Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 4 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        6   16   +8      75.94     8.73    33.90    20.98    44.62    65.49    80.40    94.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton        6   13   +6      64.16     8.79    16.92     1.83     6.80    16.23    29.88    61.77     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd        6   12   +5      80.61     8.16    49.04    43.16    68.71    84.15    92.63    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       6   12   +4      76.98     8.55    39.86    25.08    50.62    71.11    84.23    95.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      6   11   +3      63.79     9.04    16.92     1.94     6.82    15.64    28.98    60.21     0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom      6   11   +3      52.76     8.90    -1.61     0.09     0.51     1.56     3.97    15.23     1.86R    0.21  
West_Ham       6   11   +2      46.28     8.97   -13.78     0.03     0.10     0.37     1.09     5.12     8.56R    1.40  
Arsenal        6    9   +6      69.35     8.89    33.53     6.37    19.06    36.54    55.96    81.91     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         6    9   +4      54.92     8.95     6.67     0.16     0.81     2.60     6.46    22.84     1.00R    0.08  
Newcastle      6    9   +0      53.90     9.06     0.56     0.12     0.73     2.12     5.28    19.32     1.60R    0.15  
Swansea        6    7   +1      43.46     8.53   -12.03     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.36     2.32    13.24R    2.27  
Stoke          6    7   +1      45.67     8.46    -7.10     0.01     0.03     0.15     0.56     3.61     8.16R    1.18  
Sunderland     5    7   +1      49.85     9.01    -3.15     0.04     0.24     0.80     2.17     9.98     3.92R    0.53  
Liverpool      6    5   -3      56.04     8.84     7.72     0.17     0.93     3.06     7.65    26.32     0.78R    0.07  
Aston_Villa    6    5   -4      41.05     8.42   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.16    20.17R    4.34  
Wigan          6    4   -6      36.21     8.40   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34    40.68R   12.56  
Southampton    6    3   -8      36.79     9.22   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.66    39.71R   13.64  
Norwich        6    3   -9      33.82     8.40   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    53.08R   20.27  
Reading        5    2   -5      35.03     9.12   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.42    46.76R   18.02  
QPR            6    2   -9      32.14     8.18   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    60.38R   25.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Middlesbrough vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           9   19   +7      80.99    10.22    24.57    20.63    37.29    76.61    47.91P    0.08R    0.01  
Leicester         9   18   +6      77.93    10.33    20.05    12.95    26.40    66.38    36.38P    0.19R    0.02  
Brighton          9   17   +9      69.95    10.03    12.24     3.21     8.18    36.05    14.25P    1.12R    0.13  
Blackpool         9   16   +7      80.47    10.55    29.48    21.06    37.34    74.89    48.33P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackburn         9   16   +4      79.96    10.98    25.39    20.22    35.40    72.27    46.56P    0.20R    0.03  
Wolverhampton     9   16   +4      73.21    10.69    13.74     6.94    15.28    48.39    24.32P    0.81R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace    9   16   +0      62.17     9.89    -7.12     0.54     1.69    12.46     3.58P    6.68R    1.25  
Huddersfield      9   14   +3      63.71    10.68     1.00     1.06     3.13    18.17     6.35P    5.88R    1.24  
Leeds_United      9   14   +1      68.53    10.55     6.36     2.64     6.91    31.65    12.04P    2.32R    0.37  
Hull              9   13   +1      66.00     9.90     4.45     1.12     3.37    22.22     7.54P    2.98R    0.51  
Middlesbrough     9   13   -2      63.15    10.14    -3.25     0.72     2.13    15.19     4.84P    5.91R    1.09  
Watford           9   13   -2      60.23    10.39    -9.08     0.50     1.42    10.30     3.24P   10.75R    2.52  
Derby             9   12   +2      59.30    10.04    -3.99     0.29     0.97     8.51     2.44P   11.14R    2.48  
Bristol_City      9   11   +1      54.39     9.94   -12.08     0.07     0.31     3.40     0.82P   23.21R    6.75  
Burnley           9   11   +0      62.24    10.45    -0.38     0.75     2.25    14.50     4.90P    7.35R    1.49  
Nott'm_Forest     9   11   +0      59.74     9.94    -3.07     0.29     0.92     8.95     2.67P   10.02R    2.22  
Barnsley          9   11   -2      51.86     9.83   -18.51     0.04     0.13     1.80     0.39P   32.19R   10.62  
Bolton            9   11   -2      69.32    11.07     9.72     4.15     9.31    35.30    16.88P    2.41R    0.45  
Birmingham        9   11   -6      68.45    10.28     4.03     2.48     6.46    30.41    13.13P    2.04R    0.29  
Charlton          9    9   -2      55.67    10.53    -8.72     0.17     0.56     5.06     1.53P   20.75R    6.16  
Sheff_Wed         9    8   -6      49.09    10.60   -24.37     0.04     0.13     1.52     0.38P   44.11R   19.30  
Millwall          9    8   -6      55.19     9.94   -12.13     0.09     0.29     3.69     0.95P   20.84R    5.70  
Ipswich           9    7  -10      49.43    10.07   -25.01     0.02     0.07     1.20     0.31P   42.56R   17.11  
Peterborough      9    6   -7      48.44    10.28   -23.32     0.02     0.07     1.10     0.24P   46.33R   20.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2012, Brentford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        10   24  +19      80.67     9.68    29.90    20.92    38.30    78.78    48.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Stevenage       10   20   +6      75.49     9.77    15.16     8.74    19.01    59.06    28.71P    0.31R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    10   19   +1      60.80    10.16   -11.20     0.49     1.51    11.20     2.98P   11.65R    1.45  
Notts_County    10   18   +7      73.73     9.92    16.58     6.80    15.28    52.84    24.12P    0.53R    0.01  
MK_Dons         10   18   +7      80.02     9.65    25.87    18.70    34.97    76.57    47.95P    0.07R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       10   18   +5      82.47     9.80    28.14    26.97    45.29    82.86    57.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         10   17   +8      69.06     9.94    11.85     2.95     7.62    34.41    13.36P    1.81R    0.13  
Swindon         10   17   +5      70.72    10.09    11.69     4.06     9.89    40.62    17.41P    1.36R    0.07  
Walsall         10   17   +0      65.34     9.77    -1.47     1.08     3.24    20.37     6.38P    4.33R    0.34  
Brentford       10   14   +3      65.56     9.76     6.50     1.26     3.66    22.39     8.16P    3.69R    0.27  
Doncaster        9   14   +3      70.01    10.57    10.95     3.94     9.66    38.55    16.87P    1.92R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient    9   13   +0      58.01     9.80    -8.61     0.20     0.62     6.68     1.67P   16.41R    2.38  
Carlisle         9   12   -3      61.61    10.20    -5.04     0.57     1.65    12.85     3.84P    9.88R    1.24  
Portsmouth      10   11   -3      68.28    10.32     9.01     2.66     6.92    32.36    14.43P    2.78R    0.24  
Shrewsbury      10   10   +0      55.69     9.97    -4.81     0.11     0.41     4.58     1.23P   22.34R    3.88  
Yeovil          10   10   -1      55.36     9.81    -7.60     0.09     0.30     3.97     0.93P   22.95R    4.31  
Colchester      10   10   -4      57.91     9.68    -6.03     0.14     0.54     6.18     1.64P   15.84R    2.28  
Crewe           10   10   -6      46.04     9.65   -27.34     0.01     0.02     0.48     0.08P   60.61R   22.40  
Oldham           9    9   -2      54.12     9.62    -9.49     0.05     0.19     2.93     0.74P   26.88R    4.58  
Bournemouth     10    8   -8      54.95     9.77   -11.34     0.07     0.20     3.54     0.93P   24.75R    4.58  
Scunthorpe      10    8  -11      50.15     9.57   -21.76     0.01     0.06     1.13     0.25P   43.34R   10.79  
Coventry        10    7   -7      57.21    10.13    -5.41     0.15     0.57     6.38     2.04P   18.36R    2.84  
Hartlepool       9    6   -9      48.72     9.62   -20.61     0.02     0.05     0.83     0.18P   48.92R   13.89  
Bury             9    4  -10      45.61     9.85   -24.93     0.01     0.02     0.43     0.08P   61.17R   24.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           10   25  +13      88.57     9.90    35.22    47.33    77.89    94.87    82.54P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            10   20  +11      79.02    10.05    25.80    13.31    42.86    76.06    51.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       10   20   +8      69.40    10.41     7.84     2.81    13.43    39.71    18.79P    0.35R    0.06  
Exeter               10   19   +6      77.60    10.62    20.21    11.84    37.47    70.12    46.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           10   18   +2      69.31     9.80     4.94     2.09    11.36    38.60    17.37P    0.22R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        10   17   +5      62.36     9.96    -2.13     0.41     3.43    17.05     5.81P    1.67R    0.38  
Bradford             10   17   +5      65.50     9.80     3.81     0.84     5.93    25.60     9.82P    0.69R    0.09  
Accrington_Stanley    9   17   +4      68.94    10.11     5.68     2.09    11.29    37.50    16.66P    0.31R    0.06  
Rochdale             10   16   +2      73.38    10.42    13.96     5.33    23.07    55.64    32.42P    0.12R    0.02  
Torquay              10   15   +3      71.26     9.87    13.35     3.11    16.06    47.61    24.89P    0.13R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   14   +4      70.42    10.32    12.56     3.26    15.19    44.37    22.58P    0.27R    0.04  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.11     9.83    15.68     4.33    21.03    55.34    31.43P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          10   13   +1      58.93     9.82    -4.97     0.16     1.56     9.82     3.16P    3.64R    0.89  
York                 10   13   +0      53.76     9.91   -13.39     0.06     0.51     4.05     1.15P   10.06R    2.82  
Chesterfield         10   12   +0      68.72    10.45    11.16     2.28    12.28    38.52    19.81P    0.49R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd           10   12   -7      57.84     9.69   -12.57     0.12     1.02     7.79     2.41P    4.32R    1.13  
Morecambe            10   11   -3      58.88     9.91    -5.77     0.17     1.52     9.94     3.35P    3.66R    0.93  
Plymouth             10   11   -3      57.25     9.64    -7.62     0.08     0.98     7.03     2.27P    4.70R    1.29  
Dag_&_Red            10    8   -3      52.80     9.69   -10.08     0.02     0.30     3.07     0.84P   10.91R    3.41  
Aldershot            10    8   -6      53.06     9.61   -12.31     0.03     0.32     3.02     0.87P   10.37R    2.98  
Bristol_Rovers        9    7   -9      50.71     9.86   -20.25     0.01     0.21     2.09     0.60P   16.84R    5.43  
AFC_Wimbledon        10    7  -12      42.42     9.25   -36.76     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   48.90R   22.44  
Wycombe               9    5   -7      58.66    10.88    -2.94     0.32     2.28    12.02     5.01P    5.13R    1.49  
Barnet               10    2  -15      35.31     8.94   -41.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   77.08R   56.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Forest_Green       12   27  +13      82.72     9.34    26.97    12.99    66.98    24.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     12   26  +12      78.22     9.45    20.72     5.78    47.74    13.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            12   23  +11      88.38     8.81    39.48    30.05    86.73    50.33P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              12   23   +5      87.20     9.12    33.63    25.78    82.10    43.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           12   22   +8      69.54    10.18     9.08     1.28    18.65     4.21P    0.65R    0.06  
Grimsby            12   21  +11      81.79     9.31    33.48    10.76    64.90    24.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +2      60.95     9.18    -5.83     0.05     3.17     0.45P    3.42R    0.56  
Macclesfield       11   19   +1      79.84    10.19    21.95     8.87    55.19    20.18P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   17   -1      72.41     9.88    10.93     2.11    26.06     7.15P    0.28R    0.03  
Hereford           12   17   -3      72.00     9.89    10.49     1.79    24.33     6.97P    0.32R    0.04  
Gateshead          12   16   +0      63.25     9.41     0.78     0.15     5.54     1.08P    2.18R    0.27  
Woking             12   16   -1      55.05    10.15   -15.33     0.04     1.52     0.22P   14.18R    3.31  
AFC_Telford        12   15   +2      55.16     9.05    -8.51     0.01     0.73     0.11P   10.64R    1.94  
Stockport          12   14   +0      58.06     9.33    -4.55     0.03     1.72     0.33P    6.59R    1.12  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   -3      63.27     9.45     2.59     0.13     5.70     1.22P    2.23R    0.30  
Braintree_Town     12   13   -4      53.87     9.20   -14.20     0.00     0.57     0.08P   14.49R    2.99  
Alfreton_Town      11   13   -5      50.09     9.30   -25.30     0.00     0.21     0.02P   26.94R    7.50  
Southport          12   13   -7      53.82     9.25   -17.37     0.01     0.61     0.09P   14.83R    3.17  
Lincoln_City       12   12   -5      54.44     9.18   -11.98     0.00     0.61     0.11P   12.70R    2.54  
Kidderminster      12   11   -1      64.05     9.39     9.07     0.16     6.66     1.58P    1.75R    0.26  
Nuneaton           12   11   -7      45.19     9.59   -30.44     0.00     0.09     0.02P   47.05R   18.39  
Barrow             12   10  -11      46.23     8.99   -29.34     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.77R   13.98  
Ebbsfleet_United   12    9  -10      45.97     9.19   -29.30     0.00     0.08     0.01P   43.11R   15.48  
Hyde_United        11    6   -7      42.53    10.12   -27.02     0.00     0.07     0.01P   56.78R   28.05