Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.07     8.96    30.85    12.51    34.09    55.56    73.22    91.16     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.21     8.32    51.99    57.68    79.99    90.88    96.20    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.13     8.98    15.98     1.55     6.50    15.65    29.51    61.05     0.12R    0.01  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      52.61     9.01    -2.56     0.10     0.63     1.88     4.68    17.47     2.65R    0.30  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.45     9.03    35.62     9.59    27.91    49.45    68.40    88.35     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.42     9.11     7.94     0.30     1.70     4.80    10.75    31.64     0.87R    0.09  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.94     8.82    37.99    17.13    43.46    65.81    80.68    94.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      60.18     9.03    12.48     0.86     3.77     9.63    19.60    47.81     0.29R    0.03  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      44.06     9.16   -15.74     0.01     0.09     0.27     0.84     4.09    15.70R    3.54  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.24     9.19     0.52     0.18     0.99     2.93     7.01    23.08     1.86R    0.21  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.77     8.66    -8.39     0.00     0.06     0.27     0.95     4.87     9.89R    1.78  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.82     9.19    -3.32     0.03     0.27     0.87     2.34    10.23     6.04R    1.06  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.60     8.60    -9.85     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.42     3.00    14.70R    2.95  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.95     8.67   -16.85     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.26     1.92    20.41R    4.87  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.39     8.51   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.61    38.85R   12.56  
Southampton    5    3   -6      38.14     9.42   -26.02     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.22     1.33    37.48R   13.10  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.51     8.63   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.47    43.35R   15.06  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      52.82     8.94     2.20     0.06     0.49     1.68     4.72    18.81     2.40R    0.31  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.34     8.42   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    53.69R   21.36  
Reading        4    1   -5      34.70     9.25   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.49    51.68R   22.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 September 2012, Blackpool vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      74.16    10.33    16.89     6.75    14.77    48.47    22.38P    0.34R    0.03  
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      70.08    11.03     9.82     3.89     8.96    34.01    14.22P    1.66R    0.20  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.34    11.30    27.73    23.16    38.35    72.43    48.44P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackpool         7   13   +9      80.58    10.70    32.80    19.98    35.73    72.08    46.67P    0.13R    0.01  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.06    10.30    12.58     4.37    10.37    40.07    17.37P    0.65R    0.07  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.66    11.08    18.50    10.15    20.39    53.87    29.60P    0.43R    0.04  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      76.16    10.59    18.35     9.99    20.11    55.67    29.40P    0.33R    0.03  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.54    10.59    13.83     5.29    11.97    42.35    19.55P    0.79R    0.07  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.42    10.46     0.13     1.50     4.16    21.41     7.70P    2.88R    0.39  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      56.99    10.28   -10.20     0.17     0.59     5.15     1.39P   15.02R    2.90  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      63.09    10.34    -0.04     0.76     2.08    13.63     4.43P    5.21R    0.75  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.46    10.73     2.23     1.27     3.62    19.95     7.11P    3.98R    0.62  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      56.55    10.25   -12.38     0.11     0.43     4.52     1.09P   16.34R    3.43  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.13    11.38    16.25     8.56    17.35    48.69    26.38P    0.84R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      55.26    10.02   -15.64     0.08     0.30     3.29     0.81P   18.78R    3.94  
Burnley           7    9   +0      65.30    10.65     3.48     1.36     3.62    19.39     7.17P    3.86R    0.55  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.60    10.29    -7.59     0.17     0.57     4.72     1.43P   15.60R    3.26  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.58    11.05    -6.33     0.39     1.16     7.99     2.66P   13.34R    2.83  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      66.95    10.51     2.14     1.81     4.67    23.36     9.84P    2.61R    0.28  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.45    10.50   -15.81     0.08     0.30     3.25     0.87P   22.23R    5.41  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      49.18    10.86   -27.60     0.04     0.15     1.43     0.39P   41.48R   14.56  
Millwall          7    6   -6      54.84    10.25   -14.41     0.08     0.29     3.15     0.84P   20.54R    4.54  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      49.27    10.29   -27.76     0.02     0.06     1.00     0.23P   40.46R   13.36  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.60    10.16   -36.98     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   72.36R   42.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      79.15    10.02    27.60    17.14    32.37    73.28    42.14P    0.11R    0.01  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.85    10.29    18.29    10.12    21.41    60.60    30.60P    0.42R    0.02  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.49    10.09    14.59     7.77    17.13    55.04    26.46P    0.48R    0.02  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.39     9.98    27.71    19.98    36.88    77.45    49.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.91    10.70    13.79     5.81    13.09    45.49    21.10P    1.38R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.25    10.09    29.10    25.90    44.02    81.79    56.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.44    10.14    -0.97     1.22     3.43    21.89     6.69P    5.03R    0.48  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.62    10.28   -22.11     0.09     0.29     3.45     0.71P   32.27R    7.40  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.23    10.16     6.32     1.72     4.52    25.42     9.44P    3.79R    0.32  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      64.94    10.34    -0.13     1.20     3.43    21.25     6.98P    5.71R    0.61  
Preston          8   11   +5      64.09    10.21     6.31     1.20     3.16    19.69     6.86P    5.90R    0.62  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.50    11.05    12.13     4.89    11.02    40.91    18.71P    2.27R    0.22  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.23    10.14    -5.44     0.21     0.81     7.72     2.03P   16.34R    2.74  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.22    10.16    -7.03     0.24     0.77     7.60     1.92P   16.75R    2.56  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.41    10.24   -24.05     0.01     0.07     1.54     0.24P   47.49R   14.83  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.47    10.54    -4.06     0.22     0.81     7.66     2.18P   19.01R    3.42  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      59.76    10.06    -5.20     0.26     0.98     9.58     2.75P   12.90R    1.97  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      53.20     9.77   -18.33     0.05     0.21     2.58     0.62P   31.90R    6.57  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.24     9.98   -11.61     0.05     0.21     2.87     0.69P   31.12R    6.98  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      51.96     9.96   -16.84     0.05     0.17     2.11     0.48P   36.30R    9.09  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      65.52    10.75     7.88     1.70     4.67    24.60    10.93P    5.52R    0.75  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.59     9.97   -12.33     0.03     0.15     2.53     0.61P   33.19R    7.85  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.44    10.54    -8.75     0.12     0.38     4.45     1.45P   27.79R    6.20  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.96     9.89   -26.87     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.11P   64.20R   27.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.64    10.34    37.37    46.20    77.87    95.07    82.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.18    10.57    25.55    10.24    37.21    72.67    46.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Exeter                8   16   +6      81.06    11.14    26.23    17.22    47.90    79.17    56.96P    0.03R    0.01  
Bradford              8   16   +6      67.10    10.34     4.27     1.29     8.17    31.23    12.80P    0.55R    0.12  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      64.59    10.89     2.28     0.99     6.13    24.86     9.89P    1.59R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.46    10.43     4.77     1.33     8.37    32.97    13.47P    0.61R    0.14  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.74    10.50    -5.57     0.27     2.32    12.60     4.10P    3.61R    0.97  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.29    10.29    20.61     8.06    32.93    69.76    43.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton           8   12   +2      59.85    10.25    -5.27     0.23     2.05    12.17     3.89P    3.28R    0.85  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      71.26    11.04    11.66     3.68    17.19    47.08    25.59P    0.29R    0.04  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      65.09    10.33     0.20     0.80     5.44    25.16     9.76P    1.19R    0.30  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      68.08    10.48     9.36     1.69     9.65    35.82    15.92P    0.58R    0.13  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.70    11.02    16.85     4.57    20.76    53.21    30.15P    0.24R    0.04  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.53    10.19    11.53     1.97    11.84    40.57    19.36P    0.31R    0.08  
York                  8   10   +0      52.87    10.40   -14.71     0.04     0.48     4.08     1.15P   12.74R    4.33  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      56.94    10.03    -9.44     0.06     0.94     7.24     2.23P    5.73R    1.82  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.48    10.16   -10.14     0.11     1.31     9.31     3.10P    4.52R    1.39  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      57.77    10.37    -7.41     0.13     1.35     9.14     2.96P    5.43R    1.65  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.27    10.04    -6.90     0.09     1.05     7.60     2.55P    5.25R    1.59  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.49     9.83   -34.24     0.00     0.05     0.56     0.13P   35.01R   16.06  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.49    11.54     6.61     1.04     6.74    26.55    12.43P    2.21R    0.72  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.15     9.89   -18.74     0.00     0.09     1.26     0.31P   23.55R    9.54  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      49.02    10.34   -22.99     0.01     0.18     1.86     0.50P   22.36R    8.97  
Barnet                8    2  -13      36.75     9.37   -41.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   70.86R   50.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     10   22  +10      75.79     9.90    16.75     4.57    40.63    10.77P    0.10R    0.01  
Forest_Green       10   21   +9      77.61     9.86    20.07     6.45    48.35    14.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            10   19   +8      88.59     9.23    39.15    34.11    87.63    52.90P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.18    10.35    28.37    17.05    69.92    31.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            10   17   +8      79.81     9.82    29.34     9.12    58.80    21.77P    0.04R    0.01  
Luton              10   17   +2      84.70     9.60    31.71    19.55    76.02    37.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           10   16   +5      64.55    10.87     3.11     0.65    11.05     2.36P    3.78R    0.64  
Tamworth           10   16   +2      59.62     9.62    -7.46     0.06     3.35     0.47P    6.55R    1.22  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      73.48    10.24    12.16     3.26    32.92     9.68P    0.37R    0.03  
Hereford           10   16   -2      74.39    10.44    12.64     3.98    35.96    11.40P    0.32R    0.03  
Gateshead          10   15   +3      66.38     9.93     5.89     0.62    12.71     2.81P    1.57R    0.19  
Woking             10   15   +0      58.06    10.88   -11.93     0.14     3.99     0.74P   11.66R    2.85  
AFC_Telford        10   14   +4      57.03     9.53    -6.07     0.03     1.91     0.28P   10.01R    1.92  
Braintree_Town     10   12   -2      56.80     9.88   -10.45     0.04     1.97     0.29P   11.45R    2.38  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.06     9.51   -26.34     0.00     0.35     0.07P   30.53R    9.05  
Southport          10   12   -5      55.05     9.77   -16.56     0.03     1.29     0.21P   15.29R    3.54  
Stockport          10   10   -2      56.51     9.80    -7.12     0.03     1.78     0.29P   11.72R    2.81  
Cambridge_Utd      10   10   -4      62.70     9.92     1.09     0.23     6.67     1.51P    3.76R    0.64  
Barrow             10   10   -5      50.39     9.58   -20.64     0.01     0.37     0.05P   28.68R    8.30  
Nuneaton           10   10   -6      45.61    10.30   -32.78     0.01     0.24     0.03P   49.51R   21.58  
Lincoln_City       10    9   -3      55.54     9.69    -7.92     0.02     1.36     0.26P   13.24R    2.91  
Ebbsfleet_United   10    8   -8      48.81     9.81   -25.31     0.00     0.28     0.03P   35.70R   12.10  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.62    10.35   -26.57     0.00     0.15     0.02P   56.04R   27.78  
Kidderminster      10    5   -6      57.63     9.89    -1.13     0.05     2.31     0.58P    9.60R    2.01