Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.23     8.54    36.43    19.63    43.50    66.54    82.95    96.20     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.54     7.83    53.25    45.75    72.00    87.07    94.92    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.63     8.30    43.47    24.98    52.46    74.03    87.44    97.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.24     8.57    16.07     0.86     3.87    10.71    22.97    58.97     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.10     8.84    18.48     1.64     6.48    15.75    30.82    66.84     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.87     8.65    -1.79     0.07     0.36     1.42     3.94    17.89     1.02R    0.08  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.43     8.61    36.68     6.89    20.16    39.80    62.70    88.35     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.42     8.76   -16.98     0.01     0.05     0.16     0.47     3.13    11.23R    1.97  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.30     8.72     6.21     0.07     0.41     1.61     4.62    20.78     0.91R    0.06  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.94     8.89    -3.55     0.03     0.22     0.88     2.67    13.67     2.10R    0.21  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.30     8.36   -13.69     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.60    14.34R    2.66  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.45     8.29    -5.32     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.44     4.00     5.84R    0.86  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.61     8.79    -5.91     0.03     0.10     0.32     1.10     7.23     4.48R    0.68  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.98     8.59     6.63     0.04     0.35     1.51     4.64    22.50     0.70R    0.07  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.52     8.18   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    37.08R   10.90  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.80     8.29   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.69    23.03R    5.17  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.85     9.14   -27.57     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.06     0.65    37.78R   12.71  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.50     8.93   -26.55     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.39    42.75R   15.29  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.87     8.17   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    56.11R   22.02  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.36     8.05   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    62.56R   27.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.57     9.92    25.36    27.11    45.04    81.31    54.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.72     9.91    22.14    17.60    32.99    73.06    43.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.22    10.54    16.94    11.37    22.82    59.56    32.59P    0.31R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.02     9.75    -5.81     0.87     2.48    15.71     4.93P    4.05R    0.56  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.48     9.78    12.26     2.93     7.70    33.91    13.55P    1.04R    0.13  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.67    10.28     4.31     1.89     5.13    24.89     9.33P    2.76R    0.41  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.15    10.22     5.90     3.00     7.46    32.55    12.55P    1.70R    0.23  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.53    10.30    22.88    11.73    24.26    61.88    34.94P    0.31R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.24    10.65    22.01    14.01    26.76    63.86    38.13P    0.29R    0.03  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.09     9.74     6.29     2.07     5.46    28.18    10.82P    1.56R    0.18  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.53     9.98    -0.90     1.27     3.41    20.55     7.07P    3.14R    0.46  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.01     9.61    -0.83     0.50     1.47    11.93     3.81P    5.80R    0.97  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.88     9.87    -3.68     0.31     0.94     7.44     2.24P   11.09R    2.20  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.91     9.93   -11.34     0.26     0.77     6.22     1.82P   13.67R    2.93  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.09    10.27    -2.01     0.44     1.32     9.96     3.24P    9.81R    2.05  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.47    10.24    -2.01     0.55     1.49    10.63     3.62P    9.19R    1.86  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.83     9.70   -13.95     0.03     0.16     2.24     0.51P   27.22R    7.68  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.67    10.68     6.63     2.45     5.85    26.34    11.81P    3.35R    0.64  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.40     9.56   -19.04     0.02     0.07     1.15     0.28P   36.65R   11.25  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.16     9.71   -10.22     0.13     0.50     4.93     1.47P   14.75R    3.21  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.69    10.04     0.89     1.41     3.79    21.53     8.68P    3.20R    0.52  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.31    10.36   -25.33     0.02     0.08     0.91     0.26P   49.94R   22.33  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.21     9.76   -25.46     0.01     0.04     0.69     0.15P   46.12R   18.21  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.23     9.86   -25.00     0.01     0.04     0.56     0.14P   53.97R   24.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.86     9.42    31.71    26.53    46.04    84.96    55.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.92     9.50    15.85    10.03    21.77    64.75    32.35P    0.13R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.45     9.49    28.08    28.51    48.17    85.51    60.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      71.95     9.77    12.21     4.22    10.67    44.58    18.80P    0.73R    0.03  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.24     9.49    25.29    15.37    30.96    74.45    44.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.23     9.78   -12.60     0.26     0.83     8.01     1.91P   13.86R    1.75  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.86     9.66    14.92     3.92     9.98    44.76    18.09P    0.71R    0.03  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.13     9.65     7.42     1.35     3.83    23.86     7.99P    3.16R    0.26  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.67     9.42     6.76     1.15     3.65    24.87     8.50P    2.39R    0.17  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.29    10.20    11.48     4.17    10.49    42.61    18.58P    1.24R    0.09  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.34     9.51    -3.37     0.53     1.75    14.31     4.04P    5.80R    0.52  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      64.17     9.88    -2.65     0.75     2.39    17.64     5.37P    5.66R    0.51  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      57.90     9.59    -4.15     0.13     0.47     6.22     1.47P   15.32R    2.20  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      57.11     9.55    -8.67     0.11     0.42     5.12     1.22P   17.95R    2.51  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.57     9.50   -24.75     0.01     0.03     0.79     0.14P   50.73R   14.43  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.16     9.50    -5.49     0.09     0.34     5.06     1.26P   17.23R    2.47  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.74    10.21    10.31     2.55     6.88    33.86    14.94P    2.47R    0.20  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.30     9.71    -5.67     0.06     0.21     3.21     0.82P   25.92R    4.68  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.38     9.44    -9.79     0.05     0.21     3.45     0.88P   22.49R    3.66  
Coventry        11   10   -6      59.48     9.81    -3.45     0.19     0.78     8.64     2.87P   12.29R    1.54  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.25     9.39   -12.81     0.02     0.08     2.01     0.49P   29.72R    5.63  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.18     9.31   -22.06     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.14P   47.28R   12.27  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.68     9.31   -22.61     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10P   57.50R   18.52  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.11     9.41   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   67.31R   28.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.52     9.66    33.83    43.64    76.62    94.57    81.71P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.11     9.76    29.96    21.66    56.76    86.24    64.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      69.28    10.12     8.24     2.54    13.08    41.03    18.90P    0.38R    0.07  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.59    10.31    15.51     7.40    27.85    61.57    37.24P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.39    10.22    15.61     7.93    29.85    64.57    39.53P    0.07R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.89     9.73     4.80     2.05    11.45    38.48    17.41P    0.35R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      62.12     9.71    -1.71     0.40     3.21    16.94     5.64P    1.98R    0.43  
Bradford             11   17   +4      64.13     9.71     2.56     0.61     4.64    22.77     8.45P    1.14R    0.25  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.22    10.01     4.06     1.51     8.80    32.84    13.66P    0.62R    0.13  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.54    10.08    11.80     2.63    13.59    43.04    20.88P    0.42R    0.08  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.74     9.69    12.11     2.30    13.13    43.31    21.36P    0.23R    0.04  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.15     9.72    13.17     3.16    16.51    49.06    26.08P    0.17R    0.03  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.21    10.29    11.90     3.20    15.54    45.67    24.07P    0.37R    0.08  
York                 11   14   +0      53.76     9.64   -12.50     0.04     0.48     3.98     1.15P   11.46R    3.57  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.66     9.64    -8.43     0.10     0.91     6.91     2.10P    6.44R    1.91  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      57.98     9.52   -11.60     0.11     1.10     8.13     2.61P    5.16R    1.46  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      58.10     9.65    -6.21     0.14     1.31     8.82     2.97P    4.99R    1.41  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      54.67     9.60    -8.91     0.05     0.53     4.84     1.42P    9.27R    2.80  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.57     9.36   -10.49     0.03     0.43     4.20     1.17P    8.73R    2.52  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.22     9.83   -16.90     0.04     0.44     3.65     1.13P   13.06R    4.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.39     9.21   -33.26     0.00     0.04     0.44     0.08P   39.22R   17.11  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.94    10.75    -0.93     0.49     3.57    16.79     7.22P    4.04R    1.21  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.36     9.39   -13.65     0.01     0.18     2.12     0.60P   15.55R    5.04  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.35     8.97   -38.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   76.27R   57.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     14   32  +14      81.19     9.00    22.17    10.84    66.57    20.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       14   27  +11      78.96     9.05    23.43     7.39    58.47    18.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   26  +12      89.84     8.65    40.13    42.67    92.66    61.23P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              14   26   +5      85.68     8.75    30.50    22.99    83.25    42.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           14   25   +7      69.21     9.75     7.13     1.20    20.41     4.39P    0.77R    0.06  
Grimsby            14   24  +11      80.06     8.87    30.05     8.88    64.69    23.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +2      62.04     8.82    -4.40     0.09     4.64     0.76P    2.87R    0.33  
AFC_Telford        14   21   +6      60.79     8.74    -0.44     0.05     3.65     0.61P    3.35R    0.34  
Macclesfield       13   20   +0      75.04     9.66    15.58     3.91    41.19    12.85P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking             14   19   -1      56.30     9.54   -12.98     0.04     1.98     0.33P   11.74R    2.09  
Gateshead          14   18   +0      62.09     8.96     0.21     0.08     5.09     0.99P    3.01R    0.29  
Hereford           14   18   -4      67.61     9.37     4.97     0.59    15.01     3.90P    0.97R    0.09  
Mansfield          13   18   -4      68.36     9.33     3.94     0.76    16.69     4.09P    0.78R    0.08  
Stockport          13   17   +1      61.10     9.11    -1.16     0.08     4.43     0.79P    3.97R    0.45  
Cambridge_Utd      14   16   -1      64.64     9.01     6.43     0.19     8.89     2.16P    1.54R    0.13  
Braintree_Town     14   16   -4      54.84     8.89   -13.01     0.00     0.88     0.12P   13.42R    2.30  
Southport          14   16   -6      54.18     8.80   -16.14     0.01     0.72     0.12P   14.84R    2.46  
Alfreton_Town      13   16   -6      51.94     8.90   -22.82     0.00     0.43     0.05P   22.67R    4.97  
Barrow             14   16   -9      50.92     8.69   -24.83     0.00     0.29     0.03P   25.60R    5.57  
Kidderminster      14   15   +2      64.99     8.89    11.47     0.21     9.32     2.35P    1.25R    0.11  
Lincoln_City       14   13   -6      53.81     8.88   -10.87     0.01     0.62     0.12P   15.51R    2.73  
Nuneaton           14   12   -9      43.92     9.06   -30.92     0.00     0.07     0.01P   56.65R   22.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   10  -11      45.21     8.79   -27.67     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.29R   17.31  
Hyde_United        13    7  -10      40.14     9.33   -30.75     0.00     0.02     0.00    70.62R   38.62