Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        6   16   +8      76.14     8.70    34.28    21.39    44.99    66.05    80.91    94.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton        6   13   +6      64.46     8.85    17.37     2.03     7.34    16.82    30.51    63.22     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd        6   12   +5      80.65     8.22    48.98    43.32    68.56    83.90    92.49    98.48     0.00     0.00  
Man_City       6   12   +4      76.93     8.52    39.92    24.32    50.39    70.66    84.16    95.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      6   11   +3      63.81     9.11    17.00     1.96     6.76    15.82    28.89    60.16     0.08R    0.01  
West_Brom      6   11   +3      52.69     8.96    -1.85     0.10     0.50     1.67     4.08    15.10     2.00R    0.20  
West_Ham       6   11   +2      46.45     9.03   -13.41     0.02     0.10     0.38     1.07     5.21     8.40R    1.31  
Arsenal        6    9   +6      69.42     8.84    33.64     6.37    18.71    36.12    55.68    82.13     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham         6    9   +4      54.80     8.92     6.52     0.15     0.81     2.62     6.37    22.39     1.01R    0.08  
Newcastle      6    9   +0      53.64     8.99     0.14     0.13     0.59     1.87     4.88    18.23     1.64R    0.17  
Swansea        6    7   +1      43.41     8.65   -12.25     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.39     2.45    13.36R    2.46  
Stoke          6    7   +1      45.94     8.54    -6.76     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.64     4.10     7.67R    1.06  
Sunderland     5    7   +1      49.93     8.95    -3.00     0.04     0.25     0.77     2.11     9.66     3.68R    0.49  
Liverpool      6    5   -3      55.99     8.85     7.69     0.15     0.92     2.95     7.49    25.83     0.80R    0.07  
Aston_Villa    6    5   -4      40.92     8.49   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.15     1.09    20.49R    4.47  
Wigan          6    4   -6      36.29     8.37   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.28    39.85R   12.02  
Southampton    6    3   -8      36.59     9.26   -28.46     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.69    40.23R   13.85  
Norwich        6    3   -9      33.74     8.40   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    53.11R   20.29  
Reading        5    2   -5      34.87     9.18   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.39    47.20R   18.45  
QPR            6    2   -9      32.14     8.20   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    60.42R   25.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 September 2012, Nott'm_Forest vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          8   16   +9      71.27    10.22    13.67     4.43    10.50    39.68    16.97P    0.80R    0.09  
Cardiff           8   16   +6      78.88    10.37    22.88    16.07    30.34    68.24    40.57P    0.16R    0.01  
Wolverhampton     8   16   +5      76.55    10.94    18.03    12.18    23.53    59.12    33.16P    0.39R    0.05  
Blackburn         8   15   +4      81.22    11.09    27.53    24.59    39.92    74.27    50.33P    0.15R    0.01  
Leicester         8   15   +4      75.17    10.50    16.35     9.02    19.01    54.38    27.88P    0.44R    0.04  
Huddersfield      8   14   +5      66.55    10.95     5.26     2.28     5.63    24.98     9.80P    3.60R    0.65  
Blackpool         8   13   +6      77.74    10.58    26.64    14.14    27.45    65.08    38.52P    0.26R    0.03  
Hull              8   13   +2      68.10    10.19     6.62     2.28     5.83    27.93    10.83P    1.96R    0.26  
Leeds_United      8   13   +1      67.90    10.71     4.65     2.45     6.32    28.41    10.95P    2.72R    0.48  
Crystal_Palace    8   13   -1      58.87     9.96   -10.75     0.26     0.81     7.01     1.93P   11.75R    2.33  
Middlesbrough     8   12   -2      63.90    10.32    -2.53     0.91     2.70    16.52     5.60P    5.34R    0.88  
Derby             8   11   +2      59.49    10.14    -4.19     0.36     1.07     8.44     2.51P   10.74R    2.20  
Barnsley          8   11   +0      55.03    10.09   -13.75     0.08     0.32     3.59     0.88P   21.51R    5.70  
Birmingham        8   11   -5      69.79    10.37     5.04     3.48     8.29    34.05    15.24P    1.61R    0.22  
Bristol_City      8   10   +1      55.03    10.05   -11.99     0.11     0.37     3.62     0.90P   21.37R    5.53  
Burnley           8   10   +0      63.41    10.60     0.98     1.03     2.74    16.42     5.76P    6.10R    1.23  
Nott'm_Forest     8   10   +0      59.86    10.14    -3.73     0.36     1.11     8.68     2.65P   10.28R    2.15  
Bolton            8   10   -2      70.49    11.23    11.12     5.27    11.56    38.34    19.16P    1.94R    0.34  
Watford           8   10   -3      57.75    10.42   -11.73     0.25     0.82     6.52     1.94P   15.42R    3.62  
Charlton          8    9   -1      58.24    10.82    -5.97     0.31     1.08     8.03     2.65P   14.77R    3.76  
Millwall          8    7   -6      55.26    10.20   -12.83     0.10     0.37     3.83     1.11P   21.09R    5.41  
Sheff_Wed         8    7   -6      48.73    10.64   -25.74     0.03     0.12     1.29     0.34P   45.38R   18.70  
Ipswich           8    6  -10      49.24    10.24   -26.38     0.02     0.06     1.11     0.23P   43.10R   16.54  
Peterborough      8    3   -9      45.01    10.30   -29.15     0.01     0.03     0.47     0.11P   59.09R   29.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         9   21  +17      77.85     9.92    26.14    14.36    28.09    68.77    37.96P    0.16R    0.00  
Notts_County     9   18   +8      76.00    10.14    19.07    10.58    21.94    61.35    31.15P    0.42R    0.02  
MK_Dons          9   17   +7      80.93     9.78    26.68    21.65    38.86    78.91    51.20P    0.05R    0.00  
Swindon          9   17   +6      73.68    10.37    14.99     7.63    16.18    51.81    24.82P    0.74R    0.03  
Stevenage        9   17   +5      72.81     9.96    12.70     5.74    13.26    48.30    21.58P    0.71R    0.03  
Walsall          9   17   +1      67.89     9.87     1.27     2.04     5.27    28.27     9.40P    2.70R    0.22  
Crawley_Town     9   16   -1      57.64    10.24   -15.62     0.23     0.78     6.75     1.63P   18.91R    3.35  
Sheff_Utd        9   15   +4      81.07     9.96    27.59    23.14    40.13    78.81    53.07P    0.09R    0.01  
Preston          9   14   +6      65.78    10.08     7.35     1.65     4.24    23.76     8.43P    4.04R    0.39  
Doncaster        8   14   +5      73.51    10.74    16.19     7.70    16.59    51.55    25.58P    1.03R    0.07  
Brentford        9   13   +3      66.26     9.77     6.95     1.56     4.14    24.23     8.68P    3.06R    0.24  
Carlisle         9   12   -3      61.36    10.01    -5.50     0.48     1.47    12.23     3.60P    9.70R    1.20  
Yeovil           9   10   +0      56.93     9.98    -6.32     0.17     0.56     5.87     1.52P   18.89R    3.33  
Leyton_Orient    8   10   -1      55.79     9.95   -10.55     0.12     0.43     4.47     1.15P   22.60R    4.19  
Crewe            9   10   -4      48.82    10.08   -23.12     0.03     0.09     1.19     0.27P   49.18R   16.13  
Shrewsbury       9    9   +0      55.51    10.30    -5.79     0.13     0.43     4.83     1.40P   23.58R    4.70  
Portsmouth       9    8   -4      66.74    10.63     8.15     2.31     5.80    27.64    12.70P    4.16R    0.45  
Bournemouth      9    8   -6      57.39     9.94    -7.78     0.16     0.56     6.01     1.65P   17.82R    3.06  
Scunthorpe       9    8   -9      52.14     9.69   -18.77     0.02     0.11     1.91     0.42P   35.03R    7.91  
Colchester       9    7   -5      54.88     9.88    -9.26     0.08     0.25     3.72     0.97P   24.92R    4.71  
Oldham           8    6   -4      51.29     9.75   -13.26     0.02     0.08     1.59     0.35P   37.72R    9.52  
Coventry         9    6   -7      57.07    10.29    -6.24     0.17     0.65     6.43     2.10P   19.23R    3.50  
Hartlepool       8    6   -8      49.62     9.82   -20.29     0.02     0.07     1.12     0.25P   45.24R   12.90  
Bury             9    4  -10      45.88     9.88   -24.57     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.12P   60.01R   24.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            9   22  +12      87.32    10.02    34.80    40.66    72.71    93.31    78.71P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             9   19  +11      80.26    10.32    27.18    16.49    46.48    79.17    55.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        9   17   +6      65.88    10.56     2.85     1.39     7.51    28.09    11.66P    0.99R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley    9   17   +4      69.25    10.20     6.07     2.14    11.21    38.77    16.67P    0.33R    0.06  
Exeter                9   16   +5      76.37    10.90    19.77    10.16    32.91    65.59    41.92P    0.10R    0.02  
Bradford              9   16   +5      65.15     9.96     2.57     0.79     5.51    24.50     9.30P    0.91R    0.18  
Rochdale              9   15   +2      74.51    10.75    15.20     7.10    26.11    59.19    35.21P    0.13R    0.02  
Cheltenham            9   15   +1      67.24    10.10     3.17     1.42     8.13    31.64    13.33P    0.60R    0.10  
Burton_Albion         9   14   +4      59.10    10.20    -6.21     0.24     1.90    11.01     3.51P    4.25R    1.13  
Rotherham             9   14   +4      70.40    10.33    12.51     3.05    14.53    44.29    21.79P    0.26R    0.04  
Southend              9   14   +2      76.50    10.09    19.91     8.33    31.36    67.47    42.32P    0.04R    0.01  
York                  9   13   +2      56.42    10.17    -9.52     0.14     1.07     6.96     2.12P    7.06R    2.08  
Northampton           9   13   +2      60.49    10.20    -3.77     0.33     2.46    13.46     4.55P    2.99R    0.80  
Chesterfield          9   12   +2      72.00    10.78    16.22     4.62    19.40    51.30    28.61P    0.31R    0.07  
Torquay               9   12   +2      69.56    10.09    12.21     2.44    12.20    40.71    19.88P    0.32R    0.05  
Plymouth              9   10   -3      57.01     9.89    -8.68     0.10     0.96     7.09     2.21P    5.84R    1.67  
Oxford_Utd            9    9   -8      56.60     9.94   -12.94     0.08     0.86     6.49     2.06P    6.59R    1.90  
Morecambe             9    8   -5      55.56    10.12   -10.63     0.08     0.76     5.91     1.88P    8.33R    2.57  
Aldershot             9    8   -5      54.12     9.71   -11.53     0.03     0.39     3.93     1.26P    9.32R    2.78  
Dag_&_Red             9    7   -3      52.17     9.90   -11.79     0.01     0.24     2.86     0.77P   13.73R    4.60  
Bristol_Rovers        8    7   -8      52.55    10.21   -18.81     0.03     0.43     3.32     0.97P   14.07R    4.82  
AFC_Wimbledon         9    7  -11      43.70     9.52   -35.77     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   44.47R   21.09  
Wycombe               8    4   -7      59.84    11.16    -1.64     0.37     2.85    14.62     6.08P    4.98R    1.63  
Barnet                9    2  -14      36.28     9.18   -41.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.37R   54.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Forest_Green       12   27  +13      82.53     9.34    26.70    12.73    66.26    24.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     12   26  +12      78.24     9.46    20.79     5.97    47.87    13.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            12   23  +11      88.31     8.79    39.42    30.13    86.58    50.37P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              12   23   +5      87.16     9.15    33.53    25.86    82.27    43.59P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           12   22   +8      69.70    10.29     9.35     1.39    19.12     4.43P    0.71R    0.05  
Grimsby            12   21  +11      81.96     9.31    33.69    11.19    65.82    25.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +2      60.87     9.18    -5.95     0.07     3.14     0.42P    3.42R    0.49  
Macclesfield       11   19   +1      79.35    10.14    21.09     8.18    52.89    19.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   17   -1      72.39     9.76    10.89     2.05    25.87     7.01P    0.23R    0.02  
Hereford           12   17   -3      72.14     9.90    10.73     1.93    25.31     7.35P    0.30R    0.02  
Gateshead          12   16   +0      63.18     9.43     0.68     0.12     5.48     0.99P    2.30R    0.32  
Woking             12   16   -1      54.98    10.16   -15.50     0.03     1.50     0.24P   14.45R    3.43  
AFC_Telford        12   15   +2      55.16     9.04    -8.46     0.01     0.77     0.12P   10.54R    1.95  
Stockport          12   14   +0      57.90     9.34    -4.81     0.03     1.88     0.34P    6.75R    1.19  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   -3      63.27     9.54     2.63     0.12     5.96     1.30P    2.21R    0.30  
Braintree_Town     12   13   -4      53.64     9.21   -14.64     0.01     0.65     0.10P   15.28R    3.38  
Alfreton_Town      11   13   -5      50.00     9.26   -25.34     0.00     0.21     0.03P   27.16R    7.41  
Southport          12   13   -7      53.90     9.26   -17.29     0.00     0.55     0.07P   14.94R    3.01  
Lincoln_City       12   12   -5      54.69     9.17   -11.56     0.00     0.65     0.11P   12.15R    2.32  
Kidderminster      12   11   -1      64.26     9.39     9.43     0.16     6.89     1.65P    1.68R    0.17  
Nuneaton           12   11   -7      45.54     9.70   -29.88     0.00     0.13     0.02P   45.94R   17.77  
Barrow             12   10  -11      46.16     9.04   -29.49     0.00     0.07     0.01P   42.20R   14.46  
Ebbsfleet_United   12    9  -10      45.96     9.28   -29.25     0.00     0.06     0.00P   43.35R   15.89  
Hyde_United        11    6   -7      42.70    10.18   -26.77     0.00     0.07     0.02P   56.32R   27.83