Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.14     8.89    30.93    12.41    33.96    55.93    73.79    91.52     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.29     8.27    52.18    58.61    80.53    91.14    96.35    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.12     8.92    15.95     1.40     6.42    15.74    29.26    61.18     0.11R    0.01  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      52.74     9.07    -2.43     0.10     0.64     2.03     5.00    17.71     2.67R    0.34  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.35     9.04    35.66     9.69    28.33    49.06    67.70    88.13     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.52     9.13     8.14     0.30     1.69     4.98    11.10    32.13     0.85R    0.10  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.75     8.77    37.63    16.37    42.69    64.73    80.18    93.94     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      60.22     9.13    12.57     0.84     3.85     9.99    19.96    47.98     0.34R    0.02  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      44.07     9.22   -15.84     0.01     0.07     0.27     0.84     4.15    16.03R    3.63  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.17     9.20     0.46     0.18     1.02     2.99     6.88    22.73     1.80R    0.21  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.59     8.77    -8.61     0.01     0.05     0.32     0.90     4.88    10.69R    1.97  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.81     9.20    -3.35     0.02     0.23     0.85     2.32    10.11     6.21R    1.06  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.58     8.56    -9.87     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.36     2.91    14.52R    2.78  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.71     8.64   -17.17     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.24     1.82    21.28R    4.98  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.35     8.58   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.60    39.49R   12.91  
Southampton    5    3   -6      37.94     9.37   -26.30     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.18     1.31    37.91R   13.79  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.62     8.68   -27.95     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.04     0.46    42.73R   15.11  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      52.79     8.95     2.12     0.05     0.45     1.72     4.75    18.25     2.48R    0.38  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.55     8.42   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    52.47R   20.71  
Reading        4    1   -5      34.95     9.30   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.54    50.41R   22.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 September 2012, Blackpool vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      73.91    10.41    16.53     6.45    14.52    47.28    21.77P    0.42R    0.05  
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      69.71    11.09     9.17     3.64     8.71    33.18    14.04P    1.76R    0.24  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.61    11.36    28.21    23.89    39.26    72.88    49.16P    0.15R    0.01  
Blackpool         7   13   +9      80.40    10.69    32.50    19.45    34.61    71.17    45.69P    0.09R    0.00  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.41    10.39    13.04     4.80    11.27    41.56    18.45P    0.71R    0.06  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.71    11.15    18.67    10.32    20.37    54.18    29.50P    0.43R    0.05  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      75.84    10.68    17.79     9.60    19.65    54.82    28.76P    0.38R    0.03  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.53    10.60    13.83     5.16    11.82    42.37    19.41P    0.80R    0.07  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.54    10.42     0.41     1.52     4.15    21.36     7.86P    2.67R    0.37  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      57.30    10.32    -9.73     0.17     0.58     5.55     1.49P   14.29R    2.90  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      63.10    10.41    -0.03     0.80     2.26    13.86     4.71P    5.44R    0.86  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.61    10.76     2.46     1.40     3.76    20.42     7.26P    3.91R    0.54  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      56.75    10.33   -12.04     0.15     0.50     4.68     1.16P   16.08R    3.40  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.29    11.35    16.46     8.70    17.58    49.54    26.99P    0.87R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      55.16     9.99   -15.72     0.07     0.29     3.09     0.77P   19.06R    4.12  
Burnley           7    9   +0      64.91    10.69     2.81     1.38     3.45    18.70     6.88P    4.21R    0.60  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.56    10.33    -7.67     0.12     0.48     4.60     1.25P   15.80R    3.33  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.98    11.02    -5.69     0.44     1.29     8.53     2.92P   12.32R    2.57  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      66.72    10.63     1.81     1.74     4.65    22.99     9.63P    2.89R    0.35  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.25    10.41   -16.08     0.08     0.27     3.08     0.78P   22.53R    5.55  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      49.15    10.90   -27.71     0.04     0.15     1.51     0.38P   41.62R   14.77  
Millwall          7    6   -6      54.78    10.40   -14.52     0.08     0.29     3.39     0.87P   21.00R    4.57  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      49.34    10.39   -27.53     0.01     0.07     1.13     0.26P   40.47R   13.41  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.62    10.20   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   72.09R   42.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      78.65    10.03    26.86    15.95    30.88    71.86    40.41P    0.11R    0.01  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.57    10.26    17.91     9.88    20.84    59.37    29.80P    0.42R    0.02  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.58    10.03    14.76     7.81    17.35    55.74    26.84P    0.54R    0.03  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.51    10.16    28.01    20.86    37.64    77.46    50.22P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.73    10.62    13.55     5.58    12.72    45.08    20.76P    1.39R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.41    10.04    29.32    26.81    45.09    82.27    57.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.60    10.06    -0.70     1.18     3.66    22.05     7.15P    4.71R    0.46  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.15    10.35   -22.91     0.10     0.33     3.23     0.74P   34.00R    8.27  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.39    10.11     6.55     1.70     4.60    25.79     9.60P    3.64R    0.32  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      65.08    10.31     0.07     1.28     3.55    21.70     7.19P    5.21R    0.58  
Preston          8   11   +5      64.05    10.30     6.16     1.15     3.27    19.91     6.99P    6.23R    0.63  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.21    10.91    11.69     4.42    10.45    40.01    17.92P    2.29R    0.21  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.51    10.14    -4.97     0.25     0.89     8.16     2.30P   15.78R    2.40  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.17    10.20    -7.10     0.25     0.87     7.48     2.00P   16.84R    2.77  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.72    10.26   -23.48     0.04     0.11     1.60     0.36P   46.61R   14.12  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.71    10.62    -3.70     0.26     0.87     8.38     2.50P   18.86R    3.45  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      59.99    10.08    -4.87     0.34     1.08     9.94     3.03P   12.45R    1.73  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      53.17     9.85   -18.46     0.05     0.19     2.78     0.67P   31.94R    6.75  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.39    10.03   -11.43     0.05     0.20     2.94     0.72P   30.73R    6.92  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      52.08    10.00   -16.69     0.05     0.21     2.34     0.60P   36.25R    8.87  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      65.23    10.86     7.49     1.83     4.61    24.42    10.56P    6.08R    0.77  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.20     9.97   -12.97     0.04     0.14     2.27     0.56P   34.73R    8.19  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.90    10.63    -8.12     0.12     0.45     4.84     1.57P   26.56R    5.80  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.84     9.87   -26.99     0.01     0.02     0.37     0.06P   64.47R   27.60  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.56    10.41    37.23    46.52    77.84    94.83    82.66P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.50    10.59    26.00    10.81    38.72    73.51    48.00P    0.03R    0.01  
Exeter                8   16   +6      80.39    11.07    25.19    15.70    45.47    77.46    54.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford              8   16   +6      67.09    10.27     4.28     1.15     7.90    31.28    12.49P    0.58R    0.08  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      64.79    10.87     2.62     1.10     6.46    25.67    10.45P    1.49R    0.42  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.52    10.44     4.86     1.34     8.47    32.98    13.43P    0.64R    0.16  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.48    10.34    -6.07     0.24     2.02    11.79     3.56P    3.82R    1.09  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.30    10.32    20.61     8.38    33.19    69.99    43.97P    0.04R    0.01  
Northampton           8   12   +2      60.27    10.18    -4.55     0.25     2.22    12.79     4.20P    2.99R    0.80  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      70.97    11.10    11.22     3.58    16.73    46.28    25.11P    0.42R    0.10  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      65.13    10.33     0.30     0.86     5.71    24.85     9.94P    1.14R    0.31  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      68.16    10.50     9.45     1.78    10.10    36.02    16.43P    0.55R    0.13  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.71    11.12    16.78     4.64    21.14    53.40    30.35P    0.32R    0.07  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.45    10.06    11.46     1.97    11.20    40.41    18.97P    0.24R    0.05  
York                  8   10   +0      53.17    10.43   -14.16     0.06     0.57     4.27     1.28P   12.31R    4.16  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      56.97    10.18    -9.35     0.11     1.04     7.70     2.46P    5.77R    1.81  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.39    10.27   -10.31     0.13     1.42     9.47     3.13P    4.71R    1.51  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      57.92    10.39    -7.12     0.13     1.42     9.50     3.14P    5.16R    1.60  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.21    10.03    -7.03     0.09     1.05     7.63     2.43P    5.01R    1.44  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.07     9.83   -34.88     0.00     0.05     0.55     0.12P   36.68R   17.35  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.39    11.58     6.43     1.15     7.00    26.44    12.63P    2.26R    0.67  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.42    10.09   -18.18     0.00     0.13     1.45     0.39P   23.08R    9.46  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      48.97    10.29   -23.14     0.01     0.14     1.70     0.43P   22.80R    9.00  
Barnet                8    2  -13      36.92     9.32   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   69.94R   49.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     10   22  +10      75.82     9.95    16.84     4.64    40.79    10.89P    0.10R    0.01  
Forest_Green       10   21   +9      77.62     9.81    20.04     6.36    48.31    14.86P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            10   19   +8      88.73     9.26    39.37    34.59    87.77    53.46P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.14    10.29    28.27    16.77    69.39    30.53P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            10   17   +8      79.81     9.82    29.30     9.17    58.72    21.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              10   17   +2      84.59     9.60    31.48    19.23    75.82    37.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           10   16   +5      64.60    10.88     3.22     0.64    11.37     2.34P    3.62R    0.64  
Tamworth           10   16   +2      59.71     9.60    -7.24     0.06     3.33     0.48P    6.36R    1.10  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      72.97    10.12    11.33     2.82    30.90     8.73P    0.40R    0.03  
Hereford           10   16   -2      75.00    10.47    13.72     4.51    38.74    12.83P    0.29R    0.02  
Gateshead          10   15   +3      66.34     9.93     5.88     0.63    12.43     2.81P    1.49R    0.19  
Woking             10   15   +0      57.80    10.76   -12.33     0.13     3.47     0.62P   12.02R    2.91  
AFC_Telford        10   14   +4      57.17     9.57    -5.89     0.06     2.05     0.32P    9.85R    1.94  
Braintree_Town     10   12   -2      56.66     9.87   -10.67     0.04     1.91     0.30P   11.76R    2.57  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.20     9.56   -26.08     0.01     0.38     0.04P   30.05R    9.27  
Southport          10   12   -5      55.11     9.77   -16.45     0.02     1.29     0.19P   15.29R    3.52  
Stockport          10   10   -2      56.42     9.87    -7.33     0.05     1.93     0.36P   11.91R    2.70  
Cambridge_Utd      10   10   -4      62.78     9.98     1.25     0.20     6.69     1.46P    3.79R    0.60  
Barrow             10   10   -5      50.27     9.56   -20.81     0.01     0.37     0.05P   29.37R    8.53  
Nuneaton           10   10   -6      45.98    10.27   -32.09     0.00     0.22     0.03P   48.21R   20.57  
Lincoln_City       10    9   -3      55.23     9.72    -8.35     0.01     1.36     0.25P   13.94R    2.96  
Ebbsfleet_United   10    8   -8      48.78    10.01   -25.34     0.01     0.38     0.07P   35.92R   12.62  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.72    10.31   -26.49     0.00     0.13     0.02P   55.33R   27.48  
Kidderminster      10    5   -6      57.32     9.89    -1.64     0.03     2.26     0.50P   10.17R    2.34