Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 3 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 6 16 +8 75.96 8.76 33.99 20.95 44.37 65.21 80.31 94.26 0.00 0.00 Everton 6 13 +6 64.39 8.85 17.25 1.92 7.32 16.71 30.51 62.66 0.04R 0.00 Man_Utd 6 12 +5 80.62 8.21 49.05 43.54 68.71 84.19 92.56 98.46 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 12 +4 76.96 8.42 39.82 24.45 50.42 70.96 84.41 95.92 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 6 11 +3 64.02 8.95 17.29 2.01 7.06 16.27 29.54 61.02 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 6 11 +3 52.98 8.79 -1.35 0.09 0.50 1.58 3.90 15.37 1.74R 0.15 West_Ham 6 11 +2 46.25 9.11 -13.81 0.02 0.11 0.41 1.12 5.22 8.87R 1.35 Arsenal 6 9 +6 69.27 8.94 33.30 6.47 18.66 35.67 54.91 81.28 0.01R 0.00 Fulham 6 9 +4 54.92 9.01 6.73 0.15 0.87 2.83 6.84 22.88 1.01R 0.09 Newcastle 6 9 +0 53.63 9.03 0.16 0.14 0.63 1.96 4.82 18.29 1.50R 0.18 Swansea 6 7 +1 43.40 8.64 -12.16 0.01 0.02 0.11 0.37 2.30 13.24R 2.39 Stoke 6 7 +1 45.75 8.49 -6.94 0.00 0.03 0.16 0.58 3.72 7.84R 1.18 Sunderland 5 7 +1 49.76 8.96 -3.28 0.05 0.23 0.70 2.05 9.56 3.74R 0.49 Liverpool 6 5 -3 56.02 8.94 7.74 0.19 1.05 3.16 7.72 26.33 0.83R 0.10 Aston_Villa 6 5 -4 41.10 8.49 -17.57 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.16 1.10 19.90R 4.26 Wigan 6 4 -6 36.43 8.38 -26.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.32 39.74R 11.69 Southampton 6 3 -8 36.69 9.31 -28.25 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.75 39.99R 13.77 Norwich 6 3 -9 33.87 8.45 -34.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 52.58R 19.86 Reading 5 2 -5 34.81 9.02 -28.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.33 47.57R 18.03 QPR 6 2 -9 31.92 8.17 -33.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 61.36R 26.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Middlesbrough vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 9 19 +7 81.01 10.27 24.52 20.48 37.64 76.39 48.17P 0.06R 0.00 Leicester 9 18 +6 77.91 10.27 19.91 13.24 26.23 66.35 36.34P 0.17R 0.02 Brighton 9 17 +9 70.18 10.07 12.54 3.40 8.53 37.00 15.05P 1.02R 0.12 Blackpool 9 16 +7 80.61 10.49 29.78 21.14 37.64 75.48 48.73P 0.13R 0.01 Blackburn 9 16 +4 80.10 10.85 25.67 20.30 35.67 72.91 46.81P 0.18R 0.02 Wolverhampton 9 16 +4 73.21 10.80 13.71 6.94 15.33 48.55 24.03P 0.76R 0.08 Crystal_Palace 9 16 +0 61.99 9.84 -7.39 0.48 1.51 12.03 3.27P 6.66R 1.30 Huddersfield 9 14 +3 63.75 10.60 1.09 1.04 3.00 18.06 6.29P 5.80R 1.18 Leeds_United 9 14 +1 68.36 10.46 6.09 2.48 6.44 30.77 11.46P 2.35R 0.34 Hull 9 13 +1 66.34 10.00 4.97 1.35 3.85 23.47 8.23P 2.88R 0.45 Middlesbrough 9 13 -2 63.10 10.17 -3.26 0.72 2.20 15.21 5.10P 5.86R 1.17 Watford 9 13 -2 60.17 10.32 -9.17 0.46 1.30 9.98 2.92P 10.68R 2.45 Derby 9 12 +2 59.27 10.20 -4.02 0.38 1.12 8.69 2.59P 11.54R 2.77 Bristol_City 9 11 +1 54.43 9.92 -12.02 0.07 0.25 3.33 0.84P 23.25R 6.77 Burnley 9 11 +0 62.12 10.36 -0.54 0.70 2.15 13.93 4.77P 7.33R 1.51 Nott'm_Forest 9 11 +0 59.88 9.86 -2.84 0.32 0.96 8.88 2.63P 9.79R 2.08 Barnsley 9 11 -2 51.68 9.75 -18.81 0.02 0.11 1.70 0.34P 32.98R 10.85 Bolton 9 11 -2 69.05 10.94 9.25 3.75 8.70 34.21 15.97P 2.37R 0.44 Birmingham 9 11 -6 68.42 10.29 3.92 2.37 6.21 30.61 13.01P 2.08R 0.31 Charlton 9 9 -2 55.53 10.50 -9.00 0.17 0.54 4.97 1.54P 21.21R 6.27 Sheff_Wed 9 8 -6 49.56 10.59 -23.48 0.05 0.16 1.54 0.43P 42.57R 18.22 Millwall 9 8 -6 55.07 9.98 -12.28 0.09 0.31 3.74 0.99P 21.28R 5.90 Ipswich 9 7 -10 49.54 10.08 -24.90 0.03 0.09 1.21 0.27P 42.07R 16.82 Peterborough 9 6 -7 48.15 10.18 -23.75 0.01 0.05 0.98 0.23P 46.98R 20.91League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2012, Brentford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 10 24 +19 80.63 9.69 29.87 21.05 38.29 78.55 48.38P 0.04R 0.00 Stevenage 10 20 +6 75.59 9.71 15.34 8.85 19.45 59.55 29.45P 0.27R 0.01 Crawley_Town 10 19 +1 60.63 10.08 -11.53 0.49 1.38 10.47 2.71P 11.61R 1.48 Notts_County 10 18 +7 73.83 10.02 16.84 6.96 15.83 53.07 24.52P 0.62R 0.02 MK_Dons 10 18 +7 79.92 9.71 25.67 18.70 34.87 75.88 47.41P 0.08R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 10 18 +5 82.35 9.69 28.00 26.41 44.86 82.76 57.24P 0.04R 0.00 Preston 10 17 +8 69.19 9.97 12.05 2.99 7.63 35.11 13.57P 1.74R 0.09 Swindon 10 17 +5 70.69 10.16 11.68 4.15 9.82 40.21 17.31P 1.42R 0.11 Walsall 10 17 +0 65.71 9.82 -0.89 1.18 3.45 21.58 6.80P 3.92R 0.33 Brentford 10 14 +3 65.35 9.70 6.19 1.14 3.36 21.62 7.65P 3.66R 0.26 Doncaster 9 14 +3 69.93 10.54 10.80 3.92 9.25 38.01 16.39P 2.11R 0.17 Leyton_Orient 9 13 +0 58.24 9.77 -8.21 0.21 0.68 6.81 1.78P 15.49R 2.13 Carlisle 9 12 -3 61.58 10.18 -5.09 0.57 1.67 12.76 3.85P 9.65R 1.21 Portsmouth 10 11 -3 68.42 10.30 9.21 2.73 7.04 32.91 14.68P 2.57R 0.23 Shrewsbury 10 10 +0 55.97 10.02 -4.35 0.10 0.39 4.98 1.32P 21.66R 3.66 Yeovil 10 10 -1 55.30 9.81 -7.68 0.08 0.30 4.02 0.97P 23.44R 4.26 Colchester 10 10 -4 57.80 9.76 -6.21 0.16 0.60 6.33 1.76P 16.40R 2.35 Crewe 10 10 -6 45.97 9.69 -27.45 0.01 0.02 0.52 0.09P 61.00R 22.71 Oldham 9 9 -2 54.16 9.64 -9.41 0.05 0.17 2.98 0.69P 26.59R 4.90 Bournemouth 10 8 -8 54.87 9.65 -11.45 0.06 0.24 3.22 0.84P 24.62R 4.52 Scunthorpe 10 8 -11 49.96 9.42 -22.10 0.01 0.05 0.98 0.20P 44.12R 10.72 Coventry 10 7 -7 57.24 10.17 -5.43 0.19 0.63 6.47 2.15P 18.54R 2.91 Hartlepool 9 6 -9 48.63 9.64 -20.75 0.00 0.03 0.80 0.18P 49.18R 14.08 Bury 9 4 -10 45.55 9.84 -25.10 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.08P 61.24R 23.86League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Gillingham 10 25 +13 88.59 9.91 35.24 47.43 77.53 94.91 82.35P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 10 20 +11 79.06 10.04 25.82 13.14 42.74 76.37 51.57P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 10 20 +8 69.02 10.39 7.28 2.51 12.38 38.59 17.90P 0.32R 0.05 Exeter 10 19 +6 77.79 10.50 20.47 12.03 38.22 70.65 47.30P 0.02R 0.00 Cheltenham 10 18 +2 69.57 9.81 5.30 2.17 12.09 39.69 18.17P 0.18R 0.02 Burton_Albion 10 17 +5 62.21 10.05 -2.42 0.46 3.40 17.05 5.83P 1.76R 0.38 Bradford 10 17 +5 65.67 9.78 4.03 0.77 5.91 26.12 10.00P 0.64R 0.11 Accrington_Stanley 9 17 +4 69.08 10.17 5.89 2.34 11.61 38.17 17.22P 0.32R 0.04 Rochdale 10 16 +2 73.14 10.44 13.65 5.18 22.41 54.46 31.58P 0.15R 0.03 Torquay 10 15 +3 71.61 9.79 13.81 3.32 16.59 49.34 25.80P 0.12R 0.01 Rotherham 9 14 +4 70.47 10.34 12.62 3.28 15.51 44.60 22.66P 0.30R 0.05 Southend 10 14 +1 72.97 9.93 15.52 4.27 20.81 54.39 30.63P 0.09R 0.02 Northampton 10 13 +1 58.75 9.82 -5.23 0.14 1.52 9.56 3.04P 3.71R 0.91 York 10 13 +0 53.82 9.92 -13.32 0.03 0.51 4.10 1.20P 10.10R 2.84 Chesterfield 10 12 +0 68.58 10.42 10.98 2.20 12.02 37.76 19.60P 0.51R 0.10 Oxford_Utd 10 12 -7 58.03 9.77 -12.28 0.14 1.22 7.83 2.55P 4.34R 1.12 Morecambe 10 11 -3 58.87 9.93 -5.75 0.18 1.64 10.02 3.44P 3.78R 0.92 Plymouth 10 11 -3 57.19 9.61 -7.68 0.07 0.91 6.76 2.15P 4.74R 1.39 Dag_&_Red 10 8 -3 52.75 9.65 -10.15 0.02 0.27 2.95 0.77P 10.90R 3.30 Aldershot 10 8 -6 52.93 9.61 -12.51 0.03 0.32 2.84 0.86P 10.69R 2.92 Bristol_Rovers 9 7 -9 50.84 9.88 -20.04 0.02 0.23 2.17 0.63P 16.45R 5.43 AFC_Wimbledon 10 7 -12 42.52 9.29 -36.64 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.04P 48.40R 22.15 Wycombe 9 5 -7 58.52 10.79 -3.09 0.26 2.16 11.46 4.69P 5.26R 1.58 Barnet 10 2 -15 35.23 9.08 -41.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 77.19R 56.63Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 12 27 +13 82.67 9.35 26.93 12.78 66.77 24.05P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 12 26 +12 78.15 9.45 20.58 5.72 47.22 13.00P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 12 23 +11 88.31 8.72 39.40 29.81 86.66 49.94P 0.00 0.00 Luton 12 23 +5 87.38 9.01 33.94 26.09 82.86 43.92P 0.00 0.00 Dartford 12 22 +8 69.38 10.24 8.81 1.20 18.25 4.09P 0.66R 0.07 Grimsby 12 21 +11 81.95 9.33 33.76 11.22 65.31 25.54P 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 12 19 +2 60.84 9.21 -6.01 0.08 3.08 0.44P 3.55R 0.52 Macclesfield 11 19 +1 79.69 10.23 21.74 8.80 54.06 19.90P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 11 17 -1 72.60 9.82 11.28 2.10 26.64 7.30P 0.24R 0.02 Hereford 12 17 -3 72.05 9.82 10.64 1.71 24.47 6.87P 0.32R 0.04 Gateshead 12 16 +0 63.32 9.41 0.96 0.17 5.58 0.99P 2.10R 0.27 Woking 12 16 -1 55.07 10.12 -15.24 0.03 1.46 0.25P 14.15R 3.28 AFC_Telford 12 15 +2 55.13 9.05 -8.57 0.01 0.76 0.10P 10.77R 1.94 Stockport 12 14 +0 58.03 9.31 -4.66 0.02 1.80 0.30P 6.46R 1.05 Cambridge_Utd 12 13 -3 63.31 9.53 2.66 0.12 5.85 1.36P 2.16R 0.29 Braintree_Town 12 13 -4 54.00 9.23 -14.05 0.01 0.59 0.13P 14.05R 3.01 Alfreton_Town 11 13 -5 50.04 9.29 -25.37 0.00 0.20 0.01P 26.80R 7.28 Southport 12 13 -7 53.81 9.26 -17.38 0.01 0.61 0.10P 14.90R 3.16 Lincoln_City 12 12 -5 54.54 9.24 -11.83 0.00 0.71 0.12P 12.51R 2.42 Kidderminster 12 11 -1 64.23 9.30 9.36 0.13 6.86 1.58P 1.52R 0.17 Nuneaton 12 11 -7 45.19 9.70 -30.52 0.00 0.10 0.01P 46.94R 18.49 Barrow 12 10 -11 46.05 9.01 -29.68 0.00 0.04 0.00P 42.57R 14.27 Ebbsfleet_United 12 9 -10 45.90 9.23 -29.43 0.00 0.06 0.00P 43.22R 15.76 Hyde_United 11 6 -7 42.42 9.96 -27.32 0.00 0.05 0.01P 57.05R 27.96