Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 21 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2012, Everton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        4   10   +6      72.61     9.11    32.33    13.31    33.73    55.98    73.79    90.75     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd        4    9   +5      81.42     8.61    51.42    49.97    74.81    88.00    94.67    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal        4    8   +7      70.59     9.33    34.07     9.90    26.76    47.55    66.49    86.52     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City       4    8   +3      76.32     8.96    40.62    24.06    51.88    72.29    85.28    95.50     0.00     0.00  
Swansea        4    7   +6      48.95     9.12    -2.54     0.04     0.28     1.02     2.83    11.11     6.18R    0.95  
West_Brom      4    7   +2      51.98     9.26    -2.28     0.09     0.67     2.04     5.08    17.38     3.69R    0.54  
Everton        4    7   +1      59.90     9.22    10.40     0.87     3.94    10.23    20.19    47.34     0.51R    0.05  
West_Ham       4    7   +1      44.93     9.44   -15.47     0.02     0.15     0.52     1.36     5.64    15.11R    3.26  
Fulham         4    6   +4      54.49     9.35     6.41     0.24     1.27     3.80     8.81    26.56     1.89R    0.20  
Tottenham      4    5   +1      59.75     9.32    13.65     1.02     4.05    10.40    21.03    47.59     0.46R    0.04  
Newcastle      4    5   -1      53.71     9.43     1.20     0.20     0.99     3.18     7.44    23.33     2.62R    0.38  
Stoke          4    4   +0      44.01     8.88   -11.00     0.00     0.06     0.21     0.63     3.76    15.51R    3.08  
Aston_Villa    4    4   -1      45.02     9.01   -11.14     0.02     0.07     0.30     1.02     4.74    13.48R    2.69  
Wigan          4    4   -4      38.95     8.77   -24.91     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.08    34.08R    9.47  
Sunderland     3    3   +0      49.36     9.38    -3.23     0.06     0.31     1.13     3.10    11.97     6.46R    1.06  
Norwich        4    3   -5      37.40     8.91   -29.18     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.83    41.34R   13.32  
Liverpool      4    2   -5      54.31     9.21     3.44     0.20     1.01     3.20     7.70    25.05     2.06R    0.26  
QPR            4    2   -7      34.82     8.57   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.35    53.08R   20.07  
Reading        3    1   -4      36.07     9.72   -28.52     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.09    47.78R   19.19  
Southampton    4    0   -9      34.13     9.52   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.61    55.74R   25.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Ipswich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Blackburn         6   14   +5      85.01    11.23    33.71    31.65    49.77    82.57    59.33P    0.07R    0.01  
Blackpool         6   13  +11      83.90    10.56    38.95    26.66    45.72    82.11    56.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton          6   13   +9      71.06    10.27    13.57     2.92     8.15    37.37    14.40P    0.86R    0.10  
Hull              6   13   +6      74.43    10.15    16.19     5.13    13.22    50.11    22.15P    0.32R    0.03  
Cardiff           6   13   +4      77.78    10.59    19.89    10.57    22.70    62.70    32.89P    0.17R    0.01  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      64.95    10.92     1.75     1.22     3.51    19.48     6.81P    4.75R    0.84  
Nott'm_Forest     6   10   +2      64.69    10.36     1.08     0.87     2.62    17.62     5.65P    4.04R    0.72  
Wolverhampton     6   10   +2      72.51    11.26    14.19     5.28    12.50    43.96    20.78P    1.12R    0.20  
Bristol_City      6    9   +2      57.14    10.21   -11.11     0.13     0.44     5.13     1.25P   15.20R    3.57  
Leicester         6    9   +1      69.89    10.50    10.19     2.36     6.84    33.76    13.17P    1.48R    0.17  
Middlesbrough     6    9   -2      62.47    10.32    -4.88     0.49     1.59    12.68     3.84P    6.18R    1.12  
Derby             6    8   +2      58.82    10.30    -5.60     0.21     0.80     7.26     2.05P   11.52R    2.46  
Birmingham        6    8   -1      73.28    10.41    15.54     4.80    12.26    45.94    22.40P    0.56R    0.10  
Leeds_United      6    7   -1      64.50    10.64     2.27     0.80     2.59    18.22     5.83P    4.78R    0.85  
Bolton            6    7   -2      72.67    11.45    15.82     5.77    13.46    44.71    22.40P    1.31R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace    6    7   -3      52.87     9.93   -17.98     0.03     0.15     2.03     0.46P   26.16R    7.41  
Sheff_Wed         6    7   -4      51.65    11.03   -25.79     0.07     0.23     2.50     0.61P   33.73R   12.21  
Barnsley          6    7   -5      50.49     9.90   -25.39     0.01     0.05     1.05     0.20P   36.16R   11.81  
Burnley           6    6   -1      61.93    10.64    -0.75     0.55     1.67    12.59     4.17P    7.36R    1.48  
Watford           6    6   -4      56.14    10.53   -14.03     0.15     0.47     4.79     1.24P   18.27R    4.78  
Millwall          6    6   -5      57.62    10.22   -11.35     0.10     0.43     5.40     1.44P   14.03R    3.27  
Charlton          6    5   -2      56.39    11.07    -8.59     0.21     0.65     5.95     1.82P   18.51R    5.41  
Ipswich           6    5   -9      52.06    10.25   -24.75     0.04     0.16     1.82     0.43P   30.90R    9.88  
Peterborough      6    0   -9      43.62    10.34   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   62.50R   33.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         7   17  +14      75.38    10.23    21.54    12.16    24.13    61.68    33.04P    0.44R    0.03  
Stevenage        7   15   +5      74.41    10.39    13.94    10.42    20.90    56.99    29.76P    0.71R    0.06  
Notts_County     7   14   +5      71.98    10.55    11.79     7.14    15.40    48.10    22.70P    1.48R    0.09  
Crawley_Town     7   13   +0      56.51    10.63   -15.47     0.39     1.08     7.26     2.01P   24.98R    5.31  
Preston          7   11   +7      66.75    10.56    10.37     3.01     7.09    30.38    12.40P    4.51R    0.48  
Sheff_Utd        7   11   +3      80.94    10.40    28.62    27.41    44.96    79.38    56.40P    0.16R    0.02  
MK_Dons          7   11   +3      77.22    10.36    22.09    16.06    30.09    68.21    41.98P    0.45R    0.02  
Swindon          7   11   +1      67.47    10.86     5.78     3.47     8.23    32.11    13.78P    4.52R    0.46  
Walsall          7   11   -2      62.45    10.24    -4.77     0.95     2.69    16.22     5.33P    9.78R    1.21  
Doncaster        6   10   +3      71.30    11.39    12.78     7.81    16.13    46.28    24.09P    2.58R    0.24  
Yeovil           7   10   +2      59.73    10.50    -4.27     0.65     1.84    11.81     3.67P   15.27R    2.61  
Brentford        7    9   +2      65.04    10.28     5.99     1.94     5.06    24.18     9.73P    5.56R    0.60  
Leyton_Orient    6    9   +1      58.38    10.41    -7.34     0.48     1.31     9.31     2.71P   18.34R    3.37  
Carlisle         7    9   -2      62.07    10.62    -2.99     1.06     2.95    16.57     5.61P   10.97R    1.61  
Crewe            7    9   -3      49.53    10.54   -24.43     0.08     0.25     2.22     0.53P   49.81R   16.92  
Shrewsbury       7    8   +1      57.63    10.71    -4.12     0.43     1.31     8.97     2.94P   20.61R    4.04  
Bournemouth      7    8   -1      63.38    10.26     2.21     1.14     3.29    18.94     6.74P    7.92R    0.98  
Oldham           6    6   -2      54.50    10.28   -10.73     0.17     0.55     4.59     1.32P   29.66R    6.53  
Portsmouth       7    5   -2      68.63    10.98    13.45     4.59    10.56    37.33    19.16P    3.69R    0.46  
Hartlepool       6    5   -6      52.52    10.23   -16.20     0.08     0.29     3.13     0.81P   36.93R    9.50  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -9      51.17     9.99   -19.99     0.05     0.17     2.04     0.53P   41.99R   11.38  
Colchester       7    4   -6      54.11    10.33   -11.05     0.12     0.42     4.27     1.21P   30.83R    7.48  
Coventry         7    3   -7      57.50    10.93    -5.18     0.36     1.25     9.15     3.37P   21.29R    4.40  
Bury             7    3   -7      47.11    10.10   -22.03     0.02     0.06     0.86     0.20P   57.53R   22.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Burton_Albion vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            7   19  +11      86.41    10.66    33.21    31.22    64.04    89.28    70.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale             7   16  +12      81.55    10.83    31.15    17.33    46.61    79.33    55.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter                7   16   +7      82.68    11.36    28.07    21.24    50.48    80.36    58.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        7   13   +5      65.25    11.27     2.34     1.26     6.50    24.85    10.19P    1.43R    0.37  
Bradford              7   13   +4      63.54    10.49    -1.14     0.58     3.75    18.89     6.66P    1.31R    0.32  
Burton_Albion         7   12   +4      59.01    10.54    -7.90     0.24     1.71     9.97     3.11P    3.67R    0.98  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +2      65.87    10.65     3.64     0.95     5.98    25.59    10.04P    0.88R    0.21  
Northampton           7   11   +2      60.15    10.66    -6.07     0.33     2.23    12.35     4.08P    2.89R    0.80  
Rochdale              7   11   +1      72.32    11.42    12.86     4.63    18.33    48.24    26.51P    0.26R    0.05  
Cheltenham            7   11   -1      65.99    10.72     0.90     1.13     6.18    25.60    10.53P    0.90R    0.25  
Rotherham             7   10   +2      69.59    10.82    11.20     2.21    11.57    38.67    18.10P    0.41R    0.11  
Chesterfield          7   10   +2      73.65    11.43    18.05     5.54    21.96    53.38    30.72P    0.21R    0.04  
Torquay               7   10   +2      71.24    10.53    13.73     2.83    13.85    44.11    21.93P    0.24R    0.06  
Southend              7   10   +1      75.39    10.72    19.56     6.42    24.91    60.17    35.33P    0.09R    0.02  
York                  7    9   +0      53.69    10.89   -14.90     0.08     0.64     4.54     1.36P   10.63R    3.62  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   -4      61.77    10.56    -5.50     0.32     2.72    14.91     5.31P    2.22R    0.54  
Morecambe             7    8   -2      60.60    10.65    -4.07     0.33     2.40    13.13     4.59P    2.75R    0.77  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      58.69    10.31    -6.22     0.13     1.30     9.10     3.04P    3.46R    0.86  
Plymouth              7    6   -4      54.45    10.28   -12.00     0.05     0.52     4.25     1.33P    7.86R    2.59  
Wycombe               6    4   -3      69.54    12.05    14.06     3.14    14.00    40.10    21.48P    0.90R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    4  -11      41.18     9.97   -41.68     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   49.30R   25.51  
Dag_&_Red             7    3   -6      47.58    10.17   -20.58     0.01     0.09     0.95     0.26P   22.79R    9.10  
Bristol_Rovers        6    3   -9      49.43    10.79   -24.01     0.02     0.22     2.01     0.58P   19.39R    7.47  
Barnet                7    1  -13      36.43     9.67   -44.68     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   68.39R   46.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County      9   19   +9      74.45    10.25    16.22     2.96    37.57     9.08P    0.22R    0.02  
Macclesfield        9   19   +5      85.95    10.54    31.56    20.87    78.06    35.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   18   +8      74.98    10.07    17.50     3.31    39.40    10.54P    0.13R    0.01  
Wrexham             9   18   +8      90.57     9.39    41.53    36.44    91.01    56.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton               9   17   +5      87.94     9.71    37.75    25.89    85.51    46.26P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford            9   15   +5      62.89    11.17    -0.11     0.43     9.55     1.84P    5.38R    1.16  
Gateshead           9   15   +4      68.54    10.10     8.31     0.81    18.36     3.80P    1.04R    0.11  
Mansfield           9   15   -1      73.63    10.35    11.72     2.72    34.35     9.09P    0.32R    0.03  
Grimsby             9   14   +5      76.14    10.06    22.82     3.85    44.62    13.13P    0.12R    0.00  
AFC_Telford         9   13   +4      57.27     9.83    -6.07     0.02     2.47     0.36P   10.04R    1.93  
Tamworth            9   13   +1      57.50     9.93    -9.24     0.04     2.57     0.37P   10.22R    2.09  
Hereford            9   13   -4      71.80    10.66     8.79     2.08    28.76     8.02P    0.64R    0.08  
Woking              9   12   -1      55.00    11.13   -15.35     0.06     2.70     0.41P   18.50R    5.04  
Southport           9   12   -4      56.34     9.92   -15.55     0.04     1.97     0.34P   12.65R    2.77  
Braintree_Town      9   11   -2      57.70    10.20    -9.73     0.05     2.96     0.43P   10.50R    2.28  
Alfreton_Town       9   11   -5      50.21     9.83   -26.68     0.01     0.45     0.06P   30.37R    9.06  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   -2      64.73    10.05     4.18     0.29    10.21     2.35P    2.49R    0.39  
Lincoln_City        9    9   -2      57.65    10.01    -5.70     0.03     2.71     0.46P    9.77R    2.03  
Stockport           9    9   -2      56.51    10.07    -7.96     0.04     2.22     0.41P   12.06R    2.81  
Nuneaton            9    9   -6      45.68    10.59   -33.34     0.00     0.30     0.04P   49.19R   22.15  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    8   -6      51.91    10.20   -19.72     0.00     0.84     0.07P   24.87R    7.24  
Barrow              9    7   -7      46.92     9.71   -25.44     0.00     0.18     0.02P   42.07R   15.44  
Hyde_United         9    5   -6      45.05    10.71   -24.47     0.00     0.27     0.03P   50.16R   23.24  
Kidderminster       9    4   -6      58.05    10.09    -1.02     0.04     2.99     0.64P    9.24R    2.13