Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.23     8.50    36.49    19.08    43.38    66.85    82.92    96.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.75     7.85    53.68    46.79    72.48    87.24    95.18    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.74     8.23    43.69    24.89    52.64    74.22    87.86    97.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.58     8.61    16.65     0.93     4.26    11.38    24.07    60.37     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.39     8.79    18.91     1.77     6.62    16.14    31.30    67.98     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.75     8.66    -2.01     0.04     0.38     1.27     3.67    17.31     1.06R    0.08  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.23     8.55    36.25     6.35    19.11    38.36    61.32    87.82     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.58     8.71   -16.64     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.43     3.12    10.68R    1.75  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.37     8.71     6.28     0.06     0.42     1.58     4.61    20.88     0.89R    0.08  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.94     8.77    -3.58     0.03     0.18     0.87     2.46    13.20     2.02R    0.21  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.10     8.32   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.47    15.13R    2.77  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.40     8.30    -5.40     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.43     4.01     5.99R    0.75  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.36     8.77    -6.22     0.00     0.07     0.30     1.04     7.02     4.58R    0.66  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.69     8.67     6.24     0.05     0.40     1.50     4.43    21.65     0.96R    0.10  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.60     8.20   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    36.70R   10.45  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      40.03     8.26   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.70    21.91R    4.91  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.76     8.92   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.53    37.84R   12.36  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.21     8.95   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.41    43.89R   16.35  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.83     8.27   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    56.18R   22.63  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.43     8.01   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.12R   26.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.33    10.04    25.12    26.52    44.27    80.37    53.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.72     9.93    22.18    18.08    33.67    72.93    43.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.15    10.49    16.84    11.31    22.70    59.40    32.57P    0.28R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.23     9.63    -5.45     0.83     2.40    16.06     4.74P    3.78R    0.50  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.61     9.67    12.50     2.97     7.62    34.11    13.73P    0.90R    0.08  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.59    10.39     4.20     1.87     5.01    24.93     9.41P    2.97R    0.44  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.26    10.29     6.05     3.10     7.85    33.32    13.15P    1.74R    0.22  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.43    10.23    22.82    11.71    23.76    61.81    34.60P    0.28R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.22    10.56    21.91    14.33    26.97    63.64    38.05P    0.25R    0.02  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.03     9.77     6.18     1.96     5.43    28.15    10.64P    1.61R    0.19  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.44     9.92    -1.05     1.17     3.34    20.05     6.95P    3.20R    0.48  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.09     9.67    -0.68     0.56     1.66    12.03     3.84P    5.77R    0.97  
Derby            10   13   +2      59.03     9.83    -3.45     0.27     0.90     7.60     2.23P   10.59R    2.11  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.98    10.04   -11.24     0.29     0.81     6.57     1.91P   13.62R    3.17  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.20    10.37    -1.84     0.50     1.51    10.30     3.56P    9.85R    2.14  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.32    10.21    -2.23     0.47     1.39    10.14     3.41P    9.33R    1.94  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      53.04     9.63   -13.52     0.04     0.15     2.23     0.48P   26.38R    7.07  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.80    10.69     6.81     2.48     5.95    26.89    12.12P    3.30R    0.57  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.29     9.43   -19.17     0.01     0.06     1.01     0.21P   36.72R   11.35  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.10     9.79   -10.34     0.15     0.53     5.20     1.42P   14.72R    3.21  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.66    10.04     0.87     1.37     3.89    21.28     8.69P    3.28R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.31    10.19   -25.35     0.02     0.07     0.82     0.19P   49.92R   21.76  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.01     9.77   -25.77     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.15P   46.93R   18.57  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.10     9.90   -25.42     0.01     0.02     0.50     0.12P   54.47R   24.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 October 2012, Bury vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        12   30  +21      84.07     9.19    32.10    32.14    52.82    88.65    61.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       12   23   +6      74.63     9.22    13.53     6.80    15.70    56.19    25.10P    0.22R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       12   22   +6      82.33     9.22    26.92    25.01    44.62    84.30    57.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    12   22   +1      61.23     9.54   -11.14     0.36     1.27    11.04     2.62P    9.39R    0.80  
Notts_County    12   21  +10      75.53     9.45    21.99     8.36    19.33    61.68    29.90P    0.26R    0.00  
Swindon         12   21   +6      71.49     9.52    12.01     3.95     9.97    43.80    17.94P    0.79R    0.03  
MK_Dons         12   20   +7      78.33     9.22    24.37    13.41    28.12    72.99    41.89P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         12   18   +6      66.20     9.41     8.25     1.21     3.48    24.22     7.94P    2.76R    0.15  
Brentford       12   18   +4      66.00     9.28     6.35     1.01     3.30    22.92     7.89P    2.65R    0.14  
Doncaster       11   18   +4      70.45     9.78    10.84     3.47     8.82    39.85    16.18P    1.26R    0.05  
Walsall         12   17   -2      61.49     9.18    -5.04     0.29     1.04    10.51     2.63P    7.97R    0.73  
Leyton_Orient   12   16   -2      56.74     8.97   -10.44     0.07     0.24     3.87     0.80P   17.74R    2.02  
Carlisle        12   16   -6      59.88     9.34   -10.51     0.16     0.69     8.02     1.90P   11.17R    1.18  
Portsmouth      12   15   -1      70.05     9.80    11.76     3.25     8.31    38.80    17.60P    1.41R    0.09  
Yeovil          12   13   +0      56.90     9.38    -4.67     0.06     0.30     5.05     1.13P   17.57R    2.34  
Shrewsbury      12   13   +0      56.54     9.39    -3.72     0.07     0.28     4.66     1.21P   18.63R    2.41  
Oldham          11   13   +0      57.95     9.25    -3.68     0.11     0.44     5.68     1.39P   14.53R    1.58  
Colchester      12   13   -5      57.92     9.16    -7.37     0.10     0.39     5.37     1.34P   15.17R    1.69  
Crewe           12   13   -7      47.24     9.16   -26.50     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   56.84R   16.34  
Coventry        12   11   -6      59.02     9.66    -3.67     0.12     0.65     7.76     2.44P   13.27R    1.46  
Bournemouth     12   11   -7      55.59     9.18    -9.65     0.05     0.19     3.31     0.84P   21.46R    2.96  
Scunthorpe      12    9  -12      49.12     8.99   -21.49     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.13P   47.53R   11.13  
Hartlepool      12    7  -11      45.00     8.78   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   65.29R   21.52  
Bury            12    5  -12      42.45     9.04   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   74.00R   33.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2012, Port_Vale vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           12   29  +17      90.47     9.31    40.11    54.36    86.12    97.72    89.42P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            12   26  +16      84.48     9.40    34.21    24.90    67.81    91.91    74.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           12   22   +3      70.36     9.41     5.58     1.95    13.46    45.33    20.47P    0.15R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       12   21   +7      67.14     9.87     6.09     1.23     9.11    34.00    14.48P    0.57R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        12   19   +5      61.46     9.51    -2.13     0.26     2.76    15.59     5.01P    1.97R    0.38  
Rochdale             12   19   +2      72.40     9.92    12.15     3.29    20.36    54.58    29.80P    0.14R    0.01  
Exeter               12   19   +1      70.82    10.05     8.79     2.58    16.35    48.27    24.67P    0.34R    0.06  
Bradford             12   18   +4      63.17     9.42     1.72     0.31     3.72    20.12     7.11P    1.22R    0.18  
Southend             12   18   +4      74.51     9.39    18.79     4.41    26.38    64.30    38.32P    0.05R    0.01  
Torquay              12   18   +4      71.89     9.46    14.87     2.81    18.00    53.48    27.87P    0.13R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   11   17   +1      65.38     9.85     1.24     0.72     6.14    27.22    10.51P    0.96R    0.16  
Northampton          12   16   +2      60.11     9.48    -2.46     0.14     1.87    12.65     3.96P    2.69R    0.48  
Rotherham            11   15   +1      66.22     9.87     5.65     0.92     7.59    30.99    13.23P    0.83R    0.16  
York                 12   15   +0      53.69     9.32   -12.03     0.01     0.37     3.66     0.97P   10.17R    2.28  
Chesterfield         12   15   +0      67.45     9.90     8.79     1.21     9.69    35.83    17.07P    0.59R    0.08  
Morecambe            12   15   -2      60.89     9.42    -3.39     0.18     2.17    14.03     4.69P    2.24R    0.45  
Dag_&_Red            12   14   -1      58.17     9.37    -4.98     0.08     1.19     8.79     2.71P    4.17R    0.82  
Plymouth             12   14   -1      57.76     9.21    -5.37     0.07     0.94     8.04     2.47P    4.05R    0.70  
Oxford_Utd           12   13  -10      56.16     9.22   -15.30     0.02     0.54     5.61     1.59P    6.25R    1.43  
Wycombe              11   11   -5      63.49    10.21     1.68     0.52     4.98    22.90     9.94P    1.83R    0.34  
Bristol_Rovers       11   11   -7      53.27     9.55   -16.19     0.02     0.38     3.64     0.98P   11.62R    2.74  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   10  -12      44.43     8.97   -33.67     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   42.53R   15.81  
Aldershot            12    8  -11      48.90     9.11   -19.38     0.00     0.07     1.06     0.27P   22.27R    6.04  
Barnet               12    3  -18      33.66     8.56   -44.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   85.24R   67.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.11     8.76    22.61    11.49    69.03    21.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.78     8.36    35.82    34.76    90.50    54.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.46     8.52    30.75    28.34    86.75    47.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.78     8.63    31.11    13.09    73.53    29.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.86     8.78    21.14     5.32    50.73    15.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.53     9.42     6.83     1.08    18.78     4.09P    0.70R    0.07  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.18     8.56    -6.11     0.04     3.04     0.39P    4.22R    0.53  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.57     8.51    -1.27     0.04     2.66     0.39P    4.44R    0.56  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.30     9.41    14.98     3.55    39.59    12.21P    0.16R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.28     9.16     5.36     1.31    23.24     5.97P    0.40R    0.04  
Stockport          15   20   +1      61.96     8.73    -0.28     0.08     4.96     0.90P    2.95R    0.35  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.82     8.64     0.43     0.09     4.66     0.92P    2.79R    0.30  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.79     9.13   -16.17     0.02     1.01     0.15P   18.15R    3.80  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.21     9.06     3.28     0.40    12.15     3.09P    1.14R    0.13  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.55     8.63   -13.86     0.02     1.37     0.20P    9.68R    1.50  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.96     8.83     5.84     0.21     7.90     1.83P    1.82R    0.20  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.23     8.72   -11.43     0.01     0.95     0.12P   12.81R    2.25  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      52.03     8.73   -21.47     0.00     0.47     0.05P   22.87R    4.98  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.79     8.47   -24.02     0.00     0.24     0.03P   26.87R    6.23  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.55     8.75    -5.71     0.01     1.72     0.33P    7.89R    1.15  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.14     8.75     9.66     0.14     6.62     1.71P    2.12R    0.23  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.17     8.91   -31.14     0.00     0.03     0.01P   61.70R   26.70  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.45     8.46   -27.77     0.00     0.03     0.00P   55.54R   20.53  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.37     9.07   -28.58     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.73R   30.45