Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2012, Liverpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        7   19  +11      77.13     8.51    36.23    18.88    42.89    66.07    82.65    96.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd        7   15   +8      82.85     7.78    53.89    47.51    73.39    88.18    95.54    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       7   15   +7      78.55     8.24    43.23    24.26    52.01    73.66    87.38    97.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton        7   14   +6      63.41     8.64    16.35     0.96     4.19    11.26    23.63    59.88     0.06R    0.01  
Tottenham      7   14   +5      65.30     8.82    18.76     1.68     6.73    16.09    31.35    67.64     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom      7   14   +4      53.85     8.66    -1.80     0.06     0.41     1.42     3.78    17.58     1.22R    0.13  
Arsenal        7   12   +8      71.24     8.57    36.32     6.51    19.39    39.05    61.88    87.83     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham       7   11   +0      44.26     8.77   -17.33     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.46     3.09    11.58R    2.02  
Fulham         7   10   +4      54.22     8.71     6.12     0.04     0.38     1.56     4.67    20.65     0.91R    0.07  
Newcastle      7    9   -3      51.73     8.76    -3.85     0.02     0.15     0.66     2.32    13.13     2.13R    0.25  
Swansea        7    8   +1      42.23     8.32   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18     1.56    14.90R    2.80  
Stoke          7    8   +1      46.42     8.31    -5.42     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.40     4.16     6.02R    0.81  
Sunderland     6    7   -2      48.67     8.75    -5.71     0.02     0.09     0.33     1.15     7.51     4.27R    0.62  
Liverpool      7    6   -3      54.82     8.58     6.44     0.06     0.34     1.44     4.42    21.56     0.85R    0.08  
Wigan          7    5   -6      36.64     8.20   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.34    36.59R   10.63  
Aston_Villa    7    5   -6      39.95     8.28   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.77    22.44R    5.06  
Southampton    7    4   -8      36.87     9.01   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.58    37.68R   12.48  
Reading        6    3   -5      35.48     8.88   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.37    43.08R   15.41  
Norwich        7    3  -12      32.94     8.27   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    56.01R   22.48  
QPR            7    2  -10      31.42     8.00   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.24R   27.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          10   22   +8      82.59    10.00    25.44    27.66    45.23    81.11    54.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        10   21   +8      79.42     9.98    21.71    17.35    32.55    71.76    42.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   19   +5      76.24    10.56    16.94    11.39    23.15    59.63    32.92P    0.30R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   10   19   +1      64.32     9.71    -5.31     0.83     2.49    16.56     4.92P    3.87R    0.49  
Brighton         10   18   +9      69.47     9.62    12.27     2.83     7.36    33.90    13.48P    0.92R    0.09  
Huddersfield     10   17   +4      66.60    10.32     4.26     1.91     4.91    24.98     9.15P    2.97R    0.52  
Leeds_United     10   17   +2      69.18    10.24     5.94     2.91     7.46    33.10    12.87P    1.62R    0.20  
Blackpool        10   16   +5      76.60    10.27    23.10    11.92    24.24    62.07    35.02P    0.25R    0.02  
Blackburn        10   16   +3      77.18    10.55    21.87    13.79    26.57    63.63    37.81P    0.25R    0.04  
Hull             10   16   +2      68.29     9.77     6.57     2.15     5.75    28.96    11.20P    1.51R    0.16  
Middlesbrough    10   16   -1      65.27    10.00    -1.26     1.20     3.40    19.85     6.92P    3.48R    0.57  
Nott'm_Forest    10   14   +1      61.91     9.67    -0.92     0.53     1.58    11.74     3.70P    5.94R    0.98  
Derby            10   13   +2      58.93     9.80    -3.60     0.25     0.83     7.49     2.15P   10.79R    2.11  
Watford          10   13   -3      58.12     9.96   -10.98     0.27     0.83     6.58     1.94P   13.29R    3.00  
Charlton         10   12   +0      60.19    10.28    -1.89     0.44     1.39    10.13     3.38P    9.79R    2.00  
Burnley          10   11   -1      60.13    10.23    -2.63     0.53     1.53    10.05     3.52P    9.88R    2.01  
Bristol_City     10   11   -1      52.73     9.72   -14.07     0.04     0.15     2.10     0.51P   27.47R    7.81  
Bolton           10   11   -3      66.79    10.63     6.80     2.43     6.11    26.56    12.02P    3.14R    0.57  
Barnsley         10   11   -3      50.70     9.48   -18.40     0.02     0.08     1.15     0.24P   35.05R   10.59  
Millwall         10   11   -5      57.33     9.77   -10.02     0.15     0.51     5.16     1.49P   14.43R    3.02  
Birmingham       10   11   -7      65.64     9.99     0.80     1.37     3.77    21.34     8.67P    3.07R    0.50  
Sheff_Wed        10    8   -7      47.47    10.25   -25.02     0.02     0.06     0.94     0.22P   49.35R   21.34  
Ipswich          10    7  -11      47.95     9.78   -25.91     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.15P   47.35R   18.95  
Peterborough     10    6   -8      45.94     9.91   -25.69     0.01     0.03     0.46     0.11P   55.18R   25.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Brentford vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        11   27  +20      82.97     9.49    31.87    26.85    46.52    84.99    55.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       11   23   +7      76.70     9.50    15.51     9.40    20.77    63.78    31.16P    0.15R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       11   21   +6      83.70     9.44    28.46    28.93    48.83    86.09    61.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon         11   20   +6      72.30     9.82    12.65     4.65    11.29    46.12    19.72P    0.70R    0.03  
MK_Dons         11   19   +7      79.30     9.49    25.35    15.33    30.86    74.44    44.56P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +0      59.43     9.89   -12.20     0.29     0.89     8.25     1.94P   13.79R    1.74  
Notts_County    11   18   +6      71.81     9.67    14.85     3.73     9.86    44.77    18.06P    0.79R    0.04  
Preston         11   17   +6      66.24     9.73     7.60     1.27     3.80    24.14     8.12P    3.09R    0.23  
Brentford       11   17   +4      66.91     9.50     7.14     1.27     3.95    25.83     9.03P    2.33R    0.14  
Doncaster       10   17   +4      71.13    10.25    11.22     4.09    10.19    41.79    17.75P    1.37R    0.07  
Walsall         11   17   -1      63.20     9.51    -3.55     0.48     1.59    14.14     3.83P    6.14R    0.59  
Carlisle        10   15   -2      64.17     9.95    -2.60     0.85     2.47    17.95     5.46P    5.78R    0.52  
Yeovil          11   13   +1      57.78     9.50    -4.33     0.12     0.43     5.87     1.42P   15.25R    2.09  
Leyton_Orient   10   13   -1      56.98     9.56    -8.95     0.09     0.39     4.84     1.18P   18.17R    2.70  
Crewe           11   13   -5      48.47     9.44   -25.00     0.01     0.03     0.76     0.13P   51.05R   14.87  
Oldham          10   12   +0      57.04     9.47    -5.64     0.10     0.34     4.91     1.14P   17.44R    2.36  
Portsmouth      11   12   -3      68.71    10.04    10.23     2.27     6.59    33.47    14.48P    2.25R    0.18  
Shrewsbury      11   10   -1      54.57     9.75    -5.30     0.04     0.19     3.34     0.88P   24.95R    4.50  
Colchester      11   10   -6      55.31     9.36    -9.92     0.05     0.20     3.21     0.80P   22.23R    3.60  
Coventry        11   10   -6      59.02     9.74    -4.09     0.15     0.66     7.75     2.45P   13.14R    1.63  
Bournemouth     11    8   -9      53.24     9.43   -12.77     0.02     0.11     2.16     0.55P   29.87R    5.73  
Scunthorpe      11    8  -12      49.15     9.20   -22.03     0.00     0.02     0.75     0.16P   47.22R   11.89  
Hartlepool      10    6  -10      46.85     9.34   -22.38     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.12P   56.81R   18.16  
Bury            10    4  -11      44.07     9.50   -26.13     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   67.39R   28.93  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           11   26  +13      87.83     9.59    34.31    44.98    77.41    94.98    82.41P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            11   23  +13      82.22     9.77    30.22    21.59    57.32    86.66    65.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   21   +8      68.99    10.13     7.76     2.50    12.65    39.98    18.41P    0.37R    0.06  
Exeter               11   19   +4      74.72    10.34    15.74     7.14    28.01    62.02    37.23P    0.10R    0.02  
Rochdale             11   19   +3      75.33    10.27    15.49     7.50    29.75    64.51    39.68P    0.10R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   19   +2      68.86     9.60     4.70     1.92    10.93    38.33    17.03P    0.32R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        11   18   +5      62.26     9.69    -1.51     0.46     3.17    17.28     5.61P    1.93R    0.46  
Bradford             11   17   +4      63.91     9.60     2.27     0.53     4.26    21.89     7.73P    1.15R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   10   17   +3      67.35    10.02     4.17     1.45     9.08    33.52    14.23P    0.67R    0.11  
Rotherham            10   15   +4      69.43    10.09    11.61     2.40    13.45    42.92    20.70P    0.41R    0.07  
Torquay              11   15   +2      69.69     9.59    12.08     2.36    12.71    43.29    21.11P    0.24R    0.04  
Southend             11   15   +1      71.13     9.70    13.16     3.02    16.39    49.12    26.19P    0.18R    0.02  
Chesterfield         11   15   +1      70.48    10.24    12.33     3.16    16.18    46.55    24.72P    0.35R    0.07  
York                 11   14   +0      53.94     9.66   -12.25     0.04     0.50     4.05     1.21P   11.01R    3.26  
Northampton          11   13   -1      56.62     9.52    -8.50     0.07     0.83     6.64     1.93P    6.15R    1.73  
Oxford_Utd           11   13   -7      57.98     9.48   -11.59     0.10     1.06     7.92     2.48P    4.98R    1.30  
Morecambe            11   12   -3      58.13     9.67    -6.16     0.14     1.26     9.06     3.04P    4.98R    1.29  
Dag_&_Red            11   11   -2      54.74     9.63    -8.81     0.05     0.53     4.70     1.35P    9.20R    2.77  
Plymouth             11   11   -4      54.46     9.32   -10.70     0.04     0.41     4.02     1.16P    8.82R    2.63  
Bristol_Rovers       10   10   -7      53.32     9.80   -16.69     0.05     0.49     3.85     1.13P   12.73R    3.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   10  -11      45.41     9.17   -33.21     0.00     0.03     0.45     0.09P   39.30R   16.83  
Wycombe              10    8   -6      60.65    10.70    -1.36     0.48     3.43    16.29     6.79P    4.08R    1.29  
Aldershot            11    8   -7      51.26     9.28   -13.86     0.01     0.14     1.93     0.50P   15.74R    5.06  
Barnet               11    3  -15      36.22     8.86   -39.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.17R   58.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2012, AFC_Telford vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     13   29  +13      79.94     9.22    21.89     7.54    58.16    16.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       13   27  +12      81.55     9.23    26.26    10.14    65.28    22.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   26  +12      89.69     8.63    40.08    35.79    91.01    55.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              13   26   +6      88.86     8.84    34.72    31.60    88.48    50.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           13   25  +10      73.59    10.11    15.10     2.88    32.59     8.28P    0.21R    0.01  
Grimsby            13   21   +9      78.70     9.15    28.60     5.72    54.86    18.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           13   19   +1      59.13     8.93    -7.56     0.03     2.13     0.31P    5.01R    0.74  
Macclesfield       12   19   +0      75.64    10.06    16.07     3.92    40.54    12.54P    0.13R    0.01  
AFC_Telford        13   18   +3      56.83     8.87    -7.13     0.02     1.27     0.14P    7.99R    1.29  
Stockport          13   17   +1      61.28     9.16    -0.94     0.06     4.07     0.74P    3.25R    0.44  
Gateshead          13   17   +0      62.56     9.12     0.33     0.08     5.00     0.91P    2.35R    0.25  
Hereford           13   17   -4      69.14     9.57     7.03     0.83    17.13     4.59P    0.62R    0.06  
Mansfield          12   17   -4      69.42     9.65     5.17     0.95    18.51     4.44P    0.62R    0.06  
Cambridge_Utd      13   16   +0      66.59     9.27     8.32     0.29    11.35     2.57P    0.92R    0.11  
Woking             13   16   -2      53.18     9.70   -16.83     0.01     0.83     0.13P   18.69R    4.55  
Alfreton_Town      12   16   -4      53.80     9.14   -20.24     0.01     0.66     0.08P   15.96R    3.38  
Southport          13   16   -5      55.82     9.14   -14.62     0.01     1.09     0.17P   10.96R    1.88  
Braintree_Town     13   13   -5      51.28     9.02   -17.40     0.00     0.28     0.04P   22.53R    5.51  
Barrow             13   13  -10      48.87     8.85   -26.68     0.00     0.12     0.01P   32.03R    9.02  
Kidderminster      13   12   -1      63.42     9.11     8.64     0.14     6.00     1.45P    1.99R    0.29  
Lincoln_City       13   12   -6      53.23     9.03   -12.71     0.00     0.48     0.09P   16.21R    3.40  
Nuneaton           13   11   -9      43.56     9.29   -33.12     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.95R   24.38  
Ebbsfleet_United   13   10  -10      45.80     8.93   -28.54     0.00     0.06     0.02P   45.14R   15.86  
Hyde_United        12    7   -7      42.34     9.56   -26.44     0.00     0.04     0.00P   59.42R   28.78