Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 September 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2012, Everton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        4   10   +6      72.57     9.08    32.21    12.90    33.53    55.92    73.84    90.41     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        4    9   +5      81.54     8.60    51.69    50.82    75.48    88.36    94.76    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal        4    8   +7      70.77     9.17    34.41    10.00    27.40    48.39    67.52    87.15     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City       4    8   +3      76.07     9.03    40.18    23.56    50.71    71.29    84.12    95.13     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        4    7   +6      48.84     9.05    -2.76     0.04     0.25     0.94     2.74    10.56     6.18R    0.97  
West_Brom      4    7   +2      51.91     9.29    -2.45     0.10     0.62     1.99     5.11    17.30     3.90R    0.58  
Everton        4    7   +1      59.98     9.17    10.60     0.89     3.86    10.14    20.58    47.81     0.36R    0.02  
West_Ham       4    7   +1      44.91     9.53   -15.63     0.02     0.14     0.49     1.33     5.51    15.54R    3.45  
Fulham         4    6   +4      54.32     9.27     6.22     0.21     1.15     3.47     8.48    25.63     1.92R    0.22  
Tottenham      4    5   +1      59.86     9.29    13.82     1.00     4.21    10.72    20.86    48.21     0.47R    0.04  
Newcastle      4    5   -1      53.74     9.44     1.26     0.19     1.06     3.15     7.52    23.47     2.66R    0.32  
Stoke          4    4   +0      44.01     8.76   -10.90     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.59     3.75    14.94R    2.81  
Aston_Villa    4    4   -1      44.99     8.97   -11.06     0.00     0.07     0.30     0.90     4.66    13.43R    2.58  
Wigan          4    4   -4      39.15     8.72   -24.51     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.22    33.01R    8.91  
Sunderland     3    3   +0      49.31     9.42    -3.35     0.04     0.33     1.12     3.09    12.02     6.51R    1.08  
Norwich        4    3   -5      37.18     8.89   -29.49     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.83    42.42R   13.81  
Liverpool      4    2   -5      54.48     9.23     3.71     0.21     1.12     3.42     8.00    25.52     2.07R    0.24  
QPR            4    2   -7      35.01     8.60   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38    52.22R   19.55  
Reading        3    1   -4      35.79     9.70   -29.14     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.16     1.04    48.86R   20.14  
Southampton    4    0   -9      34.25     9.53   -33.42     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.59    55.50R   25.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 September 2012, Wolverhampton vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Blackburn         5   11   +4      85.65    11.12    38.44    38.54    57.64    86.14    66.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool         5   10   +8      81.68    10.54    35.20    23.11    42.33    78.80    53.49P    0.09R    0.01  
Brighton          5   10   +8      68.51    10.39    11.02     2.54     6.97    32.03    12.57P    2.22R    0.34  
Hull              5   10   +5      71.00    10.13    12.66     3.48     9.58    40.32    17.09P    1.11R    0.15  
Cardiff           5   10   +2      73.47    10.53    13.53     6.23    15.18    49.78    24.04P    0.84R    0.12  
Nott'm_Forest     5    9   +2      64.53    10.32    -0.03     1.09     3.24    19.41     6.43P    5.34R    1.06  
Middlesbrough     5    9   +1      64.45    10.48    -1.22     1.09     3.32    19.52     6.73P    5.53R    1.12  
Huddersfield      5    8   +2      61.04    11.01    -4.37     0.79     2.17    13.38     4.50P   11.24R    2.92  
Leeds_United      5    7   +0      67.02    10.59     5.16     1.69     5.26    27.23     9.85P    3.73R    0.69  
Wolverhampton     5    7   +0      68.21    11.25     7.51     3.20     7.99    32.16    14.26P    3.67R    0.74  
Bolton            5    7   -1      73.11    11.41    15.61     7.66    16.61    49.19    26.00P    1.45R    0.27  
Sheff_Wed         5    7   -2      55.84    11.33   -19.05     0.30     0.94     6.52     1.89P   24.69R    8.62  
Barnsley          5    7   -4      50.21     9.96   -28.96     0.01     0.07     1.36     0.21P   42.08R   16.78  
Bristol_City      5    6   +1      54.11    10.22   -15.61     0.09     0.31     3.55     0.86P   27.25R    8.56  
Burnley           5    6   +0      62.84    10.66    -0.83     0.95     2.80    16.50     5.95P    7.95R    1.75  
Leicester         5    6   +0      68.83    10.47    10.22     2.53     7.21    33.31    13.89P    2.33R    0.40  
Millwall          5    6   -3      61.05    10.34    -6.29     0.45     1.53    11.96     3.53P    9.94R    2.29  
Crystal_Palace    5    6   -3      54.29    10.01   -17.10     0.07     0.27     3.31     0.85P   26.34R    7.92  
Watford           5    6   -3      59.40    10.54   -10.28     0.37     1.33     9.41     2.82P   13.71R    3.53  
Derby             5    5   +1      57.89    10.34    -5.72     0.24     0.86     7.31     2.14P   16.02R    4.36  
Charlton          5    5   -1      57.61    11.02    -7.78     0.34     1.22     8.05     2.73P   18.61R    5.80  
Birmingham        5    5   -2      71.98    10.49    15.38     5.07    12.67    44.81    22.33P    1.22R    0.16  
Ipswich           5    5   -7      55.77    10.42   -19.33     0.14     0.45     4.95     1.29P   22.93R    7.03  
Peterborough      5    0   -8      47.65    10.51   -28.13     0.01     0.05     0.99     0.22P   51.66R   25.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         6   14  +11      72.62    10.42    17.04     7.30    16.24    51.19    24.16P    1.14R    0.09  
Notts_County     6   13   +5      71.83    10.87    11.02     7.02    15.15    47.33    22.47P    1.82R    0.13  
Stevenage        6   12   +3      71.99    10.44    10.80     6.28    14.64    48.00    23.00P    1.41R    0.11  
Crawley_Town     6   12   +0      55.63    10.96   -17.32     0.33     0.95     6.79     1.81P   28.36R    6.50  
Walsall          6   11   +0      64.26    10.48    -1.90     1.35     3.80    21.25     6.88P    7.54R    0.83  
Yeovil           6   10   +5      63.29    10.71     2.51     1.42     3.83    19.87     6.81P    8.89R    1.22  
Sheff_Utd        6   10   +3      82.58    10.77    30.60    32.20    50.40    82.64    61.18P    0.15R    0.01  
MK_Dons          6   10   +3      78.71    10.67    23.68    19.05    35.24    72.69    46.94P    0.39R    0.03  
Doncaster        5    9   +3      70.44    11.81    10.88     6.88    14.59    43.41    21.88P    3.45R    0.44  
Brentford        6    8   +2      64.98    10.61     5.43     1.93     5.16    24.64     9.95P    6.08R    0.68  
Preston          6    8   +2      62.08    10.71     0.88     1.18     3.20    17.34     6.26P   10.50R    1.47  
Swindon          6    8   +0      63.58    11.22     1.63     1.72     4.61    21.81     8.71P    9.29R    1.41  
Carlisle         6    8   -2      63.71    11.03    -1.03     1.64     4.29    21.53     7.79P    9.30R    1.30  
Crewe            6    8   -3      48.49    10.96   -27.17     0.06     0.22     1.98     0.47P   53.55R   20.46  
Bournemouth      6    7   -1      63.95    10.50     2.70     1.19     3.68    21.38     7.59P    7.60R    0.99  
Leyton_Orient    5    6   -2      54.10    10.52   -13.94     0.16     0.57     4.70     1.27P   31.71R    7.56  
Portsmouth       6    5   -1      72.11    11.45    17.46     8.37    17.62    49.98    28.40P    2.24R    0.25  
Hartlepool       5    5   -1      56.65    10.37    -6.68     0.26     0.84     7.19     2.18P   22.45R    4.29  
Shrewsbury       6    5   -2      52.95    10.72   -10.96     0.10     0.41     4.02     1.13P   35.13R    9.19  
Oldham           5    5   -2      55.23    10.42    -9.98     0.18     0.57     5.51     1.41P   27.37R    5.95  
Scunthorpe       6    4   -9      51.07    10.37   -20.25     0.07     0.23     2.50     0.71P   42.83R   12.13  
Bury             6    3   -4      49.22    10.49   -17.45     0.03     0.15     1.77     0.44P   48.95R   16.78  
Coventry         6    3   -4      61.47    11.15     1.71     1.07     2.92    16.76     6.86P   12.58R    2.01  
Colchester       6    3   -6      55.30    10.54    -9.67     0.21     0.70     5.71     1.71P   27.28R    6.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            6   16  +10      84.51    11.04    31.96    29.06    59.41    85.66    66.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale             6   13   +9      77.65    10.95    24.19    11.62    34.86    68.34    43.55P    0.06R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town        6   13   +8      69.05    11.64     9.64     3.57    13.63    38.16    18.87P    0.78R    0.20  
Exeter                6   13   +6      80.73    11.67    26.31    19.49    46.09    75.74    54.34P    0.05R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley    6   11   +3      66.66    10.75     3.99     1.50     7.98    28.74    12.20P    0.78R    0.17  
Rotherham             6   10   +3      71.48    10.99    13.21     4.32    17.06    46.20    24.18P    0.28R    0.05  
Bradford              6   10   +2      61.02    10.64    -4.16     0.42     2.77    14.26     4.89P    2.71R    0.64  
Southend              6   10   +2      77.26    10.78    21.41    10.35    33.18    67.24    42.94P    0.05R    0.00  
York                  6    9   +2      56.24    11.13   -10.60     0.26     1.47     7.82     2.68P    7.91R    2.59  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +2      56.61    10.70   -11.13     0.16     1.26     7.53     2.30P    6.81R    2.15  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   -3      63.28    10.64    -4.05     0.74     4.29    18.93     7.35P    1.80R    0.46  
Northampton           6    8   +1      57.90    10.79    -8.08     0.25     1.71     9.48     3.07P    5.40R    1.68  
Morecambe             6    8   +0      62.98    10.86    -0.26     0.73     4.31    19.18     7.49P    2.13R    0.56  
Rochdale              6    8   +0      69.58    11.52    10.13     3.59    14.10    40.14    21.49P    0.62R    0.12  
Cheltenham            6    8   -2      63.86    10.86    -0.70     0.91     5.00    21.25     8.64P    1.74R    0.50  
Chesterfield          6    7   +1      72.12    11.65    17.14     5.35    20.24    49.25    28.54P    0.41R    0.13  
Torquay               6    7   +1      69.51    10.83    12.74     2.74    12.71    39.39    20.05P    0.44R    0.10  
Aldershot             6    5   -3      57.70    10.53    -6.21     0.17     1.42     8.58     3.03P    5.22R    1.53  
Plymouth              6    5   -4      55.32    10.50   -11.13     0.11     0.85     5.67     1.84P    8.07R    2.58  
Wycombe               5    4   -2      70.38    12.16    14.13     4.60    17.18    43.86    24.88P    0.84R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    4  -10      42.44    10.32   -40.82     0.00     0.04     0.39     0.06P   46.64R   24.65  
Dag_&_Red             6    3   -5      49.67    10.40   -18.38     0.01     0.16     1.88     0.48P   18.76R    7.42  
Bristol_Rovers        5    2   -9      49.31    10.93   -24.56     0.04     0.28     2.26     0.64P   21.76R    8.81  
Barnet                6    1  -12      37.25     9.95   -44.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   66.75R   45.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County      9   19   +9      74.51    10.10    16.32     2.87    37.42     8.68P    0.17R    0.02  
Macclesfield        9   19   +5      86.08    10.53    31.85    20.97    78.63    36.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   18   +8      74.72    10.07    17.16     3.02    38.43     9.89P    0.17R    0.01  
Wrexham             9   18   +8      90.58     9.44    41.55    36.42    91.17    56.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton               9   17   +5      88.13     9.70    38.07    26.39    85.79    46.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford            9   15   +5      62.88    11.17    -0.16     0.48     9.71     2.01P    5.39R    1.06  
Gateshead           9   15   +4      68.43    10.14     8.08     0.82    18.29     3.80P    1.06R    0.12  
Mansfield           9   15   -1      73.68    10.37    11.83     2.61    34.49     9.22P    0.38R    0.03  
Grimsby             9   14   +5      75.90    10.09    22.46     3.75    43.56    12.88P    0.13R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   13   +4      57.48     9.73    -5.81     0.02     2.52     0.32P    9.40R    1.74  
Tamworth            9   13   +1      57.45     9.81    -9.35     0.04     2.50     0.35P    9.98R    2.06  
Hereford            9   13   -4      71.99    10.72     9.17     2.05    29.52     8.38P    0.68R    0.08  
Woking              9   12   -1      54.98    11.27   -15.47     0.10     2.71     0.49P   18.98R    5.40  
Southport           9   12   -4      56.47     9.91   -15.38     0.04     2.08     0.30P   12.44R    2.65  
Braintree_Town      9   11   -2      57.65    10.10    -9.76     0.05     2.89     0.46P   10.28R    2.17  
Alfreton_Town       9   11   -5      50.29     9.75   -26.69     0.00     0.52     0.05P   30.15R    8.87  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   -2      64.66    10.07     4.07     0.21    10.28     2.22P    2.55R    0.37  
Lincoln_City        9    9   -2      57.49     9.98    -5.96     0.04     2.62     0.43P   10.00R    2.01  
Stockport           9    9   -2      56.64    10.04    -7.74     0.04     2.27     0.36P   11.97R    2.60  
Nuneaton            9    9   -6      45.43    10.63   -33.71     0.01     0.30     0.05P   50.08R   23.04  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    8   -6      51.94    10.16   -19.69     0.01     0.81     0.09P   24.91R    7.11  
Barrow              9    7   -7      47.00     9.70   -25.35     0.00     0.17     0.03P   42.04R   15.44  
Hyde_United         9    5   -6      45.02    10.74   -24.64     0.00     0.21     0.03P   50.01R   23.29  
Kidderminster       9    4   -6      58.17    10.14    -0.84     0.04     3.12     0.63P    9.19R    1.92