Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      80.14     8.15    41.12    26.88    56.21    81.14    92.29    98.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.33     7.64    54.33    45.22    74.03    90.73    96.92    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.52     7.99    43.11    24.39    53.76    79.78    91.61    98.61     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      62.29     8.38    15.15     0.49     2.52     8.45    22.09    57.41     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.05     8.64    15.38     0.61     3.18    10.10    25.48    60.81     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.66     8.45    -2.56     0.03     0.18     0.79     3.16    16.11     1.49R    0.14  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.17     8.48   -12.34     0.01     0.04     0.22     0.96     6.05     5.77R    0.79  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.35     8.44     6.39     0.04     0.38     1.81     6.20    25.94     0.50R    0.05  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      68.04     8.38    31.73     2.28     9.20    24.45    50.97    81.88     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.62     8.07   -13.33     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.29     2.32    11.17R    1.66  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.73     8.53    -3.22     0.00     0.12     0.64     2.70    14.11     1.93R    0.23  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.39     8.39     5.74     0.04     0.33     1.57     5.77    25.64     0.58R    0.06  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.13     8.25    -5.59     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.49     4.49     6.53R    0.89  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      47.91     8.48    -6.46     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.97     6.70     4.89R    0.72  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.47     8.09   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    39.85R   11.96  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.38     7.93   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    43.50R   13.67  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.81     8.10   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.57    27.18R    6.67  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.30     8.64   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    50.02R   19.99  
Reading        7    3   -6      34.97     8.62   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    45.68R   17.21  
QPR            8    3  -10      32.00     7.81   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    60.81R   25.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, Barnsley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        12   25   +9      80.90     9.48    23.01    25.21    42.96    79.17    52.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   25   +7      80.65     9.54    20.87    24.44    41.57    77.89    51.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    12   22   +2      70.58     9.46     4.86     3.96     9.85    38.71    15.94P    0.82R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   12   21   +1      63.44     9.25    -5.57     0.77     2.27    14.57     4.48P    4.11R    0.56  
Wolverhampton    12   20   +4      73.45     9.92    14.36     8.10    17.49    51.68    26.93P    0.45R    0.03  
Huddersfield     12   20   +3      66.25     9.75     2.26     1.85     4.82    23.90     8.90P    2.63R    0.28  
Leeds_United     12   19   +2      67.58     9.65     4.56     2.42     6.09    28.36    10.83P    1.87R    0.21  
Hull             12   19   +1      67.02     9.26     3.24     1.76     4.89    25.12     9.35P    1.74R    0.17  
Brighton         12   18   +7      65.82     9.21     8.97     1.37     3.93    22.31     8.20P    2.05R    0.19  
Nott'm_Forest    12   18   +3      65.50     9.32     4.46     1.26     3.65    20.83     7.46P    2.57R    0.28  
Blackpool        12   17   +4      73.03     9.78    18.96     7.61    16.70    50.75    26.66P    0.59R    0.05  
Derby            12   17   +3      61.22     9.33    -0.86     0.49     1.46    10.68     3.37P    6.53R    0.94  
Blackburn        11   17   +3      76.41    10.18    21.15    14.46    27.42    63.45    38.53P    0.28R    0.03  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.94     9.69     2.07     1.39     3.73    20.37     7.50P    3.59R    0.51  
Watford          12   16   -3      58.62     9.50   -10.34     0.23     0.90     7.04     2.14P   11.73R    2.06  
Bolton           12   15   -2      67.91    10.00     7.60     3.14     7.51    30.74    14.15P    2.07R    0.32  
Barnsley         12   15   -2      52.77     9.10   -15.99     0.04     0.13     1.64     0.40P   27.79R    6.77  
Charlton         12   13   -1      57.06     9.64    -4.78     0.19     0.63     5.63     1.76P   14.99R    3.21  
Millwall         12   13   -5      56.95     9.28    -9.70     0.11     0.46     4.72     1.30P   15.01R    2.97  
Birmingham       12   13   -7      64.85     9.55     0.84     1.14     3.36    19.72     7.94P    3.51R    0.44  
Bristol_City     12   11   -3      50.38     9.29   -15.76     0.01     0.06     1.09     0.23P   36.95R   11.51  
Sheff_Wed        11    9   -7      47.57     9.88   -23.93     0.03     0.07     0.83     0.24P   50.17R   21.17  
Peterborough     12    9   -7      47.79     9.35   -21.53     0.01     0.03     0.58     0.15P   48.55R   18.35  
Ipswich          12    7  -13      44.80     9.32   -28.75     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.06P   61.93R   29.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, Brentford vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        14   30  +18      79.61     8.88    26.58    17.31    33.76    76.89    43.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       14   29   +8      79.02     8.76    17.09    14.11    29.42    73.42    40.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       14   28   +8      84.69     8.79    27.38    36.17    56.04    89.58    66.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    14   28   +4      67.34     9.06    -3.42     1.48     3.99    24.04     6.85P    1.93R    0.05  
Notts_County    14   25  +11      76.16     9.11    22.09     9.37    21.23    63.23    31.52P    0.15R    0.00  
Doncaster       13   24   +6      75.27     9.52    15.02     8.35    18.92    57.59    28.49P    0.26R    0.01  
Swindon         14   22   +5      67.61     9.07     7.96     1.56     4.47    26.84     9.86P    1.55R    0.06  
Preston         14   21   +6      67.02     8.94     9.07     1.34     3.87    24.82     8.59P    1.81R    0.07  
Brentford       14   21   +4      66.66     8.83     6.81     1.10     3.36    23.14     8.22P    1.73R    0.06  
MK_Dons         14   20   +4      73.08     8.75    17.54     4.74    12.23    49.89    23.88P    0.25R    0.00  
Yeovil          14   19   +3      61.18     8.99    -0.27     0.25     0.86     9.51     2.41P    7.34R    0.48  
Colchester      14   19   -1      62.86     8.76    -0.91     0.31     1.20    11.81     3.43P    5.00R    0.27  
Carlisle        14   19   -6      60.15     8.92   -10.60     0.15     0.57     7.17     1.91P    9.73R    0.75  
Portsmouth      14   18   +0      70.48     9.38    13.04     3.44     8.67    38.93    17.96P    1.02R    0.05  
Walsall         14   18   -3      59.81     8.85    -5.93     0.12     0.48     6.78     1.64P    9.64R    0.83  
Crewe           14   17   -6      50.33     8.77   -22.90     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.15P   42.84R    8.15  
Oldham          13   16   +0      57.90     8.82    -4.32     0.07     0.28     4.62     1.10P   13.41R    1.25  
Leyton_Orient   14   16   -6      52.79     8.48   -16.43     0.00     0.04     1.11     0.23P   30.54R    4.07  
Bournemouth     14   15   -5      58.84     8.85    -4.91     0.10     0.38     5.44     1.46P   11.70R    1.01  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -4      51.83     8.94   -10.76     0.00     0.04     1.14     0.27P   34.28R    5.42  
Coventry        14   11   -8      55.47     9.16    -6.98     0.02     0.14     3.01     0.88P   21.13R    2.79  
Scunthorpe      14   10  -13      47.89     8.67   -22.05     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   52.94R   12.29  
Bury            14    8  -12      43.07     8.56   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   72.89R   27.81  
Hartlepool      14    7  -13      41.34     8.34   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.80R   34.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           14   32  +19      90.41     8.87    41.84    54.47    88.78    98.38    91.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            14   30  +19      86.22     8.96    38.18    31.10    77.97    95.72    83.06P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +8      68.82     9.21     7.74     1.33    11.56    41.72    17.96P    0.29R    0.06  
Cheltenham           14   25   +2      69.99     8.89     3.47     1.51    13.01    45.43    19.99P    0.17R    0.02  
Bradford             14   24   +7      68.09     9.00     7.25     0.88     9.31    38.67    15.54P    0.29R    0.04  
Rochdale             14   22   +2      71.86     9.43    10.95     2.62    19.47    54.96    29.38P    0.14R    0.02  
Rotherham            13   21   +5      71.27     9.26    12.53     2.28    17.55    53.00    26.41P    0.18R    0.03  
Torquay              14   21   +4      71.95     8.97    14.60     2.09    18.60    56.38    29.09P    0.10R    0.02  
York                 14   21   +2      58.71     8.96    -7.57     0.07     1.33     9.61     2.89P    4.56R    1.11  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +2      60.30     9.00    -4.17     0.11     1.69    13.02     3.74P    3.17R    0.88  
Exeter               14   20   +0      67.52     9.36     5.31     0.96     9.51    37.17    16.63P    0.55R    0.12  
Southend             14   18   +2      69.36     9.02    13.15     1.25    12.62    45.33    22.83P    0.25R    0.06  
Chesterfield         14   18   +0      67.17     9.30     7.96     0.80     8.82    36.19    16.82P    0.59R    0.14  
Morecambe            14   18   -2      61.96     9.02    -2.21     0.16     2.60    16.74     5.61P    2.25R    0.59  
Plymouth             14   17   +0      59.10     8.87    -2.90     0.06     1.33    10.45     3.37P    3.67R    0.89  
Accrington_Stanley   13   17   -5      59.31     9.17   -10.15     0.10     1.55    10.86     3.31P    4.35R    1.24  
Northampton          14   16   -3      54.66     8.80   -11.95     0.01     0.41     4.13     1.15P    9.97R    2.87  
Oxford_Utd           14   16   -7      58.51     8.87    -9.24     0.05     0.96     8.79     2.69P    4.81R    1.36  
Dag_&_Red            14   15   -2      56.10     8.88    -6.67     0.02     0.56     5.90     1.67P    7.43R    2.22  
Bristol_Rovers       13   14   -8      53.24     9.07   -17.97     0.01     0.28     3.25     0.90P   14.32R    4.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   14  -10      47.04     8.57   -29.33     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.10P   36.77R   16.12  
Wycombe              13   12   -8      59.48     9.66    -4.95     0.11     2.00    12.85     4.87P    5.09R    1.47  
Aldershot            14   11  -13      49.35     8.69   -21.19     0.00     0.05     0.93     0.24P   25.63R    9.73  
Barnet               14    7  -14      38.36     8.33   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   75.42R   56.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.10     8.80    22.60    11.81    68.67    22.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.89     8.32    36.03    35.03    90.65    54.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.25     8.51    30.39    27.40    86.07    46.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.88     8.62    31.27    13.32    73.89    29.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.98     8.81    21.39     5.48    51.55    15.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.64     9.53     6.99     1.10    19.38     4.23P    0.71R    0.07  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.02     8.59    -6.33     0.06     2.83     0.40P    4.57R    0.52  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.42     8.53    -1.51     0.05     2.68     0.42P    4.71R    0.63  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.35     9.45    15.04     3.66    39.73    12.42P    0.15R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.34     9.10     5.53     1.19    23.05     5.68P    0.42R    0.04  
Stockport          15   20   +1      61.95     8.71    -0.25     0.08     4.86     0.82P    2.90R    0.32  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.79     8.73     0.41     0.08     4.66     0.92P    3.02R    0.35  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.63     9.23   -16.42     0.02     0.92     0.13P   18.77R    4.09  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.31     9.03     3.36     0.41    12.16     3.28P    1.08R    0.08  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.59     8.64   -13.79     0.02     1.39     0.21P    9.71R    1.42  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.83     8.80     5.66     0.16     7.63     1.74P    1.77R    0.17  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.30     8.66   -11.33     0.01     0.95     0.13P   12.32R    2.13  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.96     8.66   -21.62     0.00     0.36     0.04P   22.97R    4.90  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.80     8.42   -24.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   26.65R    5.93  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.58     8.78    -5.68     0.02     1.79     0.36P    8.07R    1.16  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.06     8.70     9.57     0.09     6.44     1.50P    2.02R    0.25  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.06     8.81   -31.25     0.00     0.04     0.00    62.21R   26.96  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.46     8.50   -27.78     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.38R   20.65  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.59     9.23   -28.26     0.00     0.03     0.01P   62.54R   30.31