Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2012, QPR vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        8   22  +13      79.81     8.25    40.44    25.79    54.91    80.10    91.63    98.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        8   18  +10      83.31     7.66    54.31    45.79    74.07    90.68    96.84    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       8   18   +8      79.53     7.97    43.08    24.64    54.39    80.03    91.86    98.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton        8   15   +6      62.08     8.42    14.83     0.50     2.53     8.35    21.62    56.63     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham      8   14   +3      63.04     8.60    15.37     0.69     3.29    10.33    25.47    60.76     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      8   14   +3      52.81     8.45    -2.31     0.02     0.22     0.92     3.47    16.37     1.41R    0.12  
West_Ham       8   14   +3      47.14     8.53   -12.28     0.01     0.06     0.25     0.97     6.00     6.13R    0.78  
Fulham         8   13   +5      55.47     8.43     6.56     0.08     0.39     1.81     6.39    26.44     0.48R    0.03  
Arsenal        8   12   +7      68.12     8.34    31.85     2.40     9.59    24.78    51.33    82.08     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea        8   11   +2      43.69     8.13   -13.20     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.26     2.39    11.17R    1.74  
Newcastle      8   10   -3      51.82     8.54    -3.14     0.02     0.13     0.65     2.68    14.35     1.88R    0.22  
Liverpool      8    9   -2      55.40     8.38     5.74     0.06     0.34     1.70     5.77    25.72     0.61R    0.04  
Stoke          8    8   -1      46.01     8.21    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.49     4.21     6.75R    0.90  
Sunderland     7    8   -2      48.02     8.49    -6.22     0.01     0.05     0.22     1.07     6.82     4.89R    0.66  
Norwich        8    6  -11      36.39     8.08   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    39.91R   11.90  
Wigan          8    5   -7      35.63     7.93   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    42.17R   13.17  
Aston_Villa    8    5   -7      38.99     8.03   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.54    26.11R    6.18  
Southampton    8    4  -11      34.12     8.64   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23    51.09R   20.34  
Reading        7    3   -6      34.94     8.69   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.35    46.06R   17.30  
QPR            8    3  -10      31.90     7.83   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    61.24R   26.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2012, Birmingham vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Leicester        11   22   +8      79.41     9.80    22.23    21.05    36.84    73.19    46.28P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          11   22   +6      79.67     9.71    20.90    21.73    37.45    73.94    47.07P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     11   20   +5      68.96    10.10     6.33     3.71     8.65    33.22    13.76P    1.64R    0.18  
Crystal_Palace   11   20   +1      63.57     9.42    -5.91     0.86     2.48    14.78     4.68P    4.29R    0.58  
Wolverhampton    11   19   +4      74.06    10.11    14.71     9.45    19.30    52.73    28.37P    0.44R    0.03  
Hull             11   19   +3      69.23     9.44     6.52     2.95     7.39    32.75    13.19P    0.96R    0.09  
Middlesbrough    11   19   +0      67.78     9.58     1.07     2.27     5.89    27.26    10.42P    1.71R    0.19  
Brighton         11   18   +8      67.24     9.46    10.04     2.25     5.73    26.55    10.46P    1.60R    0.16  
Leeds_United     11   18   +2      68.46     9.87     5.43     3.02     7.35    31.12    12.36P    1.66R    0.14  
Blackburn        11   17   +3      76.22    10.24    20.81    14.15    26.68    61.91    37.73P    0.29R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    11   17   +3      65.15     9.58     3.38     1.29     3.64    19.96     7.33P    2.97R    0.36  
Blackpool        11   16   +4      74.42     9.96    20.51    10.13    20.50    55.59    30.81P    0.42R    0.03  
Watford          11   16   -2      59.64     9.61    -9.88     0.38     1.09     8.25     2.34P   10.00R    1.76  
Derby            11   14   +2      59.04     9.56    -2.64     0.33     0.98     7.53     2.30P   10.40R    1.96  
Burnley          11   14   +0      62.70     9.86     0.17     1.04     2.59    14.63     5.36P    5.72R    0.89  
Bolton           11   14   -2      67.72    10.40     6.69     3.43     7.91    30.25    14.25P    2.65R    0.43  
Barnsley         11   14   -2      53.04     9.28   -16.15     0.05     0.17     1.93     0.44P   26.91R    6.39  
Charlton         11   12   -1      57.13     9.97    -5.30     0.22     0.78     5.89     1.91P   15.57R    3.49  
Millwall         11   12   -5      57.11     9.51    -9.81     0.18     0.57     4.90     1.53P   15.06R    3.04  
Birmingham       11   12   -7      65.12     9.76     0.66     1.44     3.73    20.10     8.51P    3.54R    0.50  
Bristol_City     11   11   -2      52.37     9.58   -13.39     0.06     0.19     2.03     0.52P   29.51R    8.29  
Sheff_Wed        11    9   -7      47.07     9.79   -24.73     0.01     0.04     0.64     0.15P   52.15R   21.90  
Ipswich          11    7  -12      47.05     9.57   -26.12     0.01     0.02     0.49     0.11P   52.22R   21.42  
Peterborough     11    6   -9      44.95     9.59   -25.50     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.09P   60.16R   28.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2012, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        13   30  +19      81.43     8.99    28.28    22.41    40.76    82.30    50.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       13   26   +7      77.02     9.05    15.56    10.14    22.18    65.86    32.66P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       13   25   +7      84.06     8.98    28.00    32.23    52.33    88.23    63.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    13   25   +2      63.62     9.25    -8.74     0.62     1.92    14.63     3.68P    5.21R    0.26  
Notts_County    13   24  +11      77.32     9.21    23.28    11.13    24.33    68.45    35.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon         13   22   +6      70.12     9.27    10.59     2.85     7.32    37.10    14.33P    0.99R    0.02  
Doncaster       12   21   +5      72.38     9.74    12.23     5.08    12.15    46.65    20.52P    0.73R    0.02  
MK_Dons         13   20   +6      75.86     9.00    21.63     8.43    19.37    62.98    32.99P    0.15R    0.00  
Preston         13   18   +5      64.57     9.10     6.85     0.69     2.19    17.99     5.61P    3.63R    0.18  
Brentford       13   18   +3      64.84     8.97     5.61     0.69     2.15    18.43     6.01P    3.16R    0.13  
Portsmouth      13   18   +1      72.24     9.52    14.63     4.84    11.66    46.90    22.28P    0.71R    0.02  
Walsall         13   18   -2      60.36     8.86    -6.23     0.14     0.59     7.76     1.80P    8.86R    0.71  
Oldham          12   16   +2      60.23     9.10    -0.76     0.19     0.68     8.28     2.16P    9.38R    0.70  
Yeovil          13   16   +1      58.35     9.10    -3.93     0.12     0.46     5.82     1.31P   13.23R    1.13  
Colchester      13   16   -3      60.20     8.91    -4.32     0.14     0.62     7.46     1.96P    9.26R    0.72  
Leyton_Orient   13   16   -4      54.98     8.73   -13.10     0.03     0.14     2.39     0.51P   22.82R    2.48  
Carlisle        13   16   -8      57.68     9.04   -13.71     0.08     0.25     4.47     1.01P   16.03R    1.49  
Bournemouth     13   14   -5      58.38     9.00    -6.04     0.08     0.39     5.43     1.42P   13.17R    1.17  
Crewe           13   14   -7      47.74     8.98   -25.29     0.01     0.02     0.44     0.05P   54.87R   13.45  
Shrewsbury      13   13   -2      54.70     9.16    -6.44     0.03     0.14     2.69     0.64P   23.47R    3.16  
Coventry        13   11   -7      57.32     9.37    -5.14     0.08     0.31     5.02     1.50P   16.58R    1.83  
Scunthorpe      13   10  -12      49.65     8.80   -20.23     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.12P   44.96R    8.61  
Hartlepool      13    7  -12      43.05     8.60   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   73.51R   27.23  
Bury            13    5  -13      41.19     8.77   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   79.09R   36.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2012, Aldershot vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           13   32  +20      92.57     9.14    44.32    59.06    91.62    98.89    93.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            13   29  +19      87.21     9.15    39.33    30.03    79.93    96.14    84.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       13   22   +7      65.64     9.48     4.29     0.53     6.90    29.55    11.88P    0.69R    0.14  
Cheltenham           13   22   +1      68.42     9.19     2.59     0.87    10.13    39.51    16.60P    0.33R    0.05  
Bradford             13   21   +6      65.65     9.16     4.95     0.37     6.13    29.49    11.12P    0.67R    0.10  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +2      59.80     9.21    -5.77     0.08     1.77    12.24     3.57P    3.20R    0.78  
Exeter               13   19   +0      68.49     9.59     6.29     1.00    11.51    40.69    19.29P    0.39R    0.08  
Rochdale             13   19   +0      69.87     9.64     8.41     1.37    14.30    46.55    23.28P    0.31R    0.04  
Rotherham            12   18   +4      69.67     9.56    11.53     1.39    14.11    46.13    21.98P    0.25R    0.05  
Torquay              13   18   +3      69.60     9.21    12.62     1.08    13.04    46.21    22.18P    0.24R    0.05  
Southend             13   18   +3      72.21     9.12    16.48     1.96    19.87    57.67    31.82P    0.09R    0.02  
York                 13   18   +1      56.20     9.17   -10.20     0.02     0.68     6.31     1.67P    7.04R    1.92  
Chesterfield         13   18   +1      69.89     9.56    11.10     1.38    14.31    47.16    23.65P    0.25R    0.05  
Morecambe            13   18   -1      63.10     9.17    -1.65     0.22     3.44    20.44     7.04P    1.46R    0.31  
Plymouth             13   17   +1      60.60     9.10    -1.68     0.08     1.95    14.06     4.54P    2.21R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   12   17   -4      61.43     9.49    -8.14     0.20     2.63    16.11     5.18P    2.59R    0.65  
Northampton          13   16   -2      56.76     9.12   -10.01     0.02     0.74     6.99     1.91P    6.02R    1.58  
Oxford_Utd           13   16   -5      60.35     9.20    -6.63     0.08     1.83    13.20     4.29P    2.93R    0.79  
Dag_&_Red            13   14   -2      56.40     9.18    -6.91     0.01     0.81     6.77     1.99P    6.52R    1.86  
Bristol_Rovers       12   14   -6      55.68     9.39   -14.33     0.03     0.76     6.06     1.80P    8.10R    2.38  
Wycombe              12   11   -8      61.62    10.12    -2.25     0.20     3.51    19.02     7.56P    3.27R    0.98  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   11  -12      44.73     8.76   -32.80     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   44.24R   20.35  
Aldershot            13    8  -14      46.42     8.81   -24.33     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.11P   34.51R   13.71  
Barnet               13    6  -14      37.65     8.64   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.71R   53.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      80.97     8.71    22.42    11.30    68.13    21.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.86     8.33    35.98    35.48    90.57    54.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.26     8.50    30.38    27.29    86.19    46.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.73     8.72    31.04    13.24    72.98    29.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      77.06     8.76    21.44     5.40    51.89    15.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.63     9.48     7.03     1.19    19.16     4.24P    0.72R    0.07  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.33     8.51    -5.83     0.06     3.10     0.46P    3.98R    0.49  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.44     8.56    -1.46     0.02     2.70     0.42P    4.79R    0.61  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.36     9.43    15.07     3.65    39.83    12.46P    0.19R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.43     9.15     5.64     1.40    23.79     6.15P    0.35R    0.03  
Stockport          15   20   +1      61.89     8.71    -0.24     0.09     4.87     0.84P    2.99R    0.32  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.66     8.73     0.21     0.08     4.59     0.88P    3.15R    0.38  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.79     9.20   -16.22     0.02     1.05     0.15P   18.13R    3.72  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.24     9.07     3.30     0.42    12.17     3.13P    1.15R    0.10  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.47     8.65   -14.00     0.01     1.29     0.16P    9.93R    1.50  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.88     8.76     5.75     0.19     7.56     1.80P    1.82R    0.18  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.27     8.70   -11.37     0.01     0.95     0.15P   12.55R    2.10  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.76     8.69   -22.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   23.73R    5.14  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.75     8.47   -24.14     0.00     0.21     0.03P   27.07R    6.20  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.77     8.72    -5.35     0.01     1.79     0.31P    7.53R    1.00  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.14     8.73     9.73     0.14     6.72     1.74P    2.08R    0.20  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.13     8.91   -31.13     0.00     0.03     0.00P   61.60R   26.92  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.42     8.54   -27.89     0.00     0.03     0.00    55.27R   20.89  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.55     9.20   -28.36     0.00     0.04     0.01P   62.92R   30.16