Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      80.16     8.27    41.15    27.11    56.13    80.91    92.20    98.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.36     7.63    54.51    45.62    74.54    90.85    97.01    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.45     8.00    42.97    23.85    53.43    79.55    91.66    98.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      62.12     8.29    14.85     0.43     2.37     8.09    21.27    56.65     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.14     8.54    15.59     0.59     3.13    10.09    25.35    61.23     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.66     8.43    -2.59     0.04     0.20     0.85     3.18    15.56     1.42R    0.09  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.12     8.45   -12.45     0.00     0.05     0.23     0.91     5.89     5.69R    0.73  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.44     8.48     6.55     0.04     0.41     1.86     6.43    26.20     0.57R    0.04  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      68.12     8.32    31.76     2.24     9.22    24.74    51.27    81.94     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.74     8.12   -13.12     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.33     2.42    10.89R    1.70  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.80     8.57    -3.08     0.02     0.14     0.71     2.67    14.27     1.89R    0.20  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.55     8.41     5.97     0.04     0.32     1.69     6.01    26.29     0.57R    0.05  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.13     8.26    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.52     4.46     6.36R    0.87  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      48.00     8.54    -6.29     0.00     0.04     0.23     1.06     6.75     4.90R    0.69  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.34     8.07   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    39.87R   12.08  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.41     7.94   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    43.19R   13.23  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.90     8.03   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.53    26.33R    6.25  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.05     8.63   -33.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.24    51.40R   20.63  
Reading        7    3   -6      34.92     8.65   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29    45.96R   17.24  
QPR            8    3  -10      31.87     7.84   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    60.86R   26.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 October 2012, Blackburn vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        12   25   +9      80.83     9.50    22.86    24.87    42.49    78.82    51.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   25   +7      80.53     9.57    20.66    24.19    40.97    77.40    50.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    12   22   +2      70.41     9.49     4.58     3.87     9.44    37.70    15.44P    0.81R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   12   21   +1      63.43     9.18    -5.54     0.77     2.19    14.19     4.27P    3.99R    0.53  
Blackburn        12   20   +4      76.88    10.01    20.02    15.11    28.38    64.84    39.28P    0.23R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    12   20   +4      73.18     9.97    14.01     7.77    16.86    50.33    25.78P    0.51R    0.04  
Huddersfield     12   20   +3      66.44     9.75     2.51     1.94     5.07    24.46     9.07P    2.51R    0.30  
Leeds_United     12   19   +2      67.57     9.67     4.61     2.40     6.22    28.17    10.98P    1.80R    0.24  
Hull             12   19   +1      67.07     9.22     3.33     1.70     4.84    25.05     9.60P    1.68R    0.14  
Brighton         12   18   +7      65.97     9.35     9.23     1.48     4.27    23.11     8.85P    2.16R    0.24  
Nott'm_Forest    12   18   +3      65.59     9.35     4.59     1.31     3.72    21.34     7.68P    2.49R    0.39  
Blackpool        12   17   +4      73.20     9.74    19.28     7.69    17.18    51.43    27.38P    0.47R    0.04  
Derby            12   17   +3      61.18     9.39    -0.95     0.53     1.54    10.86     3.40P    6.69R    0.99  
Burnley          12   17   +1      65.01     9.72     2.21     1.51     3.90    20.66     7.59P    3.48R    0.41  
Watford          12   16   -3      58.66     9.42   -10.24     0.22     0.80     6.66     1.99P   11.65R    2.06  
Bolton           12   15   -2      67.98    10.02     7.70     3.09     7.50    31.01    14.22P    1.98R    0.27  
Barnsley         12   15   -2      52.51     9.08   -16.44     0.03     0.10     1.69     0.34P   28.36R    7.14  
Charlton         12   13   -1      57.57     9.67    -4.02     0.21     0.73     6.11     2.03P   13.75R    2.91  
Millwall         12   13   -5      56.94     9.34    -9.74     0.12     0.43     4.71     1.37P   14.82R    3.00  
Birmingham       12   13   -7      64.57     9.60     0.42     1.17     3.22    18.92     7.78P    3.67R    0.60  
Bristol_City     12   11   -3      50.26     9.24   -15.99     0.02     0.07     1.09     0.26P   36.98R   11.44  
Peterborough     12    9   -7      47.71     9.40   -21.61     0.01     0.03     0.59     0.15P   48.85R   18.93  
Sheff_Wed        12    9   -8      46.87     9.62   -23.21     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.13P   52.48R   22.07  
Ipswich          12    7  -13      45.09     9.37   -28.28     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.08P   60.57R   28.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, Brentford vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        14   30  +18      79.40     8.81    26.30    16.41    32.62    76.10    43.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       14   29   +8      79.11     8.82    17.19    14.46    29.71    73.65    40.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       14   28   +8      84.86     8.78    27.61    36.94    57.00    89.87    67.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    14   28   +4      67.18     9.18    -3.72     1.51     4.05    23.60     6.81P    2.02R    0.07  
Notts_County    14   25  +11      76.39     9.02    22.49     9.42    21.67    64.19    32.44P    0.11R    0.01  
Doncaster       13   24   +6      75.30     9.49    15.13     8.28    18.69    58.02    28.55P    0.24R    0.01  
Swindon         14   22   +5      67.85     9.05     8.26     1.57     4.73    27.54    10.36P    1.45R    0.05  
Preston         14   21   +6      66.82     8.97     8.76     1.17     3.56    24.17     8.08P    1.90R    0.08  
Brentford       14   21   +4      66.76     8.85     6.99     1.11     3.41    23.28     8.30P    1.69R    0.06  
MK_Dons         14   20   +4      73.02     8.73    17.49     4.73    11.88    49.22    23.29P    0.27R    0.01  
Yeovil          14   19   +3      61.05     8.99    -0.43     0.23     0.81     9.28     2.34P    7.68R    0.58  
Colchester      14   19   -1      62.97     8.77    -0.71     0.36     1.25    11.93     3.30P    4.88R    0.27  
Carlisle        14   19   -6      60.06     8.85   -10.77     0.12     0.60     6.87     1.79P    9.65R    0.69  
Portsmouth      14   18   +0      70.59     9.30    13.23     3.32     8.55    39.31    17.86P    0.91R    0.02  
Walsall         14   18   -3      59.58     8.77    -6.25     0.11     0.43     6.25     1.48P   10.04R    0.86  
Crewe           14   17   -6      50.00     8.77   -23.42     0.02     0.05     0.72     0.18P   44.32R    8.51  
Oldham          13   16   +0      58.05     8.89    -4.09     0.08     0.32     4.83     1.13P   13.07R    1.30  
Leyton_Orient   14   16   -6      52.58     8.50   -16.73     0.01     0.05     1.01     0.21P   31.56R    4.28  
Bournemouth     14   15   -5      58.83     8.90    -4.97     0.09     0.40     5.54     1.51P   11.71R    1.02  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -4      52.14     8.96   -10.36     0.01     0.05     1.33     0.27P   32.81R    5.22  
Coventry        14   11   -8      55.31     9.10    -7.20     0.04     0.16     2.92     0.84P   21.48R    3.01  
Scunthorpe      14   10  -13      47.68     8.68   -22.38     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   53.68R   13.23  
Bury            14    8  -12      43.34     8.64   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   71.54R   27.25  
Hartlepool      14    7  -13      41.60     8.24   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.96R   33.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           14   32  +19      90.45     8.88    41.95    54.82    88.87    98.40    91.81P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            14   30  +19      86.03     8.94    37.89    30.80    77.49    95.54    82.75P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +8      68.83     9.26     7.67     1.35    11.72    42.23    18.19P    0.31R    0.04  
Cheltenham           14   25   +2      70.10     8.93     3.65     1.57    13.28    46.24    20.41P    0.17R    0.02  
Bradford             14   24   +7      68.09     8.93     7.21     0.82     9.52    38.89    15.84P    0.32R    0.05  
Rochdale             14   22   +2      71.89     9.38    10.96     2.53    19.45    55.35    29.53P    0.17R    0.03  
Rotherham            13   21   +5      71.15     9.26    12.35     2.15    17.27    52.40    25.94P    0.17R    0.03  
Torquay              14   21   +4      71.94     8.93    14.64     2.10    18.52    56.37    29.11P    0.09R    0.02  
York                 14   21   +2      58.89     8.96    -7.32     0.08     1.36     9.85     2.92P    4.43R    1.20  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +2      60.02     8.93    -4.61     0.10     1.60    12.20     3.45P    3.27R    0.79  
Exeter               14   20   +0      67.85     9.32     5.85     1.11    10.35    38.18    17.82P    0.52R    0.11  
Southend             14   18   +2      69.29     8.99    13.09     1.19    12.45    45.22    22.37P    0.23R    0.05  
Chesterfield         14   18   +0      67.23     9.27     8.09     0.86     8.96    35.97    16.55P    0.61R    0.12  
Morecambe            14   18   -2      61.72     8.95    -2.59     0.13     2.28    15.87     5.24P    2.39R    0.60  
Plymouth             14   17   +0      59.05     8.87    -2.96     0.08     1.32    10.47     3.49P    3.71R    0.92  
Accrington_Stanley   13   17   -5      58.90     9.12   -10.74     0.08     1.34    10.09     3.02P    4.89R    1.41  
Northampton          14   16   -3      54.64     8.77   -11.95     0.02     0.37     4.10     1.07P   10.18R    3.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   16   -7      58.59     8.85    -9.15     0.05     0.94     8.93     2.66P    4.82R    1.34  
Dag_&_Red            14   15   -2      56.21     8.91    -6.49     0.02     0.61     6.05     1.72P    7.75R    2.30  
Bristol_Rovers       13   14   -8      53.38     9.01   -17.75     0.01     0.29     3.37     0.91P   13.80R    4.41  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   14  -10      47.16     8.60   -29.20     0.01     0.03     0.58     0.11P   36.54R   16.01  
Wycombe              13   12   -8      59.41     9.67    -5.03     0.12     1.93    12.75     4.83P    5.03R    1.55  
Aldershot            14   11  -13      49.37     8.67   -21.19     0.00     0.04     0.92     0.23P   25.78R    9.89  
Barnet               14    7  -14      38.55     8.33   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.81R   56.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.10     8.74    22.62    11.49    68.72    21.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.94     8.41    36.10    35.36    90.56    54.72P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.45     8.49    30.76    27.90    86.72    46.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.81     8.64    31.14    13.00    73.43    29.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      77.04     8.79    21.42     5.43    52.02    15.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.46     9.35     6.70     0.87    18.59     3.94P    0.68R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.21     8.56    -6.02     0.03     3.01     0.43P    4.29R    0.50  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.17     8.48    -1.87     0.02     2.43     0.35P    4.96R    0.60  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.23     9.47    14.87     3.60    39.12    12.01P    0.15R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.25     9.17     5.38     1.32    23.07     5.85P    0.44R    0.05  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.12     8.78    -0.01     0.08     5.19     0.93P    2.90R    0.30  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.75     8.70     0.29     0.08     4.73     0.90P    3.12R    0.40  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.40     9.12   -16.89     0.02     0.89     0.13P   19.27R    4.13  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.22     9.08     3.28     0.42    11.98     3.06P    1.16R    0.11  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.47     8.66   -13.95     0.01     1.33     0.21P   10.01R    1.48  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      64.14     8.83     6.13     0.17     8.08     1.93P    1.71R    0.19  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.18     8.70   -11.55     0.01     1.05     0.15P   12.68R    2.26  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      52.07     8.65   -21.44     0.00     0.33     0.03P   22.58R    4.96  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.79     8.43   -24.08     0.00     0.23     0.04P   26.96R    6.09  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.64     8.82    -5.56     0.02     1.82     0.32P    8.10R    1.21  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.16     8.71     9.74     0.16     6.61     1.64P    1.96R    0.21  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.34     8.86   -30.84     0.00     0.04     0.00P   60.48R   26.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.36     8.53   -27.98     0.00     0.02     0.00P   55.75R   21.30  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.58     9.15   -28.25     0.00     0.04     0.00P   62.78R   29.87