Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.21     8.56    36.38    19.44    43.35    66.23    82.75    96.23     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.60     7.81    53.28    45.55    72.12    87.31    95.14    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.83     8.22    43.80    25.52    52.95    74.53    88.02    97.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.32     8.71    16.29     0.93     4.12    10.99    23.22    59.17     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.10     8.83    18.50     1.61     6.21    15.26    30.31    66.75     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.75     8.72    -2.00     0.07     0.36     1.28     3.79    17.73     1.16R    0.08  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.44     8.59    36.73     6.70    19.79    39.98    62.77    88.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.55     8.74   -16.80     0.01     0.02     0.14     0.49     3.25    10.76R    1.83  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.25     8.70     6.14     0.06     0.41     1.45     4.47    20.67     0.86R    0.07  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.84     8.79    -3.62     0.04     0.18     0.79     2.46    13.20     2.07R    0.25  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.28     8.37   -13.66     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.16     1.68    14.56R    2.62  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.36     8.37    -5.42     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.45     4.20     6.05R    0.86  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.38     8.76    -6.19     0.01     0.07     0.29     1.01     7.08     4.73R    0.65  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.87     8.67     6.52     0.06     0.39     1.53     4.71    22.51     0.87R    0.09  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.70     8.16   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.30    36.35R   10.21  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.78     8.27   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.72    22.84R    5.01  
Southampton    7    4   -8      37.14     9.05   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.64    36.29R   11.75  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.40     8.93   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.42    43.31R   15.43  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.72     8.28   -37.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    56.88R   23.22  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.26     8.00   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.21R   27.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.43     9.96    25.23    27.05    44.82    80.90    54.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.62     9.92    22.03    17.93    33.59    72.63    43.68P    0.07R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      75.87    10.44    16.40    10.53    22.03    58.65    31.89P    0.33R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.21     9.73    -5.49     0.95     2.68    16.35     5.04P    3.82R    0.57  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.50     9.76    12.31     3.11     7.72    34.32    13.80P    0.94R    0.09  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.54    10.28     4.12     1.93     4.91    24.51     9.04P    2.87R    0.43  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.25    10.24     6.09     3.03     7.57    33.34    12.96P    1.64R    0.19  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.27    10.32    22.49    11.63    23.67    60.92    34.29P    0.31R    0.04  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.15    10.65    21.80    14.28    26.87    63.84    37.93P    0.31R    0.04  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.14     9.74     6.28     2.14     5.61    28.39    10.98P    1.47R    0.16  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.42     9.89    -1.05     1.18     3.35    20.01     7.04P    3.19R    0.46  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      61.98     9.63    -0.88     0.50     1.53    11.71     3.66P    5.84R    0.96  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.95     9.84    -3.54     0.29     0.92     7.65     2.24P   10.76R    2.17  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.95    10.07   -11.28     0.27     0.77     6.71     1.95P   14.13R    3.29  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.13    10.34    -1.93     0.46     1.40    10.28     3.51P   10.00R    2.18  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.80    10.24    -1.42     0.56     1.67    11.22     3.93P    8.83R    1.71  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.79     9.73   -13.96     0.04     0.15     2.11     0.52P   27.83R    7.64  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.76    10.68     6.81     2.62     6.20    26.54    12.11P    3.37R    0.56  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.34     9.47   -19.05     0.01     0.04     1.09     0.20P   36.71R   11.43  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.41     9.80    -9.88     0.17     0.55     5.39     1.56P   14.23R    3.11  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.61    10.06     0.82     1.30     3.83    21.43     8.74P    3.32R    0.47  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.34    10.24   -25.31     0.02     0.05     0.84     0.23P   49.90R   22.11  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.23     9.75   -25.44     0.01     0.02     0.67     0.16P   46.26R   18.15  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.25     9.95   -25.14     0.00     0.03     0.51     0.12P   53.83R   24.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.95     9.43    31.83    26.56    45.96    84.97    55.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.71     9.48    15.54     9.33    20.88    63.70    31.12P    0.13R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.78     9.45    28.57    29.60    49.42    86.34    61.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      72.31     9.84    12.70     4.59    11.33    45.87    19.82P    0.75R    0.04  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.17     9.48    25.18    14.99    30.50    74.11    43.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.61     9.76   -11.94     0.26     0.90     8.20     1.97P   13.02R    1.60  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.56     9.72    14.47     3.64     9.52    43.62    17.65P    0.84R    0.03  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.39     9.68     7.84     1.34     3.89    24.62     8.32P    2.89R    0.18  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.71     9.46     6.88     1.13     3.63    24.96     8.68P    2.43R    0.19  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.69    10.26    12.03     4.43    11.22    44.14    19.63P    1.20R    0.06  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.46     9.44    -3.19     0.46     1.64    14.52     3.95P    5.57R    0.48  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      63.97     9.92    -2.88     0.68     2.23    17.07     5.04P    6.00R    0.57  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      57.75     9.52    -4.36     0.12     0.44     5.84     1.36P   15.48R    2.17  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      57.21     9.55    -8.56     0.07     0.36     5.19     1.23P   17.47R    2.45  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.43     9.42   -25.07     0.00     0.03     0.70     0.14P   51.08R   14.38  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.01     9.36    -5.68     0.08     0.31     4.71     1.13P   16.86R    2.35  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.80    10.10    10.40     2.44     6.62    33.77    14.62P    2.22R    0.18  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.12     9.65    -6.01     0.03     0.17     3.03     0.67P   26.11R    4.74  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.45     9.42    -9.68     0.02     0.18     3.40     0.83P   22.17R    3.42  
Coventry        11   10   -6      58.95     9.79    -4.22     0.17     0.61     7.85     2.33P   13.43R    1.65  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.08     9.47   -13.00     0.03     0.11     2.02     0.53P   30.34R    5.97  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.13     9.27   -22.04     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.17P   47.05R   12.29  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.36     9.29   -23.08     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.07P   58.62R   19.08  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.27     9.50   -25.71     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   66.24R   28.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.58     9.66    33.94    43.91    76.47    94.57    81.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.12     9.84    29.99    21.63    57.09    86.06    64.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      69.29    10.12     8.17     2.59    13.15    41.23    19.26P    0.37R    0.05  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.74    10.36    15.80     7.41    28.08    62.18    37.55P    0.12R    0.01  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.46    10.20    15.74     7.80    30.10    65.19    39.78P    0.08R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.89     9.70     4.77     2.03    11.26    38.39    17.43P    0.34R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      62.26     9.71    -1.48     0.48     3.32    17.51     5.75P    1.90R    0.44  
Bradford             11   17   +4      63.77     9.68     2.03     0.52     4.51    21.62     7.98P    1.27R    0.26  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.22     9.97     4.03     1.44     8.75    33.04    13.70P    0.58R    0.11  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.28    10.05    11.30     2.51    13.13    41.69    20.35P    0.37R    0.06  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.64     9.67    12.00     2.34    12.95    42.80    20.94P    0.28R    0.05  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.22     9.68    13.34     3.18    16.59    49.31    26.15P    0.16R    0.03  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.48    10.16    12.36     3.24    16.03    46.58    24.64P    0.29R    0.05  
York                 11   14   +0      53.63     9.64   -12.62     0.02     0.44     3.94     1.11P   11.64R    3.50  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.44     9.62    -8.79     0.06     0.85     6.56     1.90P    6.77R    1.93  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      58.31     9.56   -11.17     0.11     1.20     8.76     2.82P    4.73R    1.28  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      57.79     9.61    -6.73     0.14     1.21     8.50     2.84P    5.08R    1.37  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      55.01     9.54    -8.37     0.04     0.52     4.87     1.44P    8.47R    2.55  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.62     9.41   -10.48     0.03     0.42     4.30     1.31P    8.67R    2.56  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.32     9.77   -16.81     0.04     0.39     3.68     1.08P   12.68R    3.95  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.43     9.27   -33.11     0.00     0.03     0.48     0.09P   39.39R   17.09  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.96    10.59    -0.83     0.47     3.34    16.68     6.90P    3.83R    1.12  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.29     9.39   -13.77     0.01     0.16     2.02     0.59P   16.00R    5.03  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.18     8.97   -39.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   76.97R   58.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 October 2012, Stockport vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     14   32  +14      81.02     9.01    21.92     9.72    65.80    19.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   29  +13      91.25     8.41    41.06    48.06    94.74    65.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       14   27  +11      78.75     9.06    23.08     6.40    57.28    17.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              14   26   +5      85.70     8.77    30.63    20.98    82.96    41.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           14   25   +7      69.57     9.82     7.68     1.25    21.29     4.56P    0.65R    0.05  
Grimsby            14   24  +11      80.29     8.86    30.34     8.05    65.27    23.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +2      62.13     8.84    -4.24     0.05     4.72     0.72P    2.75R    0.34  
AFC_Telford        14   21   +6      60.68     8.78    -0.67     0.04     3.52     0.55P    3.63R    0.42  
Macclesfield       13   20   +0      75.03     9.69    15.57     3.57    40.85    12.37P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             14   19   -1      56.25     9.57   -13.25     0.03     1.94     0.30P   12.26R    2.26  
Gateshead          14   18   +0      62.23     8.99     0.35     0.10     5.13     1.00P    2.84R    0.29  
Hereford           14   18   -4      67.85     9.40     5.32     0.59    15.87     4.33P    0.85R    0.07  
Mansfield          13   18   -4      68.42     9.42     4.03     0.78    17.19     4.26P    0.84R    0.07  
Stockport          14   17   +0      60.01     8.95    -1.96     0.04     3.31     0.58P    4.61R    0.66  
Cambridge_Utd      14   16   -1      64.43     9.03     6.02     0.15     8.36     1.78P    1.59R    0.20  
Braintree_Town     14   16   -4      55.01     8.94   -12.73     0.01     0.92     0.15P   12.98R    2.15  
Southport          14   16   -6      54.05     8.93   -16.35     0.00     0.71     0.06P   15.62R    2.79  
Alfreton_Town      13   16   -6      52.03     8.87   -22.66     0.00     0.39     0.06P   22.22R    4.84  
Barrow             14   16   -9      50.99     8.68   -24.78     0.00     0.27     0.02P   25.44R    5.46  
Kidderminster      14   15   +2      64.66     8.97    10.95     0.17     8.84     2.22P    1.39R    0.14  
Lincoln_City       14   13   -6      53.81     8.78   -10.99     0.01     0.54     0.11P   15.27R    2.63  
Nuneaton           14   12   -9      43.99     9.10   -30.80     0.00     0.03     0.01P   56.25R   21.81  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   10  -11      45.19     8.80   -27.80     0.00     0.05     0.00P   50.49R   17.27  
Hyde_United        13    7  -10      40.12     9.34   -30.73     0.00     0.02     0.00P   70.14R   38.53