Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 18 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.15     8.53    36.25    18.97    42.85    66.09    82.51    96.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.73     7.84    53.67    46.60    72.82    87.41    95.14    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.62     8.23    43.40    24.68    51.90    73.83    87.56    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.31     8.64    16.19     0.96     4.09    10.88    23.27    59.32     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.33     8.83    18.78     1.78     6.76    16.22    31.21    67.75     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.87     8.66    -1.83     0.06     0.37     1.37     3.88    17.69     1.05R    0.09  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.47     8.63    36.68     6.79    20.14    39.89    62.76    88.23     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.35     8.72   -17.12     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.39     3.16    11.13R    1.90  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.21     8.70     6.10     0.07     0.41     1.47     4.28    20.47     0.93R    0.07  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.79     8.82    -3.75     0.03     0.19     0.73     2.38    13.09     2.17R    0.22  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.27     8.33   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.16     1.60    14.48R    2.61  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.39     8.33    -5.47     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.51     4.15     5.96R    0.82  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.49     8.79    -6.06     0.00     0.05     0.30     1.08     7.11     4.64R    0.62  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.91     8.64     6.53     0.06     0.37     1.51     4.71    22.29     0.88R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.70     8.22   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.26    36.30R   10.51  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.94     8.30   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.77    22.64R    4.97  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.86     9.00   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.53    37.30R   12.40  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.41     8.89   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34    43.39R   15.48  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.93     8.30   -36.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    55.99R   22.26  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.22     7.96   -33.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.08R   27.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.26    10.04    24.89    26.35    44.07    80.32    53.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.49    10.01    21.81    17.61    33.04    71.95    42.82P    0.11R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.29    10.49    17.04    11.46    22.95    60.10    32.86P    0.28R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.06     9.69    -5.73     0.83     2.41    16.12     4.86P    4.12R    0.59  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.66     9.75    12.53     3.16     7.89    34.53    14.14P    0.93R    0.10  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.54    10.29     4.06     1.94     5.06    24.89     9.36P    2.86R    0.38  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.22    10.22     5.98     2.95     7.55    33.02    12.87P    1.61R    0.21  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.50    10.35    22.92    12.27    24.35    61.67    35.06P    0.26R    0.02  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.34    10.55    22.13    14.10    27.24    64.70    38.64P    0.30R    0.03  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.03     9.71     6.16     1.93     5.35    27.92    10.56P    1.55R    0.18  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.37     9.88    -1.11     1.18     3.32    19.82     6.82P    3.29R    0.49  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.13     9.66    -0.65     0.53     1.60    12.09     3.92P    5.72R    1.02  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.97     9.84    -3.52     0.30     0.94     7.52     2.36P   11.04R    2.24  
Watford          10   13   -3      58.00    10.00   -11.21     0.23     0.78     6.48     1.90P   13.83R    3.18  
Charlton         10   12   +0      59.94    10.31    -2.23     0.51     1.36     9.90     3.33P   10.31R    2.33  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.19    10.21    -2.46     0.49     1.42    10.26     3.42P    9.56R    2.05  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.79     9.67   -13.95     0.04     0.15     2.17     0.51P   27.50R    7.66  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.76    10.73     6.76     2.59     6.25    26.77    12.20P    3.34R    0.57  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.79     9.51   -18.28     0.02     0.05     1.15     0.21P   35.06R   10.50  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.17     9.72   -10.30     0.11     0.45     5.02     1.32P   14.61R    3.20  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.82     9.92     1.11     1.39     3.65    21.58     8.55P    2.98R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.45    10.15   -25.12     0.02     0.08     0.90     0.21P   49.44R   21.71  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.12     9.79   -25.61     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.17P   46.68R   18.75  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.16     9.81   -25.24     0.01     0.03     0.46     0.12P   54.60R   24.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 October 2012, Bury vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        12   30  +21      84.05     9.22    32.09    32.94    52.87    88.45    61.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       12   23   +6      74.46     9.21    13.34     6.40    15.27    55.83    24.96P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       12   22   +6      82.20     9.23    26.67    24.56    44.00    83.89    56.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    12   22   +1      61.35     9.52   -10.88     0.43     1.33    10.95     2.62P    9.01R    0.80  
Notts_County    12   21  +10      75.47     9.43    21.91     8.31    19.18    61.32    29.38P    0.20R    0.00  
Swindon         12   21   +6      71.44     9.53    11.95     3.81     9.86    43.77    17.66P    0.79R    0.03  
MK_Dons         12   20   +7      78.39     9.20    24.50    13.37    28.42    72.83    42.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         12   18   +6      66.29     9.42     8.33     1.24     3.74    24.29     8.04P    2.74R    0.15  
Brentford       12   18   +4      65.99     9.24     6.35     0.98     3.26    23.00     7.73P    2.62R    0.13  
Doncaster       11   18   +4      70.38     9.94    10.69     3.57     9.21    39.67    16.65P    1.31R    0.07  
Walsall         12   17   -2      61.47     9.21    -5.03     0.27     1.00    10.49     2.75P    7.95R    0.77  
Leyton_Orient   12   16   -2      56.56     9.01   -10.69     0.06     0.23     3.96     0.86P   18.26R    2.11  
Carlisle        12   16   -6      59.95     9.33   -10.35     0.20     0.77     8.23     2.13P   11.03R    1.02  
Portsmouth      12   15   -1      70.16     9.77    11.92     3.26     8.55    39.33    17.56P    1.37R    0.09  
Yeovil          12   13   +0      56.93     9.38    -4.62     0.09     0.32     5.01     1.21P   17.59R    2.29  
Shrewsbury      12   13   +0      56.55     9.45    -3.67     0.10     0.37     4.80     1.27P   18.50R    2.48  
Oldham          11   13   +0      57.90     9.32    -3.71     0.10     0.37     5.78     1.45P   14.86R    1.69  
Colchester      12   13   -5      57.76     9.23    -7.57     0.11     0.36     5.37     1.41P   15.33R    1.84  
Crewe           12   13   -7      47.12     9.10   -26.71     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.08P   57.60R   16.50  
Coventry        12   11   -6      59.20     9.65    -3.40     0.17     0.67     8.20     2.54P   12.60R    1.42  
Bournemouth     12   11   -7      55.68     9.19    -9.46     0.03     0.20     3.51     0.91P   21.25R    2.87  
Scunthorpe      12    9  -12      49.17     8.98   -21.44     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.13P   47.54R   10.73  
Hartlepool      12    7  -11      45.04     8.85   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   64.91R   21.52  
Bury            12    5  -12      42.42     9.06   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   74.26R   33.47  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2012, Port_Vale vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           12   29  +17      90.51     9.40    40.16    54.39    85.97    97.59    89.28P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            12   26  +16      84.43     9.48    34.15    25.03    67.54    91.67    74.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           12   22   +3      70.50     9.43     5.79     2.10    14.04    45.70    21.30P    0.14R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       12   21   +7      67.42     9.83     6.49     1.19     9.55    35.30    15.12P    0.46R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        12   19   +5      61.55     9.48    -2.00     0.25     2.73    15.89     4.98P    1.89R    0.32  
Rochdale             12   19   +2      72.33     9.92    12.02     3.22    20.16    54.30    29.63P    0.15R    0.02  
Exeter               12   19   +1      70.65    10.05     8.55     2.67    16.40    47.38    24.53P    0.21R    0.02  
Bradford             12   18   +4      62.86     9.29     1.23     0.26     3.23    18.75     6.38P    1.14R    0.16  
Southend             12   18   +4      74.48     9.42    18.77     4.38    26.43    64.36    38.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Torquay              12   18   +4      71.72     9.50    14.66     2.69    17.88    52.66    27.49P    0.11R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   11   17   +1      65.25     9.77     0.97     0.67     5.80    26.90    10.13P    0.90R    0.14  
Northampton          12   16   +2      60.18     9.38    -2.40     0.11     1.95    12.61     4.02P    2.61R    0.46  
Rotherham            11   15   +1      66.41     9.82     5.99     0.89     7.72    31.77    13.60P    0.69R    0.09  
York                 12   15   +0      53.81     9.37   -11.82     0.02     0.37     3.76     0.97P   10.01R    2.37  
Chesterfield         12   15   +0      67.60     9.89     9.07     1.24     9.75    36.42    17.43P    0.48R    0.09  
Morecambe            12   15   -2      60.84     9.41    -3.55     0.22     2.18    13.90     4.63P    2.21R    0.41  
Dag_&_Red            12   14   -1      58.46     9.31    -4.56     0.05     1.23     9.16     2.67P    3.73R    0.73  
Plymouth             12   14   -1      57.75     9.22    -5.37     0.07     0.96     7.87     2.54P    3.97R    0.81  
Oxford_Utd           12   13  -10      56.10     9.25   -15.37     0.02     0.56     5.56     1.58P    6.27R    1.34  
Wycombe              11   11   -5      63.63    10.29     1.84     0.52     5.09    23.54    10.11P    1.87R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers       11   11   -7      53.36     9.52   -16.02     0.02     0.36     3.65     1.03P   11.26R    2.75  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   10  -12      44.13     8.96   -34.13     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   44.05R   16.12  
Aldershot            12    8  -11      48.70     9.13   -19.61     0.00     0.07     0.99     0.28P   22.62R    6.33  
Barnet               12    3  -18      33.61     8.62   -44.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    85.17R   67.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.13     8.79    22.65    11.89    69.04    22.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.89     8.30    35.98    35.19    90.90    54.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.31     8.50    30.49    27.79    86.44    46.62P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.81     8.62    31.15    13.23    73.53    29.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.84     8.72    21.11     5.10    50.97    14.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.51     9.41     6.80     1.01    18.90     3.96P    0.79R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.30     8.61    -5.85     0.04     3.17     0.41P    4.24R    0.55  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.54     8.57    -1.32     0.05     2.74     0.45P    4.69R    0.59  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.19     9.45    14.78     3.55    39.38    12.23P    0.19R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.15     9.18     5.20     1.24    22.86     5.75P    0.43R    0.03  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.22     8.73     0.22     0.08     5.36     1.01P    2.59R    0.29  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.79     8.75     0.44     0.08     4.76     0.94P    3.04R    0.32  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.80     9.21   -16.23     0.01     1.04     0.15P   18.36R    3.94  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.12     9.06     3.13     0.40    11.88     3.14P    1.26R    0.15  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.49     8.75   -14.02     0.01     1.46     0.21P   10.20R    1.55  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.89     8.82     5.80     0.16     7.82     1.78P    1.93R    0.26  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.18     8.69   -11.51     0.01     0.89     0.14P   12.78R    2.26  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.93     8.72   -21.68     0.00     0.40     0.04P   23.36R    5.08  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.73     8.39   -24.12     0.00     0.21     0.01P   26.96R    6.10  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.60     8.81    -5.62     0.02     1.85     0.33P    7.71R    1.19  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      62.95     8.70     9.43     0.12     6.31     1.56P    2.09R    0.26  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.24     8.80   -31.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   61.43R   26.44  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.60     8.54   -27.49     0.00     0.03     0.00P   54.68R   20.71  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.55     9.15   -28.33     0.00     0.04     0.00P   63.25R   30.22