Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      80.06     8.24    40.96    26.56    55.88    80.91    91.94    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.34     7.69    54.37    45.53    74.18    90.54    96.77    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.53     8.01    43.14    24.32    53.91    79.73    91.64    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      61.88     8.40    14.48     0.41     2.27     7.86    20.73    56.03     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.17     8.62    15.59     0.68     3.20    10.60    26.04    61.34     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.77     8.47    -2.43     0.02     0.18     0.90     3.31    16.20     1.45R    0.12  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.13     8.50   -12.38     0.01     0.05     0.23     0.95     5.96     5.97R    0.80  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.59     8.44     6.78     0.07     0.44     1.92     6.57    26.62     0.49R    0.03  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      68.16     8.32    31.81     2.33     9.36    24.70    51.63    82.29     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.52     8.10   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     2.25    11.44R    1.85  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.69     8.59    -3.28     0.01     0.14     0.67     2.62    14.10     2.14R    0.24  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.52     8.35     5.90     0.04     0.32     1.57     5.98    26.09     0.60R    0.05  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.05     8.20    -5.72     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.53     4.34     6.45R    0.93  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      47.75     8.48    -6.65     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.92     6.45     5.12R    0.73  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.41     8.07   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    39.76R   12.09  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.49     7.93   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    42.95R   13.36  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.87     8.02   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.52    26.59R    6.31  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.17     8.63   -33.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.24    50.66R   20.27  
Reading        7    3   -6      35.20     8.78   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.42    45.11R   16.73  
QPR            8    3  -10      31.89     7.81   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    61.17R   26.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 October 2012, Blackburn vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        12   25   +9      80.75     9.47    22.76    24.49    41.97    78.77    51.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   25   +7      80.48     9.46    20.64    23.99    40.71    77.64    50.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    12   22   +2      70.62     9.51     4.84     4.15     9.88    38.67    16.10P    0.86R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   12   21   +1      63.59     9.32    -5.32     0.85     2.54    15.14     4.80P    3.87R    0.47  
Blackburn        12   20   +4      76.96    10.03    20.19    15.41    28.85    65.28    40.00P    0.21R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   20   +4      73.32     9.99    14.26     7.99    17.28    50.79    26.51P    0.45R    0.04  
Huddersfield     12   20   +3      66.08     9.74     1.94     1.82     4.86    23.34     8.66P    2.69R    0.28  
Leeds_United     12   19   +2      67.55     9.61     4.56     2.28     5.97    28.08    10.85P    1.77R    0.21  
Hull             12   19   +1      67.03     9.33     3.28     1.83     4.86    25.31     9.64P    1.84R    0.19  
Brighton         12   18   +7      65.96     9.27     9.20     1.47     4.13    22.84     8.37P    2.11R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest    12   18   +3      65.40     9.31     4.33     1.30     3.61    20.52     7.24P    2.53R    0.33  
Blackpool        12   17   +4      72.92     9.75    18.83     7.26    16.39    50.36    26.09P    0.52R    0.03  
Derby            12   17   +3      61.43     9.32    -0.53     0.47     1.54    11.13     3.46P    6.25R    0.96  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.96     9.73     2.22     1.45     3.86    20.16     7.57P    3.58R    0.49  
Watford          12   16   -3      58.40     9.54   -10.67     0.22     0.78     6.63     1.90P   12.31R    2.41  
Bolton           12   15   -2      68.02    10.16     7.81     3.40     8.00    31.41    14.93P    2.15R    0.26  
Barnsley         12   15   -2      52.93     9.07   -15.74     0.03     0.15     1.71     0.39P   26.67R    6.42  
Charlton         12   13   -1      57.48     9.67    -4.13     0.21     0.66     6.00     1.93P   13.98R    2.90  
Millwall         12   13   -5      57.13     9.36    -9.40     0.15     0.46     4.88     1.38P   14.50R    2.93  
Birmingham       12   13   -7      64.64     9.61     0.47     1.17     3.32    18.94     7.69P    3.55R    0.47  
Bristol_City     12   11   -3      50.22     9.20   -16.08     0.04     0.09     1.04     0.29P   37.49R   11.18  
Peterborough     12    9   -7      47.85     9.42   -21.34     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.14P   48.05R   18.02  
Sheff_Wed        12    9   -8      46.87     9.70   -23.29     0.00     0.03     0.54     0.12P   52.53R   22.38  
Ipswich          12    7  -13      44.75     9.33   -28.82     0.01     0.01     0.22     0.06P   62.03R   29.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, Brentford vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        14   30  +18      79.47     8.79    26.42    16.60    33.02    76.45    43.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       14   29   +8      79.00     8.80    17.06    14.37    29.15    73.38    39.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       14   28   +8      84.86     8.71    27.63    36.82    56.95    90.05    67.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    14   28   +4      67.18     9.11    -3.63     1.42     4.06    23.75     7.03P    2.04R    0.06  
Notts_County    14   25  +11      76.24     9.00    22.28     9.50    21.34    63.73    31.74P    0.13R    0.00  
Doncaster       13   24   +6      75.22     9.46    14.97     8.23    18.80    57.66    28.58P    0.24R    0.00  
Swindon         14   22   +5      67.68     9.03     8.02     1.55     4.52    26.75     9.97P    1.53R    0.08  
Preston         14   21   +6      66.90     8.96     8.84     1.24     3.86    24.35     8.27P    1.84R    0.06  
Brentford       14   21   +4      66.74     8.78     6.97     1.11     3.34    23.29     8.06P    1.80R    0.05  
MK_Dons         14   20   +4      73.14     8.77    17.70     4.77    12.22    50.07    24.03P    0.29R    0.01  
Yeovil          14   19   +3      61.15     8.92    -0.28     0.25     0.82     9.40     2.38P    7.42R    0.54  
Colchester      14   19   -1      62.95     8.84    -0.78     0.35     1.25    12.21     3.55P    4.99R    0.30  
Carlisle        14   19   -6      59.95     8.88   -10.90     0.16     0.60     6.68     1.70P    9.87R    0.75  
Portsmouth      14   18   +0      70.54     9.30    13.12     3.30     8.59    39.23    18.13P    0.96R    0.05  
Walsall         14   18   -3      59.43     8.77    -6.50     0.12     0.46     6.11     1.50P   10.37R    0.84  
Crewe           14   17   -6      50.25     8.84   -23.09     0.01     0.04     0.74     0.15P   43.70R    8.29  
Oldham          13   16   +0      57.98     8.89    -4.17     0.09     0.35     5.01     1.25P   13.15R    1.22  
Leyton_Orient   14   16   -6      52.75     8.49   -16.52     0.01     0.03     1.14     0.21P   30.96R    4.40  
Bournemouth     14   15   -5      58.81     8.87    -5.01     0.06     0.36     5.50     1.50P   11.89R    0.95  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -4      52.11     8.89   -10.42     0.01     0.06     1.21     0.30P   32.79R    5.17  
Coventry        14   11   -8      55.61     9.10    -6.74     0.03     0.15     2.93     0.85P   20.58R    2.67  
Scunthorpe      14   10  -13      47.80     8.62   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   53.69R   12.63  
Bury            14    8  -12      43.20     8.64   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   72.28R   27.60  
Hartlepool      14    7  -13      41.47     8.30   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   79.41R   34.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           14   32  +19      90.32     8.89    41.73    54.34    88.63    98.37    91.60P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            14   30  +19      86.14     8.88    38.02    31.02    77.81    95.71    83.07P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +8      68.65     9.23     7.42     1.26    11.14    41.39    17.53P    0.31R    0.04  
Cheltenham           14   25   +2      70.10     8.96     3.65     1.52    13.21    46.43    20.49P    0.19R    0.03  
Bradford             14   24   +7      68.04     8.96     7.16     0.84     9.54    38.29    15.32P    0.33R    0.06  
Rochdale             14   22   +2      71.87     9.30    10.99     2.56    19.18    54.80    28.87P    0.14R    0.02  
Rotherham            13   21   +5      71.43     9.34    12.77     2.43    18.25    53.57    27.40P    0.14R    0.02  
Torquay              14   21   +4      71.76     9.00    14.34     2.16    18.17    55.53    28.66P    0.10R    0.02  
York                 14   21   +2      58.91     8.99    -7.21     0.11     1.35     9.90     3.01P    4.41R    1.14  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +2      60.15     8.99    -4.46     0.09     1.73    12.53     3.58P    3.34R    0.85  
Exeter               14   20   +0      67.71     9.36     5.62     1.04    10.11    37.78    17.50P    0.50R    0.12  
Southend             14   18   +2      69.18     9.00    12.92     1.18    12.22    44.53    22.18P    0.25R    0.05  
Chesterfield         14   18   +0      67.36     9.24     8.25     0.81     9.06    36.78    17.00P    0.60R    0.13  
Morecambe            14   18   -2      62.07     8.93    -2.00     0.18     2.51    16.87     5.61P    2.10R    0.55  
Plymouth             14   17   +0      59.05     8.82    -3.00     0.09     1.24    10.08     3.19P    3.69R    0.94  
Accrington_Stanley   13   17   -5      59.33     9.22   -10.01     0.12     1.48    11.06     3.39P    4.56R    1.33  
Northampton          14   16   -3      54.60     8.73   -12.04     0.02     0.37     3.94     1.06P   10.21R    3.13  
Oxford_Utd           14   16   -7      58.65     8.90    -9.04     0.04     1.04     9.23     2.85P    4.66R    1.36  
Dag_&_Red            14   15   -2      56.08     8.89    -6.70     0.02     0.59     5.73     1.65P    7.83R    2.42  
Bristol_Rovers       13   14   -8      53.08     9.07   -18.22     0.02     0.33     3.30     0.94P   14.84R    4.93  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   14  -10      47.23     8.58   -29.14     0.00     0.04     0.55     0.13P   35.65R   15.59  
Wycombe              13   12   -8      59.37     9.77    -5.11     0.14     1.97    12.75     4.75P    5.33R    1.61  
Aldershot            14   11  -13      49.24     8.61   -21.38     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.22P   26.03R    9.85  
Barnet               14    7  -14      38.45     8.36   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.80R   55.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.10     8.78    22.57    11.50    68.88    22.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      88.00     8.35    36.20    35.41    90.94    54.81P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.31     8.50    30.51    27.30    86.07    46.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.85     8.61    31.24    13.22    73.61    29.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      77.23     8.79    21.69     5.68    52.19    16.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.75     9.44     7.16     1.10    19.34     4.21P    0.64R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.07     8.58    -6.28     0.05     2.91     0.42P    4.37R    0.56  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.42     8.52    -1.45     0.05     2.60     0.39P    4.77R    0.60  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.15     9.41    14.69     3.39    38.89    11.68P    0.18R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.27     9.13     5.39     1.27    22.81     5.72P    0.38R    0.02  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.02     8.69    -0.14     0.08     4.92     0.87P    2.79R    0.30  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.79     8.72     0.38     0.10     4.70     0.88P    3.02R    0.31  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.74     9.17   -16.27     0.02     1.00     0.17P   18.08R    3.93  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.39     9.09     3.53     0.41    12.38     3.22P    1.17R    0.11  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.44     8.66   -14.08     0.02     1.34     0.17P    9.92R    1.54  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      64.00     8.76     5.98     0.19     7.70     1.75P    1.76R    0.17  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.08     8.63   -11.65     0.01     0.87     0.12P   12.67R    2.07  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.83     8.64   -21.78     0.00     0.36     0.06P   23.44R    5.02  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.72     8.40   -24.09     0.00     0.19     0.03P   26.96R    6.08  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.56     8.77    -5.69     0.04     1.73     0.36P    7.69R    1.03  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.09     8.69     9.67     0.16     6.45     1.56P    2.02R    0.20  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.35     8.82   -30.85     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.43R   25.88  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.38     8.47   -27.91     0.00     0.03     0.00P   55.38R   20.79  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.25     9.08   -28.83     0.00     0.04     0.01P   64.31R   31.33