Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 October 2012 at 00:46:58 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.37     8.52    36.61    19.54    44.14    67.20    83.44    96.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.77     7.86    53.69    47.01    72.43    87.37    95.12    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.61     8.26    43.38    24.28    51.77    73.70    87.32    97.53     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.29     8.65    16.21     0.92     4.11    10.83    22.90    59.00     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.28     8.76    18.76     1.59     6.42    15.80    30.94    67.56     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.77     8.70    -1.97     0.09     0.42     1.43     3.78    17.65     1.12R    0.11  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.37     8.59    36.58     6.42    19.63    39.07    62.32    88.07     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.53     8.72   -16.78     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.43     3.28    10.79R    1.75  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.33     8.69     6.26     0.05     0.38     1.61     4.54    20.67     0.91R    0.09  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.79     8.81    -3.71     0.02     0.19     0.82     2.61    13.35     2.09R    0.21  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.13     8.25   -14.03     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.14     1.55    14.74R    2.65  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.41     8.37    -5.39     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.47     4.22     6.01R    0.80  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.39     8.77    -6.23     0.01     0.06     0.28     1.07     6.99     4.65R    0.62  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.91     8.62     6.53     0.06     0.39     1.62     4.74    22.16     0.79R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.81     8.27   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39    36.01R   10.50  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.70     8.26   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.64    23.25R    5.32  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.90     8.96   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.58    37.38R   12.17  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.43     8.99   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.47    43.19R   15.68  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.93     8.24   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    55.83R   22.28  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.24     7.99   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    63.16R   27.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.65    10.09    25.56    27.58    45.34    81.20    55.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.51    10.01    21.91    17.41    32.79    72.18    42.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.16    10.56    16.89    11.26    22.78    59.28    32.41P    0.32R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.15     9.73    -5.62     0.89     2.57    16.15     5.01P    3.86R    0.53  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.55     9.77    12.36     2.97     7.60    34.29    13.71P    0.94R    0.10  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.77    10.38     4.47     2.09     5.40    25.59     9.84P    2.75R    0.35  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.13    10.19     5.80     2.95     7.35    32.76    12.76P    1.65R    0.22  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.34    10.32    22.63    11.42    23.52    61.23    34.22P    0.31R    0.02  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.20    10.64    21.84    14.03    27.17    63.85    38.43P    0.29R    0.04  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.07     9.74     6.20     2.13     5.40    27.99    10.73P    1.62R    0.19  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.18     9.96    -1.44     1.17     3.22    19.71     6.69P    3.46R    0.50  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.37     9.65    -0.25     0.51     1.63    12.61     4.01P    5.47R    0.91  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.98     9.72    -3.53     0.25     0.84     7.31     2.14P   10.61R    2.07  
Watford          10   13   -3      58.11    10.01   -11.08     0.28     0.82     6.57     1.94P   13.35R    2.91  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.02    10.34    -2.15     0.47     1.43    10.06     3.32P    9.98R    2.06  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.28    10.24    -2.27     0.52     1.40    10.47     3.43P    9.51R    1.83  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.94     9.72   -13.64     0.05     0.18     2.20     0.53P   26.91R    7.57  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.88    10.66     6.87     2.54     6.17    26.98    12.29P    3.26R    0.55  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.41     9.60   -18.97     0.02     0.07     1.08     0.23P   36.64R   11.60  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.16     9.80   -10.26     0.16     0.51     5.19     1.53P   14.77R    3.22  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.56    10.06     0.72     1.28     3.72    21.23     8.46P    3.29R    0.44  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.45    10.21   -25.11     0.02     0.07     0.86     0.20P   49.66R   21.45  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.11     9.87   -25.52     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.15P   46.69R   18.46  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.04     9.88   -25.42     0.01     0.02     0.49     0.10P   54.54R   24.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 October 2012, Bury vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        12   30  +21      84.01     9.23    32.05    32.12    52.23    88.46    60.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       12   23   +6      74.52     9.25    13.42     6.51    15.43    55.92    25.25P    0.26R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       12   22   +6      82.33     9.24    26.88    25.13    44.77    84.13    57.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    12   22   +1      61.23     9.46   -11.05     0.35     1.22    10.73     2.57P    9.08R    0.85  
Notts_County    12   21  +10      75.38     9.45    21.81     8.16    18.76    60.81    29.09P    0.21R    0.01  
Swindon         12   21   +6      71.58     9.56    12.12     4.10    10.39    44.17    18.54P    0.74R    0.03  
MK_Dons         12   20   +7      78.40     9.15    24.44    13.47    28.32    73.20    42.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston         12   18   +6      66.00     9.38     7.94     1.16     3.55    23.31     7.77P    2.82R    0.18  
Brentford       12   18   +4      66.02     9.25     6.38     1.00     3.24    23.36     7.75P    2.61R    0.13  
Doncaster       11   18   +4      70.61     9.89    11.01     3.74     9.23    40.50    16.74P    1.12R    0.06  
Walsall         12   17   -2      61.49     9.23    -5.10     0.27     1.04    10.60     2.69P    8.09R    0.73  
Leyton_Orient   12   16   -2      56.77     9.03   -10.42     0.08     0.25     4.21     0.89P   17.80R    1.96  
Carlisle        12   16   -6      59.85     9.26   -10.53     0.17     0.62     7.77     1.81P   11.21R    1.02  
Portsmouth      12   15   -1      70.21     9.74    11.99     3.19     8.56    39.53    17.73P    1.51R    0.08  
Yeovil          12   13   +0      57.07     9.42    -4.43     0.06     0.35     5.25     1.18P   17.47R    2.26  
Shrewsbury      12   13   +0      56.53     9.42    -3.71     0.07     0.31     4.52     1.12P   18.61R    2.42  
Oldham          11   13   +0      57.87     9.18    -3.79     0.11     0.43     5.50     1.41P   14.48R    1.55  
Colchester      12   13   -5      57.86     9.22    -7.47     0.11     0.40     5.36     1.32P   15.28R    1.67  
Crewe           12   13   -7      47.30     9.13   -26.34     0.00     0.03     0.54     0.09P   56.67R   16.32  
Coventry        12   11   -6      59.17     9.56    -3.42     0.16     0.67     8.11     2.38P   12.57R    1.38  
Bournemouth     12   11   -7      55.42     9.15    -9.87     0.04     0.16     3.17     0.73P   21.87R    3.11  
Scunthorpe      12    9  -12      48.97     8.98   -21.77     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.09P   48.39R   11.29  
Hartlepool      12    7  -11      45.11     8.80   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   64.85R   21.11  
Bury            12    5  -12      42.40     9.05   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   74.29R   33.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2012, Port_Vale vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           12   29  +17      90.59     9.35    40.35    54.52    86.25    97.62    89.61P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            12   26  +16      84.36     9.53    34.04    24.58    67.20    91.44    73.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           12   22   +3      70.39     9.42     5.62     1.93    13.50    45.14    20.54P    0.13R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       12   21   +7      67.13     9.81     6.07     1.21     8.85    33.49    14.15P    0.50R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        12   19   +5      61.40     9.40    -2.24     0.23     2.65    15.24     4.76P    1.78R    0.30  
Rochdale             12   19   +2      72.73    10.00    12.66     3.83    21.34    55.92    31.10P    0.13R    0.01  
Exeter               12   19   +1      70.87     9.98     8.90     2.62    16.49    48.13    24.74P    0.19R    0.02  
Bradford             12   18   +4      62.97     9.38     1.44     0.30     3.48    19.32     6.70P    1.19R    0.19  
Southend             12   18   +4      74.52     9.47    18.88     4.50    26.38    64.20    38.03P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              12   18   +4      71.88     9.35    14.91     2.56    17.55    53.24    27.22P    0.07R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   11   17   +1      65.43     9.79     1.31     0.68     6.11    27.34    10.52P    0.88R    0.11  
Northampton          12   16   +2      60.40     9.38    -2.05     0.13     2.01    12.95     4.13P    2.46R    0.47  
Rotherham            11   15   +1      66.25     9.86     5.74     0.87     7.57    31.07    13.22P    0.79R    0.11  
York                 12   15   +0      53.43     9.34   -12.43     0.03     0.36     3.55     0.97P   10.40R    2.42  
Chesterfield         12   15   +0      67.44     9.95     8.79     1.12     9.69    35.94    17.14P    0.56R    0.11  
Morecambe            12   15   -2      60.72     9.48    -3.71     0.17     2.13    13.74     4.82P    2.47R    0.53  
Dag_&_Red            12   14   -1      58.32     9.49    -4.75     0.07     1.18     9.35     2.78P    4.25R    0.82  
Plymouth             12   14   -1      57.93     9.31    -5.12     0.08     1.10     8.53     2.73P    3.80R    0.73  
Oxford_Utd           12   13  -10      56.04     9.23   -15.49     0.03     0.58     5.51     1.55P    6.42R    1.41  
Wycombe              11   11   -5      63.67    10.30     1.82     0.55     5.15    23.67    10.18P    1.87R    0.37  
Bristol_Rovers       11   11   -7      53.11     9.49   -16.53     0.00     0.33     3.29     0.90P   11.76R    2.93  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   10  -12      44.24     8.96   -33.99     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   43.42R   16.17  
Aldershot            12    8  -11      48.76     9.12   -19.62     0.00     0.08     1.02     0.27P   22.28R    6.10  
Barnet               12    3  -18      33.73     8.60   -44.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.61R   67.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.28     8.72    22.85    11.82    69.22    22.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.90     8.32    36.05    35.29    90.73    54.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.38     8.49    30.62    27.58    86.21    46.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.76     8.63    31.15    12.90    73.38    29.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      77.09     8.79    21.54     5.53    51.94    15.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.66     9.48     7.00     1.14    18.87     4.18P    0.69R    0.07  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.07     8.60    -6.29     0.05     2.98     0.41P    4.33R    0.51  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.35     8.52    -1.59     0.03     2.40     0.38P    4.85R    0.57  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.08     9.40    14.56     3.33    38.25    11.69P    0.15R    0.02  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.59     9.17     5.92     1.41    24.17     6.16P    0.36R    0.02  
Stockport          15   20   +1      61.92     8.77    -0.35     0.08     5.05     0.91P    2.97R    0.34  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.65     8.76     0.19     0.10     4.57     0.91P    3.23R    0.35  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.84     9.18   -16.06     0.01     0.93     0.13P   17.63R    3.85  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.27     9.07     3.38     0.41    12.18     3.18P    1.09R    0.09  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.46     8.76   -14.06     0.02     1.40     0.21P   10.25R    1.58  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      64.03     8.78     5.98     0.16     7.89     1.86P    1.60R    0.17  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.06     8.69   -11.74     0.01     0.85     0.12P   13.08R    2.20  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      52.00     8.71   -21.49     0.00     0.38     0.04P   22.71R    5.03  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.63     8.36   -24.30     0.00     0.21     0.04P   27.02R    6.18  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.73     8.82    -5.47     0.01     1.93     0.36P    7.78R    1.20  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      62.99     8.72     9.44     0.13     6.37     1.56P    2.02R    0.23  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.12     8.76   -31.11     0.00     0.03     0.01P   61.47R   26.58  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.47     8.50   -27.78     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.11R   20.72  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.42     9.03   -28.46     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.61R   30.30