Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 October 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2012, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        9   22  +12      78.38     7.97    39.40    16.70    46.55    76.08    90.00    98.11     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        9   21  +11      85.63     7.33    56.92    57.72    83.44    94.70    98.56    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       9   21   +9      79.75     7.76    41.04    22.48    54.47    80.83    92.40    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      9   17   +4      64.32     8.37    15.80     0.70     3.82    12.19    29.74    67.25     0.03R    0.00  
Everton        9   16   +6      61.43     8.20    14.38     0.32     1.84     6.78    19.20    54.50     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal        9   15   +8      68.19     8.24    29.67     2.00     9.04    24.71    51.39    82.52     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham         9   14   +5      54.94     8.22     6.27     0.03     0.28     1.43     5.49    24.42     0.51R    0.03  
West_Brom      9   14   +2      51.51     8.23    -3.21     0.01     0.08     0.53     2.21    12.65     1.81R    0.17  
West_Ham       9   14   +2      45.31     8.25   -14.18     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.51     4.02     8.02R    1.15  
Newcastle      9   13   -2      53.32     8.35    -2.19     0.02     0.18     0.94     3.53    18.10     1.13R    0.11  
Swansea        9   11   +1      43.51     7.95   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21     2.18    10.52R    1.72  
Liverpool      9   10   -2      55.59     8.17     6.53     0.03     0.25     1.43     5.55    26.53     0.48R    0.03  
Stoke          9    9   -1      45.31     8.01    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     3.51     7.26R    1.05  
Sunderland     8    9   -2      47.59     8.27    -6.29     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.79     6.11     4.69R    0.63  
Wigan          9    8   -6      37.32     7.71   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    33.40R    8.73  
Norwich        9    7  -11      36.45     7.86   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    38.83R   11.60  
Aston_Villa    9    6   -7      37.73     7.78   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    30.63R    7.78  
Reading        8    4   -6      35.08     8.42   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    44.85R   16.65  
Southampton    9    4  -12      33.01     8.27   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    55.87R   23.68  
QPR            9    3  -11      31.69     7.67   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    61.94R   26.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   28  +11      83.31     9.30    26.59    35.46    54.19    86.06    62.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        13   25   +8      77.89     9.23    19.51    15.56    30.51    69.73    40.89P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   25   +3      72.43     9.25     6.20     5.69    13.00    45.65    19.93P    0.42R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   13   24   +2      66.60     9.02    -2.08     1.38     4.05    22.62     7.38P    1.69R    0.14  
Blackburn        13   23   +5      77.76     9.71    19.77    16.47    31.27    68.05    42.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Hull             13   22   +2      69.39     9.06     5.34     2.84     7.26    33.14    12.99P    0.79R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    13   21   +6      68.54     9.09     9.57     2.23     6.43    31.13    12.05P    1.05R    0.11  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +4      71.81     9.63    12.45     5.71    13.31    44.66    21.82P    0.61R    0.06  
Huddersfield     13   20   -1      62.60     9.54    -5.35     0.72     2.25    13.52     4.47P    5.59R    0.70  
Brighton         13   19   +7      66.09     9.01     9.94     1.30     3.91    22.50     8.25P    1.81R    0.13  
Leeds_United     13   19   +1      65.54     9.39     2.62     1.35     3.78    21.17     7.51P    2.64R    0.33  
Blackpool        13   18   +4      71.89     9.49    17.67     5.67    13.72    46.22    23.33P    0.56R    0.05  
Derby            13   17   +0      58.38     9.05    -6.07     0.18     0.61     5.85     1.68P   10.75R    1.67  
Burnley          13   17   -3      62.61     9.40    -3.33     0.66     2.01    13.46     4.54P    5.31R    0.84  
Millwall         13   16   -1      60.82     9.21    -2.11     0.39     1.33     9.77     3.11P    6.90R    1.00  
Watford          13   16   -4      57.83     9.32   -10.07     0.17     0.68     5.72     1.65P   12.89R    2.17  
Birmingham       13   16   -6      67.17     9.28     2.92     1.81     4.99    25.71    10.68P    1.84R    0.21  
Bolton           13   15   -3      66.45     9.85     6.54     2.17     5.78    25.57    11.70P    2.84R    0.41  
Barnsley         13   15   -5      50.13     8.83   -21.38     0.01     0.05     0.74     0.16P   38.74R   10.47  
Charlton         13   14   -1      57.58     9.43    -3.39     0.19     0.67     5.76     1.91P   13.19R    2.38  
Peterborough     13   12   -4      50.60     9.22   -16.32     0.02     0.06     1.00     0.23P   36.17R   10.63  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -5      50.61     9.44   -16.67     0.02     0.09     1.25     0.35P   36.61R   10.43  
Bristol_City     13   11   -4      48.80     9.06   -17.14     0.01     0.04     0.65     0.16P   43.50R   13.73  
Ipswich          13    7  -16      41.40     8.93   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   75.94R   44.46  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        15   31  +18      78.50     8.55    25.50    13.96    29.45    72.97    39.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    15   29   +4      66.92     8.95    -3.37     1.33     3.73    22.02     6.49P    1.69R    0.05  
Stevenage       15   29   +4      75.47     8.65     9.95     7.26    17.11    57.91    26.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       14   28   +8      85.01     8.76    27.82    39.04    58.38    89.82    68.39P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       14   27   +8      78.37     9.22    19.21    14.19    29.11    70.11    39.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   25   +9      73.65     8.87    18.30     5.56    13.90    51.76    23.17P    0.20R    0.01  
Swindon         15   25   +9      71.77     8.92    15.47     4.13    10.28    43.03    18.50P    0.39R    0.01  
MK_Dons         15   23   +7      75.53     8.58    21.80     8.02    18.59    60.81    31.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         15   22   +6      67.13     8.77     9.81     1.17     3.64    24.16     8.15P    1.53R    0.04  
Yeovil          15   22   +4      63.08     8.80     1.36     0.36     1.39    12.47     3.42P    4.15R    0.20  
Brentford       15   22   +4      65.59     8.69     5.82     0.79     2.56    18.83     6.49P    1.85R    0.07  
Colchester      15   20   -1      62.51     8.65    -0.92     0.26     1.01    10.55     2.97P    4.57R    0.28  
Walsall         15   19   -3      58.83     8.58    -6.76     0.06     0.30     4.84     1.24P   10.10R    0.73  
Carlisle        15   19   -8      57.64     8.68   -14.54     0.05     0.28     3.84     0.95P   13.63R    1.14  
Portsmouth      14   18   +0      70.45     9.35    12.88     3.46     8.86    38.10    17.99P    0.94R    0.04  
Bournemouth     15   18   -3      61.41     8.76    -1.58     0.24     0.83     8.94     2.57P    6.25R    0.40  
Oldham          14   17   +0      57.55     8.64    -4.27     0.06     0.25     3.85     0.90P   12.59R    1.05  
Crewe           15   17   -7      48.39     8.44   -24.63     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   49.46R   10.40  
Leyton_Orient   15   16   -7      51.00     8.28   -17.96     0.00     0.03     0.63     0.13P   36.11R    5.20  
Shrewsbury      15   14   -4      51.92     8.71   -10.32     0.00     0.04     0.95     0.26P   31.48R    4.62  
Coventry        15   14   -7      57.19     8.93    -5.80     0.05     0.26     3.92     1.11P   14.39R    1.45  
Scunthorpe      15   10  -16      45.71     8.41   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   61.44R   16.81  
Bury            15    9  -12      43.03     8.42   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   71.84R   26.36  
Hartlepool      15    8  -13      41.69     8.25   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   77.15R   31.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           15   35  +20      91.27     8.63    41.35    63.98    91.89    98.98    93.97P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   30  +17      83.31     8.62    33.53    21.09    69.73    93.34    76.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           15   28   +5      72.50     8.72     7.91     2.62    20.64    58.93    29.43P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8      69.04     9.01     8.77     1.35    12.60    44.41    19.65P    0.27R    0.06  
Bradford             15   24   +6      66.59     8.69     6.13     0.55     7.35    33.60    12.99P    0.56R    0.14  
Rotherham            14   24   +6      72.68     9.02    13.22     3.06    22.69    60.45    32.12P    0.10R    0.03  
Torquay              15   24   +5      73.24     8.69    15.16     2.77    24.13    63.71    35.41P    0.07R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        15   23   +3      62.08     8.75    -2.70     0.19     2.74    17.41     5.28P    2.15R    0.59  
Rochdale             15   23   +2      70.96     9.10    10.16     2.10    17.36    52.87    27.57P    0.20R    0.03  
York                 15   22   +2      59.15     8.67    -5.90     0.09     1.32    10.23     2.98P    4.20R    1.20  
Exeter               15   20   -3      64.73     9.07     0.13     0.51     5.82    26.81    11.22P    1.12R    0.31  
Accrington_Stanley   14   20   -4      60.58     8.87    -9.43     0.11     1.94    13.42     4.14P    3.35R    1.07  
Southend             15   19   +2      67.78     8.77    11.36     0.81     9.87    40.00    19.15P    0.41R    0.09  
Northampton          15   19   -1      57.62     8.56    -7.54     0.03     0.82     7.79     2.12P    5.55R    1.71  
Oxford_Utd           15   19   -5      61.68     8.68    -4.84     0.13     2.39    16.05     5.43P    2.17R    0.65  
Chesterfield         15   18   -1      63.91     8.93     4.04     0.36     4.60    24.25    10.11P    1.30R    0.34  
Morecambe            15   18   -3      60.51     8.64    -3.17     0.11     1.60    13.16     4.21P    3.10R    0.98  
Plymouth             15   17   -1      57.95     8.60    -3.38     0.06     0.89     8.40     2.59P    4.90R    1.59  
Dag_&_Red            15   16   -2      55.10     8.63    -7.44     0.01     0.44     4.78     1.32P    9.83R    3.54  
Bristol_Rovers       14   14   -9      52.17     8.76   -18.21     0.01     0.19     2.39     0.66P   17.80R    7.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   14  -11      46.31     8.28   -28.74     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.07P   41.93R   21.89  
Wycombe              14   12  -10      56.41     9.43    -9.59     0.05     0.91     7.63     2.69P    9.64R    3.51  
Aldershot            15   12  -13      49.29     8.44   -20.47     0.00     0.05     0.96     0.26P   27.28R   11.96  
Barnet               15   10  -13      41.69     8.23   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   64.02R   43.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     16   33  +13      78.43     8.64    19.44     6.86    60.06    16.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   32   +8      88.25     8.35    31.91    36.50    91.81    54.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      88.11     8.33    36.23    36.74    91.93    56.52P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           16   29   +9      71.31     9.21    10.66     1.84    29.42     6.58P    0.28R    0.02  
Grimsby            16   27  +11      79.57     8.47    28.60     8.31    67.46    24.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       16   27   +9      75.13     8.53    19.56     3.14    46.14    12.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       15   24   +1      76.67     9.22    16.93     5.32    52.61    16.84P    0.10R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        16   22   +5      58.79     8.23    -1.79     0.02     2.29     0.37P    5.72R    0.80  
Tamworth           16   22   +0      57.58     8.28    -8.83     0.01     1.65     0.21P    8.21R    1.26  
Woking             16   22   -1      56.76     9.07   -12.90     0.03     2.15     0.36P   11.98R    2.31  
Stockport          16   21   +1      61.87     8.56     0.14     0.08     5.43     0.95P    3.26R    0.45  
Mansfield          15   21   -5      68.05     8.92     1.97     0.63    17.60     4.13P    0.81R    0.08  
Gateshead          16   20   +0      61.69     8.45     0.79     0.07     4.76     0.88P    3.23R    0.41  
Hereford           16   20   -4      65.58     8.87     2.79     0.27    11.68     2.91P    1.51R    0.16  
Southport          16   20   -5      56.28     8.46   -13.70     0.01     1.36     0.23P   11.10R    1.94  
Alfreton_Town      15   18   -6      51.55     8.46   -21.48     0.00     0.40     0.03P   26.56R    6.69  
Barrow             16   18   -9      50.45     8.23   -23.75     0.00     0.20     0.02P   30.74R    7.91  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   -2      61.08     8.53     2.50     0.04     4.49     0.87P    3.85R    0.55  
Lincoln_City       16   17   -4      57.04     8.61    -6.01     0.01     1.61     0.29P    9.84R    1.73  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.14     8.80   -11.50     0.02     1.14     0.18P   14.76R    3.32  
Kidderminster      16   16   +1      62.05     8.46     8.55     0.10     5.63     1.35P    2.83R    0.34  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   14  -10      46.87     8.31   -25.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   46.72R   16.26  
Hyde_United        15   13   -8      45.71     8.93   -24.27     0.00     0.09     0.02P   52.32R   21.97  
Nuneaton           16   13  -11      42.77     8.59   -30.86     0.00     0.02     0.01P   66.13R   33.79