Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2012, Everton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        4   10   +6      72.61     9.11    32.21    12.96    33.80    56.09    73.71    90.63     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd        4    9   +5      81.47     8.56    51.37    50.62    75.04    88.19    94.81    98.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal        4    8   +7      70.53     9.28    33.93     9.87    26.91    47.49    66.47    86.48     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City       4    8   +3      76.10     8.97    40.21    23.67    51.27    71.85    84.76    95.36     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        4    7   +6      48.77     8.98    -2.78     0.05     0.24     0.86     2.54    10.42     6.15R    0.90  
West_Brom      4    7   +2      51.72     9.31    -2.69     0.12     0.61     1.91     4.88    16.73     4.09R    0.61  
Everton        4    7   +1      60.05     9.17    10.70     0.87     3.96    10.40    21.02    47.91     0.40R    0.04  
West_Ham       4    7   +1      45.10     9.40   -15.12     0.02     0.13     0.47     1.31     5.77    14.82R    3.19  
Fulham         4    6   +4      54.54     9.34     6.42     0.26     1.34     3.87     8.86    26.74     1.81R    0.24  
Tottenham      4    5   +1      59.84     9.33    13.86     1.02     4.16    10.68    20.91    48.22     0.48R    0.04  
Newcastle      4    5   -1      53.94     9.47     1.62     0.27     1.11     3.27     7.91    24.09     2.54R    0.33  
Stoke          4    4   +0      44.01     8.80   -10.91     0.01     0.04     0.18     0.66     3.73    15.35R    2.90  
Aston_Villa    4    4   -1      44.95     8.90   -11.10     0.02     0.06     0.30     0.92     4.38    13.51R    2.80  
Wigan          4    4   -4      39.00     8.85   -24.85     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.19    33.91R    9.49  
Sunderland     3    3   +0      49.22     9.41    -3.46     0.08     0.34     1.19     3.12    11.83     6.56R    1.06  
Norwich        4    3   -5      37.55     8.87   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.83    40.92R   13.21  
Liverpool      4    2   -5      54.30     9.15     3.38     0.19     0.94     3.09     7.57    24.91     2.00R    0.24  
QPR            4    2   -7      34.99     8.59   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.36    52.30R   19.59  
Reading        3    1   -4      35.76     9.60   -29.15     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.15     0.95    49.00R   20.15  
Southampton    4    0   -9      34.10     9.42   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.53    56.13R   25.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Ipswich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Blackburn         6   14   +5      84.99    11.24    33.69    31.34    49.68    82.43    59.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool         6   13  +11      83.80    10.61    38.70    26.59    45.72    81.63    56.58P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton          6   13   +9      71.37    10.45    14.05     3.65     9.16    38.78    15.76P    0.90R    0.10  
Hull              6   13   +6      74.18    10.19    15.89     5.12    12.94    49.36    21.60P    0.37R    0.03  
Cardiff           6   13   +4      77.61    10.52    19.53    10.21    22.36    61.91    32.46P    0.21R    0.02  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      65.35    11.18     2.41     1.51     3.98    21.34     7.72P    4.54R    0.86  
Nott'm_Forest     6   10   +2      64.60    10.40     1.00     0.87     2.71    17.48     5.65P    4.14R    0.73  
Wolverhampton     6   10   +2      72.71    11.22    14.53     5.37    12.77    44.54    21.04P    1.11R    0.18  
Bristol_City      6    9   +2      57.43    10.23   -10.66     0.14     0.51     5.56     1.35P   14.37R    3.31  
Leicester         6    9   +1      70.03    10.40    10.44     2.34     6.85    34.23    13.56P    1.35R    0.15  
Middlesbrough     6    9   -2      62.52    10.36    -4.83     0.47     1.66    12.96     3.98P    6.10R    1.15  
Derby             6    8   +2      58.94    10.34    -5.39     0.21     0.81     7.47     2.05P   11.48R    2.45  
Birmingham        6    8   -1      73.07    10.45    15.14     4.78    12.07    45.46    22.13P    0.63R    0.07  
Leeds_United      6    7   -1      64.52    10.70     2.34     0.83     2.57    18.16     5.92P    5.03R    0.93  
Bolton            6    7   -2      72.10    11.45    14.84     5.51    12.44    42.48    20.97P    1.35R    0.26  
Crystal_Palace    6    7   -3      52.80     9.92   -18.12     0.04     0.14     1.90     0.43P   26.68R    7.86  
Sheff_Wed         6    7   -4      51.36    10.94   -26.21     0.05     0.19     2.29     0.53P   34.53R   12.53  
Barnsley          6    7   -5      50.50     9.94   -25.35     0.01     0.05     1.16     0.22P   35.97R   12.23  
Burnley           6    6   -1      62.11    10.58    -0.44     0.52     1.72    12.77     4.06P    7.24R    1.36  
Watford           6    6   -4      56.19    10.46   -13.86     0.12     0.41     4.68     1.22P   17.97R    4.60  
Millwall          6    6   -5      57.35    10.25   -11.91     0.12     0.50     5.43     1.48P   14.73R    3.35  
Charlton          6    5   -2      56.33    11.02    -8.68     0.17     0.65     5.68     1.69P   18.66R    5.18  
Ipswich           6    5   -9      52.10    10.34   -24.73     0.02     0.10     1.98     0.40P   31.26R   10.06  
Peterborough      6    0   -9      43.90    10.31   -32.38     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.07P   61.30R   32.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         7   17  +14      75.70    10.19    22.02    12.51    24.92    63.11    33.98P    0.37R    0.02  
Stevenage        7   15   +5      74.22    10.30    13.70     9.73    20.17    56.08    29.02P    0.69R    0.05  
Notts_County     7   14   +5      72.02    10.60    11.83     7.40    15.65    48.19    23.00P    1.46R    0.13  
Crawley_Town     7   13   +0      56.56    10.56   -15.43     0.34     1.02     7.07     1.95P   24.68R    5.08  
Preston          7   11   +7      66.83    10.51    10.49     2.99     7.21    30.16    12.48P    4.20R    0.41  
Sheff_Utd        7   11   +3      81.02    10.36    28.66    27.66    45.20    79.77    56.75P    0.16R    0.01  
MK_Dons          7   11   +3      77.24    10.37    22.19    15.92    30.24    68.20    41.96P    0.39R    0.03  
Swindon          7   11   +1      67.02    10.85     5.13     3.24     7.66    30.57    13.03P    4.80R    0.55  
Walsall          7   11   -2      62.54    10.26    -4.64     0.97     2.61    16.28     5.14P    9.64R    1.24  
Doncaster        6   10   +3      71.27    11.42    12.76     7.59    15.80    45.96    23.34P    2.52R    0.26  
Yeovil           7   10   +2      59.74    10.43    -4.25     0.60     1.73    11.77     3.62P   15.07R    2.42  
Brentford        7    9   +2      64.79    10.31     5.55     1.80     4.62    23.49     9.00P    5.86R    0.66  
Leyton_Orient    6    9   +1      58.22    10.46    -7.54     0.44     1.32     9.12     2.70P   19.02R    3.38  
Carlisle         7    9   -2      62.02    10.58    -3.11     1.03     2.80    16.38     5.54P   11.05R    1.64  
Crewe            7    9   -3      49.49    10.55   -24.47     0.08     0.24     2.08     0.56P   49.65R   16.97  
Shrewsbury       7    8   +1      57.85    10.75    -3.80     0.45     1.34     9.33     3.04P   20.23R    3.93  
Bournemouth      7    8   -1      63.24    10.38     1.98     1.18     3.28    19.07     7.01P    8.17R    1.05  
Oldham           6    6   -2      54.51    10.27   -10.65     0.12     0.43     4.53     1.22P   29.30R    6.80  
Portsmouth       7    5   -2      69.10    11.13    14.23     5.26    11.44    39.21    20.43P    3.57R    0.43  
Hartlepool       6    5   -6      52.17    10.05   -16.69     0.05     0.25     2.59     0.70P   37.99R    9.79  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -9      51.00    10.08   -20.22     0.04     0.15     2.16     0.56P   42.74R   11.81  
Colchester       7    4   -6      54.20    10.28   -10.92     0.11     0.41     4.34     1.13P   30.47R    6.82  
Coventry         7    3   -7      57.72    10.96    -4.86     0.47     1.45     9.61     3.67P   20.58R    4.22  
Bury             7    3   -7      47.13    10.19   -21.96     0.02     0.07     0.92     0.19P   57.38R   22.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 September 2012, Burton_Albion vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            7   19  +11      86.53    10.74    33.47    31.81    64.66    89.32    71.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale             7   16  +12      81.47    10.83    30.99    16.94    46.37    79.04    54.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter                7   16   +7      82.73    11.29    28.11    20.96    50.47    80.44    58.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town        7   13   +5      65.24    11.23     2.30     1.30     6.54    24.79    10.21P    1.33R    0.34  
Bradford              7   13   +4      63.55    10.47    -1.02     0.52     3.77    18.80     6.63P    1.29R    0.30  
Burton_Albion         7   12   +4      58.96    10.60    -8.06     0.17     1.62    10.15     3.02P    3.84R    1.12  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +2      65.64    10.73     3.25     0.94     5.70    25.12     9.66P    0.98R    0.22  
Northampton           7   11   +2      59.96    10.62    -6.36     0.27     1.98    11.64     3.75P    3.13R    0.86  
Rochdale              7   11   +1      72.74    11.25    13.50     4.84    18.94    49.66    27.20P    0.23R    0.06  
Cheltenham            7   11   -1      65.79    10.74     0.54     1.09     6.15    24.92    10.06P    0.89R    0.22  
Rotherham             7   10   +2      69.40    10.78    10.95     2.21    11.01    37.86    17.28P    0.46R    0.09  
Chesterfield          7   10   +2      73.64    11.40    18.12     5.56    21.69    53.20    30.90P    0.20R    0.07  
Torquay               7   10   +2      71.36    10.47    13.96     2.94    14.10    44.77    22.37P    0.20R    0.04  
Southend              7   10   +1      75.64    10.57    19.86     6.28    25.26    60.79    35.83P    0.05R    0.01  
York                  7    9   +0      53.85    10.93   -14.75     0.09     0.72     4.83     1.45P   10.28R    3.54  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   -4      61.67    10.47    -5.66     0.32     2.56    14.35     5.15P    2.15R    0.59  
Morecambe             7    8   -2      60.58    10.66    -4.17     0.29     2.33    13.05     4.51P    2.81R    0.87  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      59.08    10.23    -5.69     0.14     1.44     9.49     3.18P    3.10R    0.76  
Plymouth              7    6   -4      54.21    10.32   -12.37     0.07     0.53     4.42     1.35P    8.11R    2.68  
Wycombe               6    4   -3      69.60    11.98    14.22     3.24    13.90    40.26    21.64P    0.83R    0.23  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    4  -11      41.39    10.09   -41.31     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.05P   48.58R   25.17  
Dag_&_Red             7    3   -6      47.20    10.21   -21.21     0.00     0.07     0.92     0.25P   24.08R    9.79  
Bristol_Rovers        6    3   -9      49.33    10.67   -24.17     0.01     0.18     1.88     0.44P   19.40R    7.49  
Barnet                7    1  -13      36.49     9.62   -44.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   68.06R   45.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County      9   19   +9      74.46    10.15    16.32     3.03    37.19     8.94P    0.19R    0.01  
Macclesfield        9   19   +5      85.99    10.55    31.69    20.90    78.42    36.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   18   +8      74.67    10.09    17.05     3.11    38.08     9.93P    0.20R    0.01  
Wrexham             9   18   +8      90.45     9.47    41.34    36.36    90.72    55.97P    0.00     0.00  
Luton               9   17   +5      87.96     9.66    37.82    25.85    85.57    46.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford            9   15   +5      62.92    11.07    -0.04     0.41     9.46     1.91P    5.08R    0.96  
Gateshead           9   15   +4      68.82    10.15     8.66     0.92    19.25     4.12P    0.97R    0.13  
Mansfield           9   15   -1      73.69    10.39    11.84     2.79    34.85     9.31P    0.35R    0.04  
Grimsby             9   14   +5      75.86    10.18    22.44     3.75    43.74    13.00P    0.14R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   13   +4      57.36     9.73    -6.02     0.01     2.42     0.32P    9.53R    1.76  
Tamworth            9   13   +1      57.45     9.88    -9.36     0.03     2.39     0.34P   10.16R    2.02  
Hereford            9   13   -4      72.03    10.79     9.21     2.25    29.78     8.52P    0.67R    0.07  
Woking              9   12   -1      54.82    11.10   -15.68     0.08     2.58     0.42P   18.84R    5.24  
Southport           9   12   -4      56.54     9.96   -15.17     0.04     2.05     0.31P   12.34R    2.63  
Braintree_Town      9   11   -2      57.69    10.22    -9.76     0.05     2.97     0.44P   10.47R    2.37  
Alfreton_Town       9   11   -5      50.33     9.76   -26.57     0.01     0.48     0.06P   29.97R    8.85  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   -2      64.81    10.09     4.31     0.32    10.45     2.36P    2.37R    0.34  
Lincoln_City        9    9   -2      57.80    10.01    -5.52     0.03     2.87     0.51P    9.51R    1.91  
Stockport           9    9   -2      56.44    10.10    -8.08     0.02     2.28     0.39P   12.55R    2.77  
Nuneaton            9    9   -6      45.62    10.53   -33.39     0.00     0.27     0.04P   49.35R   22.48  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    8   -6      51.86    10.17   -19.88     0.01     0.77     0.10P   25.04R    7.47  
Barrow              9    7   -7      46.87     9.67   -25.47     0.00     0.21     0.03P   42.60R   15.31  
Hyde_United         9    5   -6      45.04    10.76   -24.66     0.00     0.32     0.04P   50.22R   23.60  
Kidderminster       9    4   -6      58.02    10.06    -1.09     0.04     2.90     0.63P    9.42R    2.03