Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.09     8.96    30.81    12.63    34.41    55.81    73.61    91.15     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.20     8.29    51.98    58.03    79.96    91.18    96.29    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.01     8.90    15.76     1.40     6.29    15.32    28.98    60.45     0.13R    0.01  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      52.84     9.02    -2.19     0.12     0.66     2.07     4.99    17.93     2.46R    0.32  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.37     8.98    35.63     9.55    27.87    49.32    68.34    88.34     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.35     9.04     7.90     0.29     1.68     4.73    10.59    31.56     0.85R    0.09  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.77     8.76    37.63    16.78    43.18    65.09    80.14    93.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      60.11     9.16    12.40     0.87     4.01     9.99    19.85    47.32     0.36R    0.03  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      44.49     9.29   -15.04     0.01     0.09     0.34     1.01     4.69    15.03R    3.39  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.25     9.22     0.56     0.16     0.96     2.93     6.99    23.28     1.92R    0.26  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.65     8.79    -8.53     0.01     0.05     0.30     0.93     5.09    10.46R    1.92  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.98     9.18    -3.04     0.03     0.25     0.87     2.41    10.33     5.81R    1.01  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.54     8.69    -9.94     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.45     3.03    14.79R    3.12  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.84     8.71   -16.91     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.30     1.97    20.66R    4.99  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.26     8.44   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.53    39.55R   12.54  
Southampton    5    3   -6      37.81     9.45   -26.52     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.32    38.92R   13.99  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.85     8.65   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.50    41.58R   14.06  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      52.81     8.93     2.12     0.10     0.53     1.74     4.69    18.57     2.38R    0.34  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.28     8.39   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    53.94R   21.83  
Reading        4    1   -5      34.79     9.24   -28.43     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.54    51.16R   22.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 September 2012, Blackpool vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      73.95    10.42    16.57     6.49    14.53    47.72    21.97P    0.41R    0.04  
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      70.29    11.17    10.15     4.13     9.49    34.96    15.24P    1.63R    0.23  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.48    11.39    27.99    23.90    38.89    72.47    48.81P    0.15R    0.01  
Blackpool         7   13   +9      80.52    10.76    32.61    20.03    35.42    71.59    46.28P    0.12R    0.01  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.23    10.22    12.87     4.39    10.69    40.52    17.87P    0.57R    0.06  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.46    11.18    18.23     9.92    19.82    53.31    28.75P    0.56R    0.04  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      76.01    10.71    18.09     9.76    20.06    55.10    29.16P    0.37R    0.03  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.36    10.59    13.53     5.03    11.49    41.90    18.76P    0.82R    0.09  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.58    10.40     0.33     1.36     3.96    21.86     7.67P    2.82R    0.32  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      57.41    10.45    -9.51     0.21     0.59     5.71     1.47P   14.29R    2.87  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      63.22    10.34     0.15     0.80     2.14    13.69     4.53P    5.01R    0.69  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.21    10.72     1.74     1.29     3.50    19.22     6.77P    4.17R    0.56  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      56.49    10.34   -12.51     0.16     0.51     4.59     1.19P   16.83R    3.67  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.23    11.42    16.36     8.58    17.65    48.75    26.78P    0.86R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      55.08     9.96   -15.94     0.09     0.27     3.09     0.81P   19.26R    4.09  
Burnley           7    9   +0      65.16    10.80     3.26     1.25     3.66    19.44     7.20P    4.30R    0.66  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.60    10.30    -7.70     0.17     0.51     4.78     1.45P   15.49R    3.17  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.54    11.14    -6.39     0.40     1.22     8.16     2.82P   13.81R    2.89  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      67.13    10.49     2.45     1.82     4.79    23.85    10.03P    2.42R    0.29  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.40    10.55   -15.84     0.10     0.32     3.47     0.96P   22.59R    5.50  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      49.31    10.82   -27.39     0.04     0.12     1.46     0.34P   40.82R   14.26  
Millwall          7    6   -6      54.97    10.31   -14.20     0.08     0.28     3.31     0.87P   20.19R    4.47  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      49.16    10.24   -27.93     0.01     0.06     0.96     0.23P   40.64R   13.35  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.61    10.26   -36.90     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   71.87R   42.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      78.86    10.10    27.21    16.46    31.52    72.09    41.18P    0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.70    10.39    18.12    10.06    21.31    60.05    30.48P    0.49R    0.01  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.42    10.06    14.47     7.39    16.79    55.29    26.12P    0.52R    0.02  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.66    10.04    28.17    20.73    37.71    78.00    50.36P    0.11R    0.01  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.62    10.71    13.39     5.55    12.44    44.56    20.61P    1.59R    0.11  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.31    10.19    29.25    26.28    44.72    81.79    56.89P    0.08R    0.00  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.55    10.21    -0.86     1.34     3.77    22.23     7.13P    4.71R    0.44  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.45    10.39   -22.39     0.11     0.33     3.46     0.75P   32.91R    7.91  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.34    10.01     6.52     1.55     4.38    25.47     9.27P    3.57R    0.34  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      65.03    10.35     0.05     1.30     3.53    21.63     7.18P    5.63R    0.60  
Preston          8   11   +5      64.12    10.28     6.30     1.19     3.23    20.02     6.98P    5.98R    0.61  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.44    11.11    12.02     4.88    11.06    40.87    18.77P    2.40R    0.23  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.41    10.20    -5.13     0.21     0.74     8.08     1.94P   16.13R    2.68  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.10    10.20    -7.25     0.28     0.83     7.60     1.98P   17.06R    2.69  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.44    10.26   -24.10     0.03     0.10     1.53     0.32P   47.49R   14.98  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.67    10.62    -3.81     0.26     0.85     7.99     2.31P   18.57R    3.45  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      60.04    10.03    -4.89     0.34     1.06     9.83     2.81P   12.37R    1.70  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      53.19     9.84   -18.44     0.06     0.19     2.61     0.65P   32.07R    6.78  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.29     9.99   -11.56     0.05     0.22     2.90     0.73P   30.91R    7.04  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      52.13    10.03   -16.57     0.02     0.14     2.31     0.55P   35.99R    8.59  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      65.20    10.83     7.38     1.75     4.44    23.95    10.50P    6.01R    0.81  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.20     9.98   -12.95     0.04     0.14     2.32     0.62P   34.76R    8.25  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.91    10.63    -8.12     0.13     0.46     5.03     1.76P   26.49R    5.71  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.98     9.89   -26.80     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.09P   64.03R   27.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.61    10.30    37.30    46.66    78.02    95.09    82.85P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.61    10.49    26.18    11.03    39.14    74.15    48.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter                8   16   +6      80.42    11.12    25.21    16.12    45.55    77.41    54.56P    0.04R    0.01  
Bradford              8   16   +6      67.05    10.31     4.13     1.22     8.06    31.01    12.50P    0.61R    0.14  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      64.88    10.82     2.75     1.09     6.47    25.76    10.47P    1.36R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.32    10.29     4.57     1.18     8.11    32.04    13.05P    0.55R    0.14  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.60    10.38    -5.82     0.20     1.94    12.16     3.62P    3.81R    1.12  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.17    10.36    20.45     7.98    32.94    69.26    43.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton           8   12   +2      59.97    10.26    -5.06     0.26     2.07    12.34     3.95P    3.35R    0.94  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      71.17    10.94    11.57     3.53    16.86    47.23    25.35P    0.28R    0.07  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      64.96    10.32     0.05     0.71     5.44    24.64     9.72P    1.18R    0.30  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      68.01    10.54     9.17     1.77     9.87    35.65    16.27P    0.63R    0.15  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.64    11.00    16.70     4.55    20.83    53.45    30.13P    0.25R    0.06  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.40    10.16    11.41     1.90    11.51    40.27    19.20P    0.33R    0.05  
York                  8   10   +0      53.05    10.36   -14.30     0.06     0.50     4.12     1.14P   12.33R    4.26  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      56.94    10.08    -9.48     0.09     1.06     7.45     2.38P    5.71R    1.68  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.64    10.16    -9.90     0.14     1.43     9.73     3.10P    4.39R    1.38  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      58.00    10.42    -7.04     0.14     1.43     9.76     3.22P    5.25R    1.70  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.15     9.95    -7.14     0.09     1.01     7.33     2.45P    5.11R    1.55  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.17     9.80   -34.71     0.00     0.05     0.55     0.13P   36.37R   17.05  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.67    11.68     6.93     1.27     7.43    27.41    13.22P    2.23R    0.66  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.18     9.98   -18.60     0.00     0.09     1.22     0.28P   23.75R    9.81  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      49.11    10.31   -22.95     0.02     0.18     1.88     0.51P   22.60R    9.02  
Barnet                8    2  -13      37.03     9.42   -41.41     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   69.79R   49.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     11   25  +12      78.65     9.69    20.76     5.59    49.19    12.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       11   24  +10      80.41     9.60    22.90     7.63    56.44    17.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            11   22  +11      90.42     9.01    42.52    36.08    90.05    55.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            11   20  +11      82.29     9.61    33.82    10.93    65.59    25.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +3      86.21     9.35    32.55    19.52    78.82    38.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           11   19   +7      67.92    10.65     8.01     0.91    15.52     3.43P    1.45R    0.21  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.33    10.46    28.58    14.80    66.90    28.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           11   16   +1      58.40     9.43    -8.21     0.04     2.03     0.29P    7.24R    1.28  
Woking             11   16   +0      57.79    10.53   -11.67     0.08     2.84     0.50P   10.36R    2.24  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      73.24    10.14    11.73     2.24    28.74     7.88P    0.32R    0.03  
Hereford           11   16   -3      71.96    10.27     9.77     1.81    24.68     6.97P    0.47R    0.05  
Gateshead          11   15   +0      64.32     9.66     1.78     0.18     7.08     1.29P    2.10R    0.28  
AFC_Telford        11   14   +2      54.62     9.23   -10.18     0.01     0.72     0.10P   13.21R    2.74  
Southport          11   13   -5      54.70     9.48   -16.36     0.01     0.81     0.15P   14.22R    3.12  
Lincoln_City       11   12   -2      56.60     9.48    -7.80     0.03     1.39     0.23P    9.41R    1.75  
Braintree_Town     11   12   -4      53.90     9.56   -15.01     0.02     0.68     0.11P   16.27R    3.81  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.38     9.59   -25.76     0.00     0.35     0.05P   28.10R    8.17  
Stockport          11   11   -2      56.38     9.51    -6.70     0.03     1.29     0.23P   10.21R    2.01  
Cambridge_Utd      11   10   -6      59.81     9.68    -3.32     0.05     2.95     0.68P    5.55R    0.93  
Nuneaton           11   10   -7      44.54    10.01   -33.04     0.00     0.10     0.01P   51.69R   22.96  
Barrow             11   10   -8      48.91     9.35   -23.80     0.00     0.14     0.01P   32.40R    9.92  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    9   -8      47.68     9.57   -26.60     0.00     0.13     0.01P   37.85R   13.07  
Kidderminster      11    8   -4      60.66     9.67     3.07     0.06     3.46     0.74P    4.69R    0.88  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.44    10.26   -27.02     0.00     0.08     0.01P   54.40R   26.56