Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2012, Everton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        4   10   +6      72.60     9.10    32.30    13.06    33.73    56.23    73.76    90.64     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        4    9   +5      81.51     8.59    51.61    50.28    75.30    88.32    94.82    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal        4    8   +7      70.59     9.34    34.10    10.22    27.33    47.55    66.41    86.34     0.03R    0.00  
Man_City       4    8   +3      76.16     9.00    40.34    23.80    51.06    72.02    84.80    95.26     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        4    7   +6      48.89     9.02    -2.68     0.05     0.28     1.00     2.72    10.54     6.20R    0.94  
West_Brom      4    7   +2      51.83     9.42    -2.63     0.14     0.71     2.09     5.29    17.63     4.05R    0.56  
Everton        4    7   +1      59.94     9.21    10.49     0.75     3.75     9.99    20.57    47.68     0.43R    0.04  
West_Ham       4    7   +1      45.25     9.46   -14.86     0.03     0.16     0.55     1.53     6.04    14.39R    3.06  
Fulham         4    6   +4      54.40     9.40     6.23     0.24     1.21     3.81     8.85    26.38     2.05R    0.27  
Tottenham      4    5   +1      59.77     9.29    13.66     0.96     4.04    10.45    20.79    47.78     0.48R    0.06  
Newcastle      4    5   -1      53.68     9.43     1.22     0.20     0.97     3.10     7.48    23.38     2.67R    0.34  
Stoke          4    4   +0      44.08     8.85   -10.83     0.01     0.04     0.18     0.64     4.08    15.05R    2.88  
Aston_Villa    4    4   -1      44.84     8.98   -11.38     0.01     0.07     0.28     0.95     4.57    14.06R    2.87  
Wigan          4    4   -4      39.08     8.79   -24.74     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.14     1.21    33.55R    9.26  
Sunderland     3    3   +0      49.39     9.42    -3.15     0.06     0.34     1.16     3.12    12.27     6.65R    1.01  
Norwich        4    3   -5      37.22     8.89   -29.41     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.14     0.75    42.20R   13.87  
Liverpool      4    2   -5      54.30     9.18     3.42     0.18     0.97     3.11     7.70    24.80     2.01R    0.25  
QPR            4    2   -7      34.96     8.54   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.36    52.47R   19.61  
Reading        3    1   -4      35.82     9.57   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.15     0.83    48.67R   20.05  
Southampton    4    0   -9      34.32     9.47   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.55    55.04R   24.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Ipswich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Blackburn         6   14   +5      85.06    11.21    33.76    31.46    49.70    82.54    59.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool         6   13  +11      83.83    10.69    38.78    26.57    45.74    81.67    56.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton          6   13   +9      71.32    10.32    14.03     3.29     8.67    38.68    15.41P    0.88R    0.10  
Hull              6   13   +6      74.04    10.21    15.68     5.01    12.78    48.65    21.37P    0.37R    0.04  
Cardiff           6   13   +4      77.74    10.46    19.84    10.21    22.46    62.49    32.97P    0.20R    0.02  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      65.19    11.02     2.15     1.32     3.68    20.48     7.10P    4.53R    0.75  
Nott'm_Forest     6   10   +2      64.69    10.42     1.01     0.95     2.78    17.61     5.81P    4.02R    0.63  
Wolverhampton     6   10   +2      72.62    11.21    14.28     5.37    12.61    44.13    20.71P    1.05R    0.15  
Bristol_City      6    9   +2      57.33    10.28   -10.83     0.11     0.51     5.40     1.36P   14.68R    3.21  
Leicester         6    9   +1      69.85    10.50    10.07     2.31     6.91    33.29    13.24P    1.44R    0.19  
Middlesbrough     6    9   -2      62.75    10.39    -4.42     0.56     1.84    13.48     4.20P    5.99R    0.98  
Derby             6    8   +2      58.83    10.30    -5.53     0.20     0.75     7.12     1.91P   11.34R    2.48  
Birmingham        6    8   -1      73.23    10.47    15.46     5.02    12.37    46.17    22.39P    0.63R    0.05  
Leeds_United      6    7   -1      64.26    10.68     1.85     0.73     2.41    17.55     5.53P    5.08R    0.89  
Bolton            6    7   -2      72.58    11.46    15.71     5.67    13.03    44.52    22.20P    1.31R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace    6    7   -3      53.01     9.96   -17.85     0.03     0.12     2.15     0.51P   25.74R    7.25  
Sheff_Wed         6    7   -4      51.55    11.09   -25.83     0.09     0.25     2.59     0.62P   34.17R   12.46  
Barnsley          6    7   -5      50.49    10.04   -25.37     0.01     0.07     1.22     0.25P   35.85R   11.92  
Burnley           6    6   -1      61.80    10.68    -0.99     0.58     1.65    12.42     4.11P    7.63R    1.51  
Watford           6    6   -4      55.91    10.51   -14.32     0.12     0.41     4.38     1.18P   18.87R    5.06  
Millwall          6    6   -5      57.49    10.27   -11.59     0.13     0.48     5.31     1.46P   14.43R    3.33  
Charlton          6    5   -2      56.31    11.23    -8.71     0.18     0.63     5.97     1.79P   19.30R    5.55  
Ipswich           6    5   -9      52.03    10.31   -24.79     0.05     0.15     1.84     0.41P   31.08R   10.05  
Peterborough      6    0   -9      43.87    10.45   -32.39     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P   61.32R   33.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         7   17  +14      75.47    10.31    21.65    12.36    24.56    61.89    33.13P    0.49R    0.02  
Stevenage        7   15   +5      74.42    10.30    13.97    10.16    20.54    56.90    29.81P    0.71R    0.05  
Notts_County     7   14   +5      72.20    10.63    12.16     7.50    16.12    48.75    23.60P    1.37R    0.09  
Crawley_Town     7   13   +0      56.39    10.56   -15.68     0.29     0.93     6.98     1.79P   25.16R    5.33  
Preston          7   11   +7      66.92    10.55    10.60     3.12     7.47    30.64    12.83P    4.22R    0.48  
Sheff_Utd        7   11   +3      81.01    10.43    28.79    27.58    45.08    79.48    56.66P    0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons          7   11   +3      77.16    10.27    22.02    15.42    29.68    68.21    41.46P    0.35R    0.03  
Swindon          7   11   +1      67.14    10.84     5.37     3.14     7.63    31.05    12.95P    4.73R    0.57  
Walsall          7   11   -2      62.37    10.30    -4.96     0.99     2.56    16.02     5.11P   10.07R    1.31  
Doncaster        6   10   +3      71.45    11.36    13.01     7.82    16.03    46.65    23.88P    2.41R    0.25  
Yeovil           7   10   +2      59.82    10.45    -4.16     0.61     1.82    11.98     3.58P   14.66R    2.53  
Brentford        7    9   +2      64.83    10.42     5.62     1.94     4.95    23.57     9.36P    6.10R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient    6    9   +1      58.27    10.51    -7.55     0.49     1.42     9.35     2.85P   18.87R    3.47  
Carlisle         7    9   -2      62.08    10.54    -3.00     1.02     2.78    16.20     5.64P   10.87R    1.54  
Crewe            7    9   -3      49.78    10.58   -24.11     0.06     0.20     2.10     0.48P   48.49R   16.49  
Shrewsbury       7    8   +1      57.45    10.64    -4.29     0.35     1.04     8.61     2.59P   20.95R    4.17  
Bournemouth      7    8   -1      63.34    10.31     2.15     1.11     3.24    19.04     6.77P    8.03R    1.02  
Oldham           6    6   -2      54.57    10.30   -10.64     0.17     0.53     4.69     1.29P   29.26R    6.72  
Portsmouth       7    5   -2      68.93    11.28    13.91     5.26    11.48    39.00    20.52P    3.98R    0.54  
Hartlepool       6    5   -6      52.37    10.12   -16.40     0.08     0.27     2.81     0.72P   37.16R    9.61  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -9      51.08    10.06   -20.16     0.05     0.14     2.13     0.51P   42.53R   11.77  
Colchester       7    4   -6      54.25    10.24   -10.84     0.09     0.37     4.34     1.22P   30.32R    7.05  
Coventry         7    3   -7      57.14    10.88    -5.71     0.38     1.13     8.55     3.00P   22.08R    4.54  
Bury             7    3   -7      47.27    10.18   -21.76     0.01     0.05     1.06     0.24P   57.03R   21.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Burton_Albion vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            7   19  +11      86.58    10.66    33.45    31.93    64.90    89.46    71.64P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale             7   16  +12      81.30    10.71    30.75    16.84    45.99    78.91    54.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter                7   16   +7      82.79    11.34    28.23    21.54    51.30    80.50    59.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        7   13   +5      65.48    11.23     2.69     1.25     6.67    25.64    10.45P    1.34R    0.36  
Bradford              7   13   +4      63.59    10.50    -0.93     0.56     4.08    19.00     6.98P    1.25R    0.30  
Burton_Albion         7   12   +4      58.88    10.66    -8.23     0.21     1.68    10.08     3.12P    3.78R    1.03  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +2      66.07    10.60     3.94     0.92     5.85    26.29     9.86P    0.89R    0.18  
Northampton           7   11   +2      60.12    10.51    -6.07     0.26     1.98    11.88     3.74P    2.72R    0.72  
Rochdale              7   11   +1      72.47    11.28    13.12     4.68    18.31    48.74    26.59P    0.25R    0.05  
Cheltenham            7   11   -1      65.94    10.66     0.75     0.97     5.82    25.54    10.11P    0.97R    0.23  
Rotherham             7   10   +2      69.56    10.85    11.21     2.32    11.68    38.40    18.02P    0.43R    0.10  
Chesterfield          7   10   +2      73.67    11.32    18.14     5.48    21.47    53.04    30.61P    0.20R    0.04  
Torquay               7   10   +2      71.07    10.50    13.56     2.73    13.61    43.36    21.63P    0.20R    0.03  
Southend              7   10   +1      75.59    10.58    19.72     6.27    25.33    60.59    35.97P    0.05R    0.01  
York                  7    9   +0      53.62    10.69   -14.95     0.07     0.57     4.30     1.16P   10.29R    3.46  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   -4      61.74    10.46    -5.54     0.32     2.57    14.57     5.18P    2.07R    0.50  
Morecambe             7    8   -2      60.56    10.60    -4.17     0.30     2.11    12.82     4.34P    2.67R    0.76  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      58.95    10.39    -5.88     0.22     1.53     9.71     3.36P    3.35R    0.89  
Plymouth              7    6   -4      54.16    10.32   -12.43     0.06     0.50     4.02     1.23P    8.45R    2.65  
Wycombe               6    4   -3      69.55    11.89    14.04     3.04    13.78    39.98    21.41P    0.76R    0.19  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    4  -11      41.21     9.98   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   48.97R   25.83  
Dag_&_Red             7    3   -6      47.18    10.16   -21.33     0.00     0.05     0.93     0.19P   24.22R    9.79  
Bristol_Rovers        6    3   -9      49.36    10.75   -24.05     0.02     0.21     2.02     0.55P   19.63R    7.63  
Barnet                7    1  -13      36.57     9.69   -44.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.49R   45.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County      9   19   +9      74.66    10.21    16.55     3.05    38.25     9.11P    0.20R    0.03  
Macclesfield        9   19   +5      86.16    10.65    32.05    21.57    78.47    36.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   18   +8      74.71     9.99    17.12     3.01    38.32    10.02P    0.16R    0.01  
Wrexham             9   18   +8      90.60     9.42    41.64    36.45    91.22    56.16P    0.00     0.00  
Luton               9   17   +5      87.85     9.67    37.65    25.50    85.15    45.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford            9   15   +5      62.58    11.17    -0.66     0.37     8.93     1.69P    5.74R    1.26  
Gateshead           9   15   +4      68.45    10.07     8.09     0.71    18.10     3.74P    1.04R    0.13  
Mansfield           9   15   -1      73.84    10.43    12.04     2.96    35.05     9.65P    0.30R    0.02  
Grimsby             9   14   +5      75.87    10.00    22.46     3.52    43.50    12.73P    0.16R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   13   +4      57.50     9.73    -5.75     0.03     2.61     0.38P    9.11R    1.77  
Tamworth            9   13   +1      57.47     9.84    -9.26     0.04     2.37     0.31P    9.96R    1.99  
Hereford            9   13   -4      72.33    10.69     9.75     2.17    30.15     8.56P    0.59R    0.07  
Woking              9   12   -1      55.14    11.07   -15.15     0.07     2.64     0.46P   17.96R    4.78  
Southport           9   12   -4      56.38     9.91   -15.56     0.03     1.89     0.27P   12.57R    2.61  
Braintree_Town      9   11   -2      57.70    10.23    -9.75     0.05     3.07     0.50P   10.48R    2.26  
Alfreton_Town       9   11   -5      50.17     9.81   -26.93     0.01     0.45     0.06P   30.47R    9.25  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   -2      64.78    10.08     4.20     0.33    10.46     2.32P    2.37R    0.38  
Lincoln_City        9    9   -2      57.53    10.02    -5.98     0.04     2.67     0.43P    9.98R    1.95  
Stockport           9    9   -2      56.49    10.10    -8.01     0.03     2.21     0.33P   12.34R    2.77  
Nuneaton            9    9   -6      45.81    10.64   -33.06     0.00     0.33     0.05P   48.74R   21.94  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    8   -6      51.80    10.13   -19.95     0.01     0.77     0.10P   25.16R    7.22  
Barrow              9    7   -7      46.79     9.64   -25.62     0.00     0.18     0.02P   42.82R   15.42  
Hyde_United         9    5   -6      44.80    10.74   -24.98     0.00     0.25     0.04P   50.71R   24.07  
Kidderminster       9    4   -6      58.13    10.11    -0.88     0.06     2.93     0.64P    9.13R    2.06