Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.20     8.54    36.39    19.32    43.41    66.55    83.01    96.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.61     7.78    53.37    46.12    72.37    87.29    95.06    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.64     8.33    43.48    25.02    52.09    73.79    87.39    97.43     0.00R    0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.33     8.70    16.33     0.97     4.18    11.13    23.37    59.24     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.26     8.86    18.68     1.82     6.72    15.89    31.12    67.64     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.92     8.64    -1.72     0.06     0.41     1.42     3.83    17.98     1.02R    0.08  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.37     8.61    36.51     6.57    19.78    39.53    62.35    87.94     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.54     8.72   -16.76     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.47     3.33    10.69R    1.79  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.25     8.69     6.11     0.04     0.38     1.62     4.59    20.62     0.93R    0.09  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.69     8.79    -3.87     0.03     0.19     0.73     2.35    12.93     2.06R    0.23  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.32     8.30   -13.66     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.64    14.32R    2.56  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.39     8.33    -5.44     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.49     4.21     6.03R    0.78  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.64     8.86    -5.78     0.00     0.06     0.32     1.12     7.60     4.58R    0.61  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.78     8.60     6.41     0.04     0.36     1.48     4.54    21.88     0.79R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.70     8.28   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    36.75R   10.55  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.71     8.33   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.72    23.61R    5.33  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.65     8.95   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.52    38.40R   12.98  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.63     8.97   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.42    42.38R   14.90  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.87     8.28   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    56.19R   22.76  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.45     8.10   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.19R   27.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.60     9.96    25.45    27.19    45.05    81.32    54.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.65     9.92    22.03    17.54    33.14    72.63    43.37P    0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.20    10.35    16.89    10.92    22.14    59.50    32.30P    0.27R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.11     9.68    -5.64     0.83     2.48    16.05     4.92P    3.77R    0.54  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.59     9.90    12.34     3.27     8.11    34.48    14.16P    1.05R    0.14  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.81    10.44     4.58     2.14     5.33    25.73     9.64P    2.75R    0.42  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.04    10.29     5.73     2.95     7.39    32.52    12.64P    1.70R    0.21  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.42    10.29    22.80    11.70    23.55    61.70    34.52P    0.28R    0.03  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.53    10.56    22.41    14.38    27.69    64.92    38.97P    0.24R    0.03  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.09     9.75     6.25     2.07     5.44    27.92    10.70P    1.55R    0.17  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.22     9.90    -1.41     1.21     3.29    19.52     6.76P    3.25R    0.53  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      62.00     9.72    -0.79     0.51     1.58    11.90     3.74P    5.92R    0.96  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.94     9.74    -3.59     0.23     0.78     7.32     2.14P   10.85R    2.13  
Watford          10   13   -3      57.99    10.02   -11.28     0.25     0.79     6.46     1.86P   13.82R    3.00  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.06    10.34    -2.01     0.47     1.39    10.10     3.36P   10.10R    2.17  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.02    10.27    -2.72     0.48     1.49    10.05     3.38P   10.01R    2.07  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      53.18     9.76   -13.32     0.04     0.18     2.36     0.56P   26.14R    7.37  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.41    10.70     6.22     2.28     5.71    25.54    11.33P    3.53R    0.63  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.47     9.58   -18.83     0.02     0.09     1.19     0.25P   36.19R   11.38  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.39     9.71    -9.92     0.16     0.52     5.19     1.47P   14.19R    3.03  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.75    10.04     1.02     1.34     3.76    21.62     8.69P    3.19R    0.46  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.35    10.13   -25.32     0.01     0.06     0.82     0.20P   50.00R   21.77  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      48.13     9.79   -25.58     0.01     0.03     0.71     0.16P   46.58R   18.49  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      46.09     9.78   -25.30     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.11P   54.51R   24.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.78     9.42    31.61    26.28    45.67    84.98    55.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.63     9.43    15.43     9.31    20.71    63.62    31.19P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.61     9.46    28.32    28.92    48.69    86.20    60.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      72.45     9.84    12.86     4.75    11.64    46.76    20.21P    0.66R    0.04  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.32     9.49    25.42    15.42    31.32    74.68    44.90P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.67     9.88   -11.87     0.29     1.00     8.81     2.22P   13.14R    1.61  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.45     9.68    14.26     3.53     9.55    43.45    17.45P    0.89R    0.04  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.31     9.63     7.75     1.28     3.82    24.31     8.17P    2.88R    0.17  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.67     9.41     6.75     1.20     3.64    24.58     8.60P    2.33R    0.15  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.37    10.26    11.60     4.53    10.74    42.89    18.57P    1.28R    0.06  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.19     9.57    -3.56     0.53     1.72    14.16     4.10P    6.38R    0.60  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      64.05     9.92    -2.77     0.77     2.40    17.36     5.16P    5.74R    0.53  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      57.88     9.60    -4.16     0.14     0.52     6.13     1.46P   15.55R    2.26  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      57.17     9.54    -8.65     0.12     0.39     5.05     1.23P   17.77R    2.47  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.43     9.41   -25.10     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.13P   51.15R   14.71  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.17     9.50    -5.41     0.11     0.40     5.11     1.29P   17.09R    2.41  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.68    10.02    10.24     2.52     6.64    33.05    14.44P    2.23R    0.19  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.32     9.66    -5.72     0.03     0.15     3.11     0.74P   25.73R    4.65  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.45     9.42    -9.74     0.05     0.21     3.46     0.85P   22.19R    3.43  
Coventry        11   10   -6      59.28     9.81    -3.66     0.20     0.65     8.27     2.62P   12.71R    1.69  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.34     9.39   -12.62     0.02     0.08     2.05     0.49P   29.38R    5.38  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.02     9.23   -22.18     0.00     0.03     0.70     0.16P   47.98R   12.12  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.63     9.33   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P   57.53R   18.60  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.04     9.49   -26.13     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.02P   67.17R   28.87  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.69     9.51    34.11    44.34    77.22    94.99    82.16P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.09     9.73    29.99    21.28    56.78    86.34    64.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      69.13    10.12     7.98     2.44    13.06    40.40    18.61P    0.39R    0.06  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.75    10.33    15.87     7.42    28.03    62.39    37.23P    0.12R    0.01  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.44    10.29    15.69     8.03    29.82    64.63    39.70P    0.07R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.58     9.69     4.28     1.84    10.48    37.37    16.59P    0.35R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      62.18     9.75    -1.63     0.43     3.39    17.28     6.00P    2.08R    0.52  
Bradford             11   17   +4      63.80     9.62     2.11     0.52     4.31    21.69     7.88P    1.22R    0.24  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.22     9.94     4.02     1.49     8.52    32.77    13.39P    0.62R    0.15  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.65    10.16    11.93     2.78    14.15    43.31    21.63P    0.39R    0.07  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.73     9.71    12.06     2.29    12.95    43.46    21.12P    0.29R    0.08  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.16     9.66    13.22     2.91    16.24    49.16    25.93P    0.15R    0.02  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.67    10.13    12.64     3.27    16.30    47.33    25.23P    0.32R    0.07  
York                 11   14   +0      53.81     9.58   -12.40     0.04     0.46     4.03     1.08P   10.97R    3.31  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.36     9.53    -8.90     0.08     0.79     6.29     1.76P    6.64R    1.89  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      58.08     9.50   -11.51     0.10     1.10     8.15     2.57P    4.84R    1.34  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      57.94     9.67    -6.43     0.11     1.24     8.65     2.87P    5.03R    1.47  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      54.85     9.58    -8.63     0.06     0.59     4.81     1.38P    8.96R    2.58  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.59     9.38   -10.56     0.04     0.45     4.19     1.25P    8.89R    2.61  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.15     9.85   -17.06     0.04     0.40     3.79     1.11P   13.38R    4.12  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.47     9.25   -33.11     0.00     0.03     0.44     0.09P   39.03R   17.17  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.84    10.59    -0.99     0.49     3.51    16.28     6.96P    3.90R    1.15  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.38     9.44   -13.66     0.01     0.20     2.27     0.65P   15.85R    5.06  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.32     8.90   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.51R   58.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     13   29  +13      79.99     9.29    21.97     7.89    58.15    17.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       13   27  +12      81.60     9.16    26.34    10.32    65.69    22.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   26  +12      89.65     8.60    39.97    35.45    91.15    55.78P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              13   26   +6      88.82     8.86    34.64    31.71    88.05    50.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           13   25  +10      73.33     9.94    14.67     2.61    31.51     7.71P    0.21R    0.01  
Grimsby            13   21   +9      78.58     9.12    28.34     5.66    54.38    18.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           13   19   +1      58.99     8.96    -7.76     0.03     2.14     0.32P    5.69R    0.84  
Macclesfield       12   19   +0      75.67     9.95    16.06     3.81    40.85    12.64P    0.14R    0.01  
AFC_Telford        13   18   +3      56.88     8.84    -7.09     0.01     1.29     0.20P    7.80R    1.24  
Stockport          13   17   +1      61.15     9.08    -1.15     0.07     3.77     0.69P    3.34R    0.50  
Gateshead          13   17   +0      62.62     9.21     0.40     0.10     5.35     1.04P    2.50R    0.29  
Hereford           13   17   -4      69.20     9.65     7.04     0.86    17.74     4.80P    0.63R    0.07  
Mansfield          12   17   -4      69.42     9.65     5.15     0.95    18.36     4.50P    0.58R    0.07  
Cambridge_Utd      13   16   +0      66.77     9.21     8.68     0.34    11.70     2.70P    0.83R    0.09  
Woking             13   16   -2      53.44     9.77   -16.37     0.02     1.04     0.16P   18.18R    4.38  
Alfreton_Town      12   16   -4      53.61     9.22   -20.53     0.01     0.66     0.08P   16.80R    3.62  
Southport          13   16   -5      55.85     9.06   -14.67     0.01     1.06     0.16P   10.79R    1.83  
Braintree_Town     13   13   -5      51.04     8.95   -17.80     0.00     0.27     0.04P   23.19R    5.42  
Barrow             13   13  -10      48.83     8.86   -26.73     0.00     0.13     0.02P   32.36R    9.23  
Kidderminster      13   12   -1      63.33     9.14     8.55     0.14     6.09     1.61P    2.02R    0.30  
Lincoln_City       13   12   -6      53.42     8.97   -12.33     0.00     0.45     0.07P   15.58R    3.11  
Nuneaton           13   11   -9      43.63     9.30   -32.89     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.81R   24.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   13   10  -10      45.85     9.00   -28.38     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.98R   16.08  
Hyde_United        12    7   -7      42.51     9.66   -26.09     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.54R   28.65