Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 24 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      80.00     8.19    40.86    26.56    55.65    80.66    92.11    98.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.40     7.64    54.49    45.79    74.66    90.88    96.95    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.38     7.97    42.67    24.05    53.45    79.59    91.58    98.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      62.03     8.41    14.71     0.44     2.42     8.22    21.16    56.26     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.19     8.68    15.67     0.66     3.39    10.61    26.05    61.46     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.73     8.45    -2.45     0.02     0.17     0.81     3.20    16.15     1.35R    0.14  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.09     8.48   -12.43     0.01     0.05     0.23     0.92     5.88     5.96R    0.79  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.58     8.57     6.74     0.07     0.44     1.96     6.81    27.08     0.55R    0.03  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      68.06     8.31    31.66     2.35     9.26    24.52    51.17    81.90     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.70     8.08   -13.17     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.29     2.37    10.85R    1.67  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.72     8.53    -3.26     0.01     0.12     0.66     2.69    14.15     1.96R    0.22  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.34     8.34     5.63     0.03     0.33     1.49     5.50    25.32     0.61R    0.07  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.04     8.25    -5.70     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.49     4.31     6.75R    0.95  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      47.85     8.50    -6.53     0.01     0.03     0.21     0.95     6.64     5.16R    0.72  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.39     8.10   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    40.38R   12.36  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.53     7.94   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22    42.51R   13.12  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.80     8.06   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.54    27.13R    6.56  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.40     8.67   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    49.91R   19.62  
Reading        7    3   -6      35.09     8.70   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.32    45.32R   16.99  
QPR            8    3  -10      31.85     7.82   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.49R   26.76  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 October 2012, Blackburn vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        12   25   +9      80.79     9.44    22.84    24.62    42.06    78.91    51.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   25   +7      80.56     9.54    20.71    24.13    41.24    77.31    50.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    12   22   +2      70.63     9.47     4.93     4.07     9.94    38.42    16.02P    0.77R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   12   21   +1      63.45     9.15    -5.51     0.78     2.15    14.23     4.17P    3.89R    0.51  
Blackburn        12   20   +4      76.84    10.13    20.00    15.18    28.39    64.52    39.34P    0.24R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    12   20   +4      73.26     9.88    14.07     7.67    16.71    50.62    25.93P    0.48R    0.05  
Huddersfield     12   20   +3      66.45     9.82     2.48     1.94     5.16    24.52     9.36P    2.51R    0.30  
Leeds_United     12   19   +2      67.55     9.63     4.56     2.27     6.12    28.06    10.88P    1.79R    0.21  
Hull             12   19   +1      66.78     9.27     2.90     1.56     4.45    24.26     8.94P    1.82R    0.17  
Brighton         12   18   +7      65.86     9.26     9.04     1.44     3.96    22.48     8.33P    2.06R    0.23  
Nott'm_Forest    12   18   +3      65.51     9.27     4.52     1.27     3.60    20.67     7.41P    2.36R    0.27  
Blackpool        12   17   +4      73.26     9.78    19.34     7.79    17.29    51.95    27.43P    0.51R    0.03  
Derby            12   17   +3      61.37     9.31    -0.65     0.51     1.40    11.02     3.26P    6.41R    0.92  
Burnley          12   17   +1      65.18     9.78     2.55     1.53     4.16    21.15     7.98P    3.35R    0.48  
Watford          12   16   -3      58.56     9.44   -10.45     0.21     0.74     6.53     1.84P   11.73R    2.05  
Bolton           12   15   -2      68.08    10.13     7.88     3.44     7.90    31.45    14.74P    2.23R    0.32  
Barnsley         12   15   -2      52.81     9.06   -15.96     0.04     0.12     1.75     0.40P   26.94R    6.37  
Charlton         12   13   -1      57.19     9.69    -4.53     0.24     0.67     5.71     1.75P   14.62R    3.06  
Millwall         12   13   -5      57.14     9.35    -9.40     0.16     0.51     4.91     1.45P   14.19R    2.85  
Birmingham       12   13   -7      64.72     9.53     0.57     1.12     3.27    19.02     7.80P    3.44R    0.46  
Bristol_City     12   11   -3      50.35     9.32   -15.82     0.02     0.09     1.16     0.28P   36.86R   11.42  
Peterborough     12    9   -7      47.57     9.36   -21.80     0.01     0.04     0.59     0.12P   49.21R   18.70  
Sheff_Wed        12    9   -8      46.75     9.67   -23.49     0.01     0.02     0.57     0.12P   52.85R   22.34  
Ipswich          12    7  -13      44.76     9.25   -28.77     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   61.67R   29.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, Brentford vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        14   30  +18      79.42     8.83    26.32    16.43    32.79    75.81    42.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       14   29   +8      79.18     8.79    17.32    14.32    29.90    74.06    40.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       14   28   +8      85.07     8.76    27.96    37.41    57.64    90.09    68.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    14   28   +4      67.35     9.14    -3.41     1.55     4.21    24.49     7.18P    1.95R    0.06  
Notts_County    14   25  +11      76.11     8.98    22.09     9.00    20.43    63.08    30.96P    0.12R    0.00  
Doncaster       13   24   +6      75.38     9.51    15.20     8.37    18.89    58.49    28.76P    0.29R    0.01  
Swindon         14   22   +5      67.75     9.06     8.08     1.65     4.71    27.10    10.17P    1.49R    0.04  
Preston         14   21   +6      66.87     9.01     8.79     1.26     3.72    24.30     8.24P    1.99R    0.07  
Brentford       14   21   +4      66.62     8.79     6.82     0.99     3.19    22.66     7.80P    1.73R    0.07  
MK_Dons         14   20   +4      73.12     8.71    17.57     4.81    12.08    50.00    23.77P    0.27R    0.00  
Yeovil          14   19   +3      61.17     8.96    -0.25     0.27     0.90     9.40     2.41P    7.30R    0.56  
Colchester      14   19   -1      62.88     8.88    -0.94     0.29     1.18    12.10     3.49P    5.13R    0.29  
Carlisle        14   19   -6      60.01     8.91   -10.86     0.19     0.60     6.86     1.73P    9.99R    0.70  
Portsmouth      14   18   +0      70.50     9.31    13.11     3.18     8.41    38.99    17.90P    0.93R    0.05  
Walsall         14   18   -3      59.46     8.78    -6.40     0.11     0.41     6.09     1.49P   10.30R    0.82  
Crewe           14   17   -6      50.13     8.73   -23.34     0.01     0.03     0.69     0.14P   43.40R    8.42  
Oldham          13   16   +0      57.96     8.83    -4.19     0.05     0.28     4.71     1.14P   13.16R    1.23  
Leyton_Orient   14   16   -6      52.55     8.51   -16.80     0.01     0.06     1.08     0.21P   31.69R    4.47  
Bournemouth     14   15   -5      58.81     8.84    -4.98     0.07     0.34     5.43     1.40P   11.74R    1.10  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -4      51.99     8.92   -10.55     0.01     0.04     1.22     0.28P   33.58R    5.39  
Coventry        14   11   -8      55.53     9.09    -6.85     0.04     0.18     2.99     0.94P   20.80R    2.66  
Scunthorpe      14   10  -13      47.83     8.65   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   52.95R   12.46  
Bury            14    8  -12      43.27     8.64   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   72.14R   27.39  
Hartlepool      14    7  -13      41.50     8.37   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   79.01R   34.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           14   32  +19      90.66     8.94    42.25    55.07    89.05    98.40    91.91P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            14   30  +19      86.16     8.94    38.05    30.49    77.90    95.70    82.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +8      68.42     9.27     7.05     1.12    10.69    40.42    16.91P    0.39R    0.05  
Cheltenham           14   25   +2      69.93     8.92     3.42     1.54    12.60    45.59    19.64P    0.17R    0.04  
Bradford             14   24   +7      68.04     9.00     7.15     0.84     9.51    38.41    15.60P    0.32R    0.05  
Rochdale             14   22   +2      71.97     9.40    11.14     2.65    19.76    55.66    29.69P    0.16R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   21   +5      71.48     9.30    12.87     2.45    18.42    53.76    27.51P    0.16R    0.02  
Torquay              14   21   +4      71.82     8.97    14.45     2.08    18.35    56.11    28.66P    0.09R    0.02  
York                 14   21   +2      58.89     8.93    -7.31     0.08     1.28     9.84     2.86P    4.37R    1.06  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +2      60.27     9.01    -4.24     0.11     1.74    13.05     3.79P    3.18R    0.80  
Exeter               14   20   +0      67.48     9.43     5.28     1.00     9.77    36.96    17.14P    0.63R    0.14  
Southend             14   18   +2      69.41     8.94    13.30     1.23    12.62    45.84    22.81P    0.24R    0.04  
Chesterfield         14   18   +0      67.28     9.33     8.11     0.85     9.08    36.42    16.93P    0.64R    0.14  
Morecambe            14   18   -2      61.78     8.93    -2.45     0.15     2.34    16.11     5.33P    2.18R    0.57  
Plymouth             14   17   +0      59.15     8.85    -2.79     0.07     1.25    10.58     3.37P    3.47R    0.87  
Accrington_Stanley   13   17   -5      59.15     9.16   -10.40     0.08     1.44    10.48     3.15P    4.65R    1.31  
Northampton          14   16   -3      54.62     8.86   -12.05     0.02     0.36     4.04     1.08P   10.25R    3.13  
Oxford_Utd           14   16   -7      58.72     8.89    -8.92     0.04     1.01     9.28     2.91P    4.69R    1.26  
Dag_&_Red            14   15   -2      56.26     8.84    -6.43     0.02     0.63     5.91     1.72P    7.32R    2.26  
Bristol_Rovers       13   14   -8      53.29     9.00   -17.91     0.02     0.28     3.15     0.90P   13.84R    4.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   14  -10      46.98     8.49   -29.57     0.00     0.03     0.48     0.10P   36.88R   15.97  
Wycombe              13   12   -8      59.37     9.66    -5.14     0.12     1.87    12.80     4.80P    5.08R    1.37  
Aldershot            14   11  -13      49.36     8.66   -21.22     0.00     0.03     0.99     0.24P   25.61R    9.57  
Barnet               14    7  -14      38.34     8.37   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    75.68R   56.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.06     8.80    22.53    11.63    68.63    22.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.87     8.33    35.98    35.06    90.71    54.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.18     8.54    30.30    27.31    86.10    46.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.90     8.55    31.33    13.52    74.07    29.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.95     8.83    21.26     5.55    51.59    15.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.51     9.37     6.81     1.00    18.75     3.95P    0.66R    0.05  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.14     8.53    -6.16     0.03     2.99     0.40P    4.38R    0.51  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.41     8.50    -1.54     0.04     2.57     0.38P    4.82R    0.60  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.16     9.49    14.72     3.46    39.11    12.01P    0.18R    0.03  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.34     9.13     5.49     1.38    23.34     6.04P    0.46R    0.04  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.04     8.79    -0.07     0.12     5.24     0.94P    2.98R    0.32  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.82     8.66     0.44     0.07     4.70     0.96P    3.05R    0.34  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.66     9.21   -16.35     0.01     1.02     0.15P   18.70R    3.98  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.33     9.03     3.46     0.45    12.26     3.25P    1.08R    0.11  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.50     8.66   -13.99     0.02     1.42     0.20P    9.68R    1.44  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.79     8.74     5.59     0.16     7.54     1.68P    1.84R    0.20  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.20     8.67   -11.42     0.01     0.93     0.15P   12.83R    2.31  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      52.05     8.66   -21.49     0.01     0.38     0.04P   22.88R    4.87  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.73     8.44   -24.14     0.00     0.20     0.02P   27.19R    6.10  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.65     8.74    -5.57     0.03     1.70     0.29P    7.60R    1.09  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.14     8.70     9.76     0.13     6.65     1.70P    2.01R    0.23  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.27     8.82   -30.93     0.00     0.03     0.01P   61.01R   26.62  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.64     8.51   -27.51     0.00     0.04     0.00P   54.54R   20.28  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.38     9.11   -28.53     0.00     0.03     0.00P   64.06R   30.88