Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.17     8.49    36.31    19.13    43.58    66.94    82.84    96.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.61     7.87    53.30    46.58    72.30    87.12    94.96    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.67     8.30    43.57    25.02    52.93    74.11    87.58    97.53     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.20     8.61    16.03     0.86     3.90    10.75    23.11    59.18     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.13     8.80    18.45     1.61     6.20    15.74    30.73    67.17     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.70     8.66    -2.03     0.05     0.38     1.33     3.76    17.40     1.22R    0.10  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.35     8.56    36.51     6.61    19.63    39.51    62.68    88.23     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.48     8.72   -16.86     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.47     3.36    11.09R    1.83  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.21     8.62     6.07     0.06     0.40     1.45     4.48    20.45     0.82R    0.08  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.83     8.79    -3.63     0.02     0.19     0.78     2.52    13.33     2.15R    0.22  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.29     8.28   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.59    14.63R    2.59  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.42     8.28    -5.38     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.43     4.06     6.17R    0.82  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.59     8.75    -5.84     0.00     0.07     0.36     1.14     7.40     4.51R    0.67  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.82     8.69     6.38     0.06     0.38     1.62     4.94    22.49     0.86R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.65     8.17   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    36.79R   10.56  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.93     8.25   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.71    22.59R    5.14  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.79     9.10   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.62    38.08R   12.89  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.74     8.96   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.40    42.23R   14.92  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.93     8.28   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    55.96R   22.32  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.33     8.07   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    62.86R   27.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.52     9.95    25.34    26.92    44.70    81.24    54.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.51     9.97    21.83    17.53    33.08    72.22    43.12P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.13    10.47    16.78    11.10    22.26    59.54    32.26P    0.31R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.23     9.67    -5.48     0.91     2.56    16.03     4.80P    3.88R    0.56  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.32     9.72    12.03     2.73     7.39    33.57    13.28P    0.99R    0.09  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.42    10.42     3.93     2.02     5.18    24.45     9.31P    2.95R    0.42  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.40    10.21     6.32     3.13     7.90    33.76    13.27P    1.54R    0.18  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.55    10.27    23.00    11.92    24.19    62.11    35.09P    0.29R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.28    10.63    22.02    14.37    27.39    64.02    38.50P    0.26R    0.01  
Hull             10   16   +2      67.93     9.73     6.01     2.05     5.22    27.69    10.52P    1.62R    0.17  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.54     9.88    -0.88     1.28     3.47    20.44     7.16P    3.20R    0.51  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.11     9.64    -0.69     0.48     1.52    12.24     3.79P    5.70R    0.83  
Derby            10   13   +2      59.00     9.76    -3.49     0.29     0.94     7.34     2.21P   10.75R    2.13  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.92    10.05   -11.31     0.28     0.81     6.41     1.94P   14.11R    3.11  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.28    10.33    -1.71     0.49     1.42    10.32     3.46P    9.77R    2.03  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.28    10.24    -2.30     0.45     1.39    10.40     3.36P    9.59R    2.01  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      53.17     9.78   -13.37     0.04     0.16     2.38     0.55P   26.48R    7.20  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.83    10.71     6.91     2.60     6.27    26.88    12.36P    3.25R    0.56  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.84     9.61   -18.23     0.02     0.09     1.32     0.32P   34.86R   10.59  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.35     9.79   -10.02     0.16     0.50     5.33     1.59P   14.47R    3.12  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.21    10.03     0.17     1.21     3.39    20.23     8.00P    3.54R    0.54  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.18    10.27   -25.60     0.02     0.07     0.86     0.24P   50.42R   22.48  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.03     9.85   -25.77     0.01     0.06     0.80     0.18P   47.10R   18.79  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.01     9.86   -25.50     0.01     0.02     0.43     0.12P   54.82R   24.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 October 2012, Bury vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        12   30  +21      84.19     9.21    32.27    33.18    53.20    88.67    61.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       12   23   +6      74.43     9.25    13.29     6.31    15.29    55.64    25.03P    0.22R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       12   22   +6      82.15     9.25    26.65    24.67    44.29    83.57    56.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    12   22   +1      61.37     9.56   -10.92     0.38     1.36    11.18     2.69P    9.05R    0.71  
Notts_County    12   21  +10      75.32     9.40    21.72     7.83    18.36    60.96    28.66P    0.24R    0.01  
Swindon         12   21   +6      71.58     9.58    12.17     4.01    10.27    44.09    18.46P    0.80R    0.03  
MK_Dons         12   20   +7      78.35     9.17    24.31    13.28    28.16    72.75    41.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         12   18   +6      66.29     9.42     8.37     1.32     4.00    24.50     8.28P    2.71R    0.16  
Brentford       12   18   +4      66.19     9.21     6.61     1.08     3.33    23.60     8.09P    2.53R    0.13  
Doncaster       11   18   +4      70.46     9.88    10.79     3.58     9.21    40.23    16.95P    1.31R    0.06  
Walsall         12   17   -2      61.34     9.25    -5.26     0.28     1.00    10.33     2.63P    8.23R    0.71  
Leyton_Orient   12   16   -2      56.75     8.98   -10.40     0.05     0.24     4.06     0.90P   17.73R    2.01  
Carlisle        12   16   -6      59.95     9.36   -10.38     0.19     0.73     8.13     2.03P   11.36R    1.05  
Portsmouth      12   15   -1      70.12     9.75    11.82     3.32     8.29    39.02    17.21P    1.39R    0.07  
Yeovil          12   13   +0      56.86     9.41    -4.72     0.08     0.30     5.04     1.16P   17.91R    2.42  
Shrewsbury      12   13   +0      56.64     9.48    -3.59     0.07     0.31     4.73     1.18P   18.30R    2.44  
Oldham          11   13   +0      57.82     9.28    -3.90     0.12     0.46     5.63     1.44P   14.84R    1.73  
Colchester      12   13   -5      57.93     9.25    -7.30     0.08     0.37     5.49     1.36P   15.11R    1.74  
Crewe           12   13   -7      47.09     9.16   -26.72     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.08P   57.42R   16.61  
Coventry        12   11   -6      59.07     9.57    -3.57     0.14     0.63     7.82     2.48P   12.77R    1.41  
Bournemouth     12   11   -7      55.70     9.10    -9.48     0.03     0.16     3.20     0.79P   20.92R    2.75  
Scunthorpe      12    9  -12      48.97     9.03   -21.73     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.15P   47.99R   11.33  
Hartlepool      12    7  -11      44.95     8.87   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   65.64R   21.73  
Bury            12    5  -12      42.59     9.07   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   73.43R   32.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2012, Port_Vale vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           12   29  +17      90.30     9.37    39.80    53.55    85.58    97.38    88.99P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            12   26  +16      84.38     9.44    34.05    24.82    67.33    91.62    74.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           12   22   +3      70.59     9.41     5.89     1.96    13.95    45.79    20.93P    0.13R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       12   21   +7      66.97     9.89     5.82     1.20     8.63    33.06    13.92P    0.55R    0.10  
Burton_Albion        12   19   +5      61.46     9.45    -2.17     0.24     2.62    15.40     4.88P    1.77R    0.31  
Rochdale             12   19   +2      72.76    10.00    12.66     3.87    21.26    55.55    31.03P    0.13R    0.01  
Exeter               12   19   +1      70.79     9.97     8.77     2.57    16.06    47.81    24.58P    0.21R    0.03  
Bradford             12   18   +4      63.03     9.34     1.49     0.30     3.48    19.37     6.71P    1.13R    0.19  
Southend             12   18   +4      74.57     9.44    18.96     4.74    26.46    64.33    38.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              12   18   +4      71.81     9.41    14.78     2.64    17.56    53.12    27.32P    0.12R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   11   17   +1      65.46     9.84     1.40     0.72     6.22    27.29    10.43P    0.85R    0.14  
Northampton          12   16   +2      60.28     9.45    -2.18     0.14     1.90    12.91     3.96P    2.62R    0.51  
Rotherham            11   15   +1      66.56     9.80     6.19     0.97     7.76    31.93    13.71P    0.69R    0.10  
York                 12   15   +0      53.62     9.35   -12.22     0.02     0.40     3.61     1.01P   10.05R    2.14  
Chesterfield         12   15   +0      67.76     9.95     9.31     1.31    10.13    37.07    17.85P    0.56R    0.09  
Morecambe            12   15   -2      60.93     9.49    -3.36     0.21     2.27    14.11     4.80P    2.29R    0.41  
Dag_&_Red            12   14   -1      58.31     9.37    -4.77     0.06     1.22     8.95     2.72P    3.94R    0.80  
Plymouth             12   14   -1      57.58     9.26    -5.59     0.07     0.96     7.70     2.41P    4.09R    0.71  
Oxford_Utd           12   13  -10      56.01     9.28   -15.52     0.05     0.57     5.24     1.50P    6.45R    1.29  
Wycombe              11   11   -5      63.53    10.36     1.68     0.52     5.25    23.26     9.94P    1.88R    0.35  
Bristol_Rovers       11   11   -7      53.16     9.44   -16.32     0.02     0.32     3.21     0.86P   11.36R    2.79  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   10  -12      44.24     8.97   -33.98     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   43.27R   15.68  
Aldershot            12    8  -11      48.73     9.17   -19.60     0.00     0.06     1.01     0.26P   22.30R    6.25  
Barnet               12    3  -18      33.45     8.60   -45.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   85.58R   68.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      81.26     8.78    22.82    12.05    69.50    22.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      88.02     8.29    36.23    35.66    91.07    54.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.21     8.52    30.31    27.26    86.01    45.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.74     8.63    31.08    13.16    73.16    29.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.91     8.81    21.21     5.12    51.24    15.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.54     9.39     6.86     1.07    18.51     4.03P    0.73R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.27     8.51    -5.97     0.03     3.01     0.44P    4.02R    0.47  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.23     8.49    -1.76     0.03     2.55     0.39P    4.93R    0.66  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.27     9.38    14.90     3.34    39.50    12.08P    0.15R    0.01  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.38     9.22     5.59     1.35    23.60     6.01P    0.42R    0.03  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.19     8.74     0.16     0.09     5.26     1.01P    2.75R    0.30  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.64     8.68     0.15     0.10     4.35     0.86P    3.17R    0.38  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.49     9.12   -16.73     0.01     0.85     0.13P   19.12R    4.14  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.30     9.07     3.39     0.37    12.27     3.22P    1.12R    0.09  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.51     8.76   -13.95     0.01     1.38     0.24P   10.09R    1.58  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      64.03     8.81     5.99     0.16     7.85     1.79P    1.84R    0.20  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.19     8.66   -11.51     0.01     0.97     0.15P   12.58R    2.15  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.97     8.69   -21.61     0.00     0.39     0.06P   23.03R    5.08  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.82     8.40   -23.96     0.00     0.22     0.04P   26.54R    5.80  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.57     8.75    -5.68     0.01     1.70     0.27P    7.86R    1.22  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.04     8.69     9.55     0.13     6.48     1.58P    2.06R    0.18  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.46     8.83   -30.64     0.00     0.06     0.00P   60.18R   25.50  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.42     8.56   -27.90     0.00     0.04     0.00    55.62R   21.32  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.39     9.09   -28.54     0.00     0.04     0.00P   63.75R   30.82