Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.29     8.45    36.55    19.39    43.90    66.93    83.26    96.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.84     7.78    53.81    47.32    73.13    87.82    95.30    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.48     8.25    43.11    23.94    51.22    73.12    87.19    97.47     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.31     8.61    16.24     0.85     3.86    10.68    22.69    58.98     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.20     8.77    18.63     1.55     6.23    15.42    30.71    67.04     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.69     8.68    -2.09     0.06     0.36     1.32     3.81    17.34     1.13R    0.07  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.51     8.59    36.83     6.72    20.17    40.11    62.68    88.46     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.57     8.70   -16.79     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.39     3.13    10.48R    1.72  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.27     8.72     6.17     0.05     0.43     1.56     4.58    20.51     0.90R    0.09  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.89     8.81    -3.61     0.02     0.17     0.79     2.49    13.30     2.01R    0.19  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.31     8.34   -13.75     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     1.64    14.56R    2.72  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.44     8.34    -5.35     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.46     4.20     5.87R    0.81  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.59     8.85    -5.88     0.01     0.07     0.35     1.17     7.56     4.46R    0.61  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.99     8.67     6.72     0.07     0.40     1.65     4.92    22.64     0.83R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.60     8.21   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28    36.66R   10.54  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.78     8.26   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.65    22.81R    5.14  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.67     9.03   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.58    38.34R   12.86  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.49     8.91   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.41    42.97R   15.32  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.93     8.22   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    55.76R   21.91  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.19     8.01   -33.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.16R   27.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.54     9.97    25.40    27.28    45.01    81.35    54.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.44    10.04    21.73    17.78    32.76    71.59    42.75P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.26    10.46    16.99    11.22    23.06    59.88    33.00P    0.29R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.33     9.71    -5.35     0.92     2.58    16.51     4.95P    3.81R    0.51  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.42     9.75    12.23     2.82     7.38    33.90    13.46P    1.01R    0.10  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.62    10.29     4.24     1.94     5.17    25.08     9.47P    2.69R    0.34  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.02    10.26     5.72     2.97     7.50    32.59    12.70P    1.73R    0.23  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.43    10.25    22.77    11.84    24.04    61.79    34.85P    0.28R    0.02  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.36    10.49    22.16    14.14    27.32    64.50    38.87P    0.25R    0.01  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.00     9.72     6.12     2.03     5.38    27.96    10.73P    1.58R    0.19  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.17     9.93    -1.44     1.13     3.19    19.63     6.67P    3.54R    0.50  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.09     9.63    -0.69     0.56     1.64    12.05     3.84P    5.80R    0.89  
Derby            10   13   +2      59.09     9.78    -3.34     0.26     0.91     7.60     2.26P   10.54R    2.04  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.82    10.02   -11.55     0.27     0.74     6.20     1.75P   14.39R    3.27  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.20    10.25    -1.83     0.45     1.28    10.27     3.34P    9.73R    2.11  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.45    10.23    -2.02     0.48     1.46    10.70     3.57P    9.28R    1.88  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.90     9.79   -13.74     0.03     0.17     2.33     0.58P   27.49R    8.04  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.68    10.70     6.62     2.48     6.10    26.70    11.98P    3.34R    0.60  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.51     9.51   -18.82     0.02     0.09     1.16     0.26P   36.12R   11.25  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.16     9.68   -10.30     0.09     0.42     4.92     1.33P   14.62R    3.15  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.63     9.97     0.84     1.24     3.66    21.23     8.45P    3.15R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.55    10.29   -25.05     0.02     0.07     0.86     0.22P   49.42R   21.46  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.23     9.81   -25.41     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.16P   46.25R   18.41  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.11     9.88   -25.29     0.01     0.03     0.48     0.11P   54.58R   24.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.89     9.46    31.81    26.51    45.88    84.90    55.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.72     9.48    15.59     9.52    21.06    63.68    31.34P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.51     9.51    28.18    28.44    48.25    85.43    60.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      72.51     9.85    12.96     4.99    11.92    46.95    20.45P    0.74R    0.03  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.19     9.51    25.19    15.09    30.53    74.19    44.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.57     9.78   -12.13     0.25     0.86     8.17     1.93P   13.33R    1.65  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.68     9.72    14.65     3.82     9.98    44.37    18.14P    0.84R    0.04  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.35     9.75     7.80     1.41     4.13    24.83     8.53P    3.06R    0.25  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.58     9.49     6.65     1.28     3.69    24.63     8.46P    2.46R    0.16  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.49    10.25    11.75     4.43    10.77    43.14    18.63P    1.24R    0.09  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.03     9.47    -3.80     0.47     1.50    13.87     3.73P    6.45R    0.60  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      64.09     9.94    -2.75     0.71     2.28    17.57     5.22P    5.89R    0.64  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      58.01     9.54    -4.02     0.11     0.51     6.22     1.50P   14.97R    1.95  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      57.10     9.60    -8.73     0.09     0.38     5.09     1.23P   17.88R    2.56  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.52     9.49   -24.88     0.01     0.03     0.80     0.14P   51.06R   14.50  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.19     9.44    -5.44     0.11     0.38     5.01     1.28P   16.98R    2.38  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.51    10.17     9.97     2.43     6.51    32.80    14.56P    2.46R    0.21  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.42     9.69    -5.52     0.04     0.22     3.27     0.89P   25.59R    4.51  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.57     9.37    -9.54     0.04     0.19     3.43     0.84P   21.52R    3.28  
Coventry        11   10   -6      59.16     9.81    -3.94     0.22     0.76     8.20     2.60P   12.89R    1.57  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.24     9.38   -12.77     0.02     0.11     2.03     0.51P   29.89R    5.50  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.17     9.31   -21.99     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.13P   47.14R   12.26  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.47     9.30   -22.98     0.01     0.02     0.43     0.08P   58.41R   19.08  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.14     9.48   -26.06     0.01     0.01     0.20     0.04P   66.97R   28.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.47     9.72    33.80    43.65    76.01    94.63    81.18P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.12     9.75    30.06    21.67    57.26    86.41    65.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      69.11    10.16     7.92     2.46    12.99    40.27    18.54P    0.42R    0.07  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.76    10.30    15.81     7.42    28.23    62.37    37.50P    0.09R    0.02  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.64    10.16    16.02     8.17    30.35    65.71    40.37P    0.06R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.59     9.68     4.36     1.91    10.69    37.18    16.56P    0.32R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      62.28     9.62    -1.47     0.48     3.37    17.24     5.76P    1.78R    0.40  
Bradford             11   17   +4      64.00     9.63     2.48     0.56     4.52    22.42     8.18P    1.09R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.35    10.00     4.25     1.59     9.14    33.81    14.12P    0.72R    0.14  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.45    10.08    11.56     2.67    13.58    42.56    20.78P    0.40R    0.04  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.59     9.71    11.84     2.21    12.67    42.87    20.93P    0.32R    0.05  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.00     9.68    12.99     3.10    16.26    48.36    25.70P    0.21R    0.02  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.54    10.15    12.43     3.16    16.04    46.58    24.81P    0.28R    0.05  
York                 11   14   +0      54.00     9.60   -12.13     0.03     0.50     4.30     1.21P   10.77R    3.10  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.55     9.63    -8.63     0.11     0.97     6.67     2.06P    6.69R    1.92  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      58.07     9.45   -11.52     0.11     1.06     8.07     2.58P    4.89R    1.34  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      57.95     9.62    -6.45     0.13     1.22     8.45     2.82P    5.04R    1.38  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      54.97     9.49    -8.44     0.05     0.55     4.93     1.46P    8.51R    2.46  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.63     9.43   -10.47     0.05     0.47     4.43     1.37P    8.78R    2.57  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.09     9.73   -17.15     0.02     0.37     3.55     0.98P   12.90R    3.97  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.41     9.19   -33.27     0.00     0.04     0.48     0.10P   39.51R   16.84  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.91    10.67    -0.91     0.44     3.52    16.62     7.12P    4.00R    1.15  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.44     9.37   -13.58     0.02     0.18     2.08     0.64P   15.41R    4.85  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.03     8.91   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   77.80R   59.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 October 2012, Stockport vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     14   32  +14      80.97     9.05    21.77     9.69    65.64    19.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   29  +13      91.30     8.50    41.11    47.88    94.75    64.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       14   27  +11      78.78     9.03    23.05     6.34    57.42    17.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              14   26   +5      85.65     8.77    30.54    20.95    82.70    40.99P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           14   25   +7      69.62     9.77     7.81     1.24    21.21     4.52P    0.66R    0.06  
Grimsby            14   24  +11      80.25     8.87    30.31     8.23    65.00    23.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +2      62.00     8.82    -4.47     0.09     4.58     0.65P    2.81R    0.33  
AFC_Telford        14   21   +6      60.65     8.76    -0.75     0.04     3.54     0.52P    3.68R    0.40  
Macclesfield       13   20   +0      75.06     9.73    15.66     3.65    41.34    13.08P    0.17R    0.01  
Woking             14   19   -1      55.97     9.56   -13.63     0.02     1.86     0.27P   12.80R    2.45  
Gateshead          14   18   +0      62.28     8.96     0.44     0.11     5.11     0.97P    2.76R    0.32  
Hereford           14   18   -4      67.63     9.36     4.97     0.52    15.12     4.09P    0.86R    0.08  
Mansfield          13   18   -4      68.53     9.44     4.26     0.80    17.72     4.47P    0.84R    0.08  
Stockport          14   17   +0      59.93     8.94    -2.04     0.05     3.16     0.56P    4.86R    0.69  
Cambridge_Utd      14   16   -1      64.36     9.05     6.01     0.18     8.40     1.91P    1.72R    0.19  
Braintree_Town     14   16   -4      54.94     8.86   -12.86     0.00     0.87     0.11P   13.08R    2.17  
Southport          14   16   -6      54.21     8.88   -16.17     0.01     0.74     0.12P   15.21R    2.65  
Alfreton_Town      13   16   -6      51.99     8.90   -22.77     0.00     0.39     0.04P   22.67R    4.94  
Barrow             14   16   -9      51.00     8.70   -24.77     0.00     0.31     0.04P   25.41R    5.49  
Kidderminster      14   15   +2      64.91     8.99    11.40     0.19     9.34     2.40P    1.33R    0.14  
Lincoln_City       14   13   -6      53.93     8.87   -10.76     0.01     0.69     0.10P   15.12R    2.59  
Nuneaton           14   12   -9      43.97     9.08   -30.89     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.32R   22.16  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   10  -11      45.18     8.85   -27.87     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.49R   17.68  
Hyde_United        13    7  -10      40.42     9.37   -30.34     0.00     0.02     0.00P   69.17R   37.56