Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.20     8.57    36.36    19.36    43.10    66.13    82.52    96.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.54     7.89    53.21    45.70    71.62    87.02    94.91    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.83     8.18    43.81    25.52    53.03    74.26    87.79    97.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.38     8.66    16.37     1.03     4.05    10.97    23.42    59.18     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.37     8.84    18.89     1.77     6.77    16.16    31.07    67.94     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.78     8.70    -1.99     0.07     0.42     1.37     3.85    17.18     1.12R    0.09  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.46     8.56    36.73     6.37    19.92    39.59    62.42    88.26     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.43     8.68   -16.88     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.36     3.15    10.77R    1.65  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.34     8.79     6.30     0.07     0.41     1.58     4.62    21.25     0.87R    0.08  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.76     8.76    -3.74     0.03     0.15     0.78     2.42    13.01     1.93R    0.23  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.28     8.38   -13.66     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.17     1.64    14.60R    2.64  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.49     8.35    -5.19     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.43     4.20     5.96R    0.77  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.44     8.88    -6.18     0.01     0.06     0.30     1.11     7.29     4.61R    0.67  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.82     8.63     6.44     0.07     0.41     1.57     4.68    21.70     0.86R    0.07  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.60     8.25   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    36.99R   10.55  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.84     8.28   -19.43     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.72    22.52R    5.12  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.93     9.04   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.60    36.90R   12.31  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.21     8.91   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.36    44.33R   15.88  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.95     8.30   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    55.41R   22.22  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.25     8.06   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.07R   27.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.53     9.95    25.39    26.87    44.74    81.28    54.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.63    10.01    22.06    18.07    33.50    72.63    43.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.14    10.47    16.80    11.14    22.40    59.18    32.39P    0.29R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.18     9.69    -5.49     0.82     2.42    16.10     4.78P    3.90R    0.58  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.54     9.76    12.36     2.93     7.60    34.21    13.72P    1.00R    0.11  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.57    10.32     4.14     1.87     4.95    24.86     9.09P    2.96R    0.43  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.40    10.23     6.31     3.08     7.79    33.48    13.23P    1.51R    0.21  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.47    10.20    22.85    11.64    23.94    61.80    34.87P    0.21R    0.02  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.31    10.59    22.04    14.37    27.23    64.05    38.47P    0.24R    0.03  
Hull             10   16   +2      67.96     9.75     6.06     2.03     5.38    27.51    10.54P    1.56R    0.20  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.50     9.96    -0.91     1.27     3.54    20.49     7.19P    3.28R    0.44  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.22     9.67    -0.48     0.49     1.55    12.24     3.84P    5.57R    0.91  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.71     9.78    -3.91     0.22     0.78     7.06     2.10P   11.14R    2.39  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.83    10.01   -11.50     0.25     0.72     6.34     1.87P   14.04R    3.27  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.15    10.26    -1.95     0.50     1.42    10.08     3.29P    9.64R    2.00  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.52    10.31    -1.94     0.57     1.54    10.84     3.63P    9.37R    1.91  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.96     9.77   -13.71     0.05     0.18     2.26     0.53P   26.64R    7.50  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.73    10.71     6.68     2.41     6.06    26.53    11.84P    3.25R    0.59  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.37     9.42   -18.99     0.02     0.09     1.08     0.25P   36.48R   11.12  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.42     9.72    -9.87     0.15     0.52     5.28     1.53P   13.92R    2.87  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.52     9.97     0.68     1.24     3.54    20.77     8.23P    3.28R    0.43  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.41    10.19   -25.22     0.01     0.07     0.85     0.19P   49.67R   21.75  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      47.87     9.64   -26.03     0.01     0.02     0.60     0.10P   47.27R   18.77  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.10     9.77   -25.38     0.01     0.02     0.49     0.10P   54.71R   24.43  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2012, Preston vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        12   30  +21      84.05     9.30    32.11    32.22    52.42    88.40    61.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       12   23   +6      74.39     9.22    13.19     6.31    14.93    55.42    24.49P    0.23R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       12   22   +6      82.28     9.24    26.88    24.98    44.38    83.99    57.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    12   22   +1      61.34     9.55   -11.01     0.39     1.26    11.05     2.66P    9.34R    0.78  
Notts_County    12   21  +10      75.43     9.41    21.89     8.06    18.86    61.36    29.42P    0.20R    0.01  
Swindon         12   21   +6      71.71     9.60    12.38     4.18    10.48    44.31    18.59P    0.70R    0.02  
MK_Dons         12   20   +7      78.61     9.22    24.80    13.82    29.13    73.61    42.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         12   18   +6      66.26     9.32     8.31     1.20     3.53    23.97     7.69P    2.67R    0.16  
Brentford       12   18   +4      65.96     9.19     6.25     0.99     3.24    22.57     7.74P    2.52R    0.15  
Doncaster       11   18   +4      70.27     9.96    10.54     3.51     8.95    39.10    16.15P    1.35R    0.08  
Walsall         12   17   -2      61.43     9.24    -5.11     0.27     1.04    10.49     2.72P    8.16R    0.74  
Portsmouth      12   15   -1      70.22     9.74    12.00     3.17     8.26    39.32    17.66P    1.31R    0.07  
Carlisle        11   15   -6      60.48     9.57   -10.17     0.24     0.95     9.41     2.40P   10.91R    1.17  
Yeovil          12   13   +0      56.94     9.49    -4.62     0.10     0.36     5.15     1.20P   18.00R    2.61  
Shrewsbury      12   13   +0      56.41     9.46    -3.94     0.05     0.24     4.54     1.18P   19.29R    2.72  
Oldham          11   13   +0      57.99     9.24    -3.69     0.12     0.43     5.80     1.41P   14.52R    1.68  
Leyton_Orient   11   13   -3      54.94     9.20   -11.79     0.03     0.18     3.04     0.60P   24.13R    3.52  
Colchester      12   13   -5      57.93     9.24    -7.34     0.11     0.43     5.52     1.38P   15.19R    1.84  
Crewe           12   13   -7      47.12     9.11   -26.75     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.06P   58.02R   17.13  
Coventry        12   11   -6      59.14     9.67    -3.51     0.18     0.72     8.10     2.55P   13.06R    1.45  
Bournemouth     12   11   -7      55.68     9.15    -9.52     0.03     0.16     3.36     0.82P   21.01R    3.08  
Scunthorpe      12    9  -12      49.01     9.02   -21.71     0.01     0.03     0.60     0.13P   48.31R   11.74  
Hartlepool      11    7  -10      46.62     9.07   -22.06     0.01     0.01     0.33     0.06P   58.32R   17.57  
Bury            11    4  -12      42.75     9.30   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   72.66R   33.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           12   29  +17      90.67     9.40    40.50    57.87    86.80    97.61    90.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.10     9.76    29.91    18.93    58.57    86.77    66.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           12   22   +3      70.49     9.40     5.75     2.21    14.40    45.97    21.53P    0.10R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       12   21   +7      66.98     9.82     5.87     1.23     9.16    32.94    14.16P    0.46R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        12   19   +5      61.44     9.46    -2.18     0.27     2.70    15.52     4.97P    1.88R    0.33  
Rochdale             12   19   +2      72.74     9.93    12.61     3.99    22.03    55.94    31.42P    0.13R    0.03  
Exeter               12   19   +1      70.90    10.08     8.95     3.07    17.48    48.43    25.66P    0.21R    0.03  
Bradford             12   18   +4      62.84     9.38     1.22     0.29     3.43    19.04     6.60P    1.31R    0.20  
Southend             12   18   +4      74.50     9.43    18.82     4.75    27.16    64.41    38.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              12   18   +4      71.77     9.40    14.71     2.79    18.19    52.87    27.80P    0.09R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   11   17   +1      65.43     9.84     1.29     0.84     6.54    27.52    10.89P    0.92R    0.15  
Northampton          12   16   +2      60.39     9.48    -2.05     0.16     2.18    13.10     4.35P    2.55R    0.45  
Rotherham            11   15   +1      66.42     9.88     5.98     0.99     8.37    31.72    14.06P    0.70R    0.12  
York                 12   15   +0      53.59     9.28   -12.12     0.03     0.34     3.58     0.92P   10.20R    2.28  
Chesterfield         12   15   +0      67.73    10.00     9.23     1.46    10.87    36.93    18.33P    0.56R    0.08  
Morecambe            12   15   -2      60.80     9.38    -3.57     0.24     2.17    13.49     4.57P    2.35R    0.45  
Dag_&_Red            12   14   -1      58.04     9.39    -5.18     0.09     1.14     8.74     2.65P    4.31R    0.87  
Plymouth             12   14   -1      57.81     9.33    -5.26     0.09     1.10     8.30     2.66P    4.05R    0.72  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      58.11     9.56   -11.41     0.08     1.27     8.78     2.84P    4.47R    0.98  
Wycombe              11   11   -5      63.64    10.34     1.81     0.61     5.57    23.48    10.38P    1.93R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers       11   11   -7      53.20     9.54   -16.27     0.02     0.44     3.52     1.08P   11.72R    2.66  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   10  -12      44.20     8.96   -34.03     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.05P   43.71R   15.65  
Aldershot            12    8  -11      48.82     9.18   -19.48     0.00     0.08     1.07     0.30P   22.16R    6.21  
Barnet               12    3  -18      33.42     8.49   -45.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.15R   68.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     15   33  +14      80.87     8.77    22.26    10.96    68.02    21.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            15   29  +11      87.98     8.30    36.12    35.56    91.01    54.79P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   29   +7      86.46     8.50    30.74    28.20    86.69    47.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            15   27  +12      81.74     8.66    31.01    13.15    73.20    29.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       15   27  +10      76.89     8.75    21.18     5.17    51.28    15.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           15   26   +7      68.75     9.31     7.19     1.05    19.22     4.13P    0.59R    0.04  
Tamworth           15   22   +1      60.16     8.53    -6.07     0.05     3.05     0.42P    4.22R    0.52  
AFC_Telford        15   21   +5      59.50     8.59    -1.36     0.03     2.77     0.38P    4.76R    0.58  
Macclesfield       14   21   +0      74.21     9.39    14.82     3.51    39.29    12.31P    0.16R    0.02  
Mansfield          14   21   -3      70.20     9.19     5.29     1.32    22.84     5.73P    0.46R    0.03  
Stockport          15   20   +1      62.15     8.75     0.09     0.09     5.27     0.93P    2.77R    0.28  
Gateshead          15   19   +0      61.78     8.66     0.34     0.08     4.61     0.86P    2.81R    0.36  
Woking             15   19   -2      53.49     9.15   -16.63     0.02     1.00     0.14P   19.11R    4.04  
Hereford           15   19   -4      66.36     9.05     3.50     0.47    12.51     3.32P    1.07R    0.10  
Southport          15   19   -5      56.42     8.62   -14.10     0.01     1.26     0.20P    9.93R    1.48  
Cambridge_Utd      15   17   -1      63.97     8.81     5.86     0.17     7.90     1.78P    1.81R    0.18  
Braintree_Town     15   17   -4      55.41     8.77   -11.11     0.02     1.14     0.16P   12.10R    2.04  
Alfreton_Town      14   17   -6      51.90     8.69   -21.70     0.01     0.45     0.05P   23.25R    4.97  
Barrow             15   17   -9      50.69     8.36   -24.14     0.00     0.18     0.01P   27.23R    6.12  
Lincoln_City       15   16   -4      57.53     8.73    -5.75     0.02     1.61     0.29P    7.91R    1.17  
Kidderminster      15   15   +1      63.16     8.76     9.69     0.13     6.65     1.67P    2.07R    0.22  
Nuneaton           15   12  -11      43.28     8.90   -30.97     0.00     0.03     0.00P   61.00R   26.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   11  -11      44.45     8.49   -27.79     0.00     0.02     0.00P   55.20R   20.94  
Hyde_United        14   10   -9      42.46     9.07   -28.44     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.54R   30.58