Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      79.99     8.18    40.85    26.24    55.39    80.48    92.13    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.31     7.67    54.30    45.50    74.01    90.54    96.67    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.57     7.96    43.17    24.61    54.55    79.99    91.91    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      62.24     8.38    15.05     0.45     2.41     8.37    21.81    56.89     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.21     8.67    15.75     0.69     3.34    10.67    26.09    61.26     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.86     8.46    -2.22     0.02     0.16     0.82     3.16    16.16     1.37R    0.11  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.17     8.53   -12.32     0.01     0.04     0.24     0.98     5.92     5.97R    0.77  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.58     8.44     6.73     0.05     0.47     1.95     6.60    26.77     0.46R    0.03  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      67.95     8.35    31.49     2.39     9.13    24.36    50.44    81.57     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.63     8.11   -13.29     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.31     2.38    10.93R    1.75  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.64     8.53    -3.33     0.01     0.12     0.62     2.56    13.80     1.91R    0.22  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.41     8.40     5.72     0.03     0.32     1.54     5.70    25.77     0.62R    0.05  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.04     8.22    -5.77     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.48     4.38     6.49R    0.90  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      47.90     8.57    -6.47     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.06     6.75     4.94R    0.70  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.35     8.10   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    40.09R   12.49  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.52     8.03   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    42.72R   13.45  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.88     8.04   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49    26.50R    6.35  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.14     8.62   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    50.83R   19.99  
Reading        7    3   -6      34.82     8.66   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.33    46.42R   17.45  
QPR            8    3  -10      31.98     7.82   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    60.64R   25.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2012, Birmingham vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        11   22   +8      79.38     9.74    22.16    20.58    36.19    73.28    45.78P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          11   22   +6      79.65     9.70    20.89    21.35    36.92    74.07    46.90P    0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield     11   20   +5      69.16    10.11     6.61     3.94     8.97    33.57    14.13P    1.59R    0.18  
Crystal_Palace   11   20   +1      63.62     9.49    -5.80     0.87     2.49    15.10     4.77P    4.39R    0.70  
Wolverhampton    11   19   +4      74.24    10.20    15.01     9.71    19.91    53.48    29.17P    0.46R    0.07  
Hull             11   19   +3      68.97     9.46     6.17     2.80     7.21    31.63    12.62P    1.16R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    11   19   +0      67.99     9.67     1.39     2.52     6.26    28.23    11.03P    1.78R    0.20  
Brighton         11   18   +8      67.06     9.43     9.79     2.10     5.36    26.03    10.16P    1.74R    0.15  
Leeds_United     11   18   +2      68.47     9.91     5.41     3.14     7.66    31.07    12.58P    1.68R    0.17  
Blackburn        11   17   +3      76.49    10.19    21.25    14.71    27.33    62.98    38.42P    0.23R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    11   17   +3      65.06     9.46     3.29     1.32     3.43    19.15     6.86P    2.98R    0.32  
Blackpool        11   16   +4      74.30     9.98    20.31     9.86    20.14    55.00    30.36P    0.38R    0.03  
Watford          11   16   -2      59.43     9.65   -10.26     0.37     1.08     8.02     2.41P   10.44R    1.91  
Derby            11   14   +2      58.99     9.58    -2.79     0.30     0.92     7.46     2.17P   10.75R    1.97  
Burnley          11   14   +0      62.59     9.92     0.01     0.96     2.59    14.56     5.24P    5.96R    0.92  
Bolton           11   14   -2      67.81    10.42     6.75     3.66     8.19    30.48    14.62P    2.55R    0.34  
Barnsley         11   14   -2      53.36     9.27   -15.62     0.06     0.18     2.06     0.52P   25.64R    6.21  
Charlton         11   12   -1      56.90     9.95    -5.63     0.19     0.68     5.66     1.83P   16.14R    3.74  
Millwall         11   12   -5      57.25     9.52    -9.60     0.19     0.56     5.03     1.48P   14.76R    2.96  
Birmingham       11   12   -7      65.04     9.71     0.55     1.32     3.67    19.70     8.10P    3.43R    0.49  
Bristol_City     11   11   -2      52.23     9.50   -13.60     0.04     0.15     1.89     0.49P   29.89R    8.21  
Sheff_Wed        11    9   -7      47.31     9.88   -24.28     0.02     0.07     0.70     0.18P   50.86R   21.29  
Ipswich          11    7  -12      47.00     9.54   -26.19     0.00     0.03     0.53     0.11P   52.19R   21.33  
Peterborough     11    6   -9      44.80     9.60   -25.81     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   60.87R   28.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2012, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        13   30  +19      81.50     9.04    28.34    22.66    40.97    82.34    50.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       13   26   +7      76.96     9.01    15.46     9.66    21.54    65.55    31.82P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       13   25   +7      84.01     8.90    27.90    32.00    51.93    88.23    63.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    13   25   +2      63.79     9.33    -8.44     0.65     2.04    15.02     3.87P    4.98R    0.24  
Notts_County    13   24  +11      77.38     9.20    23.40    11.37    24.66    68.25    35.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon         13   22   +6      70.42     9.32    11.05     3.14     7.94    38.06    15.03P    0.78R    0.02  
Doncaster       12   21   +5      72.56     9.60    12.48     5.16    12.18    46.87    20.53P    0.62R    0.02  
MK_Dons         13   20   +6      75.92     8.92    21.81     8.41    19.31    63.04    33.09P    0.10R    0.00  
Preston         13   18   +5      64.85     9.20     7.27     0.77     2.47    18.81     5.99P    3.46R    0.17  
Brentford       13   18   +3      64.61     9.02     5.28     0.66     2.14    17.68     5.76P    3.17R    0.17  
Portsmouth      13   18   +1      72.13     9.46    14.48     4.59    11.26    46.28    21.60P    0.67R    0.01  
Walsall         13   18   -2      60.37     9.07    -6.20     0.22     0.75     7.97     2.01P    9.28R    0.80  
Oldham          12   16   +2      60.15     9.06    -0.91     0.17     0.65     7.98     2.06P    9.16R    0.65  
Yeovil          13   16   +1      58.31     9.14    -4.05     0.11     0.40     5.92     1.32P   13.60R    1.26  
Colchester      13   16   -3      60.20     9.03    -4.38     0.15     0.57     7.72     2.01P    9.45R    0.78  
Leyton_Orient   13   16   -4      54.91     8.79   -13.15     0.03     0.11     2.25     0.45P   22.96R    2.55  
Carlisle        13   16   -8      57.75     8.97   -13.65     0.07     0.29     4.46     0.98P   15.35R    1.44  
Bournemouth     13   14   -5      58.44     9.00    -5.95     0.07     0.34     5.34     1.39P   12.94R    1.20  
Crewe           13   14   -7      47.72     9.03   -25.35     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.06P   54.59R   13.54  
Shrewsbury      13   13   -2      54.59     9.14    -6.56     0.03     0.13     2.54     0.65P   23.78R    2.94  
Coventry        13   11   -7      57.02     9.37    -5.57     0.07     0.28     4.61     1.31P   17.09R    1.91  
Scunthorpe      13   10  -12      49.32     8.79   -20.68     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.09P   46.55R    9.13  
Hartlepool      13    7  -12      43.07     8.52   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   73.06R   26.70  
Bury            13    5  -13      41.26     8.78   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   78.25R   36.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2012, Aldershot vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           13   32  +20      92.54     9.05    44.21    59.18    91.60    98.93    93.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            13   29  +19      87.07     9.21    39.08    29.67    79.44    96.02    84.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       13   22   +7      65.64     9.54     4.30     0.54     6.84    30.23    11.83P    0.70R    0.14  
Cheltenham           13   22   +1      68.16     9.17     2.14     0.87     9.71    38.06    15.78P    0.31R    0.05  
Bradford             13   21   +6      65.93     9.22     5.35     0.43     6.58    30.55    11.59P    0.54R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +2      59.88     9.26    -5.62     0.07     1.83    12.36     3.63P    3.35R    0.80  
Exeter               13   19   +0      68.31     9.61     5.99     1.00    11.04    40.15    18.97P    0.38R    0.07  
Rochdale             13   19   +0      69.77     9.69     8.26     1.42    14.14    45.89    22.89P    0.31R    0.06  
Rotherham            12   18   +4      69.74     9.59    11.67     1.51    14.30    46.40    22.57P    0.26R    0.05  
Torquay              13   18   +3      69.59     9.26    12.55     1.12    13.09    46.26    22.19P    0.25R    0.04  
Southend             13   18   +3      72.24     9.20    16.48     1.99    20.24    57.76    31.83P    0.09R    0.02  
York                 13   18   +1      56.26     9.21   -10.09     0.02     0.76     6.55     1.75P    6.88R    1.91  
Chesterfield         13   18   +1      69.97     9.56    11.18     1.33    14.66    47.55    24.13P    0.21R    0.03  
Morecambe            13   18   -1      63.18     9.14    -1.49     0.21     3.47    20.42     7.01P    1.41R    0.29  
Plymouth             13   17   +1      60.70     9.13    -1.58     0.11     2.12    14.40     4.72P    2.32R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   12   17   -4      61.35     9.48    -8.23     0.14     2.43    16.10     5.11P    2.50R    0.61  
Northampton          13   16   -2      56.62     9.11   -10.19     0.03     0.74     6.83     1.94P    6.16R    1.62  
Oxford_Utd           13   16   -5      60.51     9.16    -6.41     0.10     1.90    13.26     4.28P    2.77R    0.66  
Dag_&_Red            13   14   -2      56.45     9.14    -6.82     0.03     0.71     6.68     1.95P    6.28R    1.78  
Bristol_Rovers       12   14   -6      55.67     9.33   -14.24     0.02     0.71     5.89     1.83P    8.25R    2.42  
Wycombe              12   11   -8      61.68    10.16    -2.17     0.21     3.68    18.97     7.86P    3.22R    0.88  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11  -12      44.70     8.73   -32.73     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   43.88R   20.14  
Aldershot            13    8  -14      46.26     8.80   -24.57     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.10P   35.18R   14.46  
Barnet               13    6  -14      37.67     8.56   -37.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.74R   53.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.01     8.79    22.47    11.53    67.98    21.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.87     8.33    35.94    34.96    90.58    54.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.29     8.53    30.49    27.78    86.11    46.46P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.80     8.61    31.16    13.25    73.32    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      77.13     8.79    21.57     5.45    52.12    15.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.94     9.35     7.44     1.09    19.58     4.10P    0.61R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.00     8.55    -6.39     0.04     2.84     0.41P    4.39R    0.56  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.27     8.51    -1.74     0.02     2.54     0.40P    4.85R    0.61  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.15     9.48    14.74     3.44    38.85    12.00P    0.16R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.50     9.19     5.82     1.49    23.81     6.08P    0.39R    0.03  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.03     8.75    -0.13     0.09     5.04     0.86P    2.83R    0.35  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.64     8.65     0.11     0.05     4.41     0.78P    2.97R    0.34  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.67     9.29   -16.41     0.01     1.11     0.16P   18.78R    4.06  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.51     9.07     3.73     0.41    12.79     3.41P    1.08R    0.09  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.19     8.67   -14.47     0.02     1.21     0.18P   10.57R    1.66  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      64.04     8.70     6.06     0.16     7.61     1.77P    1.65R    0.19  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.10     8.62   -11.59     0.01     0.92     0.15P   12.66R    2.18  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.88     8.63   -21.79     0.00     0.35     0.05P   23.25R    5.01  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.69     8.47   -24.25     0.00     0.23     0.02P   27.25R    6.37  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.63     8.74    -5.56     0.03     1.79     0.37P    7.54R    1.05  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.21     8.74     9.81     0.17     6.67     1.70P    1.97R    0.25  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.28     8.82   -30.89     0.00     0.05     0.00P   60.75R   26.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.38     8.50   -27.93     0.00     0.03     0.00P   55.68R   21.14  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.61     9.08   -28.19     0.00     0.04     0.01P   62.60R   29.60