3.10     0.01     0.10     0.55     2.19    12.73     1.71R    0.17  
West_Ham       9   14   +2      45.25     8.21   -14.28     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.47     3.78     8.03R    1.19  
Newcastle      9   13   -2      53.12     8.35    -2.50     0.01     0.14     0.87     3.33    17.44     1.18R    0.10  
Swansea        9   11   +1      43.66     7.93   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     2.43    10.11R    1.53  
Liverpool      9   10   -2      55.65     8.20     6.55     0.05     0.33     1.70     5.82    26.75     0.49R    0.04  
Stoke          9    9   -1      45.22     7.95    -6.24     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.35     3.23     7.25R    1.00  
Sunderland     8    9   -2      47.50     8.32    -6.43     0.01     0.03     0.15     0.75     6.16     5.06R    0.69  
Wigan          9    8   -6      37.41     7.76   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.36    33.11R    8.80  
Norwich        9    7  -11      36.71     7.90   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30    37.80R   10.88  
Aston_Villa    9    6   -7      37.67     7.80   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.27    31.13R    7.89  
Reading        8    4   -6      34.84     8.42   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    46.17R   17.49  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.17     8.29   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    55.25R   23.35  
QPR            9    3  -11      31.71     7.66   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    62.15R   26.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   28  +11      83.41     9.22    26.75    35.94    54.40    86.46    63.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        13   25   +8      78.02     9.27    19.74    15.78    30.99    70.03    41.20P    0.08R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    13   25   +3      72.11     9.26     5.72     5.09    12.21    44.18    18.84P    0.45R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   13   24   +2      66.58     9.04    -2.17     1.45     4.02    22.35     7.19P    1.77R    0.19  
Blackburn        13   23   +5      77.93     9.63    20.05    16.71    31.98    68.86    43.34P    0.10R    0.00  
Hull             13   22   +2      69.27     9.06     5.13     2.71     7.12    32.73    12.98P    0.79R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    13   21   +6      68.62     9.11     9.63     2.37     6.55    31.47    12.08P    0.97R    0.10  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +4      72.20     9.51    13.08     5.75    13.79    46.50    22.70P    0.53R    0.04  
Huddersfield     13   20   -1      62.44     9.46    -5.57     0.69     2.08    13.02     4.24P    5.46R    0.70  
Brighton         13   19   +7      66.03     8.99     9.93     1.22     3.90    22.56     8.30P    1.77R    0.17  
Leeds_United     13   19   +1      65.74     9.39     2.89     1.28     3.84    21.67     7.78P    2.59R    0.28  
Blackpool        13   18   +4      71.80     9.46    17.53     5.50    13.29    45.53    22.64P    0.59R    0.04  
Derby            13   17   +0      58.49     9.03    -5.91     0.20     0.63     5.83     1.68P   10.34R    1.64  
Burnley          13   17   -3      62.43     9.49    -3.67     0.68     2.02    13.37     4.59P    5.68R    0.82  
Millwall         13   16   -1      60.73     9.15    -2.25     0.37     1.21     9.34     2.99P    7.08R    1.07  
Watford          13   16   -4      57.63     9.25   -10.35     0.16     0.54     5.32     1.45P   13.31R    2.29  
Birmingham       13   16   -6      67.34     9.22     3.18     1.75     5.07    26.25    10.92P    1.55R    0.17  
Bolton           13   15   -3      66.43     9.82     6.45     2.14     5.48    25.29    11.08P    2.66R    0.35  
Barnsley         13   15   -5      50.20     8.76   -21.26     0.01     0.04     0.74     0.16P   38.09R   10.07  
Charlton         13   14   -1      57.59     9.42    -3.33     0.16     0.61     5.55     1.74P   13.37R    2.35  
Peterborough     13   12   -4      50.54     9.18   -16.39     0.02     0.08     1.06     0.26P   36.52R   10.48  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -5      50.48     9.41   -16.85     0.03     0.11     1.20     0.36P   37.16R   10.79  
Bristol_City     13   11   -4      49.00     8.98   -16.75     0.00     0.03     0.64     0.13P   42.65R   13.20  
Ipswich          13    7  -16      41.19     8.85   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   76.46R   45.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.55     8.63    25.55    13.36    29.07    73.39    39.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   31   +9      86.61     8.52    28.70    44.77    65.08    93.16    74.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.84     9.00    -3.53     1.16     3.53    22.17     6.18P    1.88R    0.05  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.46     8.67     9.97     6.68    16.71    58.34    26.00P    0.09R    0.01  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.34     9.22    19.14    13.10    27.97    70.45    38.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.46     8.91    17.99     4.99    13.22    51.40    22.35P    0.24R    0.00  
Swindon         15   25   +9      71.88     8.94    15.62     3.93    10.35    43.88    18.95P    0.32R    0.01  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.48     8.62    21.71     7.38    18.37    60.93    31.93P    0.09R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.22     8.82     9.97     1.14     3.67    24.77     8.27P    1.50R    0.06  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      62.96     8.73     1.19     0.33     1.22    12.22     3.24P    4.08R    0.18  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.68     8.63     5.91     0.68     2.40    19.21     6.38P    1.77R    0.07  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.56     8.60    -0.84     0.19     1.02    10.56     2.98P    4.38R    0.21  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.90     8.53    -6.65     0.09     0.34     4.92     1.17P    9.62R    0.80  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.85     8.67   -14.21     0.06     0.25     3.98     0.97P   13.24R    1.12  
Portsmouth      15   18   -1      68.72     9.11    11.38     1.86     5.49    31.35    13.44P    1.24R    0.06  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.76     8.71    -1.09     0.17     0.76     9.58     2.64P    5.72R    0.38  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.27     8.62    -4.66     0.03     0.22     3.61     0.85P   13.31R    1.24  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.29     8.47   -24.67     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.06P   50.19R   10.62  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      50.99     8.30   -17.98     0.01     0.02     0.60     0.11P   36.13R    5.57  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.83     8.67   -10.41     0.00     0.03     0.99     0.24P   31.77R    4.86  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.34     8.88    -5.53     0.05     0.26     4.02     1.26P   13.85R    1.34  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.58     8.38   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   62.37R   17.29  
Bury            15    9  -12      43.10     8.44   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   71.47R   26.32  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.92     8.22   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   76.63R   29.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.27     8.59    41.36    64.40    91.76    99.05    94.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      83.04     8.69    33.13    20.50    68.86    92.70    75.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.79     8.71     8.34     2.86    21.65    60.05    30.46P    0.04R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      68.88     9.00     8.49     1.32    12.18    43.68    18.99P    0.29R    0.05  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.47     8.69     6.01     0.56     7.26    32.98    12.68P    0.50R    0.12  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.61     9.04    13.06     3.12    22.58    60.18    32.11P    0.08R    0.01  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.06     8.68    14.84     2.74    23.46    62.88    34.48P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.07     8.74    -2.73     0.17     2.74    17.23     5.29P    1.99R    0.58  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      70.96     9.06    10.16     2.05    17.49    52.88    27.47P    0.17R    0.04  
York                 15   22   +2      59.58     8.78    -5.33     0.11     1.55    11.49     3.45P    3.79R    1.12  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.76     9.12     0.14     0.53     5.83    27.03    11.48P    1.28R    0.33  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.93     8.90    -8.85     0.15     2.21    14.34     4.57P    3.17R    0.95  
Southend             15   19   +2      67.98     8.71    11.68     0.85    10.17    40.84    19.86P    0.36R    0.09  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.80     8.62    -7.36     0.03     0.96     7.92     2.32P    5.42R    1.70  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.59     8.70    -4.97     0.14     2.37    15.70     5.36P    2.42R    0.75  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.71     9.12     3.77     0.29     4.62    24.17    10.14P    1.53R    0.46  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.55     8.66    -3.11     0.10     1.85    12.97     4.40P    3.04R    0.91  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.99     8.62    -3.25     0.03     0.94     8.40     2.62P    4.74R    1.37  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.18     8.63    -7.21     0.01     0.49     4.82     1.39P    9.52R    3.40  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.16     8.73   -18.22     0.00     0.16     2.35     0.64P   17.72R    7.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.29     8.30   -28.74     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P   42.16R   21.69  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.02     9.44   -10.17     0.04     0.80     7.09     2.46P   10.22R    3.66  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.27     8.42   -20.47     0.00     0.05     0.83     0.18P   27.26R   11.97  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.55     8.17   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   64.25R   43.72  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.13     8.59    19.02     6.59    58.86    15.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.23     8.31    31.86    37.07    91.69    54.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      88.01     8.35    36.10    36.20    92.04    56.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.60     9.15    11.12     2.00    30.26     6.85P    0.26R    0.02  
Grimsby            16   27  +11      79.38     8.34    28.29     7.98    66.92    23.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.23     8.54    19.71     3.37    46.59    12.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.67     9.22    17.00     5.35    52.49    17.10P    0.06R    0.01  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.92     8.32    -1.60     0.03     2.46     0.34P    5.82R    0.84  
Tamworth           16   22   +0      57.85     8.29    -8.41     0.02     1.80     0.24P    7.37R    1.09  
Woking             16   22   -1      57.00     9.01   -12.41     0.02     2.11     0.32P   11.56R    2.23  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.79     8.56     0.02     0.07     5.25     0.97P    3.27R    0.47  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      68.12     8.92     2.02     0.70    17.86     4.30P    0.88R    0.11  
Gateshead          16   20   +0      61.78     8.51     0.93     0.08     5.10     0.99P    3.27R    0.42  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.44     8.87     2.57     0.35    11.25     2.90P    1.58R    0.15  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.08     8.49   -14.07     0.01     1.41     0.21P   11.73R    2.04  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.44     8.43   -21.69     0.00     0.35     0.04P   27.06R    6.64  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.31     8.16   -24.02     0.00     0.19     0.02P   30.97R    7.84  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      61.15     8.61     2.60     0.05     4.65     1.05P    3.87R    0.54  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      56.86     8.56    -6.32     0.01     1.61     0.30P   10.00R    1.75  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.20     8.66   -11.42     0.01     1.12     0.17P   14.20R    2.88  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.17     8.48     8.70     0.06     5.75     1.40P    2.83R    0.41  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.81     8.29   -25.18     0.00     0.08     0.01P   47.29R   16.79  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.80     9.04   -24.07     0.00     0.14     0.02P   51.87R   21.76  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.81     8.60   -30.75     0.00     0.04     0.00P   66.05R   34.01