Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        6   16   +8      76.01     8.72    34.05    21.09    44.82    65.72    80.14    94.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton        6   13   +6      64.33     8.79    17.17     1.91     7.12    16.57    30.50    62.38     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd        6   12   +5      80.60     8.23    48.87    43.53    68.81    84.00    92.45    98.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       6   12   +4      76.85     8.52    39.66    24.27    50.06    70.40    83.76    95.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      6   11   +3      63.83     9.02    17.02     2.04     6.82    15.80    29.09    60.08     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      6   11   +3      52.82     8.88    -1.61     0.09     0.45     1.58     3.91    15.42     1.89R    0.22  
West_Ham       6   11   +2      46.44     9.15   -13.42     0.02     0.11     0.41     1.23     5.42     8.73R    1.37  
Arsenal        6    9   +6      69.43     8.89    33.63     6.54    19.10    36.65    56.05    82.16     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         6    9   +4      55.01     8.95     6.84     0.15     0.79     2.70     6.75    23.11     0.97R    0.07  
Newcastle      6    9   +0      53.64     9.03     0.08     0.12     0.64     1.99     4.97    17.92     1.57R    0.14  
Swansea        6    7   +1      43.37     8.59   -12.18     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.34     2.28    13.20R    2.37  
Stoke          6    7   +1      45.68     8.51    -7.05     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.54     3.77     7.80R    1.22  
Sunderland     5    7   +1      49.91     8.91    -3.02     0.05     0.21     0.73     2.16     9.58     3.66R    0.48  
Liverpool      6    5   -3      56.13     8.88     7.90     0.20     1.01     3.12     7.75    26.72     0.76R    0.09  
Aston_Villa    6    5   -4      41.12     8.51   -17.49     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.23    19.88R    4.24  
Wigan          6    4   -6      36.26     8.32   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.30    40.22R   12.18  
Southampton    6    3   -8      36.48     9.15   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.62    40.75R   14.12  
Norwich        6    3   -9      33.79     8.41   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    52.88R   20.30  
Reading        5    2   -5      34.75     9.14   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.38    48.04R   18.49  
QPR            6    2   -9      32.27     8.14   -32.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    59.53R   24.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Middlesbrough vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           9   19   +7      80.74    10.30    24.05    20.57    36.93    75.61    47.05P    0.11R    0.02  
Leicester         9   18   +6      77.90    10.22    19.94    13.20    26.28    66.44    36.59P    0.20R    0.02  
Brighton          9   17   +9      70.05    10.02    12.35     3.42     8.70    36.72    15.12P    1.09R    0.10  
Blackpool         9   16   +7      80.22    10.41    29.07    19.98    36.36    74.24    47.33P    0.09R    0.01  
Blackburn         9   16   +4      79.95    10.89    25.46    20.42    35.57    72.24    46.51P    0.17R    0.02  
Wolverhampton     9   16   +4      73.33    10.77    13.96     7.14    15.67    49.08    24.63P    0.81R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    9   16   +0      62.26     9.86    -6.98     0.59     1.63    12.50     3.61P    6.50R    1.17  
Huddersfield      9   14   +3      63.49    10.63     0.66     1.07     2.93    17.50     6.01P    6.14R    1.21  
Leeds_United      9   14   +1      68.44    10.55     6.29     2.67     6.81    31.06    11.85P    2.29R    0.41  
Hull              9   13   +1      66.37     9.92     5.01     1.30     3.80    23.10     8.25P    2.66R    0.44  
Middlesbrough     9   13   -2      63.05    10.20    -3.35     0.76     2.18    15.08     4.96P    6.10R    1.16  
Watford           9   13   -2      60.03    10.39    -9.41     0.46     1.36     9.97     2.98P   11.05R    2.60  
Derby             9   12   +2      59.24    10.13    -4.07     0.38     1.10     8.43     2.60P   11.50R    2.58  
Bristol_City      9   11   +1      54.49    10.02   -11.86     0.10     0.33     3.55     0.88P   23.14R    6.71  
Burnley           9   11   +0      62.26    10.47    -0.32     0.80     2.32    14.66     5.15P    7.29R    1.42  
Nott'm_Forest     9   11   +0      59.97    10.00    -2.67     0.34     1.09     9.25     2.81P    9.77R    2.20  
Barnsley          9   11   -2      51.77     9.77   -18.52     0.05     0.14     1.76     0.41P   32.48R   10.39  
Bolton            9   11   -2      69.31    10.88     9.62     3.87     8.97    35.28    16.47P    2.22R    0.40  
Birmingham        9   11   -6      68.31    10.33     3.81     2.52     6.56    30.16    13.08P    2.06R    0.29  
Charlton          9    9   -2      55.90    10.58    -8.33     0.17     0.55     5.49     1.62P   20.43R    5.91  
Sheff_Wed         9    8   -6      49.30    10.76   -23.98     0.06     0.18     1.61     0.40P   43.81R   19.07  
Millwall          9    8   -6      55.36    10.04   -11.81     0.10     0.35     4.04     1.15P   20.47R    5.66  
Ipswich           9    7  -10      49.37    10.06   -25.09     0.03     0.09     1.19     0.31P   42.74R   17.30  
Peterborough      9    6   -7      48.15    10.21   -23.82     0.01     0.08     1.03     0.23P   46.89R   20.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2012, Brentford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        10   24  +19      80.57     9.75    29.81    20.76    37.68    77.92    47.72P    0.05R    0.00  
Stevenage       10   20   +6      75.46     9.78    15.03     8.75    19.02    58.68    28.76P    0.30R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    10   19   +1      60.67    10.13   -11.49     0.54     1.57    10.92     2.98P   11.46R    1.44  
Notts_County    10   18   +7      73.78     9.94    16.74     6.50    15.38    52.84    23.88P    0.53R    0.01  
MK_Dons         10   18   +7      80.06     9.72    25.95    18.91    35.17    76.61    48.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   18   +5      82.57     9.73    28.31    26.93    45.78    83.08    57.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         10   17   +8      69.33    10.07    12.30     3.15     7.83    35.77    14.04P    1.78R    0.11  
Swindon         10   17   +5      71.11    10.14    12.27     4.32    10.51    41.95    18.45P    1.16R    0.08  
Walsall         10   17   +0      65.20     9.73    -1.67     0.95     2.86    19.86     5.91P    4.41R    0.32  
Brentford       10   14   +3      65.36     9.67     6.24     1.09     3.17    21.70     7.50P    3.63R    0.26  
Doncaster        9   14   +3      69.97    10.54    10.88     3.87     9.27    38.07    16.41P    2.04R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient    9   13   +0      58.19     9.72    -8.34     0.19     0.65     6.58     1.61P   15.66R    2.10  
Carlisle         9   12   -3      61.68    10.21    -4.97     0.55     1.66    13.19     3.94P    9.75R    1.20  
Portsmouth      10   11   -3      68.40    10.35     9.21     2.83     7.04    32.53    14.70P    2.66R    0.22  
Shrewsbury      10   10   +0      55.56    10.03    -4.97     0.10     0.37     4.53     1.14P   22.70R    4.16  
Yeovil          10   10   -1      55.30     9.84    -7.66     0.07     0.32     4.21     1.05P   23.35R    4.16  
Colchester      10   10   -4      58.05     9.72    -5.87     0.17     0.57     6.27     1.80P   15.30R    2.22  
Crewe           10   10   -6      45.97     9.70   -27.43     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.11P   61.09R   22.65  
Oldham           9    9   -2      54.13     9.53    -9.47     0.07     0.23     2.78     0.64P   26.54R    4.68  
Bournemouth     10    8   -8      54.80     9.69   -11.60     0.05     0.19     3.37     0.80P   25.11R    4.49  
Scunthorpe      10    8  -11      50.08     9.48   -21.99     0.01     0.04     1.10     0.22P   43.51R   10.75  
Coventry        10    7   -7      57.13    10.12    -5.58     0.17     0.61     6.26     2.06P   18.67R    2.90  
Hartlepool       9    6   -9      48.57     9.59   -20.81     0.01     0.03     0.73     0.15P   49.28R   14.28  
Bury             9    4  -10      45.69     9.91   -24.89     0.00     0.03     0.47     0.10P   60.92R   23.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           10   25  +13      88.55     9.89    35.15    47.04    77.57    94.70    82.30P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            10   20  +11      79.25     9.99    26.13    13.42    43.44    76.92    52.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       10   20   +8      69.00    10.33     7.29     2.50    12.09    38.28    17.59P    0.38R    0.06  
Exeter               10   19   +6      78.08    10.59    20.98    12.52    39.13    71.76    48.20P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           10   18   +2      69.41     9.85     5.06     2.16    11.66    38.92    17.84P    0.20R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        10   17   +5      62.19     9.92    -2.37     0.44     3.33    16.47     5.62P    1.63R    0.33  
Bradford             10   17   +5      65.80     9.80     4.24     0.92     6.30    26.43    10.36P    0.57R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley    9   17   +4      69.08    10.18     5.80     2.10    11.67    38.14    17.03P    0.34R    0.06  
Rochdale             10   16   +2      73.20    10.43    13.76     5.21    22.39    54.77    31.60P    0.13R    0.01  
Torquay              10   15   +3      71.41     9.82    13.53     3.13    16.17    48.18    24.97P    0.15R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   14   +4      70.34    10.28    12.39     3.13    14.86    44.05    22.07P    0.28R    0.03  
Southend             10   14   +1      72.96     9.98    15.45     4.31    20.76    54.47    30.85P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          10   13   +1      58.70     9.92    -5.29     0.14     1.54     9.73     3.13P    3.95R    1.00  
York                 10   13   +0      53.73     9.89   -13.49     0.05     0.56     4.07     1.21P   10.13R    2.80  
Chesterfield         10   12   +0      68.39    10.46    10.71     2.16    11.55    37.55    18.92P    0.52R    0.12  
Oxford_Utd           10   12   -7      58.19     9.75   -12.07     0.13     1.24     8.11     2.64P    4.11R    1.01  
Morecambe            10   11   -3      59.00     9.95    -5.57     0.19     1.64    10.15     3.45P    3.84R    0.94  
Plymouth             10   11   -3      57.22     9.68    -7.64     0.09     0.96     7.05     2.27P    4.82R    1.25  
Dag_&_Red            10    8   -3      52.54     9.63   -10.45     0.01     0.25     2.81     0.77P   11.31R    3.42  
Aldershot            10    8   -6      53.01     9.58   -12.39     0.02     0.24     2.84     0.84P   10.44R    2.89  
Bristol_Rovers        9    7   -9      50.87     9.92   -19.93     0.01     0.19     2.17     0.58P   16.29R    5.18  
AFC_Wimbledon        10    7  -12      42.44     9.31   -36.78     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   48.42R   22.69  
Wycombe               9    5   -7      58.64    10.92    -2.96     0.30     2.42    12.19     5.14P    5.15R    1.49  
Barnet               10    2  -15      35.22     9.01   -41.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   77.21R   56.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Forest_Green       12   27  +13      82.56     9.41    26.78    12.88    66.14    24.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     12   26  +12      78.06     9.55    20.45     5.79    47.15    13.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            12   23  +11      88.07     8.80    38.92    29.43    86.02    49.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              12   23   +5      87.25     9.10    33.76    25.77    82.43    43.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           12   22   +8      69.71    10.20     9.34     1.41    18.92     4.36P    0.61R    0.05  
Grimsby            12   21  +11      81.90     9.19    33.62    11.34    65.34    25.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +2      60.74     9.12    -6.14     0.06     3.00     0.45P    3.52R    0.52  
Macclesfield       11   19   +1      79.71    10.17    21.75     8.82    54.52    20.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   17   -1      72.51     9.82    11.13     2.10    26.37     7.22P    0.24R    0.02  
Hereford           12   17   -3      72.23     9.87    10.94     1.85    25.27     7.43P    0.32R    0.02  
Gateshead          12   16   +0      63.29     9.42     0.81     0.14     5.61     1.08P    2.12R    0.27  
Woking             12   16   -1      55.02    10.04   -15.26     0.03     1.45     0.23P   13.93R    3.11  
AFC_Telford        12   15   +2      55.39     9.05    -8.06     0.01     0.82     0.12P   10.21R    1.83  
Stockport          12   14   +0      57.99     9.37    -4.73     0.03     1.79     0.29P    6.75R    1.24  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   -3      63.44     9.46     2.93     0.14     5.95     1.17P    2.18R    0.25  
Braintree_Town     12   13   -4      53.72     9.31   -14.54     0.00     0.64     0.10P   14.90R    3.20  
Alfreton_Town      11   13   -5      49.88     9.29   -25.61     0.00     0.25     0.03P   27.63R    7.76  
Southport          12   13   -7      53.78     9.30   -17.50     0.00     0.59     0.08P   15.22R    3.28  
Lincoln_City       12   12   -5      54.66     9.24   -11.59     0.01     0.73     0.11P   12.18R    2.38  
Kidderminster      12   11   -1      64.14     9.39     9.30     0.18     6.71     1.62P    1.80R    0.24  
Nuneaton           12   11   -7      45.11     9.76   -30.67     0.00     0.10     0.02P   47.39R   19.13  
Barrow             12   10  -11      46.16     8.99   -29.45     0.00     0.05     0.01P   42.12R   14.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   12    9  -10      45.86     9.27   -29.48     0.00     0.07     0.00P   43.42R   15.91  
Hyde_United        11    6   -7      42.82    10.10   -26.70     0.00     0.07     0.02P   55.39R   26.71