Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.38     8.54    36.70    19.48    44.07    66.99    83.18    96.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.81     7.88    53.79    46.76    72.84    87.57    95.01    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.65     8.27    43.54    24.34    51.67    73.76    87.42    97.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.27     8.60    16.15     0.89     3.97    10.64    23.05    59.26     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.05     8.84    18.33     1.61     6.19    15.33    30.29    66.87     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.85     8.65    -1.84     0.06     0.37     1.39     3.94    17.87     1.11R    0.08  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.47     8.64    36.67     6.70    19.74    39.91    63.16    88.21     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.35     8.75   -17.12     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.38     3.10    11.45R    1.96  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.25     8.76     6.14     0.06     0.41     1.57     4.66    20.83     0.87R    0.08  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.63     8.83    -4.08     0.02     0.19     0.74     2.34    13.00     2.16R    0.26  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.22     8.41   -13.84     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     1.70    14.90R    2.66  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.56     8.37    -5.17     0.01     0.02     0.13     0.52     4.45     5.88R    0.77  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.58     8.77    -5.88     0.01     0.08     0.31     1.07     7.32     4.42R    0.66  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.80     8.64     6.38     0.07     0.40     1.48     4.58    22.11     0.86R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.83     8.21   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.31    35.65R   10.10  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.66     8.24   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.62    23.11R    5.46  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.96     8.97   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.60    37.17R   11.97  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.39     8.97   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.43    43.56R   15.74  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.96     8.29   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11    55.76R   22.27  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.27     8.01   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    63.02R   27.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.64     9.97    25.53    27.36    45.53    81.31    55.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.43    10.03    21.77    17.62    32.75    71.84    42.76P    0.08R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.10    10.37    16.76    10.95    22.26    59.36    32.34P    0.26R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.20     9.74    -5.49     0.89     2.58    16.27     5.04P    3.95R    0.54  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.66     9.66    12.55     3.06     7.68    34.77    13.85P    0.86R    0.07  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.51    10.29     4.10     1.96     5.13    24.46     9.17P    2.92R    0.41  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.04    10.26     5.68     2.93     7.38    32.45    12.67P    1.78R    0.23  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.44    10.31    22.80    12.07    24.25    61.62    34.72P    0.24R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.16    10.55    21.80    13.72    26.40    63.74    37.77P    0.27R    0.02  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.05     9.78     6.25     2.08     5.54    28.28    10.89P    1.59R    0.16  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.34     9.94    -1.16     1.22     3.50    20.18     7.21P    3.36R    0.51  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.07     9.63    -0.73     0.49     1.66    12.02     3.84P    5.78R    0.93  
Derby            10   13   +2      59.08     9.85    -3.38     0.25     0.88     7.67     2.26P   10.75R    2.19  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.90    10.04   -11.44     0.25     0.76     6.45     1.88P   14.17R    3.21  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.18    10.33    -1.83     0.47     1.36    10.41     3.49P    9.88R    2.13  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.50    10.25    -1.93     0.52     1.56    10.88     3.60P    9.10R    1.89  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.96     9.79   -13.75     0.05     0.20     2.34     0.60P   27.16R    7.50  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.55    10.77     6.39     2.47     6.01    26.22    11.97P    3.47R    0.60  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.58     9.43   -18.62     0.00     0.06     1.10     0.22P   35.53R   10.95  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.29     9.76   -10.09     0.15     0.50     5.23     1.48P   14.50R    3.12  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.69    10.00     0.86     1.44     3.87    21.44     8.62P    3.12R    0.40  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.44    10.21   -25.17     0.02     0.05     0.79     0.19P   49.61R   21.72  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.15     9.82   -25.55     0.02     0.05     0.71     0.18P   46.78R   18.58  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.09     9.87   -25.35     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   54.81R   24.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.88     9.47    31.71    26.62    46.10    84.92    55.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.76     9.58    15.58     9.77    21.30    63.78    31.62P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.63     9.42    28.37    28.82    48.82    86.15    60.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      72.27     9.74    12.61     4.47    11.34    45.80    19.67P    0.72R    0.02  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.27     9.48    25.34    15.15    30.68    74.43    44.20P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.46     9.88   -12.26     0.32     0.92     8.41     2.05P   13.64R    1.82  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.85     9.65    14.88     3.89    10.04    44.83    18.28P    0.69R    0.03  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.29     9.67     7.65     1.31     3.87    24.32     8.25P    3.01R    0.22  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.73     9.48     6.85     1.31     3.88    24.95     8.63P    2.50R    0.15  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.16    10.22    11.27     4.20    10.20    41.81    17.91P    1.25R    0.08  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.49     9.46    -3.12     0.49     1.66    14.81     4.08P    5.73R    0.51  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      63.99     9.84    -2.83     0.67     2.20    17.09     5.05P    5.82R    0.56  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      57.79     9.56    -4.27     0.09     0.49     6.05     1.56P   15.61R    2.15  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      57.25     9.57    -8.47     0.13     0.40     5.36     1.23P   17.44R    2.40  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.53     9.49   -24.87     0.01     0.03     0.82     0.14P   50.86R   14.49  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.18     9.45    -5.44     0.07     0.31     4.97     1.18P   16.68R    2.39  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.85    10.02    10.47     2.44     6.65    33.81    14.81P    2.22R    0.17  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.32     9.58    -5.67     0.03     0.17     2.98     0.74P   25.56R    4.37  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.38     9.48    -9.80     0.04     0.17     3.32     0.77P   22.36R    3.61  
Coventry        11   10   -6      59.24     9.79    -3.83     0.15     0.66     8.13     2.53P   12.82R    1.53  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.12     9.39   -12.94     0.02     0.08     1.95     0.46P   30.17R    5.81  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.01     9.24   -22.28     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.15P   47.64R   12.14  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.39     9.30   -23.03     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.10P   58.57R   19.27  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.20     9.58   -25.91     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   66.44R   28.28  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.80     9.65    34.31    45.02    77.42    94.91    82.56P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.23     9.73    30.21    21.63    57.58    86.56    65.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      69.21    10.14     8.07     2.63    13.05    40.74    18.78P    0.33R    0.05  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.57    10.34    15.56     7.13    27.96    61.54    37.28P    0.13R    0.02  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.14    10.20    15.25     7.44    28.88    63.85    38.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.70     9.64     4.47     1.72    10.58    38.20    16.71P    0.35R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      62.14     9.70    -1.71     0.41     3.25    17.17     5.68P    2.01R    0.41  
Bradford             11   17   +4      64.04     9.59     2.45     0.51     4.52    22.31     8.01P    1.07R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.40     9.91     4.31     1.53     9.03    33.58    14.00P    0.64R    0.11  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.44    10.05    11.58     2.42    13.60    42.59    21.00P    0.38R    0.07  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.44     9.71    11.68     2.30    12.50    42.25    20.54P    0.27R    0.04  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.27     9.65    13.37     3.14    16.75    49.82    26.78P    0.17R    0.02  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.52    10.17    12.41     3.26    16.18    46.86    24.90P    0.30R    0.06  
York                 11   14   +0      53.89     9.64   -12.28     0.04     0.45     4.10     1.13P   10.98R    3.08  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.70     9.70    -8.33     0.07     0.99     7.13     2.18P    6.45R    1.83  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      58.01     9.47   -11.64     0.09     1.06     7.95     2.54P    5.05R    1.31  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      57.89     9.61    -6.57     0.09     1.15     8.57     2.71P    4.99R    1.40  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      55.07     9.60    -8.31     0.05     0.63     5.14     1.61P    8.89R    2.70  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.42     9.46   -10.76     0.04     0.47     4.24     1.26P    9.32R    2.90  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.22     9.65   -16.88     0.03     0.38     3.62     1.06P   12.73R    3.94  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.35     9.22   -33.38     0.00     0.04     0.44     0.11P   39.77R   17.51  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.85    10.53    -1.07     0.41     3.32    16.32     6.71P    3.90R    1.14  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.35     9.38   -13.73     0.01     0.19     2.11     0.60P   15.70R    5.02  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.32     8.94   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.50R   58.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 October 2012, Stockport vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     14   32  +14      81.25     9.09    22.28    10.20    66.73    20.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   29  +13      91.08     8.44    40.82    46.97    94.50    64.21P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       14   27  +11      78.79     9.05    23.13     6.69    57.02    17.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              14   26   +5      85.61     8.76    30.48    21.06    82.63    40.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           14   25   +7      69.59     9.79     7.75     1.15    21.22     4.35P    0.67R    0.05  
Grimsby            14   24  +11      80.12     8.89    30.10     8.08    64.31    23.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +2      62.37     8.87    -3.87     0.07     5.01     0.71P    2.59R    0.29  
AFC_Telford        14   21   +6      60.57     8.78    -0.88     0.05     3.56     0.57P    3.67R    0.42  
Macclesfield       13   20   +0      75.25     9.74    15.99     3.95    41.85    13.20P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             14   19   -1      55.76     9.52   -14.07     0.03     1.63     0.28P   13.19R    2.45  
Gateshead          14   18   +0      62.37     8.96     0.54     0.09     5.20     1.06P    2.82R    0.31  
Hereford           14   18   -4      67.84     9.36     5.35     0.51    15.52     4.02P    0.86R    0.07  
Mansfield          13   18   -4      68.47     9.39     4.15     0.72    17.17     4.25P    0.67R    0.06  
Stockport          14   17   +0      60.18     8.96    -1.62     0.04     3.31     0.57P    4.48R    0.56  
Cambridge_Utd      14   16   -1      64.20     9.01     5.63     0.16     7.91     1.86P    1.68R    0.18  
Braintree_Town     14   16   -4      54.65     8.91   -13.42     0.01     0.83     0.12P   13.97R    2.31  
Southport          14   16   -6      54.19     8.95   -16.20     0.01     0.81     0.14P   14.97R    2.69  
Alfreton_Town      13   16   -6      51.89     8.93   -22.98     0.00     0.38     0.05P   22.62R    5.00  
Barrow             14   16   -9      51.08     8.71   -24.72     0.00     0.27     0.02P   25.03R    5.45  
Kidderminster      14   15   +2      64.99     8.92    11.53     0.20     9.36     2.32P    1.34R    0.13  
Lincoln_City       14   13   -6      53.97     8.87   -10.75     0.00     0.65     0.11P   14.77R    2.57  
Nuneaton           14   12   -9      43.84     9.03   -31.11     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.13R   21.95  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   10  -11      45.45     8.85   -27.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.75R   16.79  
Hyde_United        13    7  -10      40.12     9.34   -30.82     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.65R   38.71