Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 2 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 6 16 +8 76.14 8.70 34.28 21.39 44.99 66.05 80.91 94.59 0.00 0.00 Everton 6 13 +6 64.46 8.85 17.37 2.03 7.34 16.82 30.51 63.22 0.05R 0.00 Man_Utd 6 12 +5 80.65 8.22 48.98 43.32 68.56 83.90 92.49 98.48 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 12 +4 76.93 8.52 39.92 24.32 50.39 70.66 84.16 95.79 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 6 11 +3 63.81 9.11 17.00 1.96 6.76 15.82 28.89 60.16 0.08R 0.01 West_Brom 6 11 +3 52.69 8.96 -1.85 0.10 0.50 1.67 4.08 15.10 2.00R 0.20 West_Ham 6 11 +2 46.45 9.03 -13.41 0.02 0.10 0.38 1.07 5.21 8.40R 1.31 Arsenal 6 9 +6 69.42 8.84 33.64 6.37 18.71 36.12 55.68 82.13 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 6 9 +4 54.80 8.92 6.52 0.15 0.81 2.62 6.37 22.39 1.01R 0.08 Newcastle 6 9 +0 53.64 8.99 0.14 0.13 0.59 1.87 4.88 18.23 1.64R 0.17 Swansea 6 7 +1 43.41 8.65 -12.25 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.39 2.45 13.36R 2.46 Stoke 6 7 +1 45.94 8.54 -6.76 0.00 0.03 0.18 0.64 4.10 7.67R 1.06 Sunderland 5 7 +1 49.93 8.95 -3.00 0.04 0.25 0.77 2.11 9.66 3.68R 0.49 Liverpool 6 5 -3 55.99 8.85 7.69 0.15 0.92 2.95 7.49 25.83 0.80R 0.07 Aston_Villa 6 5 -4 40.92 8.49 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 1.09 20.49R 4.47 Wigan 6 4 -6 36.29 8.37 -26.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.28 39.85R 12.02 Southampton 6 3 -8 36.59 9.26 -28.46 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.69 40.23R 13.85 Norwich 6 3 -9 33.74 8.40 -34.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 53.11R 20.29 Reading 5 2 -5 34.87 9.18 -27.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.39 47.20R 18.45 QPR 6 2 -9 32.14 8.20 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 60.42R 25.08Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 September 2012, Nott'm_Forest vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 8 16 +9 71.27 10.22 13.67 4.43 10.50 39.68 16.97P 0.80R 0.09 Cardiff 8 16 +6 78.88 10.37 22.88 16.07 30.34 68.24 40.57P 0.16R 0.01 Wolverhampton 8 16 +5 76.55 10.94 18.03 12.18 23.53 59.12 33.16P 0.39R 0.05 Blackburn 8 15 +4 81.22 11.09 27.53 24.59 39.92 74.27 50.33P 0.15R 0.01 Leicester 8 15 +4 75.17 10.50 16.35 9.02 19.01 54.38 27.88P 0.44R 0.04 Huddersfield 8 14 +5 66.55 10.95 5.26 2.28 5.63 24.98 9.80P 3.60R 0.65 Blackpool 8 13 +6 77.74 10.58 26.64 14.14 27.45 65.08 38.52P 0.26R 0.03 Hull 8 13 +2 68.10 10.19 6.62 2.28 5.83 27.93 10.83P 1.96R 0.26 Leeds_United 8 13 +1 67.90 10.71 4.65 2.45 6.32 28.41 10.95P 2.72R 0.48 Crystal_Palace 8 13 -1 58.87 9.96 -10.75 0.26 0.81 7.01 1.93P 11.75R 2.33 Middlesbrough 8 12 -2 63.90 10.32 -2.53 0.91 2.70 16.52 5.60P 5.34R 0.88 Derby 8 11 +2 59.49 10.14 -4.19 0.36 1.07 8.44 2.51P 10.74R 2.20 Barnsley 8 11 +0 55.03 10.09 -13.75 0.08 0.32 3.59 0.88P 21.51R 5.70 Birmingham 8 11 -5 69.79 10.37 5.04 3.48 8.29 34.05 15.24P 1.61R 0.22 Bristol_City 8 10 +1 55.03 10.05 -11.99 0.11 0.37 3.62 0.90P 21.37R 5.53 Burnley 8 10 +0 63.41 10.60 0.98 1.03 2.74 16.42 5.76P 6.10R 1.23 Nott'm_Forest 8 10 +0 59.86 10.14 -3.73 0.36 1.11 8.68 2.65P 10.28R 2.15 Bolton 8 10 -2 70.49 11.23 11.12 5.27 11.56 38.34 19.16P 1.94R 0.34 Watford 8 10 -3 57.75 10.42 -11.73 0.25 0.82 6.52 1.94P 15.42R 3.62 Charlton 8 9 -1 58.24 10.82 -5.97 0.31 1.08 8.03 2.65P 14.77R 3.76 Millwall 8 7 -6 55.26 10.20 -12.83 0.10 0.37 3.83 1.11P 21.09R 5.41 Sheff_Wed 8 7 -6 48.73 10.64 -25.74 0.03 0.12 1.29 0.34P 45.38R 18.70 Ipswich 8 6 -10 49.24 10.24 -26.38 0.02 0.06 1.11 0.23P 43.10R 16.54 Peterborough 8 3 -9 45.01 10.30 -29.15 0.01 0.03 0.47 0.11P 59.09R 29.76League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 9 21 +17 77.85 9.92 26.14 14.36 28.09 68.77 37.96P 0.16R 0.00 Notts_County 9 18 +8 76.00 10.14 19.07 10.58 21.94 61.35 31.15P 0.42R 0.02 MK_Dons 9 17 +7 80.93 9.78 26.68 21.65 38.86 78.91 51.20P 0.05R 0.00 Swindon 9 17 +6 73.68 10.37 14.99 7.63 16.18 51.81 24.82P 0.74R 0.03 Stevenage 9 17 +5 72.81 9.96 12.70 5.74 13.26 48.30 21.58P 0.71R 0.03 Walsall 9 17 +1 67.89 9.87 1.27 2.04 5.27 28.27 9.40P 2.70R 0.22 Crawley_Town 9 16 -1 57.64 10.24 -15.62 0.23 0.78 6.75 1.63P 18.91R 3.35 Sheff_Utd 9 15 +4 81.07 9.96 27.59 23.14 40.13 78.81 53.07P 0.09R 0.01 Preston 9 14 +6 65.78 10.08 7.35 1.65 4.24 23.76 8.43P 4.04R 0.39 Doncaster 8 14 +5 73.51 10.74 16.19 7.70 16.59 51.55 25.58P 1.03R 0.07 Brentford 9 13 +3 66.26 9.77 6.95 1.56 4.14 24.23 8.68P 3.06R 0.24 Carlisle 9 12 -3 61.36 10.01 -5.50 0.48 1.47 12.23 3.60P 9.70R 1.20 Yeovil 9 10 +0 56.93 9.98 -6.32 0.17 0.56 5.87 1.52P 18.89R 3.33 Leyton_Orient 8 10 -1 55.79 9.95 -10.55 0.12 0.43 4.47 1.15P 22.60R 4.19 Crewe 9 10 -4 48.82 10.08 -23.12 0.03 0.09 1.19 0.27P 49.18R 16.13 Shrewsbury 9 9 +0 55.51 10.30 -5.79 0.13 0.43 4.83 1.40P 23.58R 4.70 Portsmouth 9 8 -4 66.74 10.63 8.15 2.31 5.80 27.64 12.70P 4.16R 0.45 Bournemouth 9 8 -6 57.39 9.94 -7.78 0.16 0.56 6.01 1.65P 17.82R 3.06 Scunthorpe 9 8 -9 52.14 9.69 -18.77 0.02 0.11 1.91 0.42P 35.03R 7.91 Colchester 9 7 -5 54.88 9.88 -9.26 0.08 0.25 3.72 0.97P 24.92R 4.71 Oldham 8 6 -4 51.29 9.75 -13.26 0.02 0.08 1.59 0.35P 37.72R 9.52 Coventry 9 6 -7 57.07 10.29 -6.24 0.17 0.65 6.43 2.10P 19.23R 3.50 Hartlepool 8 6 -8 49.62 9.82 -20.29 0.02 0.07 1.12 0.25P 45.24R 12.90 Bury 9 4 -10 45.88 9.88 -24.57 0.00 0.01 0.49 0.12P 60.01R 24.05League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Gillingham 9 22 +12 87.32 10.02 34.80 40.66 72.71 93.31 78.71P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 9 19 +11 80.26 10.32 27.18 16.49 46.48 79.17 55.10P 0.02R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 9 17 +6 65.88 10.56 2.85 1.39 7.51 28.09 11.66P 0.99R 0.18 Accrington_Stanley 9 17 +4 69.25 10.20 6.07 2.14 11.21 38.77 16.67P 0.33R 0.06 Exeter 9 16 +5 76.37 10.90 19.77 10.16 32.91 65.59 41.92P 0.10R 0.02 Bradford 9 16 +5 65.15 9.96 2.57 0.79 5.51 24.50 9.30P 0.91R 0.18 Rochdale 9 15 +2 74.51 10.75 15.20 7.10 26.11 59.19 35.21P 0.13R 0.02 Cheltenham 9 15 +1 67.24 10.10 3.17 1.42 8.13 31.64 13.33P 0.60R 0.10 Burton_Albion 9 14 +4 59.10 10.20 -6.21 0.24 1.90 11.01 3.51P 4.25R 1.13 Rotherham 9 14 +4 70.40 10.33 12.51 3.05 14.53 44.29 21.79P 0.26R 0.04 Southend 9 14 +2 76.50 10.09 19.91 8.33 31.36 67.47 42.32P 0.04R 0.01 York 9 13 +2 56.42 10.17 -9.52 0.14 1.07 6.96 2.12P 7.06R 2.08 Northampton 9 13 +2 60.49 10.20 -3.77 0.33 2.46 13.46 4.55P 2.99R 0.80 Chesterfield 9 12 +2 72.00 10.78 16.22 4.62 19.40 51.30 28.61P 0.31R 0.07 Torquay 9 12 +2 69.56 10.09 12.21 2.44 12.20 40.71 19.88P 0.32R 0.05 Plymouth 9 10 -3 57.01 9.89 -8.68 0.10 0.96 7.09 2.21P 5.84R 1.67 Oxford_Utd 9 9 -8 56.60 9.94 -12.94 0.08 0.86 6.49 2.06P 6.59R 1.90 Morecambe 9 8 -5 55.56 10.12 -10.63 0.08 0.76 5.91 1.88P 8.33R 2.57 Aldershot 9 8 -5 54.12 9.71 -11.53 0.03 0.39 3.93 1.26P 9.32R 2.78 Dag_&_Red 9 7 -3 52.17 9.90 -11.79 0.01 0.24 2.86 0.77P 13.73R 4.60 Bristol_Rovers 8 7 -8 52.55 10.21 -18.81 0.03 0.43 3.32 0.97P 14.07R 4.82 AFC_Wimbledon 9 7 -11 43.70 9.52 -35.77 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.07P 44.47R 21.09 Wycombe 8 4 -7 59.84 11.16 -1.64 0.37 2.85 14.62 6.08P 4.98R 1.63 Barnet 9 2 -14 36.28 9.18 -41.17 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 74.37R 54.20Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 12 27 +13 82.53 9.34 26.70 12.73 66.26 24.18P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 12 26 +12 78.24 9.46 20.79 5.97 47.87 13.08P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 12 23 +11 88.31 8.79 39.42 30.13 86.58 50.37P 0.00 0.00 Luton 12 23 +5 87.16 9.15 33.53 25.86 82.27 43.59P 0.00 0.00 Dartford 12 22 +8 69.70 10.29 9.35 1.39 19.12 4.43P 0.71R 0.05 Grimsby 12 21 +11 81.96 9.31 33.69 11.19 65.82 25.50P 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 12 19 +2 60.87 9.18 -5.95 0.07 3.14 0.42P 3.42R 0.49 Macclesfield 11 19 +1 79.35 10.14 21.09 8.18 52.89 19.08P 0.04R 0.00 Mansfield 11 17 -1 72.39 9.76 10.89 2.05 25.87 7.01P 0.23R 0.02 Hereford 12 17 -3 72.14 9.90 10.73 1.93 25.31 7.35P 0.30R 0.02 Gateshead 12 16 +0 63.18 9.43 0.68 0.12 5.48 0.99P 2.30R 0.32 Woking 12 16 -1 54.98 10.16 -15.50 0.03 1.50 0.24P 14.45R 3.43 AFC_Telford 12 15 +2 55.16 9.04 -8.46 0.01 0.77 0.12P 10.54R 1.95 Stockport 12 14 +0 57.90 9.34 -4.81 0.03 1.88 0.34P 6.75R 1.19 Cambridge_Utd 12 13 -3 63.27 9.54 2.63 0.12 5.96 1.30P 2.21R 0.30 Braintree_Town 12 13 -4 53.64 9.21 -14.64 0.01 0.65 0.10P 15.28R 3.38 Alfreton_Town 11 13 -5 50.00 9.26 -25.34 0.00 0.21 0.03P 27.16R 7.41 Southport 12 13 -7 53.90 9.26 -17.29 0.00 0.55 0.07P 14.94R 3.01 Lincoln_City 12 12 -5 54.69 9.17 -11.56 0.00 0.65 0.11P 12.15R 2.32 Kidderminster 12 11 -1 64.26 9.39 9.43 0.16 6.89 1.65P 1.68R 0.17 Nuneaton 12 11 -7 45.54 9.70 -29.88 0.00 0.13 0.02P 45.94R 17.77 Barrow 12 10 -11 46.16 9.04 -29.49 0.00 0.07 0.01P 42.20R 14.46 Ebbsfleet_United 12 9 -10 45.96 9.28 -29.25 0.00 0.06 0.00P 43.35R 15.89 Hyde_United 11 6 -7 42.70 10.18 -26.77 0.00 0.07 0.02P 56.32R 27.83