Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.06     8.91    30.91    12.58    34.28    55.90    73.76    91.25     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.20     8.29    52.11    58.08    80.11    91.08    96.31    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.27     8.97    16.18     1.54     6.89    16.36    30.19    61.49     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      52.71     9.02    -2.30     0.11     0.59     1.91     4.83    17.85     2.57R    0.27  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.04     9.11    35.02     9.38    27.56    47.95    66.77    87.45     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.57     9.15     8.24     0.34     1.80     5.17    11.19    32.57     0.90R    0.07  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.71     8.77    37.58    16.82    42.93    65.04    80.09    93.98     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      60.12     9.08    12.43     0.82     3.91    10.09    19.77    47.48     0.31R    0.03  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      44.21     9.28   -15.57     0.01     0.10     0.32     0.88     4.35    15.69R    3.66  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.36     9.17     0.73     0.22     0.97     3.01     7.11    23.41     1.79R    0.22  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.61     8.80    -8.63     0.01     0.07     0.34     1.02     5.03    10.67R    2.02  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.93     9.08    -3.07     0.03     0.22     0.81     2.31     9.87     5.80R    0.97  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.51     8.59    -9.94     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.36     2.76    14.80R    3.02  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.88     8.67   -16.95     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.30     1.93    20.70R    4.99  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.50     8.48   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.55    38.75R   12.19  
Southampton    5    3   -6      37.71     9.44   -26.86     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.16     1.23    39.15R   14.29  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.74     8.63   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.47    42.26R   14.46  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      52.78     8.93     2.08     0.05     0.50     1.74     4.75    18.26     2.47R    0.34  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.45     8.47   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    53.20R   21.24  
Reading        4    1   -5      34.91     9.35   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.58    50.83R   22.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 September 2012, Blackpool vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      73.92    10.43    16.48     6.61    14.41    47.17    21.71P    0.45R    0.04  
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      69.94    11.07     9.58     3.89     8.94    33.47    14.39P    1.65R    0.19  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.68    11.33    28.29    23.86    39.27    73.46    49.35P    0.17R    0.02  
Blackpool         7   13   +9      80.39    10.77    32.44    19.45    34.69    71.12    45.45P    0.10R    0.01  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.51    10.28    13.28     4.57    10.87    41.69    18.48P    0.59R    0.05  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.69    11.27    18.59    10.35    20.34    53.71    29.21P    0.49R    0.05  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      76.04    10.62    18.06     9.48    19.79    55.36    29.02P    0.32R    0.02  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.33    10.62    13.44     4.75    11.46    41.67    18.93P    0.87R    0.07  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.48    10.49     0.28     1.54     4.07    21.43     7.65P    2.79R    0.34  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      57.47    10.31    -9.41     0.22     0.62     5.52     1.53P   13.78R    2.76  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      63.09    10.44    -0.10     0.82     2.16    13.78     4.65P    5.36R    0.86  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.48    10.79     2.21     1.35     3.69    19.83     7.11P    3.99R    0.53  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      56.70    10.33   -12.11     0.15     0.50     4.53     1.13P   16.01R    3.33  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.57    11.33    16.91     9.04    18.24    50.19    27.41P    0.79R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      54.96    10.01   -16.06     0.08     0.27     3.02     0.78P   19.47R    4.30  
Burnley           7    9   +0      65.29    10.69     3.41     1.35     3.61    19.44     7.16P    4.01R    0.59  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.47    10.38    -7.84     0.14     0.47     4.73     1.29P   16.13R    3.43  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.54    10.98    -6.43     0.38     1.13     7.84     2.57P   13.17R    2.70  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      66.80    10.61     1.95     1.79     4.67    23.05     9.79P    2.66R    0.28  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.29    10.48   -16.05     0.07     0.30     3.21     0.89P   22.58R    5.48  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      49.28    10.97   -27.31     0.04     0.17     1.62     0.44P   40.95R   14.63  
Millwall          7    6   -6      54.75    10.24   -14.52     0.07     0.27     3.12     0.86P   20.43R    4.40  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      49.06    10.26   -28.08     0.01     0.05     0.90     0.18P   40.99R   13.43  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.58    10.20   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   72.26R   42.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      78.96    10.08    27.33    16.60    31.46    72.66    41.55P    0.11R    0.00  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.61    10.33    17.98     9.86    20.85    59.54    29.71P    0.45R    0.03  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.79    10.04    15.00     7.96    17.76    56.27    27.33P    0.45R    0.03  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.57    10.04    27.97    20.36    37.56    77.73    50.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.62    10.66    13.40     5.64    12.43    44.54    20.17P    1.46R    0.11  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.28    10.07    29.15    26.12    44.34    81.89    56.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.51    10.07    -0.88     1.18     3.38    21.75     6.59P    4.54R    0.44  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.41    10.32   -22.35     0.12     0.33     3.39     0.80P   32.93R    7.71  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.21    10.06     6.25     1.60     4.37    25.01     9.34P    3.67R    0.32  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      65.24    10.34     0.35     1.27     3.56    21.98     7.13P    5.26R    0.49  
Preston          8   11   +5      64.29    10.27     6.60     1.21     3.38    20.33     7.20P    5.79R    0.63  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.54    11.09    12.15     4.95    11.26    41.02    18.87P    2.28R    0.20  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.24    10.10    -5.41     0.22     0.80     7.77     2.04P   16.32R    2.63  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.21    10.24    -7.10     0.26     0.84     7.78     2.07P   16.71R    2.71  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.57    10.20   -23.78     0.02     0.10     1.49     0.33P   46.90R   14.23  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.35    10.69    -4.24     0.29     0.90     7.66     2.29P   19.67R    3.76  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      59.68    10.07    -5.37     0.30     1.05     9.41     2.69P   13.13R    1.90  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      52.84     9.92   -18.97     0.05     0.15     2.52     0.61P   33.28R    7.28  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.31    10.01   -11.51     0.07     0.24     2.91     0.66P   30.82R    6.92  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      52.04     9.91   -16.76     0.03     0.15     2.17     0.53P   36.16R    8.56  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      65.42    10.79     7.76     1.74     4.50    24.51    10.66P    5.78R    0.76  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.53     9.97   -12.40     0.03     0.16     2.45     0.62P   33.20R    7.68  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.77    10.64    -8.28     0.11     0.41     4.78     1.58P   26.99R    5.92  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.93    10.01   -26.90     0.01     0.02     0.44     0.10P   63.93R   27.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.68    10.36    37.41    46.56    78.02    95.05    82.88P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.59    10.56    26.20    10.95    38.97    74.03    48.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Exeter                8   16   +6      80.65    11.06    25.52    16.11    46.65    78.01    55.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford              8   16   +6      67.11    10.35     4.22     1.26     8.20    31.63    12.79P    0.59R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      64.88    10.84     2.77     1.03     6.46    25.70    10.49P    1.38R    0.37  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.55    10.40     4.91     1.36     8.64    33.07    13.50P    0.57R    0.12  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.62    10.46    -5.79     0.27     2.22    12.34     3.89P    3.86R    1.13  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.23    10.36    20.55     8.05    32.95    69.48    43.86P    0.03R    0.01  
Northampton           8   12   +2      59.82    10.21    -5.30     0.27     1.92    11.83     3.73P    3.42R    0.93  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      71.02    11.10    11.31     3.63    16.50    46.71    25.06P    0.34R    0.07  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      64.89    10.36    -0.12     0.81     5.42    24.31     9.43P    1.21R    0.29  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      68.01    10.49     9.19     1.66     9.71    35.75    15.89P    0.60R    0.13  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.50    11.08    16.44     4.45    20.31    52.45    29.62P    0.31R    0.09  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.59    10.19    11.70     2.04    11.66    41.11    19.62P    0.31R    0.07  
York                  8   10   +0      53.05    10.35   -14.39     0.04     0.51     4.18     1.17P   12.39R    4.29  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      56.87    10.15    -9.56     0.08     0.98     7.55     2.38P    5.94R    1.88  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.73    10.19    -9.77     0.15     1.41     9.91     3.31P    4.23R    1.32  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      57.67    10.39    -7.53     0.14     1.34     9.27     3.01P    5.47R    1.77  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.40     9.96    -6.74     0.10     1.05     7.75     2.51P    4.97R    1.42  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.36     9.77   -34.37     0.00     0.04     0.57     0.11P   35.53R   16.40  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.19    11.60     6.13     1.02     6.74    25.96    12.06P    2.43R    0.75  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.15     9.95   -18.65     0.01     0.08     1.31     0.33P   23.94R    9.94  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      49.21    10.48   -22.74     0.02     0.22     1.97     0.57P   22.38R    8.96  
Barnet                8    2  -13      36.94     9.40   -41.39     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.01P   70.03R   49.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     11   25  +12      78.52     9.75    20.49     5.71    48.25    12.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       11   24  +10      80.28     9.61    22.69     7.51    55.78    17.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            11   22  +11      90.43     9.06    42.54    36.05    90.01    55.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            11   20  +11      82.37     9.63    33.97    10.86    65.83    25.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +3      86.34     9.31    32.78    20.04    79.00    38.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           11   19   +7      68.11    10.72     8.35     1.05    15.91     3.60P    1.41R    0.23  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.34    10.34    28.61    14.29    67.26    28.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           11   16   +1      58.22     9.39    -8.58     0.02     1.83     0.25P    7.30R    1.30  
Woking             11   16   +0      58.04    10.45   -11.28     0.07     2.97     0.50P    9.91R    2.10  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      73.27    10.10    11.79     2.25    28.70     7.81P    0.30R    0.04  
Hereford           11   16   -3      72.11    10.24     9.99     1.80    25.12     7.00P    0.44R    0.06  
Gateshead          11   15   +0      64.21     9.75     1.63     0.19     7.12     1.32P    2.31R    0.29  
AFC_Telford        11   14   +2      54.54     9.30   -10.25     0.01     0.74     0.10P   13.46R    2.85  
Southport          11   13   -5      54.43     9.51   -16.77     0.01     0.75     0.14P   14.96R    3.37  
Lincoln_City       11   12   -2      56.53     9.47    -7.91     0.01     1.29     0.22P    9.65R    1.87  
Braintree_Town     11   12   -4      53.96     9.54   -14.94     0.01     0.75     0.11P   15.88R    3.81  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.44     9.64   -25.62     0.00     0.34     0.02P   27.87R    8.21  
Stockport          11   11   -2      56.06     9.49    -7.22     0.00     1.18     0.20P   10.73R    2.30  
Cambridge_Utd      11   10   -6      59.99     9.69    -3.13     0.05     2.92     0.58P    5.34R    0.99  
Nuneaton           11   10   -7      44.33     9.90   -33.49     0.00     0.07     0.01P   52.13R   23.40  
Barrow             11   10   -8      48.76     9.39   -24.10     0.00     0.19     0.01P   32.93R   10.15  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    9   -8      47.56     9.51   -26.85     0.00     0.14     0.01P   38.02R   12.86  
Kidderminster      11    8   -4      60.91     9.73     3.51     0.06     3.75     0.81P    4.36R    0.80  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.87    10.43   -26.19     0.00     0.12     0.01P   52.97R   25.35