Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      80.17     8.21    41.15    27.29    56.61    81.27    92.24    98.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.22     7.65    54.15    44.78    73.71    90.44    96.78    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.45     7.99    43.00    24.30    53.51    79.64    91.64    98.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      62.26     8.35    15.07     0.45     2.55     8.44    21.98    57.24     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.07     8.58    15.42     0.65     3.08    10.06    25.46    60.84     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.82     8.43    -2.30     0.02     0.15     0.82     3.22    16.02     1.34R    0.11  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.11     8.50   -12.42     0.00     0.05     0.24     0.96     6.05     5.85R    0.70  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.47     8.46     6.56     0.05     0.40     1.90     6.48    26.52     0.46R    0.02  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      67.99     8.38    31.60     2.39     9.42    24.51    50.64    81.68     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.76     8.08   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.29    10.79R    1.59  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.66     8.54    -3.34     0.01     0.13     0.66     2.66    13.91     1.93R    0.20  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.46     8.40     5.80     0.05     0.33     1.66     5.97    25.87     0.65R    0.06  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.21     8.29    -5.59     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.56     4.56     6.65R    0.93  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      47.80     8.53    -6.58     0.00     0.04     0.20     1.01     6.58     5.11R    0.70  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.40     8.10   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    40.12R   12.17  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.46     7.98   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22    42.93R   13.46  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.82     8.03   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48    26.85R    6.55  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.19     8.60   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    50.43R   20.24  
Reading        7    3   -6      35.02     8.70   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.32    45.66R   17.11  
QPR            8    3  -10      31.93     7.82   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.12R   26.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 October 2012, Blackburn vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        12   25   +9      80.76     9.45    22.77    24.44    41.89    78.54    51.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   25   +7      80.57     9.54    20.75    23.88    41.26    77.75    50.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    12   22   +2      70.55     9.48     4.85     4.24     9.92    38.11    16.06P    0.73R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   12   21   +1      63.34     9.20    -5.61     0.73     2.10    14.02     4.21P    4.16R    0.55  
Blackburn        12   20   +4      76.87    10.03    20.02    15.17    28.46    64.68    39.47P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    12   20   +4      73.22     9.93    14.05     7.76    16.80    50.49    25.85P    0.53R    0.04  
Huddersfield     12   20   +3      66.14     9.81     2.12     1.84     4.86    23.49     8.70P    2.77R    0.32  
Leeds_United     12   19   +2      67.56     9.67     4.56     2.49     6.04    28.21    10.74P    1.86R    0.21  
Hull             12   19   +1      67.19     9.28     3.43     1.83     4.83    25.66     9.62P    1.67R    0.15  
Brighton         12   18   +7      65.84     9.24     9.02     1.49     4.07    22.35     8.53P    2.06R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest    12   18   +3      65.60     9.31     4.68     1.25     3.58    21.20     7.56P    2.43R    0.31  
Blackpool        12   17   +4      73.08     9.73    18.99     7.61    16.80    51.06    26.73P    0.45R    0.03  
Derby            12   17   +3      61.30     9.32    -0.73     0.50     1.47    10.94     3.39P    6.30R    1.00  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.92     9.69     2.13     1.37     3.87    20.12     7.40P    3.48R    0.53  
Watford          12   16   -3      58.59     9.57   -10.36     0.28     0.92     7.04     2.15P   11.92R    2.20  
Bolton           12   15   -2      68.22    10.14     8.11     3.52     8.21    31.87    15.20P    2.05R    0.25  
Barnsley         12   15   -2      52.84     9.14   -15.86     0.04     0.16     1.82     0.43P   27.13R    6.71  
Charlton         12   13   -1      57.45     9.74    -4.18     0.19     0.74     6.27     1.96P   14.08R    2.96  
Millwall         12   13   -5      57.05     9.41    -9.52     0.16     0.51     4.91     1.44P   14.72R    3.00  
Birmingham       12   13   -7      64.69     9.60     0.53     1.16     3.34    19.20     7.76P    3.55R    0.47  
Bristol_City     12   11   -3      50.20     9.18   -16.05     0.02     0.07     0.99     0.24P   37.24R   11.56  
Peterborough     12    9   -7      47.72     9.32   -21.57     0.01     0.04     0.50     0.11P   48.56R   18.39  
Sheff_Wed        12    9   -8      46.77     9.60   -23.49     0.01     0.02     0.54     0.12P   52.76R   22.34  
Ipswich          12    7  -13      44.90     9.27   -28.64     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   61.30R   28.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, Brentford vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        14   30  +18      79.70     8.87    26.70    17.43    34.06    76.87    44.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       14   29   +8      78.99     8.81    17.06    14.12    28.93    73.20    39.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       14   28   +8      84.88     8.76    27.62    36.83    56.97    90.05    67.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    14   28   +4      67.36     9.12    -3.45     1.50     4.07    24.29     7.01P    1.93R    0.06  
Notts_County    14   25  +11      76.19     9.03    22.19     9.18    21.14    63.36    31.76P    0.13R    0.00  
Doncaster       13   24   +6      75.28     9.47    15.07     8.20    18.73    57.88    28.36P    0.24R    0.01  
Swindon         14   22   +5      67.64     9.02     7.97     1.57     4.57    26.77     9.75P    1.49R    0.07  
Preston         14   21   +6      66.79     8.97     8.75     1.17     3.52    24.11     7.99P    1.92R    0.08  
Brentford       14   21   +4      66.55     8.80     6.66     1.00     3.12    22.65     7.73P    1.83R    0.06  
MK_Dons         14   20   +4      73.20     8.74    17.72     4.69    12.32    50.62    24.13P    0.29R    0.01  
Yeovil          14   19   +3      61.15     8.98    -0.23     0.24     0.90     9.52     2.42P    7.51R    0.55  
Colchester      14   19   -1      62.95     8.84    -0.75     0.38     1.25    12.08     3.49P    5.12R    0.27  
Carlisle        14   19   -6      60.21     8.86   -10.51     0.14     0.51     7.16     1.72P    9.44R    0.68  
Portsmouth      14   18   +0      70.45     9.38    12.95     3.22     8.43    38.80    17.83P    0.89R    0.04  
Walsall         14   18   -3      59.32     8.85    -6.64     0.10     0.45     6.00     1.43P   10.75R    0.93  
Crewe           14   17   -6      50.24     8.85   -23.11     0.01     0.03     0.79     0.12P   43.43R    8.49  
Oldham          13   16   +0      58.05     8.85    -4.09     0.07     0.33     4.84     1.20P   12.92R    1.26  
Leyton_Orient   14   16   -6      52.72     8.47   -16.58     0.00     0.04     1.03     0.19P   30.93R    4.34  
Bournemouth     14   15   -5      58.63     8.82    -5.20     0.10     0.40     5.19     1.49P   12.06R    1.05  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -4      51.95     8.98   -10.55     0.01     0.04     1.22     0.27P   33.90R    5.44  
Coventry        14   11   -8      55.49     9.21    -6.96     0.04     0.19     3.15     0.97P   20.96R    2.84  
Scunthorpe      14   10  -13      47.83     8.64   -22.19     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   53.18R   12.41  
Bury            14    8  -12      43.28     8.65   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   72.06R   27.64  
Hartlepool      14    7  -13      41.56     8.34   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    78.98R   33.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           14   32  +19      90.53     8.86    42.11    55.12    89.16    98.52    91.96P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            14   30  +19      86.05     8.94    37.90    30.45    77.59    95.47    82.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +8      68.93     9.35     7.87     1.36    12.09    42.36    18.67P    0.29R    0.04  
Cheltenham           14   25   +2      69.81     8.92     3.19     1.51    12.47    44.88    19.64P    0.18R    0.05  
Bradford             14   24   +7      68.10     9.04     7.23     0.80     9.58    38.90    15.62P    0.39R    0.07  
Rochdale             14   22   +2      72.06     9.43    11.27     2.69    20.01    55.80    29.93P    0.19R    0.03  
Rotherham            13   21   +5      71.18     9.42    12.38     2.27    17.62    52.72    26.38P    0.22R    0.03  
Torquay              14   21   +4      71.63     8.97    14.17     1.93    17.93    55.25    28.24P    0.10R    0.01  
York                 14   21   +2      58.91     8.91    -7.23     0.11     1.35     9.80     2.94P    4.31R    1.11  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +2      60.04     9.00    -4.51     0.10     1.66    12.37     3.49P    3.50R    0.92  
Exeter               14   20   +0      67.56     9.39     5.40     0.98     9.74    37.10    17.16P    0.58R    0.12  
Southend             14   18   +2      69.30     8.95    13.09     1.16    12.34    45.36    22.46P    0.26R    0.06  
Chesterfield         14   18   +0      67.50     9.31     8.49     0.93     9.30    37.46    17.33P    0.58R    0.14  
Morecambe            14   18   -2      61.95     8.95    -2.23     0.21     2.55    16.83     5.63P    2.18R    0.54  
Plymouth             14   17   +0      59.10     8.80    -2.91     0.08     1.17    10.35     3.27P    3.66R    0.97  
Accrington_Stanley   13   17   -5      58.89     9.15   -10.80     0.10     1.34    10.08     2.97P    4.83R    1.43  
Northampton          14   16   -3      54.70     8.87   -11.83     0.01     0.38     4.33     1.10P   10.27R    3.10  
Oxford_Utd           14   16   -7      58.64     8.81    -9.06     0.04     0.98     8.89     2.64P    4.50R    1.20  
Dag_&_Red            14   15   -2      56.14     8.93    -6.63     0.02     0.60     5.96     1.70P    7.47R    2.27  
Bristol_Rovers       13   14   -8      53.38     9.08   -17.79     0.01     0.29     3.39     0.92P   14.05R    4.62  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   14  -10      47.07     8.60   -29.37     0.00     0.03     0.53     0.12P   36.95R   16.23  
Wycombe              13   12   -8      59.27     9.72    -5.29     0.12     1.78    12.64     4.74P    5.26R    1.63  
Aldershot            14   11  -13      49.43     8.69   -21.13     0.00     0.04     0.97     0.23P   25.54R    9.84  
Barnet               14    7  -14      38.58     8.38   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.69R   55.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.15     8.74    22.68    11.50    68.99    21.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.87     8.29    35.97    34.88    90.71    54.48P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.27     8.58    30.47    27.53    85.96    46.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      82.03     8.63    31.52    13.58    74.39    29.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      77.09     8.74    21.48     5.55    51.86    15.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.52     9.45     6.83     1.07    18.94     4.08P    0.73R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      59.96     8.52    -6.43     0.05     2.80     0.37P    4.42R    0.57  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.58     8.58    -1.23     0.03     2.78     0.39P    4.72R    0.58  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.09     9.40    14.66     3.43    38.63    11.89P    0.18R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.30     9.18     5.46     1.38    23.23     5.89P    0.41R    0.03  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.10     8.69    -0.01     0.11     4.98     0.94P    2.67R    0.31  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.81     8.70     0.43     0.08     4.74     0.96P    2.89R    0.32  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.64     9.19   -16.50     0.01     0.99     0.16P   18.40R    3.94  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.33     9.06     3.45     0.46    12.31     3.28P    1.08R    0.11  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.43     8.66   -14.07     0.00     1.21     0.17P   10.07R    1.50  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.97     8.83     5.89     0.19     7.86     1.82P    1.81R    0.18  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.21     8.67   -11.44     0.01     0.87     0.14P   12.46R    2.16  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.95     8.64   -21.58     0.01     0.35     0.04P   22.87R    4.90  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.71     8.46   -24.21     0.00     0.20     0.02P   27.15R    6.06  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.83     8.75    -5.31     0.01     1.94     0.36P    7.48R    1.05  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      62.90     8.70     9.28     0.10     6.17     1.59P    2.23R    0.22  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.36     8.94   -30.72     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.44R   26.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.31     8.46   -28.05     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.30R   21.09  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.38     9.12   -28.58     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.61R   30.80