Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 5 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        6   16   +8      76.04     8.74    34.11    21.43    45.11    66.04    80.74    94.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton        6   13   +6      64.31     8.87    17.14     2.03     7.21    16.59    30.55    62.41     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd        6   12   +5      80.41     8.23    48.58    42.49    68.10    83.45    92.23    98.41     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City       6   12   +4      76.93     8.49    39.78    24.98    50.60    71.20    84.35    95.75     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham      6   11   +3      63.77     9.02    16.93     1.90     6.98    15.88    28.96    59.90     0.08R    0.01  
West_Brom      6   11   +3      52.69     8.89    -1.81     0.11     0.47     1.57     3.88    15.21     1.86R    0.18  
West_Ham       6   11   +2      46.52     8.94   -13.26     0.02     0.12     0.39     1.07     5.07     8.02R    1.23  
Arsenal        6    9   +6      69.26     8.90    33.21     6.41    18.43    35.81    55.25    81.58     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         6    9   +4      54.84     8.94     6.54     0.15     0.82     2.59     6.45    22.75     1.06R    0.09  
Newcastle      6    9   +0      53.63     9.16     0.12     0.20     0.79     2.13     5.18    18.48     1.65R    0.13  
Swansea        6    7   +1      43.55     8.55   -11.88     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.36     2.40    12.90R    2.25  
Stoke          6    7   +1      45.98     8.52    -6.65     0.01     0.06     0.19     0.66     4.05     7.55R    1.11  
Sunderland     5    7   +1      50.03     8.89    -2.86     0.04     0.22     0.78     2.12     9.80     3.60R    0.47  
Liverpool      6    5   -3      56.24     8.83     8.13     0.23     1.06     3.21     7.92    27.23     0.74R    0.08  
Aston_Villa    6    5   -4      40.95     8.52   -17.77     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     1.06    20.83R    4.52  
Wigan          6    4   -6      36.22     8.42   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.31    40.60R   12.56  
Southampton    6    3   -8      36.54     9.23   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.61    40.48R   14.11  
Norwich        6    3   -9      33.82     8.42   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    52.80R   19.99  
Reading        5    2   -5      34.78     9.10   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.35    47.67R   18.63  
QPR            6    2   -9      32.22     8.17   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    60.08R   24.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Middlesbrough vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           9   19   +7      81.15    10.24    24.76    21.23    38.00    77.07    48.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Leicester         9   18   +6      77.88    10.20    19.94    12.85    26.26    65.97    36.29P    0.16R    0.01  
Brighton          9   17   +9      70.10     9.98    12.46     3.32     8.39    36.64    14.73P    0.98R    0.12  
Blackpool         9   16   +7      80.37    10.55    29.31    20.63    36.75    74.48    47.70P    0.16R    0.02  
Blackburn         9   16   +4      79.94    10.86    25.39    20.24    35.48    72.19    46.68P    0.23R    0.02  
Wolverhampton     9   16   +4      73.08    10.83    13.53     6.98    15.17    48.18    23.79P    0.92R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace    9   16   +0      61.89     9.92    -7.55     0.52     1.56    11.92     3.35P    6.93R    1.38  
Huddersfield      9   14   +3      63.50    10.63     0.68     1.03     2.95    17.54     6.06P    5.98R    1.29  
Leeds_United      9   14   +1      68.39    10.54     6.19     2.55     6.63    31.09    11.62P    2.40R    0.43  
Hull              9   13   +1      66.23    10.00     4.81     1.26     3.79    23.02     8.29P    2.79R    0.45  
Middlesbrough     9   13   -2      63.14    10.19    -3.22     0.73     2.11    15.46     4.92P    5.76R    1.12  
Watford           9   13   -2      60.23    10.32    -9.09     0.41     1.29    10.19     2.91P   10.51R    2.49  
Derby             9   12   +2      59.27    10.10    -4.02     0.30     1.03     8.40     2.43P   11.21R    2.54  
Bristol_City      9   11   +1      54.41     9.92   -12.01     0.07     0.27     3.38     0.83P   23.08R    6.57  
Burnley           9   11   +0      62.14    10.44    -0.50     0.76     2.15    14.35     4.93P    7.48R    1.52  
Nott'm_Forest     9   11   +0      60.03     9.93    -2.65     0.28     1.05     9.14     2.72P    9.59R    2.07  
Barnsley          9   11   -2      51.86     9.79   -18.45     0.05     0.15     1.72     0.41P   32.33R   10.46  
Bolton            9   11   -2      69.31    11.01     9.67     4.03     9.18    35.39    16.70P    2.37R    0.42  
Birmingham        9   11   -6      68.56    10.30     4.20     2.44     6.58    30.98    13.42P    2.00R    0.32  
Charlton          9    9   -2      55.77    10.67    -8.54     0.18     0.60     5.43     1.71P   20.89R    6.39  
Sheff_Wed         9    8   -6      49.37    10.56   -23.76     0.03     0.14     1.61     0.39P   43.30R   18.55  
Millwall          9    8   -6      55.18    10.01   -12.19     0.07     0.32     3.76     1.02P   21.09R    5.98  
Ipswich           9    7  -10      49.31    10.08   -25.30     0.01     0.06     1.11     0.21P   43.05R   17.42  
Peterborough      9    6   -7      48.25    10.17   -23.64     0.02     0.07     0.97     0.23P   46.73R   20.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2012, Brentford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        10   24  +19      80.59     9.80    29.80    21.01    37.91    78.10    47.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       10   20   +6      75.37     9.71    14.96     8.33    18.70    58.58    28.45P    0.25R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    10   19   +1      60.84    10.09   -11.29     0.50     1.55    11.03     2.90P   11.33R    1.43  
Notts_County    10   18   +7      73.83     9.94    16.86     6.49    15.35    53.33    24.06P    0.56R    0.03  
MK_Dons         10   18   +7      80.08     9.78    25.93    19.14    35.43    76.54    48.46P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   18   +5      82.58     9.81    28.33    27.10    45.80    82.97    57.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         10   17   +8      69.09     9.89    11.96     2.98     7.48    34.41    13.32P    1.67R    0.08  
Swindon         10   17   +5      70.74    10.25    11.76     4.28    10.16    41.10    17.77P    1.45R    0.11  
Walsall         10   17   +0      65.55     9.81    -1.17     1.08     3.25    21.06     6.50P    4.33R    0.34  
Brentford       10   14   +3      65.30     9.68     6.15     1.10     3.21    21.59     7.47P    3.62R    0.31  
Doncaster        9   14   +3      69.94    10.56    10.88     3.95     9.44    38.34    16.64P    2.05R    0.18  
Leyton_Orient    9   13   +0      57.96     9.83    -8.68     0.15     0.61     6.47     1.60P   16.66R    2.38  
Carlisle         9   12   -3      61.47    10.19    -5.26     0.57     1.68    12.72     3.72P   10.02R    1.27  
Portsmouth      10   11   -3      68.36    10.35     9.16     2.70     7.00    32.57    14.70P    2.67R    0.25  
Shrewsbury      10   10   +0      56.09    10.02    -4.25     0.13     0.43     5.10     1.39P   21.20R    3.44  
Yeovil          10   10   -1      55.28     9.84    -7.75     0.07     0.33     3.96     1.00P   23.43R    4.26  
Colchester      10   10   -4      57.88     9.71    -6.11     0.15     0.51     6.29     1.70P   16.05R    2.39  
Crewe           10   10   -6      46.04     9.70   -27.31     0.00     0.03     0.57     0.12P   60.89R   22.55  
Oldham           9    9   -2      54.36     9.64    -9.12     0.05     0.23     3.07     0.78P   26.02R    4.65  
Bournemouth     10    8   -8      54.64     9.66   -11.83     0.07     0.23     3.27     0.86P   25.70R    4.67  
Scunthorpe      10    8  -11      49.99     9.52   -22.04     0.01     0.07     1.15     0.29P   43.84R   10.90  
Coventry        10    7   -7      57.32    10.12    -5.30     0.14     0.55     6.55     2.16P   18.15R    2.90  
Hartlepool       9    6   -9      48.63     9.57   -20.75     0.00     0.04     0.78     0.17P   49.06R   14.02  
Bury             9    4  -10      45.66     9.86   -24.93     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.07P   60.91R   23.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           10   25  +13      88.49     9.89    35.06    46.84    77.53    94.75    82.39P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            10   20  +11      79.14    10.07    25.95    13.39    43.18    76.49    52.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       10   20   +8      69.23    10.39     7.61     2.59    12.90    39.16    18.29P    0.34R    0.04  
Exeter               10   19   +6      77.79    10.59    20.50    12.35    38.08    70.79    47.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           10   18   +2      69.54     9.83     5.25     2.23    12.03    39.33    18.18P    0.22R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        10   17   +5      62.37     9.99    -2.10     0.54     3.50    17.01     5.83P    1.67R    0.37  
Bradford             10   17   +5      65.59     9.69     3.98     0.78     5.75    25.53     9.90P    0.62R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley    9   17   +4      69.08    10.12     5.80     2.11    11.61    38.29    17.13P    0.34R    0.06  
Rochdale             10   16   +2      72.95    10.44    13.33     4.92    21.43    53.69    30.44P    0.16R    0.02  
Torquay              10   15   +3      71.40     9.78    13.55     3.16    15.94    48.12    24.67P    0.14R    0.02  
Rotherham             9   14   +4      70.45    10.43    12.55     3.34    15.54    44.77    22.79P    0.31R    0.05  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.21     9.87    15.85     4.48    21.37    55.54    31.63P    0.08R    0.01  
Northampton          10   13   +1      58.71     9.81    -5.29     0.15     1.45     9.43     3.00P    3.69R    0.86  
York                 10   13   +0      53.85     9.87   -13.25     0.07     0.58     4.10     1.21P    9.79R    2.76  
Chesterfield         10   12   +0      68.63    10.49    11.04     2.29    12.20    38.14    19.69P    0.54R    0.12  
Oxford_Utd           10   12   -7      57.93     9.72   -12.50     0.12     1.15     7.69     2.49P    4.41R    1.18  
Morecambe            10   11   -3      58.74     9.92    -6.01     0.16     1.58     9.74     3.33P    3.89R    1.01  
Plymouth             10   11   -3      57.35     9.72    -7.41     0.11     1.12     7.35     2.43P    4.46R    1.11  
Dag_&_Red            10    8   -3      52.69     9.69   -10.21     0.03     0.30     3.00     0.86P   11.27R    3.45  
Aldershot            10    8   -6      53.08     9.63   -12.27     0.02     0.29     3.06     0.91P   10.42R    2.98  
Bristol_Rovers        9    7   -9      50.66     9.86   -20.30     0.02     0.18     2.07     0.55P   16.75R    5.48  
AFC_Wimbledon        10    7  -12      42.52     9.34   -36.65     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.04P   48.29R   22.49  
Wycombe               9    5   -7      58.55    10.84    -3.00     0.29     2.26    11.76     4.89P    5.12R    1.49  
Barnet               10    2  -15      35.21     8.97   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   77.42R   56.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Forest_Green       12   27  +13      82.49     9.46    26.65    12.92    65.67    24.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     12   26  +12      78.22     9.48    20.79     6.06    48.05    13.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            12   23  +11      88.23     8.82    39.33    29.39    86.43    49.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              12   23   +5      87.31     9.05    33.82    25.86    82.75    43.50P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           12   22   +8      69.23    10.26     8.60     1.23    17.83     4.06P    0.81R    0.09  
Grimsby            12   21  +11      82.04     9.27    33.93    11.38    66.10    25.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +2      60.68     9.24    -6.24     0.06     3.18     0.47P    3.82R    0.52  
Macclesfield       11   19   +1      79.61    10.18    21.60     8.57    53.91    19.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   17   -1      72.56     9.86    11.25     2.15    26.44     7.21P    0.26R    0.02  
Hereford           12   17   -3      72.21     9.76    10.90     1.79    24.89     7.19P    0.32R    0.02  
Gateshead          12   16   +0      63.50     9.46     1.16     0.15     5.85     1.20P    2.04R    0.25  
Woking             12   16   -1      55.03    10.04   -15.33     0.04     1.41     0.23P   13.99R    3.14  
AFC_Telford        12   15   +2      55.18     9.06    -8.46     0.01     0.77     0.11P   10.62R    2.02  
Stockport          12   14   +0      57.98     9.27    -4.71     0.03     1.70     0.29P    6.52R    1.04  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   -3      63.47     9.51     2.93     0.13     6.01     1.39P    2.20R    0.34  
Braintree_Town     12   13   -4      53.76     9.16   -14.53     0.02     0.60     0.09P   14.48R    2.98  
Alfreton_Town      11   13   -5      49.88     9.33   -25.76     0.00     0.26     0.03P   27.50R    7.75  
Southport          12   13   -7      54.01     9.33   -17.14     0.01     0.65     0.09P   14.70R    3.09  
Lincoln_City       12   12   -5      54.62     9.23   -11.71     0.01     0.70     0.14P   12.43R    2.52  
Kidderminster      12   11   -1      64.08     9.42     9.18     0.18     6.56     1.66P    1.82R    0.25  
Nuneaton           12   11   -7      45.60     9.71   -29.77     0.00     0.11     0.01P   45.30R   17.47  
Barrow             12   10  -11      46.13     8.96   -29.62     0.00     0.03     0.00P   42.45R   14.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   12    9  -10      45.87     9.27   -29.50     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.35R   15.74  
Hyde_United        11    6   -7      42.39     9.97   -27.38     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.31R   28.45