Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        5   13   +7      73.00     8.85    30.74    12.07    33.79    55.75    73.75    91.37     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd        5   12   +6      83.37     8.34    52.39    58.91    80.48    91.31    96.32    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Everton        5   10   +4      63.05     8.92    15.85     1.34     6.52    15.66    29.19    60.60     0.12R    0.02  
West_Brom      5   10   +3      53.03     9.09    -1.92     0.09     0.72     2.31     5.31    18.88     2.48R    0.33  
Arsenal        5    9   +7      71.26     9.10    35.43     9.49    27.79    48.74    67.73    87.90     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham         5    9   +5      56.54     9.13     8.13     0.27     1.77     5.03    11.24    32.36     0.83R    0.08  
Man_City       5    9   +3      74.78     8.72    37.62    16.66    43.16    65.15    80.29    94.05     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham      5    8   +2      59.92     9.13    12.08     0.88     3.80     9.69    19.24    46.53     0.34R    0.03  
West_Ham       5    8   +1      43.98     9.13   -15.84     0.01     0.07     0.25     0.77     4.02    16.07R    3.59  
Newcastle      5    8   +0      54.20     9.23     0.57     0.16     1.02     2.87     6.83    23.05     1.91R    0.20  
Swansea        5    7   +3      45.63     8.76    -8.62     0.02     0.10     0.35     0.97     5.02    10.30R    1.99  
Sunderland     4    4   +0      48.96     9.11    -3.05     0.03     0.19     0.78     2.29     9.93     5.97R    1.01  
Stoke          5    4   -1      43.67     8.58    -9.72     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.37     2.95    14.44R    2.91  
Aston_Villa    5    4   -4      41.90     8.63   -16.87     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.27     1.88    20.46R    4.73  
Wigan          5    4   -5      37.47     8.52   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.59    38.57R   12.12  
Southampton    5    3   -6      37.76     9.45   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.21    38.90R   14.22  
Norwich        5    3   -6      36.62     8.65   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.50    42.96R   14.78  
Liverpool      5    2   -6      53.00     8.93     2.42     0.05     0.53     1.86     5.04    19.11     2.33R    0.31  
QPR            5    2   -8      34.26     8.44   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.23    53.78R   21.53  
Reading        4    1   -5      34.88     9.24   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.57    50.52R   22.16  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 September 2012, Leicester vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          7   16  +10      74.12    10.35    16.87     5.72    13.94    48.46    21.78P    0.38R    0.03  
Blackburn         7   14   +4      81.55    11.24    28.25    21.52    37.62    73.52    48.15P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackpool         6   13  +11      84.94    10.87    40.18    31.76    50.21    83.31    60.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull              7   13   +4      72.36    10.24    13.04     3.86     9.98    41.14    17.26P    0.60R    0.06  
Wolverhampton     7   13   +4      75.39    11.16    18.13     8.75    18.42    53.35    27.97P    0.55R    0.05  
Cardiff           7   13   +3      75.69    10.57    17.50     7.91    17.99    54.35    27.40P    0.33R    0.02  
Leicester         7   12   +3      72.63    10.49    13.99     4.34    10.97    42.75    18.73P    0.72R    0.07  
Middlesbrough     7   12   -1      66.73    10.39     0.62     1.27     3.67    22.37     7.58P    2.50R    0.36  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      64.55    11.36     1.23     1.39     3.78    19.11     7.06P    5.25R    0.82  
Bristol_City      7   10   +2      57.26    10.28    -9.90     0.14     0.51     5.24     1.24P   14.40R    2.90  
Nott'm_Forest     7   10   +1      63.08    10.43    -0.10     0.63     1.93    13.93     4.60P    5.37R    0.85  
Leeds_United      7   10   +0      65.41    10.70     2.07     1.12     3.27    19.66     6.69P    4.05R    0.54  
Barnsley          7   10   +0      57.06    10.36   -11.64     0.10     0.44     4.99     1.22P   15.33R    3.22  
Bolton            7   10   -1      74.39    11.38    16.78     7.93    17.04    50.15    26.70P    0.81R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   -2      55.13     9.99   -16.03     0.07     0.27     3.08     0.73P   19.08R    4.15  
Burnley           7    9   +0      65.06    10.72     2.97     1.18     3.23    18.95     6.72P    4.10R    0.59  
Derby             7    8   +1      56.30    10.33    -8.26     0.13     0.41     4.47     1.15P   16.43R    3.55  
Charlton          7    8   -1      58.88    10.96    -5.97     0.34     1.06     8.22     2.64P   12.47R    2.71  
Birmingham        7    8   -6      67.14    10.54     2.45     1.67     4.53    24.10     9.85P    2.49R    0.37  
Watford           7    7   -4      54.59    10.31   -15.61     0.07     0.28     3.19     0.81P   21.37R    4.97  
Sheff_Wed         7    7   -5      48.92    10.64   -28.20     0.03     0.11     1.23     0.28P   42.42R   15.00  
Millwall          7    6   -6      55.02    10.25   -14.18     0.05     0.24     3.31     0.84P   19.89R    4.38  
Ipswich           7    5  -10      49.45    10.26   -27.41     0.02     0.08     0.99     0.23P   39.62R   12.99  
Peterborough      7    0  -11      40.78    10.24   -36.78     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   71.68R   42.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         8   20  +17      78.64    10.03    26.84    16.10    30.65    71.91    40.48P    0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County     8   17   +8      75.64    10.27    18.04     9.80    20.71    59.98    29.90P    0.41R    0.01  
Stevenage        8   16   +5      74.75    10.12    14.99     8.16    17.95    56.23    27.56P    0.46R    0.02  
MK_Dons          8   14   +6      80.37    10.01    27.74    20.23    36.99    77.16    49.86P    0.08R    0.00  
Swindon          8   14   +5      71.55    10.71    13.24     5.56    12.52    44.24    20.17P    1.45R    0.13  
Sheff_Utd        8   14   +4      82.25    10.07    29.06    26.58    44.89    81.94    57.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          8   14   +0      65.46    10.05    -0.89     1.22     3.43    21.68     6.65P    4.73R    0.45  
Crawley_Town     8   13   -3      53.47    10.33   -22.32     0.10     0.32     3.53     0.76P   32.93R    7.75  
Brentford        8   12   +3      66.34    10.20     6.51     1.80     4.74    25.59     9.54P    3.80R    0.32  
Carlisle         8   12   -1      65.30    10.36     0.42     1.36     3.70    22.33     7.38P    5.45R    0.58  
Preston          8   11   +5      63.97    10.29     6.01     1.15     3.25    19.64     7.00P    6.30R    0.70  
Doncaster        7   11   +3      70.58    11.01    12.23     4.81    11.27    41.40    18.98P    2.26R    0.22  
Yeovil           8   10   +1      58.22    10.20    -5.40     0.24     0.87     7.85     2.10P   16.47R    2.74  
Leyton_Orient    7   10   +1      58.10    10.22    -7.22     0.23     0.75     7.55     1.95P   17.22R    2.88  
Crewe            8   10   -3      49.82    10.32   -23.43     0.05     0.13     1.78     0.37P   46.10R   14.12  
Shrewsbury       8    9   +1      57.48    10.48    -4.10     0.26     0.82     7.52     2.14P   18.91R    3.51  
Bournemouth      8    8   -5      59.75    10.08    -5.24     0.31     1.00     9.59     2.78P   13.14R    2.07  
Scunthorpe       8    8   -8      53.09     9.84   -18.54     0.05     0.22     2.74     0.71P   32.53R    6.82  
Oldham           7    6   -3      53.53     9.96   -11.16     0.04     0.20     3.02     0.75P   29.79R    6.60  
Hartlepool       7    6   -6      52.07     9.94   -16.71     0.03     0.13     2.08     0.49P   36.28R    8.55  
Portsmouth       8    5   -5      65.40    10.86     7.76     1.79     4.83    24.71    10.97P    5.90R    0.78  
Colchester       8    4   -7      52.22     9.97   -12.92     0.02     0.14     2.24     0.52P   34.82R    8.51  
Coventry         8    3   -8      54.95    10.59    -7.97     0.11     0.47     4.88     1.59P   26.24R    5.54  
Bury             8    3  -10      44.89     9.87   -26.93     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.08P   64.57R   27.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            8   22  +13      89.84    10.34    37.61    47.31    78.55    95.35    83.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             8   16  +10      78.46    10.50    25.93    10.85    38.54    73.69    47.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Exeter                8   16   +6      80.60    11.01    25.50    16.06    46.37    78.21    55.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford              8   16   +6      66.87    10.30     3.88     1.16     7.85    30.73    12.33P    0.64R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town        8   14   +5      65.12    10.82     3.17     1.06     6.63    26.56    10.94P    1.34R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley    8   14   +3      67.45    10.34     4.79     1.30     8.28    32.75    13.25P    0.60R    0.13  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +4      59.48    10.38    -6.04     0.29     2.04    11.98     3.73P    3.86R    1.13  
Southend              8   13   +2      77.34    10.33    20.67     8.08    33.25    69.90    44.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton           8   12   +2      60.11    10.28    -4.85     0.25     2.28    12.89     4.19P    3.27R    1.00  
Rochdale              8   12   +1      70.97    10.98    11.18     3.38    16.39    46.40    24.53P    0.32R    0.06  
Cheltenham            8   12   -1      64.76    10.35    -0.24     0.79     5.37    23.78     9.41P    1.23R    0.31  
Rotherham             8   11   +2      68.07    10.47     9.30     1.57     9.87    35.87    16.22P    0.56R    0.12  
Chesterfield          8   11   +2      72.58    11.01    16.58     4.49    20.62    52.79    29.73P    0.29R    0.08  
Torquay               8   11   +2      69.39    10.12    11.41     1.83    11.27    40.33    19.24P    0.27R    0.07  
York                  8   10   +0      52.89    10.38   -14.56     0.06     0.50     4.08     1.15P   12.66R    4.53  
Plymouth              8    9   -3      56.98    10.01    -9.41     0.09     0.91     7.25     2.18P    5.68R    1.64  
Oxford_Utd            8    9   -6      58.44    10.16   -10.21     0.10     1.31     9.49     2.97P    4.58R    1.38  
Morecambe             8    8   -3      57.93    10.39    -7.09     0.17     1.47     9.45     3.10P    5.35R    1.68  
Aldershot             8    8   -3      57.12     9.96    -7.16     0.06     0.95     7.54     2.34P    5.21R    1.49  
AFC_Wimbledon         8    7  -10      45.30     9.85   -34.46     0.00     0.03     0.57     0.12P   36.25R   16.70  
Wycombe               7    4   -4      64.62    11.50     6.80     1.10     7.26    27.06    13.06P    2.08R    0.58  
Dag_&_Red             8    4   -6      48.37     9.92   -18.25     0.01     0.10     1.40     0.32P   23.02R    9.26  
Bristol_Rovers        7    4   -9      49.10    10.32   -22.98     0.00     0.15     1.89     0.51P   22.40R    8.93  
Barnet                8    2  -13      36.93     9.33   -41.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   70.29R   50.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 September 2012, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     10   22  +10      75.93     9.95    16.99     4.62    41.13    11.09P    0.10R    0.01  
Forest_Green       10   21   +9      77.74     9.89    20.30     6.40    48.93    15.25P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham            10   19   +8      88.52     9.36    39.05    33.74    87.00    52.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       10   19   +4      83.09    10.33    28.17    16.85    69.32    30.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            10   17   +8      80.02     9.83    29.72     9.67    59.62    22.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton              10   17   +2      84.82     9.56    31.95    19.78    76.53    37.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           10   16   +5      64.19    11.01     2.45     0.60    10.86     2.28P    4.16R    0.75  
Tamworth           10   16   +2      59.54     9.58    -7.55     0.09     3.16     0.47P    6.46R    1.12  
Mansfield          10   16   -1      73.23    10.06    11.74     2.98    31.57     9.05P    0.35R    0.04  
Hereford           10   16   -2      74.62    10.43    12.92     4.12    37.07    11.63P    0.30R    0.03  
Gateshead          10   15   +3      66.40     9.83     5.90     0.59    12.32     2.74P    1.55R    0.21  
Woking             10   15   +0      57.69    10.89   -12.47     0.16     3.66     0.64P   12.60R    3.19  
AFC_Telford        10   14   +4      57.20     9.51    -5.87     0.04     1.91     0.32P    9.42R    1.86  
Braintree_Town     10   12   -2      56.92     9.89   -10.24     0.03     2.14     0.31P   11.36R    2.41  
Alfreton_Town      10   12   -5      50.14     9.60   -26.16     0.00     0.38     0.03P   30.46R    9.29  
Southport          10   12   -5      55.27     9.78   -16.19     0.02     1.43     0.27P   14.80R    3.35  
Stockport          10   10   -2      56.38     9.84    -7.42     0.03     1.79     0.34P   12.35R    2.85  
Cambridge_Utd      10   10   -4      62.76     9.96     1.18     0.22     6.66     1.57P    3.73R    0.69  
Barrow             10   10   -5      50.28     9.47   -20.79     0.00     0.31     0.04P   28.84R    8.30  
Nuneaton           10   10   -6      45.82    10.36   -32.43     0.00     0.25     0.04P   48.41R   21.03  
Lincoln_City       10    9   -3      55.55     9.71    -7.90     0.02     1.38     0.28P   13.40R    2.96  
Ebbsfleet_United   10    8   -8      48.72     9.80   -25.36     0.00     0.24     0.04P   35.95R   12.22  
Hyde_United        10    6   -6      43.55    10.22   -26.58     0.00     0.11     0.01P   55.97R   27.68  
Kidderminster      10    5   -6      57.48     9.85    -1.39     0.03     2.24     0.47P    9.67R    2.00