Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.17     8.54    36.37    19.12    42.95    66.51    82.93    96.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.67     7.78    53.48    46.41    72.46    87.55    95.28    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.62     8.31    43.43    24.74    52.09    73.77    87.40    97.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.28     8.63    16.20     0.88     3.99    10.82    23.22    59.41     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.26     8.84    18.72     1.80     6.60    15.73    30.72    67.36     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.72     8.71    -2.06     0.06     0.38     1.38     3.73    17.33     1.22R    0.10  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.46     8.60    36.75     6.80    20.39    39.79    62.66    88.22     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.43     8.77   -16.97     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.48     3.20    11.07R    1.80  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.26     8.72     6.17     0.06     0.42     1.54     4.55    20.83     0.89R    0.07  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.85     8.84    -3.62     0.03     0.17     0.75     2.53    13.42     2.07R    0.24  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.35     8.36   -13.60     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.67    14.49R    2.60  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.54     8.30    -5.17     0.01     0.02     0.12     0.51     4.16     5.71R    0.79  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.49     8.75    -6.05     0.02     0.08     0.30     1.05     7.25     4.36R    0.55  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.88     8.64     6.54     0.06     0.39     1.52     4.62    22.24     0.84R    0.07  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.60     8.21   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    36.92R   10.64  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      40.01     8.35   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.81    22.11R    5.00  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.62     9.01   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.57    38.74R   13.08  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.60     8.92   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38    42.29R   15.10  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.79     8.28   -37.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    56.38R   22.58  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.32     8.02   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    62.84R   27.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.68     9.91    25.58    27.32    45.23    81.53    54.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.60     9.88    22.03    17.36    32.78    72.81    43.11P    0.07R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.43    10.45    17.30    11.60    23.29    60.27    33.21P    0.24R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.27     9.65    -5.42     0.86     2.42    16.12     4.81P    3.73R    0.56  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.50     9.75    12.26     2.97     7.61    34.17    13.84P    0.99R    0.08  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.63    10.41     4.26     2.07     5.27    24.98     9.38P    3.06R    0.45  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.23    10.27     6.00     3.10     7.61    33.24    13.01P    1.51R    0.18  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.44    10.26    22.81    11.50    23.89    61.55    34.53P    0.25R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.22    10.55    21.90    14.02    26.79    64.15    38.13P    0.29R    0.03  
Hull             10   16   +2      67.67     9.74     5.68     1.84     5.11    26.69    10.21P    1.66R    0.17  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.36     9.99    -1.19     1.39     3.54    20.10     7.09P    3.33R    0.45  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.08     9.72    -0.73     0.57     1.61    12.07     3.83P    5.83R    0.91  
Derby            10   13   +2      59.09     9.76    -3.33     0.30     0.90     7.34     2.19P   10.58R    2.00  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.92    10.00   -11.38     0.26     0.77     6.27     1.79P   13.95R    3.12  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.01    10.41    -2.13     0.45     1.37    10.19     3.39P   10.30R    2.36  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.38    10.27    -2.14     0.53     1.46    10.54     3.45P    9.30R    1.93  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      53.06     9.72   -13.56     0.05     0.16     2.18     0.49P   26.63R    7.40  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.67    10.60     6.63     2.37     5.81    26.19    11.77P    3.33R    0.53  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.61     9.50   -18.61     0.02     0.05     1.08     0.23P   35.38R   11.02  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.10     9.78   -10.36     0.13     0.48     5.09     1.43P   14.81R    3.16  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.62    10.03     0.81     1.28     3.76    21.35     8.66P    3.25R    0.51  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.41    10.32   -25.22     0.03     0.07     0.89     0.20P   49.54R   21.67  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      47.94     9.70   -25.87     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.13P   47.43R   18.63  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.12     9.94   -25.33     0.01     0.02     0.53     0.12P   54.50R   24.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.76     9.40    31.56    25.91    45.33    84.93    55.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.65     9.45    15.49     9.16    20.73    63.86    30.95P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.81     9.45    28.63    29.63    49.43    86.51    61.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      72.35     9.75    12.75     4.43    11.27    46.33    19.67P    0.68R    0.04  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.33     9.57    25.38    15.69    31.31    74.27    44.96P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.49     9.74   -12.20     0.22     0.90     8.23     1.98P   13.29R    1.56  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.70     9.69    14.70     3.78     9.89    44.26    17.92P    0.75R    0.04  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.03     9.62     7.27     1.18     3.59    23.42     7.59P    3.14R    0.21  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.67     9.41     6.75     1.20     3.71    24.62     8.63P    2.42R    0.18  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.47    10.26    11.70     4.48    10.97    43.21    19.04P    1.15R    0.09  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.34     9.45    -3.36     0.48     1.67    14.23     3.96P    5.78R    0.58  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      63.90     9.92    -2.99     0.70     2.19    17.09     4.99P    6.01R    0.58  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      57.97     9.49    -4.05     0.13     0.43     6.06     1.35P   15.02R    1.95  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      57.04     9.50    -8.82     0.09     0.31     4.78     1.08P   17.84R    2.70  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.48     9.45   -24.91     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.14P   50.67R   14.67  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.31     9.44    -5.25     0.08     0.35     5.19     1.21P   16.62R    2.28  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.80    10.12    10.42     2.53     6.63    33.79    14.82P    2.19R    0.17  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.32     9.72    -5.67     0.03     0.20     3.26     0.85P   26.01R    4.78  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.27     9.46   -10.00     0.05     0.20     3.33     0.82P   22.93R    3.81  
Coventry        11   10   -6      59.20     9.96    -3.85     0.20     0.73     8.59     2.80P   13.47R    1.74  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.07     9.37   -13.00     0.01     0.10     2.01     0.53P   30.60R    5.73  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.19     9.21   -21.96     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.14P   47.06R   11.89  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.47     9.30   -22.91     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   58.08R   19.13  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.34     9.54   -25.69     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   66.06R   27.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.81     9.58    34.27    44.66    77.55    95.15    82.42P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.16     9.76    30.06    21.69    57.27    86.24    65.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      69.24    10.10     8.13     2.66    13.02    40.91    18.94P    0.35R    0.06  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.57    10.28    15.54     6.97    27.74    61.81    37.07P    0.10R    0.02  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.44    10.22    15.66     7.88    30.23    64.99    39.92P    0.08R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.72     9.65     4.54     1.87    10.85    38.13    16.86P    0.33R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      61.88     9.67    -2.05     0.45     3.02    16.24     5.26P    2.12R    0.48  
Bradford             11   17   +4      64.13     9.68     2.61     0.61     4.67    22.60     8.40P    1.15R    0.24  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.40     9.91     4.28     1.39     8.83    33.71    14.00P    0.59R    0.11  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.56    10.05    11.69     2.67    13.49    42.90    20.80P    0.37R    0.07  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.58     9.57    11.87     2.10    12.44    42.84    20.60P    0.26R    0.04  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.04     9.73    13.06     3.00    16.27    48.34    25.98P    0.19R    0.03  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.51    10.16    12.38     3.21    16.01    46.79    24.68P    0.30R    0.05  
York                 11   14   +0      53.86     9.61   -12.37     0.05     0.42     3.96     1.08P   11.07R    3.20  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.51     9.55    -8.64     0.07     0.79     6.56     1.85P    6.59R    1.79  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      58.07     9.49   -11.55     0.09     1.07     8.23     2.53P    4.82R    1.27  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      57.97     9.62    -6.41     0.13     1.27     8.66     2.97P    4.91R    1.29  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      55.05     9.55    -8.34     0.04     0.62     5.03     1.56P    8.59R    2.56  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.44     9.37   -10.71     0.03     0.45     4.25     1.25P    8.80R    2.63  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.23     9.72   -16.84     0.03     0.41     3.54     1.11P   12.58R    4.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.51     9.25   -33.01     0.01     0.03     0.43     0.07P   38.91R   16.76  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.93    10.63    -0.90     0.39     3.38    16.68     6.93P    4.09R    1.24  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.22     9.37   -13.86     0.01     0.16     1.98     0.59P   16.27R    5.10  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.11     8.93   -39.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   77.52R   58.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 October 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     14   32  +14      81.09     9.00    22.02    10.84    66.25    20.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       14   27  +11      78.81     9.00    23.13     7.24    57.84    18.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   26  +12      89.83     8.64    40.17    43.08    92.54    60.95P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              14   26   +5      85.54     8.70    30.38    22.33    82.77    41.68P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           14   25   +7      69.61     9.79     7.74     1.30    21.57     4.67P    0.64R    0.08  
Grimsby            14   24  +11      80.14     8.87    30.19     8.97    64.84    24.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +2      62.13     8.85    -4.19     0.09     4.69     0.66P    2.82R    0.31  
AFC_Telford        14   21   +6      60.49     8.75    -0.92     0.07     3.43     0.54P    3.77R    0.38  
Macclesfield       13   20   +0      75.17     9.71    15.86     4.02    41.67    13.30P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             14   19   -1      56.47     9.58   -12.87     0.04     2.04     0.37P   11.64R    2.12  
Gateshead          14   18   +0      62.26     8.96     0.41     0.09     5.01     0.97P    2.86R    0.25  
Hereford           14   18   -4      67.63     9.35     5.04     0.56    15.28     4.05P    0.82R    0.06  
Mansfield          13   18   -4      68.34     9.39     3.94     0.81    17.09     4.22P    0.82R    0.07  
Stockport          13   17   +1      61.06     9.11    -1.14     0.09     4.32     0.79P    3.83R    0.50  
Cambridge_Utd      14   16   -1      64.42     9.04     6.06     0.21     8.53     2.04P    1.72R    0.18  
Braintree_Town     14   16   -4      54.92     8.91   -12.86     0.00     0.97     0.14P   13.18R    2.28  
Southport          14   16   -6      54.20     8.95   -16.17     0.00     0.77     0.11P   15.17R    2.68  
Alfreton_Town      13   16   -6      52.02     8.97   -22.70     0.00     0.39     0.04P   22.48R    5.08  
Barrow             14   16   -9      51.15     8.70   -24.48     0.01     0.26     0.03P   24.84R    5.20  
Kidderminster      14   15   +2      64.81     8.95    11.24     0.24     9.03     2.29P    1.44R    0.13  
Lincoln_City       14   13   -6      53.75     8.85   -11.07     0.01     0.61     0.09P   15.55R    2.57  
Nuneaton           14   12   -9      43.82     9.09   -31.17     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.98R   22.18  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   10  -11      45.09     8.78   -27.89     0.00     0.03     0.00P   50.90R   17.44  
Hyde_United        13    7  -10      40.18     9.33   -30.70     0.00     0.03     0.00P   70.37R   38.48