Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.18     8.92    31.09    12.66    34.49    56.18    73.80    91.36     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.40     8.31    52.49    58.58    80.24    91.20    96.28    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.33     9.05    16.29     1.62     7.07    16.48    30.14    61.57     0.12R    0.01  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      52.86     9.10    -2.22     0.11     0.70     2.11     5.08    18.42     2.46R    0.32  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.40     9.02    35.66     9.66    28.22    49.03    68.11    88.39     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.23     9.07     7.67     0.24     1.52     4.71    10.40    30.90     0.85R    0.07  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.71     8.69    37.46    16.04    42.32    64.50    80.17    93.88     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      59.97     9.14    12.20     0.76     3.63     9.53    19.39    46.95     0.36R    0.03  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      44.17     9.13   -15.57     0.01     0.07     0.26     0.80     4.13    15.52R    3.47  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.31     9.12     0.71     0.18     0.90     2.77     6.81    23.36     1.73R    0.22  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.50     8.78    -8.81     0.01     0.08     0.34     0.92     4.84    10.82R    2.13  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.80     9.07    -3.31     0.03     0.24     0.77     2.17    10.01     6.03R    0.98  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.62     8.61    -9.83     0.01     0.02     0.12     0.43     2.95    14.47R    2.84  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.95     8.71   -16.85     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.31     1.97    20.47R    4.87  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.45     8.48   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.60    38.85R   12.12  
Southampton    5    3   -6      37.90     9.52   -26.53     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.21     1.40    38.57R   14.04  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.46     8.62   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.47    43.43R   15.50  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      52.83     9.00     2.19     0.09     0.46     1.82     4.78    18.72     2.40R    0.34  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.40     8.34   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20    53.28R   21.34  
Reading        4    1   -5      34.91     9.20   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.48    50.64R   21.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 September 2012, Blackpool vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      74.22    10.36    17.02     6.95    15.13    48.62    22.70P    0.36R    0.03  
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      69.77    11.20     9.28     3.88     8.93    33.19    14.31P    1.91R    0.20  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.25    11.38    27.56    22.87    38.36    71.86    47.95P    0.15R    0.01  
Blackpool         7   13   +9      80.61    10.74    32.86    20.42    35.54    72.03    46.55P    0.11R    0.01  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.13    10.18    12.64     4.15    10.26    40.08    17.20P    0.60R    0.07  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.60    11.21    18.43    10.08    20.20    53.77    29.40P    0.55R    0.04  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      76.12    10.70    18.21     9.88    20.17    55.81    29.52P    0.32R    0.04  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.20    10.48    13.29     4.71    11.08    40.87    18.50P    0.77R    0.08  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.41    10.55     0.10     1.51     4.18    21.59     7.89P    2.97R    0.34  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      57.19    10.33    -9.94     0.19     0.60     5.24     1.40P   14.67R    3.01  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      63.08    10.37    -0.02     0.82     2.16    13.62     4.56P    5.26R    0.73  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.48    10.73     2.23     1.35     3.70    19.93     6.96P    3.93R    0.55  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      56.59    10.37   -12.35     0.14     0.48     4.56     1.20P   16.43R    3.44  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.45    11.36    16.83     8.89    17.95    49.69    27.46P    0.86R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      55.41    10.13   -15.43     0.13     0.35     3.49     0.91P   18.63R    3.98  
Burnley           7    9   +0      65.15    10.80     3.16     1.31     3.62    19.46     7.22P    4.27R    0.63  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.62    10.35    -7.57     0.20     0.56     4.84     1.39P   15.58R    3.30  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.72    11.00    -6.06     0.40     1.20     8.23     2.68P   12.80R    2.54  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      67.05    10.53     2.33     1.86     4.67    23.86     9.91P    2.55R    0.30  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.33    10.53   -15.93     0.08     0.29     3.31     0.82P   22.41R    5.55  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      49.27    10.90   -27.33     0.06     0.15     1.48     0.38P   41.23R   14.52  
Millwall          7    6   -6      55.05    10.29   -14.06     0.09     0.34     3.35     0.88P   19.98R    4.34  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      48.95    10.29   -28.32     0.02     0.07     0.98     0.20P   41.68R   13.99  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.68    10.30   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   71.98R   42.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      78.75    10.03    26.99    16.24    31.03    71.99    40.84P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.67    10.32    18.05    10.00    20.91    60.13    30.16P    0.44R    0.02  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.31    10.09    14.37     7.40    16.56    54.64    26.20P    0.56R    0.04  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.43    10.05    27.83    20.19    37.10    77.46    49.87P    0.11R    0.01  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.57    10.69    13.31     5.47    12.66    44.54    20.42P    1.49R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.37    10.11    29.23    26.82    45.00    82.16    57.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.39    10.26    -0.99     1.36     3.66    22.01     6.91P    5.21R    0.54  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.47    10.30   -22.31     0.11     0.36     3.57     0.79P   32.83R    7.58  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.31    10.16     6.44     1.79     4.69    25.81     9.57P    3.78R    0.31  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      65.32    10.48     0.52     1.51     3.96    22.73     7.67P    5.49R    0.58  
Preston          8   11   +5      64.07    10.31     6.19     1.17     3.40    20.05     7.10P    6.01R    0.68  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.40    11.08    11.96     4.85    11.26    40.62    18.78P    2.37R    0.22  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.60    10.04    -4.80     0.24     0.85     7.99     2.18P   15.35R    2.42  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.08    10.21    -7.32     0.26     0.89     7.74     2.15P   17.30R    2.78  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.70    10.33   -23.60     0.04     0.12     1.65     0.36P   46.79R   14.57  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.83    10.57    -3.59     0.27     0.90     8.21     2.40P   18.27R    3.35  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      59.62    10.06    -5.45     0.29     0.95     9.39     2.72P   13.34R    1.95  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      53.30     9.76   -18.24     0.05     0.23     2.77     0.68P   31.76R    6.43  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.63    10.02   -11.09     0.08     0.24     3.19     0.78P   30.00R    6.47  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      52.08     9.99   -16.62     0.07     0.21     2.24     0.59P   36.46R    8.91  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      64.91    10.89     7.01     1.65     4.39    23.47    10.25P    6.44R    0.86  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.22     9.97   -12.85     0.04     0.15     2.29     0.61P   35.03R    8.47  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.94    10.53    -8.01     0.11     0.46     4.97     1.64P   26.30R    5.59  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.82     9.88   -27.03     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P   64.49R   28.11  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.66    10.44    37.30    46.35    77.82    94.92    82.57P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.34    10.60    25.81    10.75    38.10    73.26    47.21P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter                8   16   +6      80.83    11.05    25.80    16.27    47.18    78.75    56.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford              8   16   +6      66.87    10.33     3.84     1.25     7.75    30.73    12.16P    0.72R    0.17  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      64.93    10.85     2.80     1.09     6.57    25.68    10.36P    1.44R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.30    10.38     4.60     1.33     8.16    32.38    13.11P    0.59R    0.15  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.38    10.34    -6.18     0.20     1.93    11.61     3.57P    3.90R    1.15  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.55    10.31    21.01     8.49    34.15    70.72    45.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton           8   12   +2      60.31    10.16    -4.51     0.22     2.07    12.90     4.14P    3.01R    0.84  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      71.33    11.00    11.78     3.71    17.26    47.56    25.90P    0.31R    0.06  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      64.96    10.34     0.07     0.78     5.39    24.72     9.55P    1.08R    0.25  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      67.84    10.47     8.96     1.62     9.39    34.86    15.54P    0.65R    0.13  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.70    11.05    16.82     4.50    20.83    53.31    30.24P    0.29R    0.07  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.31    10.11    11.32     1.85    11.05    40.04    18.82P    0.28R    0.07  
York                  8   10   +0      52.93    10.40   -14.61     0.03     0.45     4.07     1.15P   12.68R    4.57  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      57.20    10.07    -9.07     0.13     1.00     7.71     2.33P    5.23R    1.69  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.47    10.08   -10.11     0.11     1.29     9.39     2.92P    4.44R    1.33  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      57.85    10.43    -7.15     0.14     1.35     9.36     3.02P    5.27R    1.71  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.42    10.03    -6.74     0.09     1.11     7.92     2.69P    5.09R    1.37  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.23     9.81   -34.62     0.00     0.03     0.56     0.10P   36.10R   16.64  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.29    11.66     6.31     1.08     6.84    26.44    12.47P    2.59R    0.87  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.31    10.08   -18.48     0.01     0.07     1.30     0.30P   23.41R    9.46  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      48.80    10.39   -23.43     0.03     0.19     1.76     0.51P   22.97R    9.42  
Barnet                8    2  -13      36.96     9.47   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   69.85R   49.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     11   25  +12      78.56     9.77    20.64     5.63    48.74    12.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       11   24  +10      80.21     9.65    22.64     7.40    55.66    16.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            11   22  +11      90.45     9.07    42.56    36.34    89.90    55.79P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            11   20  +11      82.61     9.53    34.31    11.32    67.11    25.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +3      86.23     9.36    32.62    19.56    78.37    38.10P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           11   19   +7      68.00    10.58     8.20     0.92    15.42     3.44P    1.33R    0.19  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.30    10.43    28.51    14.31    67.19    27.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           11   16   +1      58.51     9.40    -8.14     0.03     1.98     0.29P    6.84R    1.24  
Woking             11   16   +0      57.60    10.51   -12.03     0.07     2.81     0.47P   10.61R    2.45  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      73.23    10.12    11.72     2.25    28.59     7.72P    0.29R    0.02  
Hereford           11   16   -3      71.95    10.29     9.81     1.77    24.78     7.02P    0.47R    0.05  
Gateshead          11   15   +0      64.37     9.69     1.86     0.23     7.24     1.47P    2.13R    0.31  
AFC_Telford        11   14   +2      54.75     9.34    -9.94     0.00     0.87     0.11P   13.05R    2.74  
Southport          11   13   -5      54.61     9.56   -16.44     0.01     0.86     0.14P   14.52R    3.30  
Lincoln_City       11   12   -2      56.45     9.44    -7.97     0.01     1.19     0.23P    9.93R    1.94  
Braintree_Town     11   12   -4      54.06     9.54   -14.79     0.01     0.74     0.12P   15.77R    3.65  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.55     9.61   -25.52     0.00     0.31     0.04P   27.46R    7.76  
Stockport          11   11   -2      56.01     9.60    -7.33     0.03     1.19     0.18P   11.01R    2.36  
Cambridge_Utd      11   10   -6      60.00     9.77    -3.04     0.06     3.07     0.67P    5.46R    0.99  
Nuneaton           11   10   -7      44.36    10.06   -33.45     0.00     0.11     0.02P   52.12R   23.59  
Barrow             11   10   -8      48.93     9.36   -23.75     0.00     0.17     0.02P   32.00R    9.52  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    9   -8      47.56     9.53   -26.93     0.00     0.12     0.01P   38.18R   13.29  
Kidderminster      11    8   -4      60.67     9.60     3.14     0.04     3.46     0.73P    4.53R    0.75  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.61    10.30   -26.68     0.00     0.10     0.01P   54.23R   25.85