Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 1 October 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2012, QPR vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 6 16 +8 76.17 8.70 34.38 21.44 45.48 66.42 81.20 94.71 0.00 0.00 Everton 6 13 +6 64.40 8.77 17.32 1.92 7.07 16.45 30.33 63.01 0.05R 0.00 Man_Utd 6 12 +5 80.65 8.18 49.02 43.43 68.91 84.35 92.63 98.52 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 12 +4 76.79 8.54 39.49 24.07 49.52 70.13 83.59 95.57 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 6 11 +3 63.94 9.08 17.21 1.95 7.11 16.20 29.57 60.67 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 6 11 +3 52.84 8.85 -1.57 0.09 0.46 1.50 3.91 15.31 1.91R 0.19 West_Ham 6 11 +2 46.45 9.00 -13.44 0.02 0.11 0.44 1.15 5.30 8.31R 1.25 Arsenal 6 9 +6 69.30 8.94 33.45 6.60 18.57 35.83 55.42 81.57 0.02R 0.00 Fulham 6 9 +4 54.86 9.01 6.59 0.15 0.86 2.63 6.67 22.66 1.05R 0.10 Newcastle 6 9 +0 53.75 8.96 0.27 0.12 0.62 1.98 4.97 18.51 1.37R 0.12 Swansea 6 7 +1 43.37 8.51 -12.25 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.30 2.15 13.12R 2.32 Stoke 6 7 +1 45.83 8.43 -6.86 0.00 0.04 0.18 0.59 3.76 7.70R 1.08 Sunderland 5 7 +1 49.70 8.90 -3.41 0.04 0.18 0.70 1.99 9.27 3.81R 0.48 Liverpool 6 5 -3 56.07 8.80 7.76 0.17 1.02 3.01 7.39 26.35 0.75R 0.07 Aston_Villa 6 5 -4 41.03 8.51 -17.66 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.09 20.30R 4.22 Wigan 6 4 -6 36.35 8.42 -26.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.33 39.52R 12.25 Southampton 6 3 -8 36.43 9.13 -28.67 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.59 41.10R 14.11 Norwich 6 3 -9 33.75 8.40 -34.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 53.22R 20.08 Reading 5 2 -5 34.92 9.03 -27.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.40 47.18R 18.11 QPR 6 2 -9 32.13 8.19 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 60.55R 25.59Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 September 2012, Nott'm_Forest vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 8 16 +9 71.51 10.22 14.05 4.82 10.90 40.58 17.50P 0.86R 0.10 Cardiff 8 16 +6 79.06 10.40 23.21 16.33 30.86 69.04 41.13P 0.13R 0.02 Wolverhampton 8 16 +5 76.74 10.91 18.25 12.71 24.34 59.95 33.83P 0.35R 0.03 Blackburn 8 15 +4 80.99 11.11 27.13 23.76 39.39 73.84 49.68P 0.18R 0.03 Leicester 8 15 +4 75.17 10.43 16.30 8.86 18.78 54.76 27.93P 0.42R 0.03 Huddersfield 8 14 +5 66.54 10.89 5.32 2.41 5.70 24.72 9.98P 3.57R 0.65 Blackpool 8 13 +6 77.50 10.63 26.22 14.08 26.96 64.04 37.72P 0.28R 0.03 Hull 8 13 +2 67.95 10.09 6.42 2.00 5.38 27.45 10.33P 2.14R 0.30 Leeds_United 8 13 +1 67.80 10.63 4.52 2.32 6.07 27.91 10.51P 2.75R 0.43 Crystal_Palace 8 13 -1 58.75 9.94 -10.99 0.30 0.82 6.67 1.84P 12.12R 2.50 Middlesbrough 8 12 -2 63.99 10.30 -2.45 0.97 2.70 16.68 5.74P 5.20R 0.89 Derby 8 11 +2 59.06 10.19 -4.92 0.33 1.02 7.95 2.33P 11.68R 2.46 Barnsley 8 11 +0 55.08 10.06 -13.71 0.10 0.31 3.58 0.79P 21.55R 5.66 Birmingham 8 11 -5 69.73 10.47 4.93 3.51 8.35 33.88 15.38P 1.75R 0.25 Bristol_City 8 10 +1 54.91 10.07 -12.22 0.09 0.30 3.57 0.86P 21.80R 5.59 Burnley 8 10 +0 63.57 10.59 1.30 1.14 2.97 16.63 5.91P 6.01R 1.16 Nott'm_Forest 8 10 +0 60.21 10.20 -3.14 0.43 1.34 9.37 2.94P 9.62R 2.04 Bolton 8 10 -2 70.51 11.18 11.13 5.06 11.35 38.47 19.38P 1.98R 0.31 Watford 8 10 -3 57.45 10.42 -12.19 0.27 0.83 6.21 1.85P 16.04R 3.92 Charlton 8 9 -1 58.51 10.86 -5.48 0.36 1.11 8.37 2.71P 14.41R 3.74 Millwall 8 7 -6 55.32 10.16 -12.72 0.10 0.37 3.72 1.07P 20.90R 5.44 Sheff_Wed 8 7 -6 48.94 10.69 -25.38 0.03 0.11 1.33 0.34P 44.38R 18.22 Ipswich 8 6 -10 49.36 10.02 -26.18 0.01 0.04 0.93 0.20P 42.18R 15.82 Peterborough 8 3 -9 44.87 10.25 -29.41 0.01 0.02 0.37 0.08P 59.68R 30.39League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 9 21 +17 78.02 9.86 26.49 14.71 28.35 69.39 38.16P 0.13R 0.01 Notts_County 9 18 +8 76.23 10.03 19.42 10.31 22.05 62.13 31.53P 0.29R 0.01 MK_Dons 9 17 +7 80.87 9.86 26.65 21.72 38.77 78.39 51.35P 0.07R 0.00 Swindon 9 17 +6 73.65 10.43 15.00 7.58 16.14 51.77 25.02P 0.76R 0.05 Stevenage 9 17 +5 72.81 9.93 12.61 5.99 13.39 48.02 21.97P 0.68R 0.04 Walsall 9 17 +1 67.82 9.94 1.24 2.01 5.38 28.40 9.31P 2.57R 0.20 Crawley_Town 9 16 -1 57.33 10.25 -16.27 0.23 0.71 6.31 1.48P 19.88R 3.64 Sheff_Utd 9 15 +4 81.14 10.00 27.70 23.27 40.18 79.13 52.96P 0.06R 0.00 Preston 9 14 +6 65.56 10.05 6.93 1.45 3.95 23.25 8.10P 4.16R 0.42 Doncaster 8 14 +5 73.35 10.71 15.84 7.60 16.27 50.85 25.18P 1.04R 0.08 Brentford 9 13 +3 66.35 9.97 7.10 1.53 4.42 25.18 9.30P 3.31R 0.22 Carlisle 9 12 -3 61.38 10.02 -5.49 0.51 1.55 11.85 3.50P 9.86R 1.23 Yeovil 9 10 +0 56.95 10.02 -6.29 0.16 0.57 5.81 1.48P 19.30R 3.44 Leyton_Orient 8 10 -1 55.75 9.94 -10.58 0.13 0.35 4.34 1.01P 22.83R 4.27 Crewe 9 10 -4 49.10 10.07 -22.63 0.02 0.08 1.33 0.26P 48.06R 15.50 Shrewsbury 9 9 +0 55.55 10.17 -5.70 0.13 0.45 4.90 1.36P 23.14R 4.66 Portsmouth 9 8 -4 66.56 10.59 7.94 2.17 5.50 27.26 11.95P 4.29R 0.41 Bournemouth 9 8 -6 57.30 9.89 -7.85 0.15 0.50 5.82 1.57P 18.19R 3.04 Scunthorpe 9 8 -9 52.07 9.66 -18.89 0.02 0.13 1.93 0.46P 35.58R 8.01 Colchester 9 7 -5 54.83 9.89 -9.44 0.05 0.30 3.70 1.02P 25.04R 5.17 Oldham 8 6 -4 51.58 9.81 -12.86 0.02 0.11 1.86 0.45P 36.48R 9.13 Coventry 9 6 -7 57.08 10.38 -6.18 0.22 0.72 6.72 2.18P 19.52R 3.47 Hartlepool 8 6 -8 49.86 9.76 -19.94 0.02 0.10 1.23 0.28P 44.36R 12.56 Bury 9 4 -10 45.79 9.82 -24.81 0.00 0.02 0.43 0.10P 60.40R 24.46League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Gillingham 9 22 +12 87.20 10.24 34.68 39.93 71.93 92.71 77.83P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 9 19 +11 80.51 10.27 27.61 16.80 47.41 79.73 55.83P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 9 17 +6 65.92 10.63 2.86 1.46 7.82 28.18 12.02P 1.11R 0.22 Accrington_Stanley 9 17 +4 69.29 10.17 6.14 2.12 11.39 38.75 17.06P 0.34R 0.06 Exeter 9 16 +5 76.42 10.82 19.88 10.36 32.42 65.91 41.73P 0.09R 0.02 Bradford 9 16 +5 64.98 9.97 2.25 0.83 5.44 23.98 8.97P 0.95R 0.17 Rochdale 9 15 +2 74.32 10.73 14.93 6.69 25.36 58.52 34.42P 0.12R 0.03 Cheltenham 9 15 +1 67.42 10.15 3.34 1.57 8.61 32.12 13.86P 0.62R 0.16 Burton_Albion 9 14 +4 58.95 10.20 -6.45 0.25 1.78 10.58 3.22P 4.30R 1.18 Rotherham 9 14 +4 70.36 10.36 12.44 3.19 14.49 44.26 22.00P 0.35R 0.08 Southend 9 14 +2 76.43 10.04 19.78 8.14 30.99 67.44 41.99P 0.05R 0.01 York 9 13 +2 56.69 10.35 -9.15 0.14 1.37 7.70 2.56P 7.10R 1.97 Northampton 9 13 +2 60.35 10.10 -3.97 0.30 2.31 12.73 4.25P 3.04R 0.71 Chesterfield 9 12 +2 72.00 10.76 16.27 4.78 19.23 50.55 28.28P 0.28R 0.06 Torquay 9 12 +2 69.80 10.02 12.55 2.57 12.45 41.74 20.30P 0.24R 0.05 Plymouth 9 10 -3 57.05 9.96 -8.68 0.09 1.04 7.29 2.26P 5.88R 1.74 Oxford_Utd 9 9 -8 56.44 9.96 -13.22 0.07 0.78 6.31 1.99P 6.77R 2.04 Morecambe 9 8 -5 55.79 10.27 -10.18 0.11 0.96 6.50 2.18P 8.00R 2.46 Aldershot 9 8 -5 54.17 9.80 -11.40 0.05 0.47 4.11 1.26P 9.21R 2.78 Dag_&_Red 9 7 -3 52.28 9.82 -11.60 0.03 0.28 2.81 0.76P 13.13R 4.38 Bristol_Rovers 8 7 -8 52.50 10.20 -18.87 0.04 0.42 3.34 1.02P 13.87R 4.58 AFC_Wimbledon 9 7 -11 43.60 9.59 -36.02 0.00 0.04 0.34 0.09P 44.81R 21.01 Wycombe 8 4 -7 59.83 11.18 -1.56 0.46 3.03 14.39 6.13P 4.92R 1.58 Barnet 9 2 -14 36.12 9.26 -41.61 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 74.81R 54.70Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 September 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 12 27 +13 82.51 9.26 26.64 12.57 66.28 23.48P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 12 26 +12 78.13 9.52 20.64 5.95 47.97 13.21P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 12 23 +11 88.24 8.85 39.29 30.27 86.41 50.36P 0.00 0.00 Luton 12 23 +5 87.26 9.03 33.74 25.94 82.72 44.05P 0.00 0.00 Dartford 12 22 +8 69.58 10.28 9.16 1.36 18.86 4.35P 0.72R 0.07 Grimsby 12 21 +11 81.87 9.23 33.59 11.12 65.57 25.39P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 12 19 +2 60.73 9.16 -6.22 0.04 2.93 0.39P 3.67R 0.53 Macclesfield 11 19 +1 79.33 10.08 21.11 8.05 52.96 18.93P 0.04R 0.00 Mansfield 11 17 -1 72.35 9.80 10.95 2.12 25.81 7.21P 0.25R 0.03 Hereford 12 17 -3 72.32 9.82 11.00 1.99 25.64 7.41P 0.28R 0.03 Gateshead 12 16 +0 63.31 9.40 0.87 0.17 5.80 1.19P 2.09R 0.28 Woking 12 16 -1 55.03 10.01 -15.27 0.03 1.36 0.22P 13.91R 3.25 AFC_Telford 12 15 +2 55.25 9.14 -8.35 0.01 0.80 0.10P 10.77R 2.02 Stockport 12 14 +0 58.00 9.29 -4.70 0.02 1.76 0.29P 6.56R 1.13 Cambridge_Utd 12 13 -3 63.49 9.46 3.00 0.14 5.98 1.35P 2.22R 0.30 Braintree_Town 12 13 -4 53.72 9.24 -14.52 0.01 0.59 0.09P 14.83R 3.09 Alfreton_Town 11 13 -5 50.08 9.34 -25.33 0.00 0.24 0.03P 27.24R 7.54 Southport 12 13 -7 53.89 9.22 -17.26 0.01 0.62 0.10P 14.84R 3.06 Lincoln_City 12 12 -5 54.70 9.24 -11.59 0.00 0.75 0.13P 12.19R 2.40 Kidderminster 12 11 -1 64.07 9.41 9.17 0.19 6.71 1.67P 1.79R 0.23 Nuneaton 12 11 -7 45.51 9.63 -29.83 0.00 0.08 0.01P 45.73R 17.86 Barrow 12 10 -11 45.99 8.92 -29.74 0.00 0.04 0.01P 43.12R 14.50 Ebbsfleet_United 12 9 -10 45.95 9.24 -29.36 0.00 0.05 0.00P 43.15R 15.73 Hyde_United 11 6 -7 42.56 10.02 -26.99 0.00 0.08 0.01P 56.58R 27.95