Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2012, Everton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        4   10   +6      72.64     9.12    32.31    13.38    33.93    56.12    73.77    90.68     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        4    9   +5      81.52     8.63    51.50    50.05    74.92    88.16    94.66    98.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal        4    8   +7      70.57     9.36    33.99     9.81    26.86    47.53    66.53    86.45     0.02R    0.00  
Man_City       4    8   +3      76.31     8.92    40.57    24.06    51.73    72.45    85.31    95.52     0.00     0.00  
Swansea        4    7   +6      48.78     9.04    -2.78     0.05     0.24     0.94     2.56    10.59     6.25R    0.94  
West_Brom      4    7   +2      51.94     9.32    -2.39     0.14     0.66     2.16     5.14    17.33     3.81R    0.55  
Everton        4    7   +1      60.07     9.19    10.73     0.92     3.89    10.25    20.98    48.27     0.41R    0.03  
West_Ham       4    7   +1      45.33     9.51   -14.71     0.04     0.15     0.58     1.51     6.22    14.43R    3.00  
Fulham         4    6   +4      54.49     9.36     6.41     0.27     1.31     3.92     8.93    26.51     1.98R    0.25  
Tottenham      4    5   +1      59.63     9.30    13.41     0.89     3.87    10.03    20.46    47.42     0.52R    0.05  
Newcastle      4    5   -1      53.74     9.38     1.26     0.18     1.01     3.10     7.42    23.45     2.61R    0.31  
Stoke          4    4   +0      44.07     8.75   -10.81     0.00     0.04     0.19     0.66     3.83    14.83R    2.77  
Aston_Villa    4    4   -1      44.69     8.99   -11.63     0.01     0.07     0.29     0.84     4.52    14.19R    3.03  
Wigan          4    4   -4      39.01     8.81   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     1.31    34.22R    9.46  
Sunderland     3    3   +0      49.31     9.35    -3.26     0.04     0.36     1.15     3.18    12.11     6.20R    1.03  
Norwich        4    3   -5      37.15     8.82   -29.63     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.70    42.44R   13.93  
Liverpool      4    2   -5      54.10     9.16     3.08     0.16     0.95     2.97     7.50    24.40     2.08R    0.23  
QPR            4    2   -7      35.07     8.58   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.33    51.70R   19.63  
Reading        3    1   -4      35.99     9.60   -28.59     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     0.99    47.97R   19.45  
Southampton    4    0   -9      34.07     9.43   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.53    56.33R   25.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Ipswich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Blackburn         6   14   +5      85.31    11.19    34.32    32.05    50.65    83.20    60.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool         6   13  +11      83.82    10.68    38.84    26.43    45.48    81.54    56.31P    0.03R    0.01  
Brighton          6   13   +9      71.19    10.36    13.78     3.30     8.65    38.07    15.21P    0.88R    0.12  
Hull              6   13   +6      74.22    10.25    16.00     5.12    13.29    49.40    21.94P    0.36R    0.04  
Cardiff           6   13   +4      77.50    10.58    19.40    10.03    22.03    61.50    32.18P    0.22R    0.02  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      65.25    10.97     2.25     1.36     3.64    20.70     7.12P    4.23R    0.75  
Nott'm_Forest     6   10   +2      64.34    10.44     0.54     0.85     2.58    16.95     5.37P    4.47R    0.73  
Wolverhampton     6   10   +2      72.56    11.24    14.28     5.23    12.45    43.90    20.60P    1.16R    0.14  
Bristol_City      6    9   +2      57.08    10.26   -11.22     0.12     0.46     5.21     1.23P   15.25R    3.64  
Leicester         6    9   +1      70.00    10.49    10.32     2.45     6.85    33.99    13.45P    1.40R    0.19  
Middlesbrough     6    9   -2      62.46    10.33    -4.95     0.57     1.62    12.67     3.83P    6.33R    1.08  
Derby             6    8   +2      59.10    10.27    -5.10     0.17     0.71     7.58     1.96P   11.14R    2.42  
Birmingham        6    8   -1      73.30    10.49    15.54     4.93    12.25    46.31    22.43P    0.61R    0.05  
Leeds_United      6    7   -1      64.42    10.66     2.05     0.78     2.53    17.98     5.67P    4.89R    0.86  
Bolton            6    7   -2      72.65    11.44    15.87     5.52    13.21    44.76    22.45P    1.28R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace    6    7   -3      53.04     9.89   -17.70     0.04     0.14     1.97     0.43P   25.50R    7.09  
Sheff_Wed         6    7   -4      51.20    11.00   -26.56     0.04     0.16     2.32     0.53P   35.12R   12.93  
Barnsley          6    7   -5      50.44    10.02   -25.51     0.01     0.04     1.18     0.19P   36.36R   12.22  
Burnley           6    6   -1      61.80    10.62    -1.00     0.52     1.61    12.37     3.98P    7.60R    1.46  
Watford           6    6   -4      56.02    10.50   -14.18     0.10     0.38     4.54     1.08P   18.59R    5.01  
Millwall          6    6   -5      57.53    10.16   -11.50     0.14     0.47     5.44     1.44P   14.02R    3.07  
Charlton          6    5   -2      56.60    11.06    -8.23     0.21     0.65     6.07     1.80P   17.99R    5.03  
Ipswich           6    5   -9      52.26    10.38   -24.32     0.04     0.14     2.06     0.46P   30.49R    9.69  
Peterborough      6    0   -9      43.73    10.37   -32.91     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.04P   62.01R   33.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         7   17  +14      75.55    10.13    21.74    12.45    24.76    62.53    33.64P    0.43R    0.02  
Stevenage        7   15   +5      74.51    10.31    14.04    10.37    21.04    57.63    30.13P    0.70R    0.02  
Notts_County     7   14   +5      71.93    10.60    11.77     7.23    15.40    48.02    22.90P    1.58R    0.11  
Crawley_Town     7   13   +0      56.61    10.66   -15.35     0.36     1.01     7.40     1.96P   24.81R    5.07  
Preston          7   11   +7      66.80    10.64    10.42     3.17     7.46    30.58    12.82P    4.43R    0.45  
Sheff_Utd        7   11   +3      80.95    10.41    28.64    27.55    45.09    79.42    56.44P    0.16R    0.01  
MK_Dons          7   11   +3      76.96    10.35    21.75    15.31    29.51    67.30    41.15P    0.46R    0.02  
Swindon          7   11   +1      67.26    10.94     5.49     3.44     8.07    31.36    13.43P    4.72R    0.55  
Walsall          7   11   -2      62.23    10.24    -5.16     0.87     2.46    15.83     4.88P    9.99R    1.27  
Doncaster        6   10   +3      71.06    11.31    12.39     7.44    15.27    45.01    22.87P    2.56R    0.23  
Yeovil           7   10   +2      59.88    10.43    -4.05     0.63     1.80    11.95     3.68P   14.70R    2.26  
Brentford        7    9   +2      64.96    10.39     5.83     1.86     4.97    24.08     9.52P    5.98R    0.65  
Leyton_Orient    6    9   +1      58.40    10.49    -7.35     0.47     1.40     9.37     2.91P   18.62R    3.40  
Carlisle         7    9   -2      62.04    10.60    -3.02     1.07     2.92    16.28     5.76P   10.95R    1.60  
Crewe            7    9   -3      49.49    10.54   -24.43     0.06     0.22     2.08     0.46P   49.85R   17.11  
Shrewsbury       7    8   +1      57.62    10.75    -4.11     0.42     1.31     9.25     2.87P   20.70R    4.01  
Bournemouth      7    8   -1      63.17    10.37     1.94     1.17     3.13    18.54     6.71P    8.46R    1.17  
Oldham           6    6   -2      54.53    10.22   -10.61     0.12     0.48     4.51     1.22P   29.38R    6.51  
Portsmouth       7    5   -2      69.02    11.13    14.10     5.26    11.28    38.68    20.21P    3.67R    0.44  
Hartlepool       6    5   -6      52.53    10.17   -16.16     0.08     0.30     2.98     0.78P   36.98R    9.47  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -9      51.00    10.12   -20.24     0.07     0.20     2.23     0.58P   42.82R   11.72  
Colchester       7    4   -6      54.38    10.26   -10.63     0.11     0.42     4.38     1.24P   29.80R    6.98  
Coventry         7    3   -7      57.71    10.92    -4.88     0.47     1.43     9.54     3.60P   20.60R    4.23  
Bury             7    3   -7      47.06    10.25   -22.12     0.02     0.06     1.03     0.24P   57.65R   22.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Burton_Albion vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            7   19  +11      86.52    10.66    33.42    31.58    64.37    89.33    70.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale             7   16  +12      81.53    10.70    31.07    17.24    46.62    79.52    55.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter                7   16   +7      82.61    11.28    27.86    21.08    50.45    80.30    58.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        7   13   +5      65.24    11.25     2.27     1.27     6.54    24.61    10.18P    1.36R    0.37  
Bradford              7   13   +4      63.54    10.51    -1.01     0.61     3.94    18.74     6.87P    1.29R    0.27  
Burton_Albion         7   12   +4      58.75    10.66    -8.33     0.18     1.66     9.93     3.09P    3.96R    1.18  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +2      65.91    10.72     3.74     0.97     5.97    25.86    10.10P    1.01R    0.24  
Northampton           7   11   +2      60.01    10.53    -6.27     0.29     1.99    11.80     3.76P    2.85R    0.77  
Rochdale              7   11   +1      72.61    11.25    13.31     4.50    18.61    49.06    26.98P    0.23R    0.04  
Cheltenham            7   11   -1      65.75    10.65     0.42     0.93     5.93    24.96     9.86P    0.96R    0.24  
Rotherham             7   10   +2      69.31    10.83    10.78     2.15    11.09    37.28    17.15P    0.44R    0.10  
Chesterfield          7   10   +2      73.84    11.37    18.34     5.81    22.07    54.14    31.22P    0.21R    0.05  
Torquay               7   10   +2      71.18    10.48    13.71     2.78    13.58    43.92    21.93P    0.19R    0.05  
Southend              7   10   +1      75.43    10.58    19.59     6.16    24.60    60.18    35.00P    0.06R    0.01  
York                  7    9   +0      53.53    10.78   -15.16     0.06     0.61     4.50     1.33P   10.48R    3.56  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   -4      62.10    10.46    -5.00     0.45     2.92    15.24     5.47P    1.83R    0.46  
Morecambe             7    8   -2      60.53    10.66    -4.22     0.31     2.28    12.88     4.57P    2.95R    0.86  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      58.76    10.35    -6.16     0.16     1.42     9.15     3.07P    3.51R    0.88  
Plymouth              7    6   -4      54.14    10.30   -12.49     0.05     0.46     4.18     1.22P    8.26R    2.63  
Wycombe               6    4   -3      69.86    12.01    14.60     3.38    14.56    41.07    22.34P    0.82R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    4  -11      41.31    10.02   -41.53     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.04P   48.99R   25.61  
Dag_&_Red             7    3   -6      47.29    10.19   -21.09     0.01     0.08     1.00     0.25P   23.96R    9.73  
Bristol_Rovers        6    3   -9      49.60    10.75   -23.65     0.02     0.24     2.01     0.54P   19.24R    7.34  
Barnet                7    1  -13      36.65     9.73   -44.20     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   67.35R   45.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County      9   19   +9      74.51    10.24    16.36     3.12    37.47     8.89P    0.20R    0.03  
Macclesfield        9   19   +5      86.09    10.54    31.90    21.22    78.46    36.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   18   +8      74.83    10.12    17.29     3.18    38.52    10.19P    0.18R    0.01  
Wrexham             9   18   +8      90.29     9.48    41.03    35.15    90.46    55.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton               9   17   +5      88.08     9.63    37.98    26.36    85.75    46.29P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford            9   15   +5      63.14    11.24     0.21     0.49    10.13     2.21P    5.33R    1.12  
Gateshead           9   15   +4      68.56    10.13     8.29     0.86    18.15     3.80P    1.05R    0.14  
Mansfield           9   15   -1      73.94    10.29    12.30     2.86    35.18     9.63P    0.27R    0.02  
Grimsby             9   14   +5      76.08    10.12    22.78     4.02    44.55    13.60P    0.13R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   13   +4      57.01     9.73    -6.57     0.02     2.30     0.33P   10.13R    1.98  
Tamworth            9   13   +1      57.56     9.76    -9.15     0.03     2.43     0.30P    9.70R    1.85  
Hereford            9   13   -4      72.02    10.76     9.29     2.18    29.40     8.22P    0.72R    0.08  
Woking              9   12   -1      55.14    11.07   -15.15     0.06     2.56     0.40P   18.10R    4.87  
Southport           9   12   -4      56.15     9.86   -15.97     0.02     1.88     0.25P   12.96R    2.67  
Braintree_Town      9   11   -2      57.62    10.17    -9.83     0.05     2.89     0.44P   10.49R    2.20  
Alfreton_Town       9   11   -5      50.58     9.73   -26.09     0.01     0.53     0.05P   28.75R    8.36  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   -2      64.61    10.08     3.96     0.27    10.00     2.13P    2.60R    0.39  
Lincoln_City        9    9   -2      57.60     9.96    -5.76     0.04     2.65     0.50P    9.70R    1.94  
Stockport           9    9   -2      56.43    10.12    -8.07     0.03     2.22     0.40P   12.39R    2.95  
Nuneaton            9    9   -6      45.80    10.76   -33.02     0.00     0.31     0.03P   48.85R   21.96  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    8   -6      51.83    10.17   -19.98     0.01     0.81     0.09P   25.11R    7.43  
Barrow              9    7   -7      46.76     9.64   -25.78     0.00     0.13     0.02P   42.85R   15.65  
Hyde_United         9    5   -6      44.72    10.70   -25.24     0.00     0.25     0.04P   51.32R   24.35  
Kidderminster       9    4   -6      58.17    10.13    -0.79     0.03     2.98     0.67P    9.16R    2.01