Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        6   16   +8      75.96     8.76    33.99    20.95    44.37    65.21    80.31    94.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton        6   13   +6      64.39     8.85    17.25     1.92     7.32    16.71    30.51    62.66     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd        6   12   +5      80.62     8.21    49.05    43.54    68.71    84.19    92.56    98.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       6   12   +4      76.96     8.42    39.82    24.45    50.42    70.96    84.41    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      6   11   +3      64.02     8.95    17.29     2.01     7.06    16.27    29.54    61.02     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom      6   11   +3      52.98     8.79    -1.35     0.09     0.50     1.58     3.90    15.37     1.74R    0.15  
West_Ham       6   11   +2      46.25     9.11   -13.81     0.02     0.11     0.41     1.12     5.22     8.87R    1.35  
Arsenal        6    9   +6      69.27     8.94    33.30     6.47    18.66    35.67    54.91    81.28     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         6    9   +4      54.92     9.01     6.73     0.15     0.87     2.83     6.84    22.88     1.01R    0.09  
Newcastle      6    9   +0      53.63     9.03     0.16     0.14     0.63     1.96     4.82    18.29     1.50R    0.18  
Swansea        6    7   +1      43.40     8.64   -12.16     0.01     0.02     0.11     0.37     2.30    13.24R    2.39  
Stoke          6    7   +1      45.75     8.49    -6.94     0.00     0.03     0.16     0.58     3.72     7.84R    1.18  
Sunderland     5    7   +1      49.76     8.96    -3.28     0.05     0.23     0.70     2.05     9.56     3.74R    0.49  
Liverpool      6    5   -3      56.02     8.94     7.74     0.19     1.05     3.16     7.72    26.33     0.83R    0.10  
Aston_Villa    6    5   -4      41.10     8.49   -17.57     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.10    19.90R    4.26  
Wigan          6    4   -6      36.43     8.38   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.32    39.74R   11.69  
Southampton    6    3   -8      36.69     9.31   -28.25     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.75    39.99R   13.77  
Norwich        6    3   -9      33.87     8.45   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    52.58R   19.86  
Reading        5    2   -5      34.81     9.02   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.33    47.57R   18.03  
QPR            6    2   -9      31.92     8.17   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    61.36R   26.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Middlesbrough vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           9   19   +7      81.01    10.27    24.52    20.48    37.64    76.39    48.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Leicester         9   18   +6      77.91    10.27    19.91    13.24    26.23    66.35    36.34P    0.17R    0.02  
Brighton          9   17   +9      70.18    10.07    12.54     3.40     8.53    37.00    15.05P    1.02R    0.12  
Blackpool         9   16   +7      80.61    10.49    29.78    21.14    37.64    75.48    48.73P    0.13R    0.01  
Blackburn         9   16   +4      80.10    10.85    25.67    20.30    35.67    72.91    46.81P    0.18R    0.02  
Wolverhampton     9   16   +4      73.21    10.80    13.71     6.94    15.33    48.55    24.03P    0.76R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    9   16   +0      61.99     9.84    -7.39     0.48     1.51    12.03     3.27P    6.66R    1.30  
Huddersfield      9   14   +3      63.75    10.60     1.09     1.04     3.00    18.06     6.29P    5.80R    1.18  
Leeds_United      9   14   +1      68.36    10.46     6.09     2.48     6.44    30.77    11.46P    2.35R    0.34  
Hull              9   13   +1      66.34    10.00     4.97     1.35     3.85    23.47     8.23P    2.88R    0.45  
Middlesbrough     9   13   -2      63.10    10.17    -3.26     0.72     2.20    15.21     5.10P    5.86R    1.17  
Watford           9   13   -2      60.17    10.32    -9.17     0.46     1.30     9.98     2.92P   10.68R    2.45  
Derby             9   12   +2      59.27    10.20    -4.02     0.38     1.12     8.69     2.59P   11.54R    2.77  
Bristol_City      9   11   +1      54.43     9.92   -12.02     0.07     0.25     3.33     0.84P   23.25R    6.77  
Burnley           9   11   +0      62.12    10.36    -0.54     0.70     2.15    13.93     4.77P    7.33R    1.51  
Nott'm_Forest     9   11   +0      59.88     9.86    -2.84     0.32     0.96     8.88     2.63P    9.79R    2.08  
Barnsley          9   11   -2      51.68     9.75   -18.81     0.02     0.11     1.70     0.34P   32.98R   10.85  
Bolton            9   11   -2      69.05    10.94     9.25     3.75     8.70    34.21    15.97P    2.37R    0.44  
Birmingham        9   11   -6      68.42    10.29     3.92     2.37     6.21    30.61    13.01P    2.08R    0.31  
Charlton          9    9   -2      55.53    10.50    -9.00     0.17     0.54     4.97     1.54P   21.21R    6.27  
Sheff_Wed         9    8   -6      49.56    10.59   -23.48     0.05     0.16     1.54     0.43P   42.57R   18.22  
Millwall          9    8   -6      55.07     9.98   -12.28     0.09     0.31     3.74     0.99P   21.28R    5.90  
Ipswich           9    7  -10      49.54    10.08   -24.90     0.03     0.09     1.21     0.27P   42.07R   16.82  
Peterborough      9    6   -7      48.15    10.18   -23.75     0.01     0.05     0.98     0.23P   46.98R   20.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2012, Brentford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        10   24  +19      80.63     9.69    29.87    21.05    38.29    78.55    48.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       10   20   +6      75.59     9.71    15.34     8.85    19.45    59.55    29.45P    0.27R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    10   19   +1      60.63    10.08   -11.53     0.49     1.38    10.47     2.71P   11.61R    1.48  
Notts_County    10   18   +7      73.83    10.02    16.84     6.96    15.83    53.07    24.52P    0.62R    0.02  
MK_Dons         10   18   +7      79.92     9.71    25.67    18.70    34.87    75.88    47.41P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   18   +5      82.35     9.69    28.00    26.41    44.86    82.76    57.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         10   17   +8      69.19     9.97    12.05     2.99     7.63    35.11    13.57P    1.74R    0.09  
Swindon         10   17   +5      70.69    10.16    11.68     4.15     9.82    40.21    17.31P    1.42R    0.11  
Walsall         10   17   +0      65.71     9.82    -0.89     1.18     3.45    21.58     6.80P    3.92R    0.33  
Brentford       10   14   +3      65.35     9.70     6.19     1.14     3.36    21.62     7.65P    3.66R    0.26  
Doncaster        9   14   +3      69.93    10.54    10.80     3.92     9.25    38.01    16.39P    2.11R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient    9   13   +0      58.24     9.77    -8.21     0.21     0.68     6.81     1.78P   15.49R    2.13  
Carlisle         9   12   -3      61.58    10.18    -5.09     0.57     1.67    12.76     3.85P    9.65R    1.21  
Portsmouth      10   11   -3      68.42    10.30     9.21     2.73     7.04    32.91    14.68P    2.57R    0.23  
Shrewsbury      10   10   +0      55.97    10.02    -4.35     0.10     0.39     4.98     1.32P   21.66R    3.66  
Yeovil          10   10   -1      55.30     9.81    -7.68     0.08     0.30     4.02     0.97P   23.44R    4.26  
Colchester      10   10   -4      57.80     9.76    -6.21     0.16     0.60     6.33     1.76P   16.40R    2.35  
Crewe           10   10   -6      45.97     9.69   -27.45     0.01     0.02     0.52     0.09P   61.00R   22.71  
Oldham           9    9   -2      54.16     9.64    -9.41     0.05     0.17     2.98     0.69P   26.59R    4.90  
Bournemouth     10    8   -8      54.87     9.65   -11.45     0.06     0.24     3.22     0.84P   24.62R    4.52  
Scunthorpe      10    8  -11      49.96     9.42   -22.10     0.01     0.05     0.98     0.20P   44.12R   10.72  
Coventry        10    7   -7      57.24    10.17    -5.43     0.19     0.63     6.47     2.15P   18.54R    2.91  
Hartlepool       9    6   -9      48.63     9.64   -20.75     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.18P   49.18R   14.08  
Bury             9    4  -10      45.55     9.84   -25.10     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P   61.24R   23.86  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           10   25  +13      88.59     9.91    35.24    47.43    77.53    94.91    82.35P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            10   20  +11      79.06    10.04    25.82    13.14    42.74    76.37    51.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       10   20   +8      69.02    10.39     7.28     2.51    12.38    38.59    17.90P    0.32R    0.05  
Exeter               10   19   +6      77.79    10.50    20.47    12.03    38.22    70.65    47.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           10   18   +2      69.57     9.81     5.30     2.17    12.09    39.69    18.17P    0.18R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        10   17   +5      62.21    10.05    -2.42     0.46     3.40    17.05     5.83P    1.76R    0.38  
Bradford             10   17   +5      65.67     9.78     4.03     0.77     5.91    26.12    10.00P    0.64R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley    9   17   +4      69.08    10.17     5.89     2.34    11.61    38.17    17.22P    0.32R    0.04  
Rochdale             10   16   +2      73.14    10.44    13.65     5.18    22.41    54.46    31.58P    0.15R    0.03  
Torquay              10   15   +3      71.61     9.79    13.81     3.32    16.59    49.34    25.80P    0.12R    0.01  
Rotherham             9   14   +4      70.47    10.34    12.62     3.28    15.51    44.60    22.66P    0.30R    0.05  
Southend             10   14   +1      72.97     9.93    15.52     4.27    20.81    54.39    30.63P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          10   13   +1      58.75     9.82    -5.23     0.14     1.52     9.56     3.04P    3.71R    0.91  
York                 10   13   +0      53.82     9.92   -13.32     0.03     0.51     4.10     1.20P   10.10R    2.84  
Chesterfield         10   12   +0      68.58    10.42    10.98     2.20    12.02    37.76    19.60P    0.51R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd           10   12   -7      58.03     9.77   -12.28     0.14     1.22     7.83     2.55P    4.34R    1.12  
Morecambe            10   11   -3      58.87     9.93    -5.75     0.18     1.64    10.02     3.44P    3.78R    0.92  
Plymouth             10   11   -3      57.19     9.61    -7.68     0.07     0.91     6.76     2.15P    4.74R    1.39  
Dag_&_Red            10    8   -3      52.75     9.65   -10.15     0.02     0.27     2.95     0.77P   10.90R    3.30  
Aldershot            10    8   -6      52.93     9.61   -12.51     0.03     0.32     2.84     0.86P   10.69R    2.92  
Bristol_Rovers        9    7   -9      50.84     9.88   -20.04     0.02     0.23     2.17     0.63P   16.45R    5.43  
AFC_Wimbledon        10    7  -12      42.52     9.29   -36.64     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   48.40R   22.15  
Wycombe               9    5   -7      58.52    10.79    -3.09     0.26     2.16    11.46     4.69P    5.26R    1.58  
Barnet               10    2  -15      35.23     9.08   -41.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.19R   56.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Forest_Green       12   27  +13      82.67     9.35    26.93    12.78    66.77    24.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     12   26  +12      78.15     9.45    20.58     5.72    47.22    13.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            12   23  +11      88.31     8.72    39.40    29.81    86.66    49.94P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              12   23   +5      87.38     9.01    33.94    26.09    82.86    43.92P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           12   22   +8      69.38    10.24     8.81     1.20    18.25     4.09P    0.66R    0.07  
Grimsby            12   21  +11      81.95     9.33    33.76    11.22    65.31    25.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +2      60.84     9.21    -6.01     0.08     3.08     0.44P    3.55R    0.52  
Macclesfield       11   19   +1      79.69    10.23    21.74     8.80    54.06    19.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   17   -1      72.60     9.82    11.28     2.10    26.64     7.30P    0.24R    0.02  
Hereford           12   17   -3      72.05     9.82    10.64     1.71    24.47     6.87P    0.32R    0.04  
Gateshead          12   16   +0      63.32     9.41     0.96     0.17     5.58     0.99P    2.10R    0.27  
Woking             12   16   -1      55.07    10.12   -15.24     0.03     1.46     0.25P   14.15R    3.28  
AFC_Telford        12   15   +2      55.13     9.05    -8.57     0.01     0.76     0.10P   10.77R    1.94  
Stockport          12   14   +0      58.03     9.31    -4.66     0.02     1.80     0.30P    6.46R    1.05  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   -3      63.31     9.53     2.66     0.12     5.85     1.36P    2.16R    0.29  
Braintree_Town     12   13   -4      54.00     9.23   -14.05     0.01     0.59     0.13P   14.05R    3.01  
Alfreton_Town      11   13   -5      50.04     9.29   -25.37     0.00     0.20     0.01P   26.80R    7.28  
Southport          12   13   -7      53.81     9.26   -17.38     0.01     0.61     0.10P   14.90R    3.16  
Lincoln_City       12   12   -5      54.54     9.24   -11.83     0.00     0.71     0.12P   12.51R    2.42  
Kidderminster      12   11   -1      64.23     9.30     9.36     0.13     6.86     1.58P    1.52R    0.17  
Nuneaton           12   11   -7      45.19     9.70   -30.52     0.00     0.10     0.01P   46.94R   18.49  
Barrow             12   10  -11      46.05     9.01   -29.68     0.00     0.04     0.00P   42.57R   14.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   12    9  -10      45.90     9.23   -29.43     0.00     0.06     0.00P   43.22R   15.76  
Hyde_United        11    6   -7      42.42     9.96   -27.32     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.05R   27.96