Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.09     8.92    30.89    12.60    34.14    55.59    73.56    91.29     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.11     8.28    51.74    57.46    80.13    90.91    96.27    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.08     8.98    15.89     1.52     6.52    15.76    29.26    60.91     0.12R    0.01  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      52.56     8.94    -2.64     0.10     0.55     1.85     4.60    17.33     2.51R    0.33  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.32     9.03    35.54     9.58    27.94    49.28    68.02    88.21     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.22     9.10     7.71     0.27     1.52     4.53    10.47    31.21     0.94R    0.08  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.97     8.71    38.02    17.34    43.53    65.76    81.02    94.40     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      60.19     9.10    12.53     0.81     3.78     9.91    20.04    48.04     0.32R    0.04  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      44.21     9.19   -15.62     0.01     0.07     0.25     0.79     4.24    15.64R    3.57  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.13     9.15     0.36     0.19     0.94     2.85     6.67    22.82     1.82R    0.25  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.72     8.77    -8.50     0.01     0.08     0.31     0.93     4.94    10.23R    1.93  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.97     9.13    -3.01     0.04     0.22     0.81     2.32    10.27     5.92R    1.09  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.60     8.62    -9.80     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.42     2.96    14.76R    2.88  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.82     8.68   -16.99     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.27     1.85    20.96R    4.98  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.43     8.50   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.59    39.06R   12.49  
Southampton    5    3   -6      37.64     9.45   -26.89     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.26    39.79R   14.64  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.61     8.64   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.48    42.93R   14.88  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      52.97     8.92     2.35     0.06     0.51     1.85     4.94    18.99     2.33R    0.31  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.55     8.47   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    52.73R   21.03  
Reading        4    1   -5      35.12     9.24   -27.79     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.59    49.93R   21.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 September 2012, Blackpool vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      74.00    10.46    16.67     6.70    14.71    47.41    22.07P    0.45R    0.05  
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      70.33    11.09    10.16     4.04     9.32    34.82    14.82P    1.51R    0.19  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.32    11.30    27.66    22.86    37.96    72.36    48.01P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackpool         7   13   +9      80.64    10.71    32.88    20.16    35.45    71.90    46.42P    0.10R    0.01  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.29    10.33    12.90     4.44    10.71    40.50    17.70P    0.65R    0.05  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.63    11.08    18.46    10.05    20.04    53.77    29.22P    0.44R    0.04  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      76.19    10.60    18.31    10.01    20.20    55.87    29.62P    0.33R    0.03  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.83    10.53    14.35     5.26    12.22    43.26    19.77P    0.65R    0.05  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.45    10.58     0.17     1.59     4.08    21.67     7.87P    3.00R    0.36  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      57.10    10.33   -10.08     0.20     0.57     5.08     1.30P   14.80R    2.93  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      62.98    10.36    -0.24     0.69     2.13    13.25     4.40P    5.42R    0.77  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.35    10.76     2.00     1.34     3.66    19.42     7.10P    3.94R    0.54  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      56.66    10.34   -12.29     0.12     0.42     4.61     0.99P   16.26R    3.48  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.21    11.38    16.43     8.65    17.42    48.77    26.55P    0.76R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      55.22    10.11   -15.69     0.12     0.35     3.44     0.91P   19.05R    4.03  
Burnley           7    9   +0      65.44    10.72     3.74     1.36     3.87    19.67     7.52P    3.88R    0.53  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.36    10.30    -7.98     0.15     0.49     4.56     1.35P   15.97R    3.22  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.61    10.90    -6.27     0.38     1.11     7.83     2.56P   12.69R    2.66  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      66.85    10.56     2.01     1.67     4.47    23.02     9.46P    2.73R    0.36  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.42    10.54   -15.82     0.13     0.36     3.34     0.93P   21.99R    5.38  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      49.04    10.85   -27.80     0.04     0.12     1.27     0.34P   41.59R   14.84  
Millwall          7    6   -6      54.81    10.31   -14.48     0.07     0.28     3.13     0.88P   20.57R    4.64  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      49.08    10.29   -28.01     0.01     0.05     0.94     0.19P   41.00R   13.51  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.58    10.19   -37.09     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.03P   72.09R   42.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      78.74    10.11    27.01    16.23    30.85    71.82    40.69P    0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.68    10.43    18.07    10.22    21.39    59.77    30.70P    0.51R    0.03  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.46    10.13    14.53     7.82    17.20    54.99    26.48P    0.53R    0.02  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.37    10.19    27.77    20.15    37.41    76.85    49.86P    0.13R    0.00  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.67    10.71    13.38     5.56    12.63    44.82    20.51P    1.50R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.18    10.20    29.01    26.21    44.06    81.47    56.42P    0.06R    0.01  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.62    10.12    -0.68     1.28     3.69    22.40     7.05P    4.75R    0.43  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.39    10.40   -22.44     0.10     0.37     3.58     0.88P   33.32R    7.71  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.48    10.12     6.70     1.81     4.86    25.98     9.83P    3.46R    0.30  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      65.05    10.37     0.01     1.23     3.54    21.77     7.18P    5.66R    0.55  
Preston          8   11   +5      64.12    10.30     6.30     1.24     3.25    20.16     7.09P    5.92R    0.69  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.54    11.14    12.16     4.99    11.34    41.27    18.99P    2.44R    0.23  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.44    10.14    -5.06     0.28     0.86     8.13     2.12P   15.85R    2.63  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.12    10.26    -7.22     0.26     0.85     7.82     2.10P   17.05R    2.75  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.52    10.27   -23.91     0.03     0.12     1.63     0.31P   47.12R   14.63  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.55    10.61    -4.00     0.25     0.90     7.84     2.25P   18.96R    3.48  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      59.87    10.11    -5.10     0.34     1.08     9.71     2.95P   12.86R    1.91  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      53.32     9.83   -18.24     0.04     0.17     2.73     0.63P   31.51R    6.52  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.23    10.03   -11.63     0.06     0.24     2.80     0.69P   31.47R    7.00  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      52.00     9.93   -16.80     0.03     0.11     2.12     0.47P   36.15R    8.72  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      65.35    10.77     7.67     1.70     4.51    24.48    10.54P    5.64R    0.81  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.42    10.10   -12.67     0.04     0.15     2.49     0.63P   34.19R    8.42  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.89    10.63    -8.07     0.12     0.42     4.88     1.53P   26.74R    5.77  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.97     9.93   -26.80     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   64.08R   27.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.81    10.26    37.60    47.42    78.66    95.40    83.43P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.43    10.49    25.94    10.67    38.33    73.61    47.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter                8   16   +6      80.50    11.06    25.32    15.91    46.15    77.63    55.15P    0.04R    0.01  
Bradford              8   16   +6      67.07    10.42     4.23     1.29     8.29    31.55    12.94P    0.66R    0.12  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      65.13    10.80     3.12     1.09     6.58    26.61    10.66P    1.36R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.49    10.33     4.84     1.21     8.24    32.74    13.12P    0.61R    0.14  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.70    10.44    -5.65     0.27     2.19    12.50     4.00P    3.77R    1.09  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.21    10.29    20.50     7.81    33.06    69.55    44.03P    0.04R    0.01  
Northampton           8   12   +2      60.06    10.23    -4.89     0.25     2.10    12.56     4.00P    3.19R    0.84  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      70.89    11.09    11.16     3.61    16.48    46.17    24.73P    0.37R    0.07  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      65.04    10.36     0.14     0.77     5.71    24.71     9.95P    1.18R    0.32  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      67.87    10.55     9.03     1.72     9.75    35.21    15.88P    0.62R    0.14  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.46    11.05    16.41     4.41    20.11    52.44    29.19P    0.28R    0.07  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.25    10.22    11.23     1.90    11.44    39.83    18.99P    0.36R    0.08  
York                  8   10   +0      53.06    10.45   -14.43     0.04     0.51     4.13     1.13P   12.88R    4.65  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      56.86    10.16    -9.59     0.09     1.02     7.49     2.38P    5.73R    1.90  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.36    10.11   -10.36     0.12     1.34     9.27     3.03P    4.68R    1.35  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      57.88    10.51    -7.32     0.17     1.46     9.51     3.29P    5.46R    1.77  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.23    10.00    -7.02     0.09     0.97     7.75     2.41P    5.14R    1.50  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.32     9.85   -34.46     0.00     0.05     0.56     0.13P   35.71R   16.79  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.81    11.53     7.14     1.14     7.29    27.55    13.08P    2.22R    0.66  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.28     9.98   -18.41     0.01     0.09     1.33     0.35P   23.30R    9.39  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      48.97    10.32   -23.20     0.01     0.17     1.81     0.51P   22.70R    9.12  
Barnet                8    2  -13      37.06     9.40   -41.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   69.68R   49.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     11   25  +12      78.60     9.79    20.65     5.89    49.13    13.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       11   24  +10      80.13     9.62    22.46     7.56    55.46    17.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            11   22  +11      90.34     9.04    42.36    36.35    89.99    55.64P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            11   20  +11      82.36     9.62    33.95    11.10    66.15    25.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +3      85.96     9.39    32.07    19.45    77.70    37.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           11   19   +7      68.65    10.58     9.19     1.05    16.95     3.85P    1.25R    0.20  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.05    10.34    28.06    14.09    66.40    27.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           11   16   +1      58.23     9.45    -8.54     0.03     1.87     0.26P    7.34R    1.38  
Woking             11   16   +0      57.58    10.33   -12.01     0.04     2.55     0.44P   10.28R    2.21  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      73.28    10.13    11.81     2.30    28.86     8.05P    0.31R    0.04  
Hereford           11   16   -3      72.13    10.18    10.06     1.73    25.14     7.11P    0.51R    0.06  
Gateshead          11   15   +0      64.35     9.75     1.85     0.22     7.21     1.38P    2.15R    0.32  
AFC_Telford        11   14   +2      54.71     9.30   -10.00     0.01     0.84     0.11P   13.31R    2.60  
Southport          11   13   -5      54.40     9.55   -16.87     0.01     0.75     0.14P   15.11R    3.36  
Lincoln_City       11   12   -2      56.54     9.53    -7.82     0.02     1.37     0.26P    9.85R    1.92  
Braintree_Town     11   12   -4      53.89     9.54   -15.00     0.01     0.72     0.09P   16.19R    4.00  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.15     9.61   -26.24     0.01     0.33     0.05P   28.96R    8.55  
Stockport          11   11   -2      56.02     9.53    -7.27     0.01     1.11     0.17P   11.03R    2.61  
Cambridge_Utd      11   10   -6      60.12     9.72    -2.91     0.04     3.17     0.65P    5.41R    1.05  
Nuneaton           11   10   -7      44.73    10.07   -32.69     0.00     0.09     0.01P   50.89R   22.77  
Barrow             11   10   -8      48.96     9.31   -23.75     0.00     0.16     0.02P   32.21R    9.75  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    9   -8      47.65     9.55   -26.68     0.00     0.15     0.02P   37.88R   13.06  
Kidderminster      11    8   -4      60.84     9.67     3.43     0.08     3.79     0.85P    4.28R    0.76  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.92    10.34   -26.09     0.00     0.10     0.02P   52.98R   25.36