Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.19     8.47    36.34    19.08    43.06    66.66    83.22    96.26     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.78     7.72    53.66    46.71    72.78    87.84    95.56    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.75     8.21    43.63    25.06    52.74    74.32    88.03    97.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.26     8.73    16.16     0.89     4.02    11.05    23.45    58.99     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.06     8.89    18.34     1.63     6.46    15.58    30.46    66.71     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.83     8.69    -1.85     0.08     0.44     1.40     3.90    17.92     1.15R    0.10  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.27     8.64    36.40     6.43    19.47    38.92    61.66    87.95     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.34     8.63   -17.14     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.39     3.10    11.18R    1.84  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.33     8.68     6.31     0.07     0.43     1.54     4.60    20.98     0.87R    0.07  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.65     8.76    -4.01     0.02     0.14     0.70     2.23    12.85     2.10R    0.21  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.27     8.34   -13.74     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     1.68    14.69R    2.61  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.68     8.37    -5.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.52     4.63     5.64R    0.76  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.40     8.73    -6.19     0.01     0.07     0.28     1.10     7.14     4.56R    0.63  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.91     8.58     6.51     0.04     0.35     1.43     4.54    22.37     0.85R    0.09  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.68     8.21   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30    36.75R   10.50  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.67     8.25   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.69    23.46R    5.47  
Southampton    7    4   -8      37.09     8.99   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.68    36.72R   11.90  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.45     8.91   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39    43.38R   15.62  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.90     8.30   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11    56.27R   22.87  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.44     8.06   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    62.27R   27.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.40     9.98    25.18    26.68    44.42    80.63    54.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.49    10.01    21.90    17.63    33.22    72.13    43.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.28    10.40    17.06    11.37    22.76    59.74    32.85P    0.29R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.25     9.66    -5.48     0.85     2.55    16.13     4.86P    3.79R    0.49  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.51     9.72    12.27     2.90     7.51    34.25    13.69P    0.96R    0.13  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.73    10.39     4.42     2.04     5.20    25.35     9.60P    2.87R    0.40  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.35    10.16     6.22     2.99     7.77    33.52    13.17P    1.58R    0.22  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.51    10.29    22.96    11.95    24.11    62.29    35.02P    0.28R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.27    10.62    21.99    14.33    27.05    64.04    38.23P    0.30R    0.02  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.10     9.72     6.25     1.96     5.31    28.44    10.67P    1.43R    0.18  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.30     9.91    -1.24     1.22     3.35    19.68     6.73P    3.37R    0.49  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.04     9.60    -0.75     0.50     1.52    11.90     3.66P    5.75R    0.90  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.94     9.84    -3.61     0.27     0.88     7.41     2.15P   10.93R    2.26  
Watford          10   13   -3      58.15    10.01   -10.93     0.28     0.83     6.76     1.98P   13.51R    2.98  
Charlton         10   12   +0      59.91    10.25    -2.28     0.43     1.29     9.62     3.13P   10.31R    2.29  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.31    10.21    -2.26     0.48     1.48    10.37     3.57P    9.37R    1.92  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.76     9.73   -13.98     0.03     0.14     2.25     0.52P   27.61R    7.80  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.53    10.72     6.35     2.45     5.97    26.07    11.76P    3.52R    0.58  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.63     9.50   -18.65     0.02     0.08     1.13     0.26P   35.68R   10.73  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.22     9.74   -10.21     0.15     0.54     5.05     1.51P   14.55R    3.15  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.56    10.04     0.68     1.42     3.89    21.12     8.55P    3.28R    0.47  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.38    10.25   -25.28     0.01     0.07     0.84     0.23P   49.92R   21.76  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.21     9.87   -25.43     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.18P   46.37R   18.39  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.20     9.94   -25.17     0.01     0.02     0.51     0.10P   54.21R   24.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 October 2012, Bury vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        12   30  +21      84.15     9.20    32.23    32.82    53.04    88.83    61.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       12   23   +6      74.35     9.20    13.21     6.28    15.07    55.38    24.59P    0.27R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       12   22   +6      82.26     9.18    26.76    24.73    44.55    84.30    57.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    12   22   +1      61.35     9.64   -10.92     0.42     1.32    11.27     2.71P    9.42R    0.86  
Notts_County    12   21  +10      75.38     9.30    21.80     7.71    18.29    61.25    28.68P    0.19R    0.01  
Swindon         12   21   +6      71.40     9.59    11.87     3.94    10.01    43.16    17.93P    0.82R    0.04  
MK_Dons         12   20   +7      78.47     9.15    24.54    13.62    28.80    73.47    42.60P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         12   18   +6      66.35     9.37     8.45     1.32     3.66    24.56     8.11P    2.69R    0.18  
Brentford       12   18   +4      66.38     9.24     6.85     1.15     3.52    24.08     8.39P    2.31R    0.13  
Doncaster       11   18   +4      70.52     9.94    10.91     3.76     9.15    40.38    16.79P    1.32R    0.06  
Walsall         12   17   -2      61.39     9.20    -5.18     0.35     1.09    10.32     2.73P    7.94R    0.72  
Leyton_Orient   12   16   -2      56.70     8.94   -10.47     0.06     0.24     3.97     0.87P   17.67R    2.01  
Carlisle        12   16   -6      59.63     9.40   -10.84     0.18     0.69     7.84     1.97P   12.10R    1.16  
Portsmouth      12   15   -1      70.11     9.68    11.84     3.14     8.26    38.76    17.25P    1.23R    0.06  
Yeovil          12   13   +0      56.95     9.35    -4.62     0.07     0.33     4.97     1.14P   17.44R    2.25  
Shrewsbury      12   13   +0      56.60     9.32    -3.67     0.05     0.23     4.36     1.06P   18.20R    2.39  
Oldham          11   13   +0      57.88     9.20    -3.80     0.10     0.41     5.55     1.39P   14.54R    1.64  
Colchester      12   13   -5      57.91     9.21    -7.40     0.11     0.43     5.39     1.33P   15.04R    1.65  
Crewe           12   13   -7      47.42     9.16   -26.19     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.09P   56.10R   15.88  
Coventry        12   11   -6      58.89     9.59    -3.83     0.15     0.65     7.53     2.36P   13.44R    1.54  
Bournemouth     12   11   -7      55.48     9.15    -9.76     0.04     0.20     3.19     0.84P   21.51R    3.05  
Scunthorpe      12    9  -12      48.94     9.01   -21.68     0.01     0.02     0.62     0.13P   48.47R   11.33  
Hartlepool      12    7  -11      44.97     8.81   -23.37     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.04P   65.44R   21.94  
Bury            12    5  -12      42.56     9.02   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   73.75R   33.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2012, Port_Vale vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           12   29  +17      90.63     9.40    40.41    54.69    86.04    97.60    89.31P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            12   26  +16      84.39     9.53    34.10    24.50    67.16    91.46    73.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           12   22   +3      70.53     9.42     5.83     1.99    13.94    45.82    20.98P    0.11R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       12   21   +7      66.90     9.73     5.72     1.19     8.37    32.46    13.52P    0.50R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        12   19   +5      61.38     9.36    -2.26     0.22     2.55    15.16     4.89P    1.83R    0.30  
Rochdale             12   19   +2      72.59     9.95    12.42     3.45    21.08    55.17    30.59P    0.14R    0.01  
Exeter               12   19   +1      70.75    10.04     8.68     2.59    16.27    47.72    24.37P    0.24R    0.02  
Bradford             12   18   +4      62.95     9.41     1.42     0.26     3.55    19.54     6.83P    1.21R    0.19  
Southend             12   18   +4      74.48     9.38    18.83     4.36    26.05    64.34    38.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Torquay              12   18   +4      71.99     9.41    15.10     2.82    18.19    53.78    28.13P    0.10R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   11   17   +1      65.29     9.73     1.07     0.64     5.81    26.79    10.09P    0.84R    0.14  
Northampton          12   16   +2      60.12     9.46    -2.55     0.17     1.93    12.57     3.89P    2.75R    0.51  
Rotherham            11   15   +1      66.58     9.86     6.17     1.01     8.12    32.10    13.81P    0.74R    0.11  
York                 12   15   +0      53.62     9.35   -12.15     0.02     0.36     3.59     0.93P   10.01R    2.37  
Chesterfield         12   15   +0      67.64     9.96     9.08     1.21    10.15    36.80    17.63P    0.56R    0.10  
Morecambe            12   15   -2      60.93     9.41    -3.38     0.15     2.17    14.09     4.78P    2.27R    0.41  
Dag_&_Red            12   14   -1      58.50     9.43    -4.51     0.08     1.28     9.49     2.93P    3.87R    0.80  
Plymouth             12   14   -1      57.98     9.24    -5.09     0.08     1.01     8.58     2.71P    3.88R    0.77  
Oxford_Utd           12   13  -10      55.75     9.24   -15.94     0.03     0.52     5.09     1.49P    6.65R    1.43  
Wycombe              11   11   -5      63.64    10.18     1.82     0.53     5.00    23.15     9.88P    1.80R    0.36  
Bristol_Rovers       11   11   -7      53.18     9.50   -16.37     0.01     0.36     3.44     0.99P   11.67R    2.81  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   10  -12      44.19     8.98   -34.13     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   43.66R   15.89  
Aldershot            12    8  -11      48.80     9.13   -19.42     0.00     0.07     0.98     0.25P   22.05R    6.28  
Barnet               12    3  -18      33.58     8.64   -44.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    85.05R   67.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.19     8.74    22.77    11.61    69.46    22.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.97     8.34    36.18    35.22    90.98    54.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.19     8.55    30.29    27.43    85.93    46.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.93     8.60    31.37    13.49    73.84    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.87     8.82    21.19     5.38    51.18    15.24P    0.03R    0.01  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.44     9.29     6.71     0.94    18.29     3.72P    0.66R    0.07  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.13     8.52    -6.13     0.06     2.96     0.42P    4.17R    0.50  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.41     8.53    -1.53     0.03     2.56     0.38P    4.93R    0.60  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.37     9.38    15.04     3.51    39.77    12.22P    0.13R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.41     9.18     5.58     1.43    23.47     6.09P    0.40R    0.04  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.16     8.69     0.08     0.10     4.97     0.92P    2.79R    0.37  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.71     8.70     0.25     0.08     4.67     0.93P    3.00R    0.28  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.46     9.18   -16.73     0.02     0.96     0.13P   19.18R    4.20  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.23     8.99     3.29     0.40    12.01     3.14P    1.09R    0.10  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.42     8.67   -14.05     0.01     1.33     0.18P    9.98R    1.49  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.91     8.73     5.83     0.15     7.63     1.69P    1.86R    0.19  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.23     8.68   -11.53     0.01     0.96     0.14P   12.60R    2.18  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      52.05     8.63   -21.47     0.00     0.42     0.06P   22.58R    4.74  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.68     8.41   -24.22     0.00     0.21     0.03P   27.48R    6.29  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.65     8.70    -5.58     0.01     1.71     0.31P    7.47R    1.21  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.20     8.73     9.80     0.12     6.57     1.60P    1.93R    0.19  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.18     8.76   -31.08     0.00     0.03     0.01P   61.34R   26.65  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.35     8.53   -27.99     0.00     0.02     0.01P   55.79R   21.26  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.66     9.12   -28.06     0.00     0.06     0.01P   62.58R   29.62